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Bad CPI, Perfect Setup Opportunity for the S&P500Today’s CPI was really bad: 3% vs. 2.9%. Bad for markets, good for the Dollar, and everything got slapped - S&P 500 included. But honestly, moments like this are often where the magic happens. Zoom in, and you’ll notice that the Monday Low is still sitting there untouched. In a few minutes, the New York Stock Exchange opens. What am I hoping for? A sweep of that Low, followed by a quick reversal and a push to the upside. On the 1-hour chart, the RSI is already in oversold territory. A sell-off at the open would be the perfect entry, aiming for a 1:3 risk-reward ratio. If the market plays along, this could get real interesting real fast. 🔹 Asset: S&P 500 🔹 Timeframe: 1H 🔹 Entry: 5974.60 🔹 Stop: 5936.90 🔹 Target(s): 6085.86
FX:SPX500Long
by stromm
$SPX Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders Feb 12 SP:SPX Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders Feb 12 We’s been consolidating sideways here a bit and slightly up and if you look at the moving averages that’s the same. Slightly up and sideways. We have a green signal line on the day though it's weak and more of a cautious looking for direction type of stance. 35EMA is above the 30min 200 even though it looks weak its still above and that is bullish. Downtrend above us here and then ash’s are at the top of the trading range. Bull gap underneath us with the support of the 50DMA CPI and Jerome Powell today so Trade carefully. I didn’t put a position on today from yesterdays power hour like I have been so I am depending on the intraday move to get in today.
SP:SPX
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Scenarios for 2.12.2025🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News: 🇺🇸🏛️ Fed Chair Powell Testifies: At 10:00 AM ET, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will testify before Congress, providing insights into the economic outlook and potential monetary policy adjustments. 📊 Key Data Releases: 📅 Wednesday, Feb 12: 🏢 Consumer Price Index (CPI) (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: +0.3% MoM; Previous: +0.4% MoM. 📈 Core CPI (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: +0.3% MoM; Previous: +0.2% MoM. 📉 CPI (YoY) (Jan): Expected 2.9%; Previous 2.9%. 📉 Core CPI (YoY) (Jan): Expected 3.1%; Previous 3.2%. 🛢️ EIA Crude Oil Inventories (10:30 AM ET): Previous: +8.664M. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPX #SPY #daytrading #charting #trendtao
SP:SPX
by PogChan
$SPX Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders Feb 11 25 Ok. Today’s implied move 6025 - 6105 on the day - I am looking wider than that for spreads today It’s looking as if futures will open UNDER the 30min 200MA, which could give us that 35EMA cross down and then we will be bearish. We got a little technical bounce yesterday but it was on low volume and looks weak in the indicators. So look for that 35EMA cross down. 50 Day moving average is near the bottom of the trading range under the implied move on the day and at the bottom of tomorrow’s implied move so that is a target to keep in mind. ATH’s at the top of the trading range and the downtrend line is in today’s implied move.
SP:SPXShort
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
PROFIT & LEARN: Confusion Clarity Bar Index (CCBI) Overview The Confusion Clarity Bar Index (CCBI) is a TradingView indicator designed to measure market efficiency and volatility by combining the Efficiency Ratio with a Bollinger Bands %b calculation. This provides traders with a unique way to gauge price movement clarity versus confusion. Key Features: 1. Efficiency Ratio (ER) Calculation: • Measures the directional efficiency of price movements over a user-defined period. • Compares absolute momentum to cumulative volatility to determine efficiency. 2. Bollinger Bands %b Calculation: • Applies a Bollinger Bands overlay to the Efficiency Ratio. • Standard deviation is set very low (default 0.0001) to capture subtle variations in efficiency. 3. Histogram Visualization: • A column-style histogram represents %b values: • Blue bars when %b is above 0.5 (greater market clarity). • Red bars when %b is below 0.5 (higher market confusion). 4. Overbought & Oversold Levels: • 1.0 (Overbought) → Market is exceptionally efficient. • 0.0 (Oversold) → Market is highly inefficient or erratic. • 0.5 (Neutral Level) → Middle ground between efficiency and confusion. 5. Background Highlighting: • Green background when %b reaches 1.0 (strong market efficiency). • Red background when %b reaches 0.0 (extreme market inefficiency). How to Use It: • Trend Confirmation: • If bars remain blue, price movements are likely clear and efficient. • If bars turn red, market uncertainty is increasing. • Reversal Zones: • A move towards 0.0 suggests indecision, potentially signaling trend exhaustion. • A move towards 1.0 indicates strong directional momentum. • Volatility Breakouts: • A sharp shift in %b from low to high may indicate an upcoming trend breakout. This indicator is best used in conjunction with momentum oscillators and volume indicators to confirm market conditions and potential trade setups.
FX:SPX500Education
by moneymagnateash
Modest recovery follows weak weekUS stock index futures were all firmer in early trade this morning, recovering a proportion of Friday’s losses. The majors ended last week on the backfoot as investors chose to pare their risk exposure ahead of the weekend. This came after President Trump unleashed a clutch of tariff threats, primarily focused at northern and southern neighbours, Canada and Mexico. These were postponed within hours of being announced as both countries promised to boost security at their US borders. But the additional 10% tariff on US imports from China did go ahead. China has instigated retaliatory tariffs on US imports starting today. Over the weekend, President Trump announced blanket tariffs on all imports of aluminium and steel, along with reciprocal tariffs on any country placing levies on imports from the US. All this uncertainty contributed to a negative week for all four major US stock indices. This was compounded by Friday’s Non-Farm Payroll update which came in weaker than anticipated. Average Hourly Wages came in well above forecasts, and on top of this, the University of Michigan’s Inflation Expectations survey jumped unexpectedly. This increased concerns that inflation in returning as an important issue. There’s evidence of renewed upside pressure, and all measures remain significantly above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target. This has led to another shift in rate cut expectations. According to the CME’s FedWatch Tool, the odds now favour just one 25 basis point rate cut this year. This week brings important inflation updates with the CPI and PPI on Wednesday and Thursday respectively. In addition, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will testify before Congress tomorrow and on Wednesday. Despite some disappointing results from a few tech giants, this has been a strong earnings season, with earnings growth coming in at its best rate for four years.
TRADENATIONSB:US500
by TradeNation
Weekly Economic Events & Data Releases: Feb 10 – 14, 2025🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News: Monday, Feb 10: 🇨🇳📈 China's Retaliatory Tariffs – In response to the U.S. imposing a 10% tariff on Chinese imports effective Feb 4, China has enacted tariffs of 15% on U.S. coal and liquefied natural gas, and 10% on crude oil and agricultural machinery, effective today. Tuesday, Feb 11 & Wednesday, Feb 12: 🇺🇸🏛️ Fed Chair Powell Testifies – Insights into economic outlook and monetary policy. 📊 Key Data Releases: Wednesday, Feb 12: 🏢 Consumer Price Index (CPI): Forecast: +0.3% MoM; Previous: +0.2% MoM. 💵 Real Earnings: Forecast: -0.1% MoM; Previous: -0.1% MoM. Thursday, Feb 13: 🏭 Producer Price Index (PPI): Forecast: +0.3% MoM; Previous: +0.2% MoM. 📉 Initial Jobless Claims: Forecast: 219K; Previous: 219K. Friday, Feb 14: 🛍️ Retail Sales: Forecast: -0.1% MoM; Previous: +0.4% MoM. 🌐 Import Price Index: Forecast: +0.5% MoM; Previous: +0.1% MoM. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPX #SPY #daytrading #charting #trendtao
SP:SPXLong
by PogChan
Bullish bounce off 61.8% Fibonacci support?S&P500 is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 5,989.66 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 5,932.99 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Take profit: 6,072.50 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:SP500Long
by VantageMarkets
SPX 2025 Target GuideHello Traders, Here is my Target guide for 2025. Using Fibs and other TA this is bullish targets I see this year. I expect two more waves..One lasting into April and another into the Fall... with this being one of the largest just starting. Its kind of hard to believe right now before an ATH but looking at the last 5 waves bull market in 2021 as a guide, which I will show in another pic below, I still believe we have two more waves to go this year before needing a big breather. Not saying we can't have a nice dip this spring but I'm targeting the one in the fall being the largest.. Will we continue into 2026 at all? We will see as we head into fall how it looks then... Other than the 2000 and 2008 crashes every year after an election has been very bullish. Now we did have an exceptional bullish 2024 which could of zapped some of the run this year but I still think we aren't done yet. Many are calling tops recently which is always possible but earnings and other data continues to support the bulls ahead IMO. Zoomed out here is 2021 5 waves Lets look at wave structure. This is where you can see the separate waves in 2021 and now. Much easier to kinda see that we only had three waves so far with a least one but more than likely two more waves left.
SP:SPXLong
by TheUniverse618
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Feb 7, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During the weekly trading session, the S&P 500 effectively hit critical support levels at 5996 and 5936, respectively. A downtrend presently characterizes the market, as bullish momentum is stalled. Current analyses indicate that this downward trajectory will likely persist, with anticipated retesting of the Mean Support levels of 5996, the possibility of trading at Mean Support 5936, and a significant decline to the Outer Index Dip at 5878. Should this scenario not materialize, the market is favorably positioned for the subsequent phase of the bullish trend, with the test of the newly established resistance level at 6083 and revisiting the previously completed Outer Index Rally level of 6120.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
Let's speak about savings...Hey guys, As I've lately taken great interest in publishing my trading ideas here on TradingView, I want to speak about something that rarely if ever gets spoken about in the trading community, by trading community I mean us goobers on charts who do intra-day, swing, day trading etc... who get sad for not making 10% a month on forex etc... That is your savings, specifically investing your savings on a long term basis and compound the interest earned by the dividend yields. Useless to say that I'll be speaking about the S&P 500 and how you can approach it too. First of all, you can't directly buy the S&P500 that you see here on trading view, as this is an index and in order for you to invest in the performance of the index you need to buy into ETFs, mutual funds, or derivatives like options and futures that are designed to track it. There are many big funds around, like iShares, Fidelity, Vanguard, Amundi etc... To be honest the one I personally invest into is the Core S&P 500 USD Acc from iShares that auto compounds the dividends but you really can choose between tens of funds. The key factors that you must keep into consideration when choosing a fund are these: - Currency of the fund (what currency is the fund based on)= if it is another country's currency, you'll have to exchange it every time you want to make an entry, amounting to extra commissions and fees that aren't sexy. - Dividends= if the fund pays out dividends, if it pays it in cash or shares or if it self reinvests them or it doesn't... - Tax residency of the fund (on which exchange is the Fund/ETF listed on)= important as when it will come to pay your taxes, some funds may have extra taxes due to the residency/exchange. Now... let's get to the sauce, you have probably heard about DCA (Dollar Cost Average) as it's been rubbed on your face by everyone who never looked at a chart, and that's a valid approach if you are 50, but we spend half of our days on the charts so we want to work based on charts and price, not on time. My philosophy behind this is that, if our goal is maximizing profit while spreading entries evenly, we should aim to get the best entries, and how could time, which has nothing to do with price, dictate our entries? It is quite literally putting your finger down randomly on the chart and choosing to enter there. There is a way easier and more effective approach, and that's basing yourself on price by simply buying the dip. Yes, I quite literally wrote all of this article just to tell you to buy the dips, but here's a little practical example on why buying the dip performs better than DCA and what values you could look for yourself to try to optimize your entries. The most basic approach to DCA is to buy a set amount each month, for the sake of the example let's say you would have bought $1000 worth of shares every 30 days starting from Feb/2022, your entries would have been spread out randomly and you would end up with roughly $42.000 today, which would be more if you reinvested all the dividends and profits. A better approach would be buying each time there is a dip of X percentage in price. If during the same time we would have bought about 200$ every time price dipped 1.25% we would have made 192 entries and made around $51.000 without compounding interest and dividends, then that would be closer to 55.000 - 60.000. All of this just by basing ourself on price and not time. You wouldn't evaluate taste with sounds, or sounds with numbers... so why evaluate numbers with time? Rather stick to what the chart itself does and get the best spread out entries possible, like this not only you would make more money, but have way more entries spread out through the chart for about the same initial capital, which is not bad when you are planning to long term invest. To wrap it up, my practical example is buying the S&P500 (or another index you like), every time price drops of 1.25% - 1.75% in a single day, and compound interest every time you get a entry. Like this you'll set yourself an long term investment fund that will grow exponentially through the years and help you more than save your money through the years. As as we all know but not admit that spending comes easy when money is laying around, so stash the unnecessary and see it grow ;) the numbers in the example are rough estimates but give the actual idea of performance, and excuse me for the simplicity of the argument but it always comes handy
SP:SPXEducation
by BancoMatt
$SPY Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders for Feb 7 20AMEX:SPY Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders for Feb 7 2025 Alright, y’all, ATH’s are back in the trading range today. We have a downtrend line off of ATH’s midway through the range and then ATH’s, and 6135 as the top of the implied move for the day. Underneath we have the 35EMA -which we bounced on yesterday - and the 30min 200 for support. Under all of that we have the 50 Day Moving average. Easy Trading range today. Bullish moving averages but they are close together and that means that could change. My position - Delta Neutral Iron SPYDER 6024-6110 pays and I will hedge if either side gets challenged.
SP:SPX
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
NFP Incoming - Will SPX Smash 6100?NFP Incoming – Will SPX Smash 6100? | SPX Market Analysis 7 Feb 2025 The bulls keep charging as SPX edges closer to 6100. But with the NFP report dropping pre-market, things could get lively. Will we blast through resistance or bounce back down? Expect some whipsaw chaos before the market settles – but with a bullish trend already in play, we should at least get one more push toward target exits before the dust settles. --- SPX Deeper Dive Analysis: 📈 Bullish Move On Track SPX has ridden the momentum train all the way from the range lows to the range highs. Now, we’re staring at 6100, the key level where decisions will be made. 🚀 NFP Report – A Market Mover Today’s Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data drops just before the opening bell. This is one of the bigger monthly catalysts, meaning we could see: A breakout past 6100 if the market likes the numbers. A sharp rejection back into the range if traders get spooked. A whipsaw shakeout, with wild swings before settling. 🔄 Short-Term Expectation? A Push Higher Even if volatility kicks in, the existing bullish momentum should at least give us a final nudge up toward target exits. Whether we smash through 6100 or stall out, we’re in prime position to lock in profits. ⏳ The Good Kind of Waiting Once again, we’re in a holding pattern, waiting for the market to tip its hand. But this is strategic patience – the kind where we’ve done the hard work and now simply let the market do its thing. The setups are in place – now, we sit back and watch the magic unfold. --- Fun Fact: 📢 Did you know? In 2010, a trader accidentally caused a $1 trillion stock market crash in just 36 minutes – all because of a fat-finger trade. 💡 The Lesson? One typo, one misclick, or one overleveraged position can cause chaos. Always double-check your trades, because even the pros have hit the wrong button before.
SP:SPXLong
by MrPhilNewton
SPX500 H4 | Approaching all-time highSPX500 is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 6,128.66 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns close to the all-time high. Stop loss is at 6,195.00 which is a level that sits above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension level. Take profit is at 6,011.02 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:SPX500Short
by FXCM