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S&P 500 ETF & Index– Technicals Hint at a Possible Correction📉📊 S&P 500 ETF & Index at Resistance – Technicals Hint at a Possible Correction 🔍⚠️ Everything here is pure technicals— but sometimes, the market whispers loud and clear if you know how to listen. 🧠📐 The VOO ETF, which tracks the S&P 500 , has now reached the upper boundary of a long-term ascending channel, once again brushing against resistance near 590.85. This zone has consistently led to major pullbacks in the past. On the right panel, the US500 Index mirrors this move—pushing toward all-time highs, right as broader sentiment turns euphoric. Technically, both charts are overextended and pressing into key zones. 👀 Potential Path: 🔻 Rejection from current zone ➝ Down toward 526.17, then 465.72 (green support channel) 🔁 Possible bounce after correction — trend still intact long term And while we’re keeping it technical, it’s worth noting that the Buffett Indicator (Stocks-to-GDP) i s currently screaming “overvaluation.” This doesn't predict timing—but it adds macro context to an already overheated chart setup. The lesson? Price respects structure. Whether or not the fundamentals are in agreement, the charts are warning that now may not be the time to chase. History doesn’t repeat, but it often rhymes. Stay sharp, stay technical. 🎯 One Love, The FX PROFESSOR 💙 ps. the beauty of these levels? Tight Stop loss- excellent R/R Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
TRADENATION:US500Short
by FX_Professor
Warning: SPX500 May Have Peaked—Here’s What the Charts SayThe S&P 500 (SPX500) may have reached its peak. In this video, I reveal the technical evidence pointing to a potential reversal—including monthly bearish divergence, daily and weekly reversal candles, and confirmation from key indicators. This isn’t just noise—these signals align across timeframes, suggesting a shift in momentum that could lead to significant downside. I’ll walk you through the charts, explain the implications for traders and investors, and highlight critical support levels to watch. Thank you for watching and have a great trading week. Cheers!!
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by RICHINVESTOR
2
S&P500 corrective pullback key support at 6200Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 6316 Resistance Level 2: 6374 Resistance Level 3: 6430 Support Level 1: 6200 Support Level 2: 6112 Support Level 3: 6073 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
2
What the Next CPI Print Could Do to the S&P500What the Next CPI Print Could Do to the S&P500 A technical and macro setup ahead of the inflation release Next week’s CPI report could be one of the most important data points of the quarter, not just for the Fed, but for traders watching the S&P500 (SPX) at these elevated levels. We’ve seen inflation data act like a volatility trigger in recent months, especially when it diverges from market expectations. And with the S&P flirting with key resistance, the stage is set for either a breakout or a reversal. Let’s break down both the macro implications and the technical chart setup heading into the release. Why CPI Matters? If headline CPI comes in hot, markets may price in fewer Fed cuts this year. Yields spike and SPX often reacts with a sharp pullback. If inflation cools faster than expected, the Fed may stay dovish. That typically gives SPX and risk assets broadly room to breathe higher. Current expectations: - Headline CPI: 3.2 percent - Core CPI: 3.4 percent Anything above those numbers is risk-off. Anything below supports the soft landing narrative. Technical Setup on SPX On the 4H and daily chart, here’s what we’re seeing: - Price hovering around a key resistance zone between 5,660 and 5,680 - Rising wedge structure starting to form, typically a bearish sign near market tops - Bearish RSI divergence on 1D chart - Volume has been declining on recent pushes higher, showing lack of conviction Key Levels - Support: 5,615 and 5,575 - Breakout Target (if CPI is dovish): 5,750 to 5,770 - Downside Target (if CPI surprises hot): 5,500 to 5,480 Watch for a volatility spike on the release and be cautious about chasing the first move. My Play I’m personally staying flat heading into the data. Too much chop, not enough conviction. But I’ll be watching for: - A false breakout trap above 5,680 followed by reversal as a possible short setup - Or a clear retest and hold above 5,700 with volume, which may confirm further upside CPI has become the new FOMC. Be patient and reactive, not predictive. Final Thought CPI prints used to be background noise. Not anymore. This one matters, and SPX is sitting in a technical pressure cooker. Whatever side you lean toward, come in with a plan and don’t trade the first candle.
FX:SPX500
by Farzadvajihi
1
Nasdaq and S&P 500 higher than ever. Crash incoming??The stock market is now more expensive than ever. Some people are calling the top, saying that the market is overbought and too high. There are indicators that show that the market is overheated, but NO ONE KNOWS whether it's going to crash next week or continue running up for months. Since April, Nasdaq has gained 40%, which is a lot. Congrats if you bought some QLD and TQQQ back in April when I posted about it. SP:SPX : All-time high. NASDAQ:NDX : All-time high. BITSTAMP:BTCUSD : All-time high. TVC:GOLD : All-time high HOME PRICES ( ECONOMICS:USSFHP ): All-time high. Sounds a bit like a bubble. The S&P 500’s market cap now equals 28x real disposable personal income — a record. The stock market Shiller PE ratio is at its highest in 20 years. Nasdaq companies, especially the MAG7, are strongly outperforming small-cap companies. The last time this happened at this speed, we had the dot-com crash. The top 10 stocks in the S&P 500 account for 40% of the index. So, saying this, is the market going to crash? I don't know, but I know that it's more likely to crash now than it was 3 months ago. It might continue running higher, too, as the FED is expected to cut rates. Really, no one knows. 😊 Here's what I'm doing: I trimmed down some overpriced stocks from my portfolio: Lemonade, Coupang, Shopify, and Crowdstrike I trimmed down some of my crypto, especially Bitcoin and Ethereum I stopped DCA'ing into leveraged ETFs I'm accumulating cash I'm still investing (added more healthcare stocks to the portfolio) Quick note: I'm just sharing my journey - not financial advice! 😊
SP:SPXShort
by HenriqueCentieiro
2
S&P 500 ETF & Index Hit Resistance – A Technical Warning Shot 📉⚠️ S&P 500 ETF & Index Hit Resistance – A Technical Warning Shot 🔍🧠 Following up on the video I just posted , I had to share this updated chart of the VOO ETF (Vanguard S&P 500) and US500 Index , now that both are testing key resistance levels. On the left: AMEX:VOO has reached the very top of a multi-year ascending channel—a zone that has historically triggered sharp corrections. The level at 590.85 marks a major resistance zone. On the right: The US500 Index is showing a similar technical overextension, trading just under 6,450, with 5,928.25 as the nearest support below. 🎯 Technicals at play: VOO could retrace toward 526.17 and potentially 465.72, both of which are solid technical supports within this channel. This setup doesn't mean panic—but it does argue for caution, especially after such an extended run. 🧠 And yes, the Buffett Indicator (Stocks-to-GDP) continues to point toward an overheated market . While it's not a timing tool, it adds macro weight to the technical signals. In the video, I also touched on: Taking profits on NASDAQ:NVDA after a near-perfect technical rejection at target. Reviewing Rolls Royce nearing upper channel resistance. Gold and Silver at inflection points—likely to be impacted if equities begin to unwind. Rotational potential into Bitcoin and Ethereum, which may benefit from macro shifts. This is how I trade: respect structure, stay proactive, and prepare before the move—not after. Let me know how you’re positioning or if you’re sitting on hands waiting for a dip. One Love, The FX PROFESSOR 💙 Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
TRADENATION:US500
by FX_Professor
History does not repeat itself, however it tends to rhymeIt’s widely accepted that Mark Twain once said (or wrote) that “history does not repeat itself, however it tends to rhyme”. Historical Parallels to a Super Cycle Wave (I) Top in U.S. Equities The road to a major market top is often paved with echoing patterns from the past, and today's landscape bears an uncanny resemblance to pivotal historical events that preceded economic upheaval. The 1918 Spanish Flu—though less economically damaging in the U.S. than elsewhere, still triggered a 1.5% drop in GDP and a 2.1% decline in consumer spending. The resulting economic weakness, paired with rising inflation, eroded real returns on equities and short-term government bonds for years. Then came the 1929 stock market crash, the spark that ignited the Great Depression. Driven by a perfect storm of extreme speculation, sky-high valuations, and a regulatory vacuum, the collapse revealed the systemic fragility beneath the euphoria. Adding fuel to the fire, the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930 slammed the brakes on global trade. By sharply raising tariffs on imports, it invited swift retaliatory measures from abroad. The result: a devastating plunge in both U.S. exports and imports, deepening the economic crisis and worsening unemployment. Smoot-Hawley has since become a textbook example of how protectionist policy can magnify economic damage. Modern Echoes: A Cycle Repeating? Fast forward to the present and we see unsettling similarities. The Covid-19 pandemic serves as a modern analog to the 1918 flu, disrupting global supply chains and triggering a steep drop in GDP and consumer spending. Unlike the post-WWI period, however, inflation didn’t precede the crisis, it exploded afterward, fueled by pent-up demand and fiscal stimulus, giving rise to persistent “sticky” inflation....and NOT TRANSITORY. In a similar inversion of sequence, the Trump-era tariffs—modern-day echoes of Smoot-Hawley, were enacted before any major equity downturn, not after. Still, their long-term impact on global trade and supply chain reliability remains a pressure point for the economy. Most critically, speculation and valuation excess are again center stage. Just as the roaring ’20s were characterized by euphoric risk-taking, today’s U.S. equity market is trading at record-high P/E ratios, despite rising macroeconomic uncertainty and deteriorating breadth. These historical and contemporary markers suggest we may be approaching the apex of a Super Cycle Wave (III), a turning point that, like its predecessors, may only be fully recognized in hindsight. It is my contention, that history is currently rhyming. Best to all, Chris
SP:SPX
by maikisch
2
US500: Rebound Setup After Sharp Pullback – Key Support HoldingUS500 has experienced a strong corrective move after an extended bullish run but is now showing signs of stabilizing near a key support area. This zone aligns with both technical retracement levels and the market's reaction to fundamental shifts—particularly the dovish repricing of the Fed following weak US jobs data. Technical Analysis (4H Chart) Pattern: After a strong uptrend, price faced a steep correction, forming a potential short-term reversal setup. Current Level: 6,235, holding above the 6,217 support zone. Key Support Levels: 6,217 (immediate support; key defense zone for bulls). 6,171 (38.2% retracement, secondary support if deeper pullback occurs). Resistance Levels: 6,272 (23.6% retracement and initial resistance). 6,360 (upper resistance zone and retest of recent breakdown). 6,429/6,436 (recent high and target if bullish momentum resumes). Projection: A rebound from current levels could push US500 back toward 6,360–6,430 if support holds. Fundamental Analysis Bias: Neutral-to-bullish as macro drivers favor a recovery from pullback. Key Fundamentals: Fed Policy: Weak US jobs (+73K) and downward revisions have solidified rate cut expectations (~75% probability in September), boosting equity sentiment. Inflation: Market awaits US CPI; softer data would further support equities. Tariffs: While Trump’s tariffs create a medium-term risk for earnings, immediate Fed easing bets outweigh these concerns. Risk Sentiment: Global risk remains supported by lower yields and optimism about Fed easing. Risks: Hot US CPI could reverse cut expectations, pressuring equities. Geopolitical risks or tariff escalation could trigger renewed selling. Key Events: US CPI and PPI. Fed speeches and rate expectations. Earnings reports from key US companies. Leader/Lagger Dynamics US500 is a leader, driving global risk sentiment and influencing risk-sensitive assets like AUD/USD, NZD/USD, and JPY crosses. Summary: Bias and Watchpoints US500 is neutral-to-bullish, stabilizing at key support (6,217) after a sharp correction. Fed cut expectations and risk-on sentiment support the upside scenario, targeting 6,360–6,430 if US CPI aligns with softer inflation. However, a hot CPI print could invalidate this rebound and trigger another leg lower.
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by ultreosforex
S&P Correction Window is official - VOLATILITY AHEADIt's that time of year where the pre-summer push wraps and the summer lull and potential pause gets underway. July 31 finished on a bit of a sour note with over 67% of stocks declining today and US indexes finishing RED despite the big gaps and bullish pops on MSFT and META post earnings.f SPX Key Levels -watch the 21 day moving average -watch the 50 day moving average -more dynamic support in the 100/144/200 moving average cluster I'll be taking bites at the 5/10/15% correction levels with options and looking for this dip to be bought by retail and institutions. Will August 1 US Tariff Deadline matter? After Japan and Eurozone came in and said a deal is being done, I was thinking this would be a dud. BUT, Dr. Copper says "maybe" on the global tariff deadline with the largest single day move in history (bearish). Being the perfect time of year for a correction (the other being Feb-Apr), and the technicals looking so clean for an orderly pullback, VIX may float higher and make things more interesting in the next 30-60 days. Strategies matter, I'll be trading risk defined, but there are great opportunities ahead. A pullback is sure better than literally watching all-time highs every single day. Thanks for watching!!!
SP:SPX
by ChrisPulver
SPX500 Hits New Highs but Fed Caution Limits MomentumSPX500 Overview Market Context: The Fed's reluctance to commit to a rate cut in the upcoming September meeting has forced markets to reassess their outlook. This hesitation pushed Treasury yields and the US dollar higher in late trading, weighing on equities. As it stands, the probability of a rate cut appears to be pushed further out on the timeline, introducing short-term headwinds for risk assets. Technical Outlook: SPX500 printed a new all-time high and maintains bullish momentum after stabilizing above the previous ATH at 6427. As long as the price holds above this level, the bullish continuation toward 6454 remains likely, with a further extension to 6480 possible. A bearish correction would only be confirmed by a break below 6415. Resistance Levels: 6454, 6480 Support Levels: 6415, 6389
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
Is This the Start of a Market Drop?So, is the drop beginning? It kind of looks that way, but there’s still no solid setup for entering a short position — and there hasn’t been so far. The trend is still upward for now, and this current pullback might just be temporary. What I like about the short idea is that August is traditionally a weak month for stocks . Could this be the start of a big correction on the market? Yes, it’s possible. It’s just a pity there’s no clean setup for a short. I’d like to enter, but I’d prefer to see a bit more confirmation on the chart itself. In general, trading the index off of chart setups isn’t easy — perfect entries are rare. That’s exactly the case now. I’m watching and wondering how and when to catch the downside. Maybe I’ll end up sitting through the entire drop without a position :) Overall, I’m in favor of the short — but for now, I just don’t see a clear entry point.
SP:SPXShort
by kventinka