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S&P500 - The Most Important Channel Breakout!S&P500 ( TVC:SPX ) is retesting a crucial breakout area: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 During 2024, the S&P500 rallied more than 25% after we already saw a very bullish year of 2023. However, momentum is always more likely to continue and since the S&P500 is currently retesting a major breakout level, this bullish momentum could lead to a final breakout. Levels to watch: $6.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
TVC:SPXLong
by basictradingtv
10
S&P500 completed a 0.5 Fib correction. Strong buy opportunity.The S&P500 index (SPX) reached on Friday the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, a technical correction that started after the price made a Higher High at the top of the 2-month Channel Up. The 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) has been tested (and held) already on the day of the U.S. elections, so now we are technically still on the new Bullish Leg of the pattern. As you can see, since the April 19 2024 bottom and the start of the even longer Bullish Megaphone pattern, every time a pull-back stopped within the 0.382 - 0.5 Fib range, the index resumed the bullish trend towards the -0.618 Fib extension. The 1D MACD with its Bullish and Bearish Crosses, is also illustrating this symmetry. As a result, we believe that the current pull-back is over and we are now targeting 6210, which is within to potential -0.618 Fib targets. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by TradingShot
6
Long-Term Investment: Building Wealth for the FutureHave you ever thought about the astounding fact that the S&P 500 has achieved approximately a 10% average annual return over the last ninety years? This statistic serves as a powerful reminder of the effectiveness of long-term investment strategies for accumulating wealth. In contrast to short-term trading, long-term investing emphasizes the gradual growth of your financial assets through the benefits of compounding returns and the overall growth of the market. Yearly Chart of the S&P 500 For individuals seeking financial security and stability, embracing a long-term investment approach is essential. This strategy involves holding onto investments—such as stocks, bonds, or real estate—over extended periods, enabling them to endure market volatility and benefit from economic growth. By concentrating on long-term objectives, you establish a strong foundation for sustainable wealth, making it suitable for those in pursuit of financial independence and a prosperous future. Grasping the fundamentals of long-term investing and applying effective strategies can help you sidestep impulsive decisions and distractions associated with short-term market movements, keeping your attention focused on achieving lasting wealth. - The Importance of Long-Term Investments for Wealth Creation - Long-term investments are crucial for wealth creation, primarily because of the advantages of compound returns. Compounding allows your initial returns to generate further earnings, leading to exponential growth over time. The longer you stay invested, the more substantial the effects of compound interest become, facilitating significant wealth accumulation. Consider this example: if you invest $10,000 at an 8% annual interest rate, at the end of the first year, your investment will grow to $10,800. In the following year, interest is calculated on $10,800 rather than the original $10,000, boosting the total to $11,664. Over decades, this compounding phenomenon can lead to remarkable increases in wealth, underscoring the effectiveness of long-term investments. In addition to the benefits of compounding, long-term investments help mitigate risk. While short-term market fluctuations can be erratic, historical evidence shows that markets generally trend upward over time. Holding investments over more extended periods allows you to ride out volatility and avoid rash decisions during downturns. This approach encourages a mindset of patience and commitment, reducing the likelihood of common errors, like panic selling during market declines. Achieving success in long-term wealth accumulation requires a disciplined approach—sticking to your investment plan despite market fluctuations. Coupled with the advantages of compound interest, long-term investing becomes a dependable pathway toward financial growth and the fulfillment of your aspirations. - Key Long-Term Investment Options - When considering your options for long-term investments, it's imperative to assess choices based on your risk tolerance, growth prospects, and their alignment with your broader financial strategy. Here are several proven avenues for long-term investors to explore: 1 - Stock Market The stock market is a favorite among long-term investors, offering multiple avenues for wealth-building. Index funds and Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) are particularly appealing due to their broad market exposure. Index funds are designed to track major indices such as the S&P 500, which has historically provided an average annual return of around 10% over the past nine decades. These funds are not only cost-effective but also inherently diversified, making them an excellent choice for novice investors and experienced portfolios alike. ETFs share many similarities with index funds but offer more flexibility as they can be traded like individual stocks. For those inclined to take a more active role, investing in individual stocks can be rewarding, provided thorough research is conducted and a focus is maintained on companies with strong growth potential. However, it's essential to balance investments in individual stocks with safer alternatives, especially within a long-term strategy. 2 - Real Estate Real estate represents another robust option for long-term investing, known for generating consistent returns through property appreciation and rental income. It provides a tangible asset, generating ongoing cash flow and serving as a hedge against inflation. Historically, property values have shown a tendency to increase over time, making real estate a fundamental piece of many long-term wealth-building strategies. Investing in real estate can take various forms, such as acquiring residential or commercial properties, or investing in Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs), which allow for real estate investment without the need for direct management. Leveraging real estate through mortgages can maximize its potential as a long-term wealth generator, although it’s crucial to consider associated costs like property maintenance and taxes. Key factors to consider when investing in real estate include location, property condition, and prevailing market trends. Properties situated in high-demand or growing areas usually appreciate at a faster rate and tend to attract more reliable tenants. Understanding local market dynamics and regulations can enhance your investment decisions and outcomes. 3 - Bonds Bonds are often regarded as the safety net within an investment portfolio, providing stable and fixed income, along with lower volatility compared to stocks. They are well-suited for investors who prioritize security or are approaching retirement. Government bonds, such as U.S. Treasury bonds, are typically the safest option but come with lower yields, while corporate bonds offer higher returns but carry additional risks. Incorporating bonds into your investment portfolio can help cushion against stock market fluctuations, ensuring steady returns and protection from extreme volatility. For beginners, bonds can particularly aid in maintaining portfolio stability over time. When considering bonds, it’s essential to evaluate the issuer's credit rating, as this significantly influences the bond's risk profile. Higher-rated bonds (e.g., AAA) tend to be less risky but offer lower returns, while lower-rated bonds (e.g., junk bonds) may yield higher returns at an elevated risk. Diversifying your bond holdings across different issuers and maturities can also aid in risk management. 4- Retirement Accounts (401(k), IRAs) Retirement accounts such as 401(k)s and IRAs are vital for accumulating wealth in a tax-efficient manner. These accounts afford substantial tax benefits: contributions to traditional IRAs and 401(k)s are tax-deductible, with earnings growing tax-deferred until retirement. Roth IRAs necessitate after-tax contributions, enabling tax-free withdrawals in retirement. Retirement accounts facilitate consistent investing over decades, capitalizing on employer matching programs available with 401(k)s. This type of compounding can transform modest contributions into significant sums, making retirement accounts a crucial vehicle for long-term financial success. When utilizing retirement accounts, it’s important to contemplate your retirement timeline and the investment options within these accounts. Traditional accounts may be advantageous for those expecting to be in a lower tax bracket during retirement, while Roth accounts could benefit individuals anticipating higher tax burdens in the future. Regular reviews and adjustments based on your investment goals and risk tolerance are also essential. - Crafting a Long-Term Investment Strategy - Creating a long-term investment strategy entails careful planning and steadfast execution. Whether you are embarking on your investment journey or refining an existing plan, these steps will guide you towards sustainable financial growth: 1- Define Your Financial Goals and Assess Risk Tolerance Before diving into investments, outlining your financial objectives and understanding your risk tolerance are critical. Clarify what you aim to achieve—be it retirement preparation, purchasing a home, or funding education. Clearly defined goals will steer your investment choices and help you remain focused during market fluctuations. Equally important is gauging your risk appetite. Younger investors typically have the flexibility to take on more risk, while those nearing retirement may gravitate towards conservative strategies that emphasize capital preservation through bonds and lower-risk assets. For instance, if you aim to retire in 30 years, a portfolio with a heavier allocation to stocks may be appropriate, given their potential for higher returns despite short-term volatility. Conversely, those closer to retirement may want to shift towards bonds and dividend-paying stocks to reduce risk while ensuring a consistent income. 2- Diversify Your Portfolio Diversification is an integral aspect of any long-term investment strategy. It involves allocating your investments across different asset classes—stocks, bonds, and real estate—to mitigate risk. By diversifying, you shield your portfolio from the detrimental effects of poor performance in any one area. For example, if equities suffer during an economic downturn, your bond or real estate investments may yield positive returns, buffering against significant losses. This balanced approach is key to navigating market volatility and enhancing overall performance. Additionally, consider diversifying within asset classes. In the stock segment, this may involve investing in various sectors and industries. For bonds, diversification means holding an array of types with varied maturities and credit ratings. A well-structured portfolio could include a mix of domestic and international stocks, government and corporate bonds, in addition to real estate investments. By broadening your investments across asset classes and geographical areas, you effectively mitigate risks tied to any single investment or market. 3- Implement Dollar-Cost Averaging Dollar-cost averaging is a strategy that entails investing a fixed amount at regular intervals, independent of market conditions. This approach allows you to buy more shares when prices are low and fewer when they are high, gradually reducing your average cost per share over time. This method helps mitigate the emotional impact of market volatility, proving particularly beneficial for novice investors. By focusing on the long-term while minimizing the effects of short-term fluctuations, dollar-cost averaging can promote the growth of your wealth. To optimize dollar-cost averaging, consider setting up automatic contributions to your investment accounts. This ensures consistent investment practices and makes it easier to resist impulsive decisions based on market activity. 4-Regularly Rebalance Your Investments Over time, some of your investments may outperform others, resulting in your portfolio shifting away from its intended allocation. For example, if stocks exceed bonds in performance, your portfolio may become skewed toward equities. To maintain your desired risk profile, it is crucial to periodically rebalance your investments. Rebalancing involves selling portions of assets that have performed well and reinvesting the proceeds into underperforming assets, thus maintaining your risk tolerance and capturing growth opportunities in undervalued investments. Keeping your portfolio aligned with your long-term strategy fosters steady financial growth. Establish a rebalancing schedule that corresponds with your investment style and market conditions. Some investors may opt to rebalance annually, while others might prefer quarterly or semi-annual adjustments. Additionally, consider rebalancing in response to significant market changes or personal circumstances that impact your financial goals or risk appetite. 5- Review and Refine Your Strategy Long-term investing necessitates ongoing attention. Regularly reviewing your portfolio, monitoring performance, and adjusting your strategy according to shifts in your goals or market conditions can help keep your investments aligned with your objectives. Conducting yearly reviews or quarterly assessments enables you to stay on track and make informed decisions. Monitoring entails evaluating how your investments stack up against your goals and making adjustments when necessary. For instance, if there’s a substantial change in your risk tolerance due to major life events such as marriage or retirement, you may need to alter your asset allocation accordingly. Stay updated on market trends and economic indicators that may influence your investments. While it’s important to avoid overreacting to short-term market changes, being informed allows you to make educated decisions and adapt your strategy when the situation demands it. By adhering to these principles and embracing a long-term perspective, you can lay the groundwork for substantial wealth accumulation and financial independence in the future. ✅ Please share your thoughts about this article in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my post. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Editors' picks
SP:SPXEducation
by FOREXN1
11
S&P500: Bottom formed on the 4H MA200. Target 6,140.The S&P500 is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 51.959, MACD = 37.160, ADX = 31.912) as it is on a sideways trade forming the new bottom of the Channel Up between the 4H MA50 and 4H MA200. The 1D RSI is on a bullish divergence that was present on both prior bottoms. Both rose by at least +5.30% after. That rise projection from the bottom is our target (TP = 6,140). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by InvestingScope
1
Bullish bounce off 50% Fibonacci support?US500 is reacting off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance level which is a pullback resistance. Pivot: 5,868.86 1st Support: 5,772.69 1st Resistance: 6,011.91 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ULong
by ICmarkets
1
SPX Pull Back, ready for Continuation!!!Simple Entry. Just wait on your LTF Confirmation to Entry Price is bullish on the Weekly, Daily & H4 , Price is currently retracing to 1) Previous structure high, 2) Previous Resistance>support 3) Daily lvl, 5863, 4) 50% lvl (Not a prz) This is a prime zone for continuation. All Time frames are Bullish in Trend except H1. Wait for H1 to return and confirm bullish trend to enter Trade Ideal Entry will be around the 5,888 Mark, SL at 5839 TP1: 6,010 Stretch Goal: 6,476 Concepts used. Structure + Trend Price Action Support & Resistance Supply & Demand Fibs RSI
BLACKBULL:SPX500Long
by brianfj
3
Avoid Financial Disaster: Master Portfolio Protection.Safeguarding your portfolio is as critical as the pursuit of growth. While the excitement of asset appreciation draws many into the investing world, the reality is that market fluctuations can pose significant threats to even the most meticulously devised plans. Portfolio protection strategies exist to shield your assets against the inevitable risks inherent in financial markets, allowing you to endure turbulent economic seasons without incurring substantial losses. Whether you're an experienced investor or a newcomer, the significance of effective risk management cannot be overstated. Markets are known for their volatility, often reflecting shifts in economic conditions, political events, and societal sentiments. A downturn can erase years of gains in a matter of moments if protective measures are lacking. Therefore, constructing a robust portfolio demanding attention to diversification, risk management techniques, and strategic asset allocation is paramount. The aim of these strategies is not the complete avoidance of risk but rather the mitigation of its potential impact, ensuring that your investment trajectory remains stable over time. The Importance of Portfolio Protection for Lasting Success In today’s fast-paced investment landscape, prioritizing long-term protection strategies is crucial for sustained financial success. While opportunities abound, they often come hand-in-hand with unexpected downturns, economic turmoil, or global crises that could significantly hinder wealth accumulation. During distressing market conditions, stock prices may experience extreme volatility, leading to potentially disastrous outcomes for investors who lack robust protective measures. The consequences of failing to implement adequate protection can be catastrophic. Severe market corrections can rapidly erase gains, forcing investors to either sell at a loss or make hasty, emotional decisions. This knee-jerk reaction can create a cycle of mismanagement, further amplifying losses and jeopardizing long-term financial objectives. In stark contrast, those who incorporate strategies designed to protect against market downturns can maintain composure during turmoil, effectively safeguarding their investments while positioning themselves for recovery as conditions improve. Preserving capital during unpredictable phases is not merely about avoiding losses; it is about fostering resilience. By minimizing risk exposure, investors enhance their ability to bounce back from setbacks and continue on their path toward growth. Techniques such as diversification, strategic asset allocation, and hedging help create a safety net during tumultuous times. For example, a diversified portfolio that encompasses bonds, commodities, and international assets offers a buffer against losses when one sector falters. Key Strategies for Portfolio Protection For an investment portfolio to withstand the inevitable ups and downs of the market, implementing a suite of protection strategies is essential. Here are several methods that can help minimize risks and optimize long-term growth potential: 1. Diversification Across Asset Classes At its core, diversification is a fundamental strategy for risk management. By allocating investments across various asset classes—such as stocks, bonds, real estate, and commodities—investors can mitigate overall risk. The rationale behind this approach is straightforward: when one asset class struggles, others may thrive, balancing the portfolio's performance. For instance, in a bearish equity market, bonds or real estate may exhibit stability or even appreciate, cushioning the blow from declining stocks. A well-crafted diversification strategy not only fortifies against losses but also creates opportunities for steady returns. An effectively diversified portfolio reduces vulnerability by distributing risk across a spectrum of investments, a critical aspect of portfolio protection. 2. Hedging with Derivatives Hedging is a powerful technique that allows investors to guard against financial market volatility using derivatives like options and futures. For example, purchasing put options on a stock provides a safety net, giving investors the right to sell at a specified price and limiting potential losses. While hedging does not obliterate risk, it functions as insurance, softening the impact of adverse market movements. This strategic approach requires a deep understanding of financial instruments, but when applied correctly, it can significantly bolster portfolio resilience. 3. Incorporating Defensive Investments During economic instability and market downturns, defensive investments or safe-haven assets come into play. These assets typically retain their value, providing stability in the face of broader market declines. Sectors such as healthcare, utilities, and consumer staples represent defensive stocks that generate consistent revenue regardless of economic conditions. Furthermore, assets like gold and government bonds are renowned for their stability during turbulent times. Gold often appreciates as stock markets decline, serving as a hedge against inflation and currency depreciation. Government bonds offer a reliable income stream, making them low-risk investments during periods of uncertainty. Incorporating these defensive strategies enhances an investor's ability to manage risk effectively. 4. Regular Portfolio Review and Rebalancing Maintaining an optimal risk level requires regular portfolio assessments and adjustments aligned with financial goals. As market dynamics evolve, certain assets may outperform or underperform, disrupting the initial asset allocation and potentially amplifying risk. To counter this, investors should conduct routine rebalancing—selling portions of outperforming assets and reallocating proceeds into underperforming or lower-risk investments. This process helps restore the intended asset mix and ensures adherence to overall financial objectives, promoting stability within the portfolio. Advanced Portfolio Protection Techniques For seasoned investors, advanced protection tactics can provide deeper layers of security against market fluctuations. These strategies extend beyond conventional diversification, utilizing sophisticated financial instruments and techniques tailored for effective risk management. 1 - Portfolio Insurance This technique merges equities with protective puts to limit potential losses. By holding onto stocks while acquiring put options, investors cap their downside risk while still allowing for participation in market gains. 2 - Volatility-Based Strategies Adjusting exposure based on market volatility indicators can also serve as a proactive approach to risk management. For instance, heightened volatility might necessitate reducing equity exposure in favor of low-volatility assets, thereby maintaining manageable risk levels. 3 - Utilizing Swaps and Collars Swaps can facilitate the exchange of investment risks, providing flexibility for managing exposure to market fluctuations. A collar strategy, conversely, combines purchasing a put with selling a call option, creating a protective range that limits both potential losses and profit. These advanced tactics suit investors seeking tailored risk solutions. Common Pitfalls in Portfolio Protection Despite the necessity of safety strategies, several missteps can undermine their efficacy. Recognizing these errors is crucial for maintaining a resilient portfolio. 1 - Over-Diversification While diversification is vital, over-diversifying can dilute returns and complicate portfolio management. An unmanageable number of small investments may also escalate fees and expenses unnecessarily. 2 - Neglecting Market Conditions Failing to adjust portfolios in response to fluctuating economic or geopolitical climates can expose investors to heightened risks. Consistent reevaluation is essential to keep portfolios aligned with prevailing market trends and personal objectives. 3 - Overtraditional Reliance on One Strategy Dependence on a singular protective measure—be it Stop Loss orders or a single hedge—can be detrimental. Instead, employing a multifaceted approach that integrates various strategies enhances systemic resilience to market volatility. 4 - Ignoring Changes in Risk Tolerance Personal circumstances and market conditions can shift your risk profile, especially as significant life milestones approach. Neglecting to recalibrate asset allocation in light of these extrinsic factors can lead to increased vulnerability during downturns. Being aware of these common pitfalls will enhance your ability to protect your investments and pursue long-term financial goals with confidence. Conclusion Establishing a resilient portfolio necessitates a strategic approach to safeguarding your investments. In a world filled with uncertainties, deploying effective portfolio protection strategies remains essential for navigating market volatility. Techniques from diversification to hedging to the utilization of advanced instruments serve to fortify your investments against sudden declines while ensuring the potential for sustainable growth. The journey toward financial success thrives on a commitment to ongoing investment monitoring and a willingness to adapt as conditions change. By implementing a blend of protective strategies—regular rebalancing, investment in safe havens, and employing sophisticated tools—you can cultivate a durable portfolio equipped to weather economic fluctuations. Remember, protecting your investment portfolio is not simply a reactive task, but an evolving commitment aligned with your financial aspirations and the inherent uncertainties of the marketplace.
SP:SPXEducation
by FOREXN1
3
S&P 500: Gains Driven by Data, Eyes on Key Events Next WeekS&P 500: Gains Driven by Data, Eyes on Key Events Next Week The S&P 500 ended the week on a positive note, buoyed by strong economic data, robust corporate earnings, and supportive seasonality. However, investors are shifting their focus to critical upcoming events: the FOMC meeting on Tuesday and the PCE inflation report on Wednesday. These events have the potential to set the tone for the markets for the remainder of the year. Mixed Economic Data The past week brought a blend of economic data, with some encouraging signals and a few disappointments: Initial Jobless Claims (Nov. 16): At 213K, the result came in better than the 220K consensus, underscoring the resilience of the labor market and reducing recession fears. Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Nov.): Disappointed at -5.5 against expectations of 8, reflecting continued weakness in the manufacturing sector. Michigan Consumer Sentiment Final (Nov.): Came in at 71.8, below the 73.7 forecast, indicating a slight dip in consumer confidence. S&P Global Services PMI Flash (Nov.): Surprised to the upside with a reading of 57.0, exceeding the expected 55.2, highlighting the strength of the services sector. Nvidia Shines Bright Corporate earnings added to the bullish sentiment, led by Nvidia's impressive Q3 results. The company reported revenue of 35.08 billion dollars, significantly above the consensus estimate of 33.17 billion dollars. As a leader in AI-related technology and semiconductors, Nvidia's results lifted the broader tech sector and contributed to the S&P 500’s gains. Market Sentiment and Seasonality The Fear & Greed Index currently stands at 61, in the "Greed" zone, indicating a risk-on environment as investors show confidence in equities. Seasonality also plays a crucial role. Historically, the S&P 500 benefits from end-of-year trends, especially in an election year, when policymakers often aim to maintain market stability. Challenges Ahead While the current momentum is positive, the market faces significant tests next week with two major events: FOMC Meeting (Tuesday): The Federal Reserve’s policy decisions and commentary will be in the spotlight. Investors will look for signals on whether the Fed plans to pause or keep the door open for further rate hikes in 2024. PCE Inflation Report (Wednesday): The core PCE inflation data, the Fed's preferred measure of price pressures, could shape expectations for monetary policy. A higher-than-expected reading might increase concerns about further tightening, while a lower figure would reinforce the soft landing narrative. Lingering Risks In addition to the upcoming macroeconomic events, investors remain wary of: Trade Policy: Former President Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs on imported goods could stoke inflation and weigh on economic growth. Geopolitics: The ongoing risk of escalation in the Ukraine conflict continues to loom over global markets. Soft Landing: The Baseline Scenario Looking at the current data, the S&P 500 appears to be on the path to a soft landing, supported by a strong labor market and robust technology sector performance. Favorable seasonality—both year-end trends and election-year dynamics—further bolsters the case for continued gains, which remains the baseline scenario for now. Conclusion The S&P 500 has shown strength, but next week’s FOMC meeting and PCE inflation report could reshape market dynamics. The key question is whether the data will support the soft landing narrative or signal a need for further monetary tightening. What are your thoughts on the S&P 500’s outlook given the upcoming Fed meeting and inflation data? Will the index sustain its rally, or are we in for increased volatility? Share your insights in the comments.
SP:SPXLong
by InvestMate
2
Could we see another drop on SPX500USD?Hi traders, Last week SPX500USD made the correction up like I've said in my outlook. So next week we could see another drop into the Daily FVG lower to finish the correction pattern. Trade idea: Wait for the correction up to finish and make a change in orderflow to bearish. After that wait for a correction up on a lower timeframe and trade (short term) shorts. If you want to see more from my analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a like and respectful comment. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. I do not provide trade signals. Don't be emotional, just trade! Eduwave
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by EduwaveTrading
1
What are your thoughts on what's to come for SPX500?I think we're in for a sell to the previous structure high. Obviously a "Counter trend entry" to ride until we return bullish. Just my Thoughts.....What's your opinion? Thesis: Bearish Bias break and retest (however either play is at hand). Wait for a break and retest Notes: Every Bull run has had a correction to the previous structure high. Following that trend. A Retest would be a 50% prz. for the recent move and right around 23.6% prz for the entire move. Daily: Bullish, Trading in a minor consolidation for the past few days. -Reversal pattern with Doji (Loss of momentum) & Bearish Hammer. -Con: Seller Exhaustion wicks under support H4: Bullish ( **Hidden Bearish Divergence @ Minor resistance lvl) look for possible sell off H1: Bullish
BLACKBULL:SPX500Short
by brianfj
7
11/18 Volatility Zones: Gamma Squeeze, Chop, and Support LevelsWeekly GEX Levels for SPX: The SPX analysis from last week’s free newsletter seems to have played out well. If you recall, based on the weekly GEX levels, there were no significant gamma levels below 5950. As soon as the price dropped below that, we saw the anticipated red gap-down to 5850 by Friday. With Friday's move, SPX shifted from a positive NETGEX range to a negative one: Let’s not forget: a negative gamma range means that market makers move in the same direction as retail traders, increasing the likelihood of stronger price movements, regardless of the market’s direction. Until the 5900 HVL level is reclaimed, I don’t expect this to change. As we saw today, there was a nice bounce off this level with a rejection, making it a tough resistance to break. If it does manage to break through, there’s currently a call gamma wall at 5925. Clearing this level could open the door to higher ranges again. While the week is still long, if the market fails to regain stability by Friday, breaking below the major 5850 PUT gamma wall could lead to another rapid move down, similar to last Friday, targeting the 5810–5800 range. Gamma Squeeze Zones for SP:SPX & AMEX:SPY this week: Above 5925: Gamma squeeze zone, where upward momentum can accelerate. Chop Zone: Between 5900 and 5930: Sideways movement expected, with the market consolidating in this range. High Volatility Zone: Below 5900: High volatility zone, indicating increased intensity in market movements. Market Makers Hedging Behavior Shift Zone: Around 5900: A critical zone where market makers may adjust their hedging strategies. Call Resistance: Below 5940: Reduced volatility expected as call resistance limits upward movement. Put Support Levels: Around 5850: Highest negative NETGEX/PUT support level. Between 5810 and 5800: Additional put support levels acting as key supports; if 5850 broken, turbulence is expected. IV and Skew Data: IVR: 16.9 increasing IV Average: 14.9 increasing PUT pricing skew: 31.5%
SP:SPX
by TanukiTrade
2
S&P500 INDEX (US500): Your Trading Plan Explained S&P500 index is testing a recently broken daily horizontal resistance. With a high probability, it turned into support. To buy the market with a confirmation, pay attention to a double bottom pattern on a 4H. If the price breaks and closes above 5899, it will give us a strong bullish confirmation. The market will go up at least to 5954 level then. If the price drops lower and sets a new lower low, the setup will be invalid. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
FX:SPX500Long
by VasilyTrader
2
S&P 500: Gains Driven by Data, Eyes on Key Events Next WeekThe S&P 500 ended the week on a positive note, buoyed by strong economic data, robust corporate earnings, and supportive seasonality. However, investors are shifting their focus to critical upcoming events: the FOMC meeting on Tuesday and the PCE inflation report on Wednesday. These events have the potential to set the tone for the markets for the remainder of the year. Mixed Economic Data The past week brought a blend of economic data, with some encouraging signals and a few disappointments: Initial Jobless Claims (Nov. 16): At 213K, the result came in better than the 220K consensus, underscoring the resilience of the labor market and reducing recession fears. Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Nov.): Disappointed at -5.5 against expectations of 8, reflecting continued weakness in the manufacturing sector. Michigan Consumer Sentiment Final (Nov.): Came in at 71.8, below the 73.7 forecast, indicating a slight dip in consumer confidence. S&P Global Services PMI Flash (Nov.): Surprised to the upside with a reading of 57.0, exceeding the expected 55.2, highlighting the strength of the services sector. Nvidia Shines Bright Corporate earnings added to the bullish sentiment, led by Nvidia's impressive Q3 results. The company reported revenue of 35.08 billion dollars, significantly above the consensus estimate of 33.17 billion dollars. As a leader in AI-related technology and semiconductors, Nvidia's results lifted the broader tech sector and contributed to the S&P 500’s gains. Market Sentiment and Seasonality The Fear & Greed Index currently stands at 61, in the "Greed" zone, indicating a risk-on environment as investors show confidence in equities. Seasonality also plays a crucial role. Historically, the S&P 500 benefits from end-of-year trends, especially in an election year, when policymakers often aim to maintain market stability. Challenges Ahead While the current momentum is positive, the market faces significant tests next week with two major events: FOMC Meeting (Tuesday): The Federal Reserve’s policy decisions and commentary will be in the spotlight. Investors will look for signals on whether the Fed plans to pause or keep the door open for further rate hikes in 2024. PCE Inflation Report (Wednesday): The core PCE inflation data, the Fed's preferred measure of price pressures, could shape expectations for monetary policy. A higher-than-expected reading might increase concerns about further tightening, while a lower figure would reinforce the soft landing narrative. Lingering Risks In addition to the upcoming macroeconomic events, investors remain wary of: Trade Policy: Former President Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs on imported goods could stoke inflation and weigh on economic growth. Geopolitics: The ongoing risk of escalation in the Ukraine conflict continues to loom over global markets. Soft Landing: The Baseline Scenario Looking at the current data, the S&P 500 appears to be on the path to a soft landing, supported by a strong labor market and robust technology sector performance. Favorable seasonality—both year-end trends and election-year dynamics—further bolsters the case for continued gains, which remains the baseline scenario for now. Conclusion The S&P 500 has shown strength, but next week’s FOMC meeting and PCE inflation report could reshape market dynamics. The key question is whether the data will support the soft landing narrative or signal a need for further monetary tightening. What are your thoughts on the S&P 500’s outlook given the upcoming Fed meeting and inflation data? Will the index sustain its rally, or are we in for increased volatility? Share your insights in the comments.
SP:SPXLong
by InvestMate
3
GEX levels of SPX for Weekly Option TradersAlthough the SPX is currently trading within a relatively neutral positive gamma range, it’s worth taking a closer look at what the week might hold. This week, SPX is moving between critical resistance and support levels, which are showing significant options activity. The 5900 level is the key CALL resistance, acting as the gamma wall for the next 7 days (7DTE) . This suggests that as long as the price remains below this level, it will face strong resistance in moving higher. If the market breaks through this level, it could signal a bullish breakout, leading to increased turbulence. 🟨 DETAILED VIEW: In case of a breakout, keep an eye on the second weaker CALL wall at 5925 and the third weaker CALL wall at 5940, which are the next potential resistance levels once the market moves past the 5900 gamma wall. These levels could play a pivotal role in the price’s upward movement and indicate further buying pressure. 🔶 HVL Level and Gamma Environment: 5830 The 5830 level represents the High Volatility Level (HVL), which determines whether we are in a positive or negative gamma environment. If SPX closes below this level, we enter the negative gamma zone, which could lead to increased market volatility. This could result in sharper price movements during the week if this level does not hold. In that case, the PUT supports come into focus. The 5750 level marks the strongest PUT support, providing substantial downward support for the market. However, before reaching this level, it’s important to consider the emerging PUT wall at 5765, which may stop the price from falling lower. This could act as an intermediate support, slowing or even halting a decline before the 5750 level comes into play. 🔶 Implied Volatility and Time-Based Strategic Opportunities NOW The decrease in implied volatility, as shown by the IV and IVx indicators, signals a calmer market environment. Based on IV rank and average IV levels, volatility is running lower, which presents good opportunities for various spread strategies, especially time spreads that can be optimized between the 11/01 and 11/04 time frame. Key levels above could fuel further market movement throughout the week if a breakout occurs. CALL/PUT gamma levels on the options chain strongly outline the potential resistance and support levels, but these levels can change dynamically, especially if SPX breaks through the 5900 level. 🔶 SPX Key Levels This Week: 5900 CALL resistance – Main gamma wall, strong resistance. 5925 and 5940 – Second and third weaker CALL walls, offering additional resistance if broken. 5830 HVL – Key level determining the gamma environment. 5765 PUT wall – Emerging intermediate PUT support, which could slow a decline. 5750 PUT support – Strongest PUT gamma wall and support. Keep these levels in mind throughout the week, as they will likely influence market movements and the volatility environment. By applying the right options strategies, this information can help you structure profitable positions.
SP:SPX
by TanukiTrade
7
Market Snapshot - MSTR is a monster + NVDA earnings and HedgingNVDA beat top and bottom estimates after market today. Due to it's 3.58T market cap, let's see where the SPY/QQQ are trading Thursday post NVDA earnings. MSTR making headlines as one of the top traded stocks (behind NVDA) and it continues to surge and even outperform BTC in a big way - great gains but be careful of the rocket ship runs because they tend to end violently. I also spend time reviewing my full watchlist in stocks, options, futures, and forex. Thanks for watching!!!
SP:SPX
by ChrisPulver
1
SPX: post-election reality checkThe post-election reality check was evident on the US equity markets during the previous week. Although the first week was marked with euphoria over potential tax cuts, still, the second week was marked with concerns over the rising US treasury yields. The S&P 500 started the week at the level of 6.005, but ended it at 5.870. A specific hit came from the pharmaceutical industry, after the appointment of R.F. Kennedy Junior as a leader of the US Department of Health and Human Services in the new administration, who was vaccine-sceptic during the pandemic period. The largest pharmaceutical and biotech companies were traded around 5% lower on this news. The market-favourite largest tech companies were down around 2%. Of course, the only company that gained during the week was Tesla, which was traded around 3% higher on a weekly basis. The market reaction to a new US administration and potential changes which it can bring to the US macro and geopolitical standing, will most certainly continue in the coming period, as analysts are noting. In this sense, further volatility on the equity markets might be expected. Still, aspects of Feds influence should not be overseen. Regardless of current post-election hype, the Fed is the one which holds the strings of the US economy, and markets are still very sensitive to comments from Fed Chair Powell. His latest view that the “Fed is not in a hurry to cut interest rates” has been priced with a negative sentiment.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
S&P500 Is Approaching Key Support Level.Hey Traders, In today’s trading session, we’re keeping a close watch on the US500 for a potential buying opportunity around the 5800 zone. The index is currently trading in an uptrend, but we’re seeing it enter a corrective phase. This correction is bringing it back toward the 5800 support and resistance area, a critical zone that aligns with the broader upward trend. The 5800 level could serve as a strong entry point, offering an opportunity to join the prevailing uptrend at a favorable price. If price action confirms support at this level, it may signal a potential rally continuation in line with the broader market momentum. As always, ensure you manage risk and stay cautious in your entries. Trade safe, Joe
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by JoeChampion
5
S&P 500 Technical Outlook: Key Levels and Trend Reversal SignalsS&P 500 Technical Analysis The price exhibits bearish momentum as long as it trades below 5945, with potential downside targets at 5927, 5896, and 5863. For a bullish reversal, the price must break the current price by closing a 4-hour candle above 5945. If this occurs, the bullish trend could extend towards 5970. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 5945 Resistance Levels: 5970, 5989, 6020 Support Levels: 5898,5863, 5843 Trend Outlook: - Bullish Above 5945 - Bearish Below 5945
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi