US500 trade ideas
SPX - Is it possible to bounce back from a support zone? It is true that the order flow on the daily and smaller time frames is bearish, but on the weekly time frame we are in an upward order flow.
Recently the price has reached a support area on the weekly time frame, which could lead to a price reversal to the upside in the short term.
Everything is indicated on the chart
What do you think?
We are in for a mini bear market Just use this situation for buying before 2026 and next rounds of lowering interest rates
SPX give target of 5900My prediction based on market geometry and trend convergence. 5900 by 8/4. I don't claim any accuracy but the probability is high. The level is confirmed by 61.8% fibbo retracement and the time by fibo time series , 21 days down and 21 days up
Mastering Market Movements: Understanding Impulses and CorrectioHello,
Navigating the stock market successfully isn’t just about luck—it requires a keen understanding of market trends and the ability to spot price patterns. One of the most useful concepts traders rely on is the interplay between impulses and corrections. Recognizing these alternating phases can provide valuable insights into potential price movements, allowing you to make more confident and informed trading decisions.
In this article, we’ll break down what impulses and corrections are, how to identify them, and how you can use them to improve your trading strategy.
Understanding Impulses and Corrections
Stock prices move in cycles, alternating between strong trends (impulses) and temporary retracements (corrections). These movements are driven by market psychology, where shifts in supply and demand dictate price action.
Impulses: The Driving Force of Trends
Impulses are powerful, directional moves in the market that reflect strong momentum. These often occur when sentiment aligns with fundamental catalysts, such as positive news, strong earnings reports, or broader market trends. Impulses are the backbone of trends and can provide great opportunities for traders who know how to recognize them.
To spot impulses, look for:
Strong Price Movement: Impulses are characterized by significant and sustained price shifts, indicating a surge in buying or selling pressure. This is as shown in the
Volume Expansion: When an impulse occurs, trading volume typically increases, confirming that more market participants are involved and supporting the price movement.
Break of Key Resistance or Support Levels: Impulses often push through important technical levels, signaling strength and the continuation of a trend.
Corrections: The Market Taking a Breather
Corrections, also called retracements or pullbacks, are temporary price reversals within an ongoing trend. They provide opportunities for the market to pause before resuming its dominant direction.
To identify corrections, watch for:
Counter-Trend Price Movement: Corrections move against the main trend but usually retrace only a portion (25% to 50%) of the previous impulse.
Lower Volume: Unlike impulses, corrections occur on decreased trading volume, suggesting a temporary decline in market participation.
Support and Resistance Levels: Corrections often find support or resistance at previously established price levels, which can serve as potential reversal zones.
Applying Impulses and Corrections in Trading
Understanding these market phases can significantly improve your trading approach. Here’s how:
Identifying Trends: By observing a sequence of impulses and corrections, you can determine the overall market direction and align your trades accordingly.
Finding Entry and Exit Points: Impulses signal strong trends, while corrections present opportunities to enter trades at better prices before the next move higher or lower.
Managing Risk: Setting stop-loss levels strategically—such as below key support levels during corrections—can help minimize losses while allowing room for potential gains.
Final Thoughts
Recognizing and utilizing impulses and corrections can make a huge difference in your trading success. By learning to identify these patterns, you’ll gain deeper insights into market behavior, improve your timing, and enhance your ability to make smart, strategic moves.
Take a look at the US500FU chart—it clearly illustrates impulses and corrections in action.
Good luck, and happy trading!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
#SPX - 26 MarSPX made a nice bottom off PZ yesterday and moved up.
Today, I am looking for a possible move down to 5750, make a new low but find buyers to move higher to 5860.
SPX 5800 Strong resistance200 days HILO EMA central line has always given a strong support resistance in the past and I would expect that to be so this time as well. Since the market structure broke when prices crossed the lower outer ema band, even if the price goes above the middle line I would not consider it to be bullish.Only when the prices hit the upper or lower band a new trend can be confirmed.
For now I am just going to be short term trader and a cautious long term investor accumulator
of fundamentally good stocks. Not Tesla :)
Notice how the inner lines align with the the other lines before the breakdown! A kind of step formation, indicating the period selection of 200 ema is sound
"US500/SPX500" Indices Market Heist Plan (Scalping / Day Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (5780) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level.
📌I strongly advise you to set an alert on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 30m timeframe (5700) Day trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 5860 (or) Escape Before the Target
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"US500/SPX500" Indices Market Heist Plan (Scalping / Day Trade) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors.
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Retest SPX 200 SMA Patience The S&P 500 (SPX) is at a pivotal moment this week as it tests its 200-day simple moving average (SMA), a key technical level that often dictates market sentiment. With volatility creeping higher and investors weighing economic data, interest rate expectations, and earnings forecasts, the index's ability to hold this level could determine the next directional move.
I am staying patient, watching and waiting. A successful defense of the 200-SMA could signal a bottoming process, inviting dip buyers back into the market and potentially setting up a rebound toward key resistance zones. Conversely, a confirmed breakdown below this level could trigger a wave of technical selling, accelerating downside momentum as traders reassess risk exposure.
For now, I remain on the sidelines. I go long when Kenjen is above price, ensuring I trade with momentum and confirmation rather than speculation. All eyes are on how price action develops around this crucial support.
Where Next for the S&P 500?
With the S&P 500 tumbling 10% from its mid-February highs, we take a look at whether this correction is running out of steam—or just getting started. A weak bounce and a looming resistance zone suggest the index has work to do before the bulls can regain control.
Tariffs, Turmoil, and the End of ‘American Exceptionalism’?
For much of the past two years, U.S. stocks have outpaced global peers, fuelled by strong economic growth and corporate earnings. But that narrative is being rapidly unwound. Trump’s sweeping tariffs on imports from Mexico, Canada, and China have triggered fears of a slowdown, prompting Wall Street to question how long U.S. assets can maintain their edge.
The fallout has been brutal. The Federal Reserve has already downgraded its growth forecasts, citing tariffs as a key headwind. Meanwhile, a rare twin sell-off in both the U.S. dollar and equities suggests global investors are losing confidence in the ‘American exceptionalism’ trade. Add to that a sharp decline in major tech and healthcare stocks, and it’s no surprise the S&P 500 has struggled to find its footing.
A Weak Bounce, a Tough Road Ahead
After a sharp sell-off, the S&P 500 has started to consolidate, but there’s little sign of momentum shifting in favour of the bulls just yet. While the index has bounced from its March lows, price action remains sluggish, and a key resistance zone is emerging.
The 200-day simple moving average, the broken January swing lows, and the volume-weighted average price (VWAP) anchored to the trend highs all align to form a confluent resistance zone to keep a close eye on. Even if buyers can push prices higher, this confluence suggests they’ll need to overcome strong overhead pressure before any sustained recovery can take hold.
S&P500 Daily Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Short-Term Traders Eye the Range
On the hourly chart, last week’s price action has carved out a well-defined range, setting up a key battleground for short-term traders:
• A break above the range could see the S&P 500 challenge the resistance zone outlined on the daily chart.
• A break below would likely put the March lows back in play, potentially triggering another leg lower.
S&P 500 Hourly Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
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Bear Slippers Off. Bull Boots Laced.Bear Slippers Off. Bull Boots Laced. | SPX Analysis 25 Mar 2025
The tide turned Monday, and for once, the charts didn’t just mutter vaguely in Morse code – they actually gave us something to work with.
After weeks of grindy, gummy-bear movement, SPX finally flashed a bullish signal. The classic breakout-pullback has shown itself on the 30-minute timeframe, and the daily chart has joined the party with a sharp reversal, flipping us right back into the prior range.
Let’s just say this… not rolling those final bear swings? Smartest decision I didn’t overthink. I just wanted to stop the bleeding. Turns out, it also kept me out of harm’s way.
Now, with the bear slippers safely tucked back into the winter cupboard, I’m eyeing the bull setups. But as always – I’m not jumping just yet…
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Deeper Dive Analysis:
Monday brought a much-needed shakeup – not the kind that rattles your coffee mug off the desk, but the kind that whispers: “Something’s changed…”
And it has.
The 30-minute chart formed a clean breakout-pullback, the kind you could frame on the wall and call “textbook.”
The daily chart? We’ve got a bullish reversal pattern that’s pushing price back into the old range.
That means my bearish bias has officially flipped.
Goodbye bear slippers. Hello, Bull Boots.
Let’s talk about those bears for a moment…
Last week’s trades didn’t go to plan. Friday’s rally chewed them up, and instead of rolling endlessly like a gambler doubling down, I did what needed to be done: closed them. Cleared the head. Took the "L".
And now, I’m glad I did.
Sometimes, the best trade is no trade. Or at least, no new pain.
During my Fast Forward mentorship call, we did our usual morning deep dive.
We looked at:
The GEX flip (Gamma Exposure momentum line)
Intraday call wall pressure
And the speculative cap at 5765 for the high of day
With that info, I made the call to delay my bull swing entry. Why chase a top when the market’s whispering “pullback pending”? I’d rather find a smarter entry… with more meat on the bone.
So what now?
Bias is bullish
5765 & 5805 = overhead friction
Waiting for a deeper pullback before entering long - Ideally 5720
My trigger’s locked. My chart’s marked. Now I wait.
And if that pullback doesn’t come?
Fine. I’ll let it go and re-evaluate. No FOMO. No flinching.
The plan is simple: Trade with the setup, not the hype.
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Fun Fact
Benjamin Graham once said, “In the short run, the market is a voting machine. In the long run, it is a weighing machine.”
But he never accounted for meme stocks, social media panic, and Reddit-fuelled rocket ships.
Today, it often feels like the market's a slot machine with a Twitter feed.
Still – patterns like breakout-pullbacks?
They’re timeless, regardless of the noise.
SPX buy to 5,867Quick Buy to 5,867 , possible rejection at 5,867 may be a sell down to 5,680-5,700 to create higher low then continue the uptrend we are in.
$SPX key level test for a medium-term direction SP:SPX is reaching the 5780 level which was previously strong downside resistance and now is a strong upside resistance.
Bullish S&P500 I am going to be looking for longs this new quarter.
Seasonal Tendacies are looking bullish as well
#SPX - 25 MarHuge run up in #SPX after a gap up. Strongly bullish for further upside.
Any dips is a buying opportunity. Looking at PZ to hold for another leg higher, or if it breaks, look at 5700 for a long up to 5880 then 6000.
Caution on Crypto, Tech, SPXI know its a mess, this is just for me anyway.
I tend to overcomplicate things so now then, lets over simplify for my monkey brain:
Trend line broken = Warning, thing are likely to change ( even though you didnt get the bull market you wanted)
Watch said trend retest, look for weakness, struggling price action
selling on the retest of the top lows last time would offer you 5% off the peako top, (Thats really good!! stop being a perfectionist)
I am very much frustrated with this market, never got the crazy part I was waiting for. But the lack of euphoria is really not that unreasonable when you think about what has been goin on the past 5 years. Everyone is poorer liquidity has been super tight to curb inflation and we still got NASDAQ:NDX up 150% Coinbase NASDAQ:COIN did a 10x and I still am not happy(likely due to the max pain trade of my life COINBASE:ETHUSD ). I have realized that I have been hoping for another 2018 bull run. It may or may not happen, but I can't expect any market to reflect that in any significant way. Markets are much more dynamic than I give them credit for sometimes. They will rhyme but often in ways you do not expect and will not be made clear until that little bastard hindsight kicks in, showing you how obvious it was.
SPX500 24/3/2025 Sideways to up pullback phase
Last Friday's candlestick closed as a bull bar near its high. The market opened lower but lacked follow-through selling and traded sideways to up for the rest of the day.
In our last report, we said that traders would see if the bears could create a strong bear bar, or if the market would open lower but lack follow-through selling, like Thursday.
The bulls want the market to form a 2 legged sideways to up pullback.
The pullback currently has more bull bars vs bear bars with no follow-through selling. The bulls are stronger.
The next targets for the bulls are the 20-day EMA, 200-day EMA or the January 13 low.
The market has formed 3 pushes up (including today's gap up) with the first two legs being the Mar 17 and Mar 19 high.
If there is a pullback, the bulls want at least a small sideways to up leg to retest the current leg high (Mar 24).
The bears see any pullback as minor. They expect at least a small second leg sideways to down to retest the Mar 13 low after the pullback phase.
The strong move down slightly favor the first pullback to be minor and not lead to a reversal up.
They were not able to create follow-through selling on Mar 18 and Mar 21.
They must create strong bear bars with follow-through selling to increase the odds of another leg down.
The prior climactic selloff and parabolic wedge increase the odds of a pullback which is underway.
Traders will see the strength of the pullback. If it is strong (consecutive bull bars closing near their highs), they may look for a retest of the 20-day and the breakout point - Jan 13 low.
If the pullback lacks follow-through buying (overlapping candlesticks, doji bars, bear bars, long tails above bars), the odds of another leg down AFTER the pullback phase increase.
For now, the buying pressure is stronger than the selling pressure (bear bars with no follow-through selling).
Odds slightly favor the market to still be in the sideways to up pullback phase.
S&P500 INTRADAY oversold bounce back capped at 5777S&P500 INTRADAY oversold bounce back capped at 5777
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 5777
Resistance Level 2: 5844
Resistance Level 3: 5872-5920
Support Level 1: 5604
Support Level 2: 5539
Support Level 3: 5500
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Considering Long Positions for S&P 500 Amid Market Uncertainty
- Key Insights: Though the S&P 500 is in a corrective phase, signs of potential
bullish reversals present opportunities for long positions. Monitor economic
reports and geopolitical events closely, as these are likely to influence
market movements.
- Price Targets: Next week, we suggest the following targets:
- T1: 5700
- T2: 5750
- Stop Levels:
- S1: 5600
- S2: 5582
- Recent Performance: The S&P 500 concluded the week marginally above its
starting point, revealing market volatility and potential for both upward
and downward adjustments. Indicators show both consolidation and
opportunities for a rebound.
- Expert Analysis: Despite feeling overvalued, analysts are observing mixed
signals with both bearish and bullish possibilities. There's a heightened
focus on inflation indicators and central bank policies, crucial for future
market direction, alongside a performance gap favoring value stocks.
- News Impact: Recent tech sector sell-offs, especially in semiconductors and
Tesla, suggest challenges face growth sectors. Geopolitical factors,
including recently announced tariffs by President Trump, could further
heighten volatility. Upcoming consumer confidence and GDP revisions are key
reports to watch, possibly influencing next week's market tone.
$US500 Intraday PaydayI don't do Intraday chart posts for various reasons however this chart is the most important watch of the year.
Right now we are testing a very important triple top where heavy resistance is being printed in the pre-market. Several times bull have tried to break through with large one minute candles and being stiffly rejected.
This is of extreme importance because the current formation on all indexes in a bear flag looking for continuation to the 5400 level.
If rejection sets in, short to the 5400 and then go neutral for a week and re-asses.
BUY SPX500SPX500 Trade Idea: Bullish Continuation Setup
Market Overview
The SPX500 has shown strong bullish momentum, and a continuation of this trend is likely if price holds above the 5,772-support area. A confirmed breakout from this level could provide an ideal buying opportunity.
Trade Setup
Entry: Buy at 5,733 (waiting for confirmation at key support)
Stop Loss (SL): 5,525 (below strong support zone)
Take Profit (TP): 6,154 (next key resistance level)
Analysis & Rationale
✅ Bullish Trend Continuation – Price action suggests strong momentum, favoring further upside.
✅ Key Support at 5,772 – A breakout above this level will confirm bullish strength.
✅ Favorable Risk-to-Reward Ratio – Well-defined SL and TP provide a balanced strategy.
Trading Plan & Execution
Wait for confirmation at 5,772 before entering.
If price holds, execute a buy order at 5,733.
Set SL at 5,525 to limit downside risk.
Take profit at 6,154, adjusting the stop-loss accordingly if price gains momentum.
This trade setup follows the bullish market structure, providing an opportunity to capitalize on SPX500’s continued upside potential. However, monitor economic data and global market sentiment for any shifts in trend.
📌 Risk Disclaimer: Always implement proper risk management and adjust your strategy as market conditions evolve.
SP500 and Global M2The sp500 market is in real trouble right now has there has been a massive global M2 liquidity injection (starting Jan. 2025) but the market has been down overall.
Money has been leaving the US back to the home countries as we can see in Hang Seng and Dax charts have been up in 2025 which matches global M2 exactly.
