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USA500 trade ideas

Bullish continuation?S&P500 (US500) is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension. Pivot: 6,127.80 1st Support: 5,785.00 1st Resistance: 6,428.64 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:US500Long
by ICmarkets
1
July Doesn't Disappoint - S&P Nasdaq Dow Russell All RunningS&P All Time Highs Nasdaq All Time Highs Dow Jones closing in on All-Time Highs (and outperforming both S&P and Nasdaq recently) Russell 2000 playing catch up and moving higher This is melt-up at its finest Since US/China Trade Agreement and Middle East Ceasefire Agreement, markets have used these two events as further catalysts to continue the upside runs Stochastic Cycle with 9 candles suggesting a brief pause or pullback in the near-term, but a 3-5-10% pullback is still an opportunity to position bullish for these markets I'm only bearish if the markets show that they care with price action. The US Consumer isn't breaking. Corporate Profits aren't breaking. Guidance remains upbeat. Trump is Pro Growth and trolling Powell on the regular to run this economy and market HOT demanding cuts (history says that's a BUBBLE in the making if it's the case) Like many, I wish I was more aggressive into this June/July run thus far, but I'm doing just fine with steady gains and income trades to move the needle and still having plenty of dry powder on the sidelines for pullbacks Markets close @ 1pm ET Thursday / Closed Friday for 4th of July Enjoy the nice long weekend - back at it next week - thanks for watching!!!
SP:SPX
by ChrisPulver
Bearish drop?S&P500 is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level too ur take profit. Entry: 6,237.85 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Stop loss: 6,268.46 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 6,187.51 Why we like it: There is a pullback support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:SP500Short
by VantageMarkets
SPX500 Holding Bullish Structure – Eyes on 6287 BreakoutSPX500 The price maintains bullish momentum as long as it remains above 6225 and 6246. Currently, the market is approaching the 6287 resistance level. A confirmed 4H candle close above 6287 is required to validate continuation of the bullish trend toward 6325. However, a rejection from 6287 may trigger a short-term bearish correction, with potential pullbacks toward 6246 and 6225. A sustained break below 6225 would shift the momentum to the downside, targeting the 6143 support level. Pivot Level: 6264 Resistance: 6287 – 6325 Support: 6246 – 6225 – 6143
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
SPX: 75% chance Multi-Timeframe Reversal to 5,775-6,103 Zone **SPX MULTI-TIMEFRAME CYCLE CONFLUENCE ANALYSIS - SUPER VERSION** **CURRENT SITUATION: July 7, 2025 - Price: 6,238** Based on our quantitative cycle analysis across 4 timeframes, applying **ACTRAGEA hierarchical dominance principles** where ITM >> MTY >> TCY >> TYL. --- ## **CYCLE HIERARCHY STATUS** | **Timeframe** | **Cycle Phase** | **Status** | **Hierarchy** | **Key Level** | |---------------|-----------------|------------|---------------|---------------| | **ITM (1D)** | Phase 2 | FLAT | **DOMINANT** | Max: 6,284.65 **awaiting confirmation** | | **TCY (1H)** | Phase 2 | FLAT | Secondary | Max: 6,284.65 **awaiting confirmation** | | **MTY (270m)** | Phase 1 | LONG (+1.64%) | Subordinate | Seeking max: 6,359 | | **TYL (15m)** | Phase 2 | LONG (+0.11%) | Subordinate | Max: 6,242.7 **awaiting confirmation** | --- ## **PRIMARY SCENARIO (Probability: 75%)** **DIRECTIONAL BIAS:** **Multi-timeframe reversal upon ITM maximum confirmation** **RATIONALE:** - **ITM timing**: 0 bars remaining from 50° percentile window → Maximum at 6,284.65 **awaiting confirmation** → Statistical pressure for confirmation increases daily - **Hierarchical cascade**: **When ITM confirms maximum** → all subordinate cycles transition into Phase 3 (minimum search) - **Current LONG positions** (MTY +1.64%, TYL +0.11%) face hierarchical override risk upon ITM maximum confirmation. Subordinate cycles will align regardless of current profitability. **STATISTICAL PRICE LEVELS (50° Percentile):** - **ITM**: 5,775.84 - **TCY**: 6,103.58 - **MTY**: 5,996.35 - **TYL**: 6,170.98 **STATISTICAL TIME WINDOWS (50° Percentile):** - **ITM**: 65 bars | **TCY**: 58 bars | **MTY**: 62 bars | **TYL**: 81 bars **EXTREME SCENARIOS (20° Percentile):** - **ITM**: 5,420.71 | **TCY**: 5,934.73 | **MTY**: 5,728.16 | **TYL**: 6,084.71 --- ## **⚠️ ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO (Probability: 25%)** **DIRECTIONAL BIAS:** ITM extension toward 80° percentile before maximum confirmation **CONDITION:** ITM exceeds statistical time boundaries, allowing subordinate cycles temporary independence --- ## **CRITICAL DECISION POINT** **Confirmation Trigger:** ITM maximum validation at 6,284.65 → Phase 2→3 transition → Activation timeframe: Within 1-3 trading sessions (statistical pressure) **Hierarchy Activation:** Immediate subordinate cycle alignment into Phase 3 upon ITM confirmation **Invalidation:** Sustained break above 6,285 (negates ITM maximum thesis) --- ## ** PROBABILITY FOUNDATION** **75% probability derived from:** - ITM expired timing creating high statistical pressure for confirmation - Historical dominance patterns (85%+ subordination rate upon ITM phase changes) - Dual Phase 2 alignment (ITM + TCY at identical maximum level awaiting confirmation) --- ## **ACTRAGEA METHODOLOGY FOUNDATION** Our **quantitative cycle framework** operates on **hierarchical dominance principles** where longer timeframes command shorter ones. Statistical levels represent **50° percentile probabilities**, not certainties. The **ITM critical juncture** at 6,284.65 creates high-probability setup for **coordinated multi-timeframe reversal initiation**. **Performance Context:** Systems demonstrating 65.71% to 82.86% statistical reliability across timeframes. --- *Analysis based on ACTRAGEA hierarchical cycle principles and statistical percentile distributions. All levels represent probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes.*
SP:SPX
by Actragea
06/30 Weekly Gamma Exposure Outlook🧠 SPX Weekly Outlook — Gamma Breakout + Short Week Setup The bulls finally broke through after weeks of painful grinding — and they did so with force. 📈 Thursday & Friday brought a textbook gamma squeeze as SPX sliced through the long-standing 6100 call wall , triggering sharp upside acceleration. We are now firmly in positive Net GEX territory. 🔺 Entire GEX structure has shifted higher. 🎯 New squeeze zone at 6225 , with major call resistance near 6200 . 🔍 What Just Happened? 📊 The 6060–6120 zone acted as a tough resistance range for weeks — until last week’s breakout. 💥 Put skew collapsed , suggesting downside hedges are being unwound. 📉 VIX and IV keep dropping , confirming a shift toward lower-volatility environment . 🧲 Strong Net GEX across expiries created sustained upward dealer pressure → we’re in long gamma mode . ✅ Bullish Bias — But Stay Tactical We're in a bullish gamma regime , so dips are likely to be bought. Key pullback zone to watch: 6125–6060 . 🛠️ Strategy Ideas: • Wait for a 6060–6125 retest before re-entering longs • Use shorter-DTE bull put spreads or 0DTE gamma scalps above 6130+ • Scale out or trim risk near 6200–6225 ⚠️ Risks to Watch We’re overextended short-term. 🚨 Losing 6130–6125 could spark a quick flush to 6050 . Bearish signals to monitor: • IV spike or renewed put buying • Loss of 6100 = no-man’s land without confirmation • Consider short-term debit put spreads if breakdown confirms 🗓️ Short Trading Week Note 🇺🇸 U.S. markets closed Friday, July 5 for Independence Day. This compresses flows into 4 sessions. Expect: 📌 Early week dealer hedging 📌 Possible positioning unwind on Thursday 💡 Weekly Trade Idea — Structure in Place 💼 Setup: • Put Butterfly below spot • 3x Call Diagonal Spreads above spot (5pt wide) • Slight net negative delta , 11 DTE 🎯 Why it works: • Leverages IV backwardation • Profits from time decay • Favors a stable or modestly bullish week • Takes advantage of horizontal skew (July 11 vs July 14) 💰 Profit Target: 10–20% return on ~$1,730 risk. Take profits before time decay kills the center valley — don’t overstay. 🏃💨 📌 Final Thoughts: The 6100 breakout was technically & gamma-structurally significant , but big moves often retest before continuing. Let price breathe. Stay aligned with gamma exposure profile. 🔄
SPREADEX:SPX
by TanukiTrade
SPX may have retracement soon, taking profits timeAs if timing cannot be more coincidental, Trump has announced slapping 25% tariff on Japan and South Korea. This sends chills back to the stock market as the SPX has recently climbed and exceeded the previous high of 6148 price level. This week, I expect the SPX to retrace to the various levels I indicated on the chart. Profit target 3 and 4 looks less likely but not impossible. 1 & 2 are more likely and that again would be a good entry level to accumulate. No, I am not shorting as I invest in the VOO ETF for long term so retracement is a good opportunity to long.
SP:SPXShort
by dchua1969
SPX500 Eyes New ATH – Key Levels in PlaySPX500 – Overview The index remains under bullish pressure, with potential to record a new all-time high (ATH). As long as the price holds above 6246, the bullish trend is likely to continue toward 6282. A confirmed 1H close above 6287 could trigger further upside toward 6310 and 6341. However, a break below 6223 would signal bearish momentum, opening the path toward 6195 and 6143. Pivot Line: 6282 Resistance: 6310, 6341 Support: 6246, 6223, 6195
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
Little more upside for SPX500USDHi traders, Last week SPX500USD went higher then expected (wavecount updated). If this is correct, then next week we could see a little more upside for this pair. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for price come into the Daily bullish FVG's to trade longs again. At the moment price is too high to trade. If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with Wave analysis, then please make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by EduwaveTrading
S&P Bullish Flag developing supported at 6180Trump Softens Tariff Stance: Trump said the Aug. 1 tariff deadline isn’t firm, easing fears of an immediate trade war. US equity futures rose on hopes for more negotiation. Japan criticized the planned 25% tariff, calling it “truly regrettable.” Texas Floods – Trump to Visit: Over 100 people died in the Texas floods, including 27 children. Trump said he’ll visit the state Friday to support recovery efforts. The news may draw attention to infrastructure and emergency response spending. Apple Loses AI Chief to Meta: Apple’s AI lead, Ruoming Pang, is leaving for Meta’s new AI unit. This raises more questions about Apple’s AI strategy, while Meta’s aggressive hiring supports its tech edge. US Resumes Ukraine Weapons Aid: Biden will restart weapons shipments to Ukraine, reversing a previous pause. This could support defense stocks, though broader market impact is limited for now. Takeaway: Markets welcomed Trump’s trade flexibility, lifting sentiment. Watch tech and industrials as traders react to shifts in AI leadership and trade policy. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 6290 Resistance Level 2: 6340 Resistance Level 3: 6400 Support Level 1: 6180 Support Level 2: 6120 Support Level 3: 6065 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
S&P 500 ($SPX) Nests Upward in Strong RallySince bottoming out on April 7, 2025, following the tariff war selloff, the S&P 500 (SPX) has sustained a robust rally. The Index is reaching new all-time highs in a clear Elliott Wave impulsive structure. Technical analysis, particularly momentum indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI), shows no divergence at the latest peak. This indicates sustained bullish momentum and suggests the rally remains within the third wave of the Elliott Wave sequence. From the April 7 low, wave 1 concluded at 5968.6. A corrective wave 2 followed which ended at 5767.41. The index has since nested higher within wave 3, demonstrating strong upward momentum. Breaking down the substructure of wave 3, the hourly chart below reveals that wave ((i)) peaked at 6059.4. The subsequent pullback in wave ((ii)) unfolded as a zigzag pattern. Wave (a) declined to 5963.21, and wave (b) rebounded to 6050.83. Wave (c) concluded at 5941.4, completing wave ((ii)) in the higher degree. The index has since resumed its ascent in wave ((iii)). Up from wave ((ii)), wave (i) reached 215.08 and a minor pullback in wave (ii) ended at 6177.97. The SPX is expected to continue its upward trajectory, with potential pullbacks finding support in a 3, 7, or 11 swing against the 5941.4 level, setting the stage for further gains. This analysis underscores the index’s bullish outlook, supported by technical indicators and Elliott Wave structure, as it navigates higher within this impulsive cycle.
SP:SPX
by Elliottwave-Forecast
SPX500 Holds Above 6,225 – Bullish Trend Intact for NowSPX500 Update – Bullish Pressure Holds Above Pivot SPX500 continues to show bullish momentum, as highlighted in our previous analysis. The price remains supported by strong buying volume above the key pivot zone at 6,225. As long as the price stays above this level, a retest toward 6,225 remains possible before another leg higher. However, a confirmed break below 6,225 would signal potential bearish momentum and shift the short-term structure. Key Levels: • Pivot Line: 6,246 • Resistance: 6,265 / 6,287 / 6,325 • Support: 6,225 / 6,191 / 6,143
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
S&P 500 and the Elliott Wave TheoryAnalysis shows that the Wave 3(Black) correction is a Flat because Wave 2(Black) was a Zigzag. From the ending of Wave 3(Black), we see a shallow Wave A(Blue) forming. This is our first Wave of the 3 move correction. From A(Blue), another 3 wave move MUST occur and must go beyond the ending of Wave 3(Black) as seen. The correction of Wave A(Blue) is marked by an unfolding 3 wave move shown in Green. Waves A and B are formed after Wave A(Blue) completes. For the last 'leg' of the 3 Wave correction, we find a 5 Wave move shown in Red and this should contain all properties of a normal 5 wave move. Wave 1(Red) is followed by a Zigzag correction and we should expect a Flat correction at Wave 3(Red). Indeed a Flat is formed and is highlighted in Purple. Wave 4(Red) is complete. This sets in motion a last wave that upon completion would be the end of Wave C(Green) hence the end of Wave B(Blue) and would trigger the start of Wave 4(Black). Follow for breakdown of the same chart in the Daily time frame.
SP:SPX
by machariavictor017
Trading at the market topHello, The stock market is back at an all-time high. This often brings excitement for existing investors—and a sense of anxiety or even FOMO (fear of missing out) for those who stayed on the sidelines when prices were lower. It’s tempting to jump in, especially with headlines filled with optimism and portfolios showing green across the board. But this is also a time for caution and patience. After a sustained rally, price levels often outpace fundamentals like earnings growth, economic stability, or interest rate trends. In such moments, valuations can become stretched, and investor sentiment overly euphoric conditions that typically precede short-term pullbacks or corrections. Buying at the top locks in risk, not value. If you're feeling late to the party, remember that good investors don’t chase prices—they wait for prices to come to them. The best opportunities often come in moments of fear, not euphoria. And while this market high may go higher still, history shows that eventually, corrections come—and those prepared for them are the ones who win in the end. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:US500Education
by thesharkke
Decade-Long Uptrend Holds Strong – SPX Hits Fresh HighsS&P 500 Just Hit a New All-Time High (ATH) 🚀 The index has been in a strong uptrend for over a decade, consistently printing higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL). Every major resistance level has flipped into support, classic bull market structure. Even during corrections, the 33 EMA and 100 EMA have acted like dynamic support zones. Now that SPX has cleared its previous ATH, the structure remains intact, unless a strong breakdown occurs, momentum is still with the bulls.
SP:SPXLong
by unichartz