SP500 It’s gonna drop during AH just like usualUS 500 - Rolling Future (Per 1.0) forum
SP500 It’s gonna drop during AH just like usual
SPX What's next for SP 500?
🧠 SPX500USD – June 6, 2025 (Midday Update)
Pennant Pinball.. be mindful of Friday risk off close
📊 Current Price: 5,996.25 (+1.08%)
🟢 Bias: Bullish (Confirmed by structure & momentum)
🔹 Macro + Data Recap:
NFP: 139K vs 130K expected ✅
Hourly Earnings MoM: 0.4% vs 0.3% forecast ⚠️
Unemployment steady at 4.2%
Used Car Prices: -1.4% MoM → disinflationary
🔹 Options Flow (SPX):
Gamma Flip: 5950
Max Pain: 5940
Call Wall: 6000C → Price pushing into dealer hedging territory
Put/Call Ratio: 0.75 (Bullish lean)
🔹 Chart Insights:
Reclaimed VWAP and broke ORB high at 5990
Smart Buy actived with 80% confidence
Volume remains thin – moves can overextend fast
🎯 Targets:
TP1: 5973 ✅
TP2: 6024
Macro TP: 6065+
⚠️ Risk:
If price drops below 5950, we may flip back into negative gamma territory.
Liquidity remains shallow – tight stop management recommended.
🛡️ Titan Protect Strategy:
Momentum + structure align. Let price confirm continuation through 6000.
No chasing — only scale into strength.
Take Profit, Not Chances. Manage Risk to Accumulate.
👉 Follow us for NAS100USD & Watchlist sentiment next.
Pennant Pinball.. be mindful of Friday risk off close
📊 Current Price: 5,996.25 (+1.08%)
🟢 Bias: Bullish (Confirmed by structure & momentum)
🔹 Macro + Data Recap:
NFP: 139K vs 130K expected ✅
Hourly Earnings MoM: 0.4% vs 0.3% forecast ⚠️
Unemployment steady at 4.2%
Used Car Prices: -1.4% MoM → disinflationary
🔹 Options Flow (SPX):
Gamma Flip: 5950
Max Pain: 5940
Call Wall: 6000C → Price pushing into dealer hedging territory
Put/Call Ratio: 0.75 (Bullish lean)
🔹 Chart Insights:
Reclaimed VWAP and broke ORB high at 5990
Smart Buy actived with 80% confidence
Volume remains thin – moves can overextend fast
🎯 Targets:
TP1: 5973 ✅
TP2: 6024
Macro TP: 6065+
⚠️ Risk:
If price drops below 5950, we may flip back into negative gamma territory.
Liquidity remains shallow – tight stop management recommended.
🛡️ Titan Protect Strategy:
Momentum + structure align. Let price confirm continuation through 6000.
No chasing — only scale into strength.
Take Profit, Not Chances. Manage Risk to Accumulate.
👉 Follow us for NAS100USD & Watchlist sentiment next.
SPX 📈 SPX Is Addicted to the Pivot — But the Fed Isn’t ComingSince early 2024, the market has been holding onto one narrative: “The rate cut is coming.”
Month after month, CPI prints, labor data, and Fed speakers say otherwise — and yet, SPX keeps pricing in a dovish pivot that never arrives.
This is no longer optimism — it’s dependency.
🧠 The Fed’s dual mandate is not to protect asset prices, but to ensure price stability and employment. With unemployment still historically low and tariffs likely to reignite inflation over the next 4–6 months, there is no rational case for a cut in the near term.
Markets are too desperate, too early.
We’ve been stuck in the “rate cut soon” cycle since Q1 2024 — and that hope trade is long in the tooth.
📉 The longer the Fed waits, the harder the unwind.
#SPX #FederalReserve #RateCutHope #MacroRisk #EquityMarkets #CFA #Inflation #TariffLag #LiquidityTrap #TradingView
SPX big move loading may pop up to upper ATR 6020SPX nice 20% profits and I’m outSPX thought it might push to 6020. Oh well I’m in 5995 puts 7.25 avg let’sFall back down
SPX lets rip to 6100
US500 please buy more so the drop can increase.📊 Market Watch – June 6, 2025 | Macro, Options, Flows
Bias: Data-Driven | Tactical Positioning Pre-NFP
Volatility Environment: Elevated – Thin Liquidity | High Gamma Sensitivity
Session to Watch: U.S. Cash Open + NFP (08:30 EST)
🔍 Sector & Heatmap Overview
📈 Leaders:
• Tech (XLK), Semis (SOXX) — NVDA, AVGO pushing flows
• Communication (XLC) — META, GOOGL show firm base-building
📉 Laggards:
• Energy (XLE) weak on crude retrace
• Utilities (XLU) defensive unwind noted
🧊 ETF Rotation:
• ARKK/QQQ rotation slowing → consolidation phase
• SPY/SPX grinding upward, still supported by options flows
🧠 Sentiment Dashboard
📉 AAII Sentiment:
Bearishness ticked up slightly, while bullishness remains muted.
This underpins the "wall of worry" backdrop markets often climb.
📉 Put/Call Ratios:
• SPY/QQQ P/C near 0.75–0.85 → Still risk-on, but fading enthusiasm
• Small Caps (IWM) showing hedging pressure
⚠️ Max Pain Zones:
• SPY: 527–530
• QQQ: 445
• TSLA, NVDA: pinned near heavy call zones
🛢️ Commodities & Metals Snapshot
• Crude Oil (CL1!): Under pressure after inventory builds – bearish below $74
• Gold (XAU/USD): Sideways under $2,370 – macro event dependent
• Natural Gas: Oversold bounce in progress
🪙 Crypto:
• BTC/USD: Consolidating below $72K – rangebound with ETF flows stabilizing
• ETH/USD: Lagging BTC, showing signs of distribution near $3.8K
🔑 Key Tactical Levels
• DXY: Holding above 104.20 – directional cue for global risk
• VIX: Subdued under 20 → watch for spike if NFP disappoints
• Rates: 10Y UST holding near 4.28% — stable for now
🧭 What to Watch Today
NFP Data @ 08:30 EST — This is the trigger.
Options Expiries & Max Pain Clusters – Watch for price gravitating toward SPY/QQQ magnets
Post-NFP Repricing – Focus on breakout or fade zones on SSPX and SNDX
🎯 Execution Notes:
• Tighten stops — don't front-run macro data
• Be ready to fade fake breakouts
• Let the second move post-NFP guide your positioning
🔁 Your Tactical Edge Is Timing + Flow Awareness
Don’t just predict – react intelligently.
🛡️ Titan Protect – Watch. Filter. Execute.
📲 Follow us for live market flows, institutional zones, and risk-adjusted trade setups.
Bias: Data-Driven | Tactical Positioning Pre-NFP
Volatility Environment: Elevated – Thin Liquidity | High Gamma Sensitivity
Session to Watch: U.S. Cash Open + NFP (08:30 EST)
🔍 Sector & Heatmap Overview
📈 Leaders:
• Tech (XLK), Semis (SOXX) — NVDA, AVGO pushing flows
• Communication (XLC) — META, GOOGL show firm base-building
📉 Laggards:
• Energy (XLE) weak on crude retrace
• Utilities (XLU) defensive unwind noted
🧊 ETF Rotation:
• ARKK/QQQ rotation slowing → consolidation phase
• SPY/SPX grinding upward, still supported by options flows
🧠 Sentiment Dashboard
📉 AAII Sentiment:
Bearishness ticked up slightly, while bullishness remains muted.
This underpins the "wall of worry" backdrop markets often climb.
📉 Put/Call Ratios:
• SPY/QQQ P/C near 0.75–0.85 → Still risk-on, but fading enthusiasm
• Small Caps (IWM) showing hedging pressure
⚠️ Max Pain Zones:
• SPY: 527–530
• QQQ: 445
• TSLA, NVDA: pinned near heavy call zones
🛢️ Commodities & Metals Snapshot
• Crude Oil (CL1!): Under pressure after inventory builds – bearish below $74
• Gold (XAU/USD): Sideways under $2,370 – macro event dependent
• Natural Gas: Oversold bounce in progress
🪙 Crypto:
• BTC/USD: Consolidating below $72K – rangebound with ETF flows stabilizing
• ETH/USD: Lagging BTC, showing signs of distribution near $3.8K
🔑 Key Tactical Levels
• DXY: Holding above 104.20 – directional cue for global risk
• VIX: Subdued under 20 → watch for spike if NFP disappoints
• Rates: 10Y UST holding near 4.28% — stable for now
🧭 What to Watch Today
NFP Data @ 08:30 EST — This is the trigger.
Options Expiries & Max Pain Clusters – Watch for price gravitating toward SPY/QQQ magnets
Post-NFP Repricing – Focus on breakout or fade zones on SSPX and SNDX
🎯 Execution Notes:
• Tighten stops — don't front-run macro data
• Be ready to fade fake breakouts
• Let the second move post-NFP guide your positioning
🔁 Your Tactical Edge Is Timing + Flow Awareness
Don’t just predict – react intelligently.
🛡️ Titan Protect – Watch. Filter. Execute.
📲 Follow us for live market flows, institutional zones, and risk-adjusted trade setups.
