USOIL: Respecting support, repeating opportunity The chart on USOIL presents a compelling technical setup that blends structure, behavioral dynamics. The core technical analysis here lies in this support zone that is well-defined area that has been tested multiple times and consistently held, suggesting strong demand.
The narrative structure is one of rebound. Every time price approaches the support zone, the reaction is not only immediate but also structured, price responds with conviction.
So I am recognizing the strength of the reaction and forecasting an upward move to the 68.50 level.
The target at 68.50 is achievable, acting as both a profit objective and a psychological level, round enough to attract attention and previously strong enough to cause a drop. If momentum sustains, a breakout from there would depend on volume confirmation and structure shifts, but for now, the play back into that range makes sense and respects both the chart’s geometry and price action logic.
Not reacting to noise, but to repeatable high-probability zones.
USCRUDEOIL trade ideas
USOIL declines for the 3 days in a row. What's next?USOIL declines for the 3 days in a row. What's next?
Since the last post the USOIL has already declined on 2.5%, currently rebounding from SMA50 on 4-h chart. 2 main reasons are behind this.
On August 3, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and their partners, collectively known as OPEC+, decided to increase oil production by 547,000 barrels per day in September, the latest in a series of swift production boosts aimed at regaining market share. They cited a robust economic outlook and low inventories as the reasons for their decision. However, Friday NFP report may signal of a potential recession risk in the United States, the biggest oil consumer in the world. Here is what the Goldman Sachs writes down in x.com: "The decline in employment growth over the previous two months in the July report was one of the largest since 1960 and was accompanied by several months of similar revisions earlier. Corrections of this magnitude are extremely rare outside of the recession period."
So, fundamentals don't favor oil and despite the current rebound from SMA50, there are low chances of developing some bullish momentum here. The pullback from 6,800.00 is expected with the following decline towards 6,500.00
USOILUSOIL price is now testing the support zone of 64.72-63.88. If the price cannot break through the 63.88 level, it is expected that the price will rebound. Consider buying in the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
❤️ Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!
Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to support area of 61.937 (Fibo lvl).Hello, colleagues!
Well, I think that the previous scenario is still relevant and the “ABC” correction is developing according to the scenario.
At the moment, I see a five-wave structure in the downward wave “C”. I expect a small correction to the area of 67.287, then a continuation of the downward movement to the area between 61.8% and 100% of the levels of Fibonacci extension - the support area of 61.937.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Oil Faces Bearish Turn After Speculative SpikeOil Faces Bearish Turn After Speculative Spike
Since June 24, 2024, when oil prices reached $64 entered a 38-day bullish correction. Based on the chart, this move appears to be forming an ABC corrective pattern, which may now be nearing completion.
From here, a renewed decline is likely, with potential downside targets at $65, $60, and $56.
Geopolitical Speculation Oil prices jumped in recent days following President Donald Trump's heightened rhetoric toward Russia. His announcement of a tighter deadline to end the war in Ukraine, along with tariff threats targeting countries trading Russian oil, stirred market reactions.
However, this rally seems driven more by speculation, and oil may soon resume the bearish movement again.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to support area of 65.944.Colleagues, I previously recommended moving trades to break-even, and for good reason. It is always necessary to hedge and reduce losses—this is part of professional work.
(Breakeven=Risk Free: Move Stop loss to the entry level).
The price has nevertheless shown a stronger correction, and I now believe that the medium-term “ABC” waves have not yet formed, nor has the large “Y” wave.
This means that I expect the completion of wave “B” and then a continuation of the downward movement in wave “C.”
I consider the support area of 65.944 to be the minimum target.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
USOIL 2H – Trendline Break Sell Setup✅ Key Observations:
1. Chart Type: Candlestick chart (2h interval).
2. Trend Line: An uptrend line (red) is drawn, now broken to the downside.
3. Ichimoku Cloud: Price has broken below the Ichimoku cloud, signaling potential bearish momentum.
4. Red Arrow: Indicates a potential short entry point where price broke below the trendline.
5. Downside Targets:
1st Target Point: $64.00
2nd Target Point: $60.00
6. Bearish Projection: A large blue arrow pointing downward from the breakdown level implies a strong sell setup.
---
🎯 Your Trade Setup (based on chart):
Entry (Sell): Around $67.25–$67.50
Stop Loss: Above recent high or Ichimoku resistance, approx $68.70
Target 1: $64.00
Target 2: $60.00
Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable, around 1:2.5 or better depending on entry
USOIL Technical Analysis! BUY!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on USOIL and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 67.25 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 68.74
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Crude oil next move (expecting mild bullish move) (08-08-2025)Go through the analysis carefully, and do trade accordingly.
Anup 'BIAS for the mid term (08-08-2025)
Current price- 63.400
"if Price stay above 62.00 then next target is 64.400, 66.00 and 70.00 and below that 58.00"
-POSSIBILITY-1
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening )
-POSSIBILITY-2
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening)
Best of luck
Never risk 2% of principal to follow any position.
Support us by liking and sharing the post.
WTI Crude key support zone at 6553The WTI Crude Oil remains in a neutral trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 6553 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 6553 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
6850 – initial resistance
6950 – psychological and structural level
7090 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 6553 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
6400 – minor support
6310 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Neutral bias remains intact while the WTI trades around pivotal 6553 level. A sustained break below or above this level could shift momentum.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USOIL - Potential Bullish Reversal Inside Descending Channel!📉 After a significant bearish move from the recent high, USOIL is trading within a well-defined descending channel pattern.
🔍 Key observations:
Price has printed a lower low into a weak low area, showing signs of seller exhaustion.
A potential reversal pattern is forming at channel support.
MACD shows bullish momentum divergence, hinting at a short-term reversal.
Targeting the supply zone near 66.99, aligning with the previous low high and key structure zone.
🟢 Trade Idea:
Looking for bullish confirmation to trigger a long setup.
Target: 66.99 (near upper channel boundary and previous structure)
Manage risk carefully with a stop below the recent low.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a technical analysis-based idea, not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly.
CRUDE OIL Bullish Bias! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL keeps falling down
And the price will soon hit
A horizontal support of 64.00$
From where we will be
Expecting a local bullish rebound
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USOIL H4 | Potential bearish dropUSOIL has rejected the sell entry which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to the downside.
Sell entry is at 64.76, which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 66.63, which is an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 60.50, which is a multi-swing low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Today's crude oil strategy sharingToday's Crude Oil Charlie Recommendation: 📥📥📥.
Short at $68.05, stop loss at $68.50, take profit at $66.10. (For aggressive shorting, try $67.85; for a more conservative approach, go short at $68.60).🔥🔥🔥
If the market falls to $66.50 before the New York market opens, go long at $67.70. Set the stop loss at $66.❤️🔥❤️🔥❤️🔥
⚠️⚠️⚠️The market is risky; participate rationally. FX:USOIL MARKETSCOM:USOIL FX:USOILSPOT FX:USOILSPOT MARKETSCOM:USOIL
OIL BUYIndia's purchases of Russian oil might come at a steep price if President Trump goes ahead with the implementation of extra 25% tariffs on New Delhi's goods. "Countries facing this potential secondary tariff must weigh the benefits of buying discounted Russian crude against the potential cost to trade with the U.S.," ING's Warren Patterson says. Indian exports to the U.S. amount to around $87 billion, while savings from discounted Russian oil would be around $6 billion, according to the firm. "While comments from India suggest that the country will do what's best for its citizens, reducing or stopping Russian oil purchases makes more sense," the head of commodities strategy says.
Oil continues to decline due to geopolitics optimismOil continues to decline due to geopolitics optimism
A Kremlin official announced that Presidents Trump and Putin will hold a summit soon, their first since 2021, with a White House source suggesting it could occur as early as next week. Optimism surrounding potential U.S.-Russia discussions on the Ukraine conflict has alleviated concerns about oil supply disruptions, despite U.S. sanctions targeting India for its continued Russian crude imports. Trump introduced a 25% tariff on Indian goods and signaled possible additional tariffs on China. However, increased OPEC production and ongoing trade tensions remain key concerns, raising fears of slower economic growth and reduced demand.
Technically, USOIL trades just above the 6,300.00 support level. Insignificant rebound from this level is expected with possible decline towards crucial 6,000.00 support level.
USOIL Is Bearish! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 69.178.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 66.684 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
WTI: Oil Markets on Edge Despite Trump Considering Major TariffsOil prices could drop if Trump backs down on tariffs on countries buying Russian oil, but short-term bullish catalysts, like geopolitical tensions and bullish speculative bets, may still push prices up before longer-term headwinds take hold.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trump’s threats of steep tariffs on countries buying Russian oil have sent oil prices surging, as traders fear a global supply crunch if Russian barrels are cut off.
But here’s the twist: Trump has a history of backing down or delaying tariffs after using them as leverage. When he does, oil prices usually fall, as the immediate risk of supply disruption fades.
If he caves in again by the deadline, which is 10 to 12 days from 4 August, or extends it, oil prices could drop. The bigger picture also appears bearish: OPEC+ is ramping up supply, global demand is slowing and expected to drop in H2, and inventories are rising (first glimpse by EIA, Wed).
But with the deadline falling around 14–16 August, 2025, short-term bullish catalysts could spark a rally up to the 38.2%-61.8 % Fibonacci retracement levels, positioning WTI better for declines (conditional on Trump!).
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
WTI Crude Oil Technical Outlook – Key Breakout or BreakdownWTI Crude Oil 4-hour chart suggests a potential inflection point after a strong bullish breakout from a larger symmetrical triangle pattern in late July. The price surged past key resistance levels and is now consolidating in a smaller symmetrical triangle formation just below the psychological $70 mark. This indicates a phase of indecision following a strong move, with market participants awaiting further confirmation.
Price is currently hovering around $69.82, with key levels marked at $71.03 (resistance) and $69.05 (support). The short-term price action within the tight triangle could determine the next move, with both bullish continuation and bearish reversal scenarios on the table.
Prices remain supported by supply concerns after Trump threatened to impose 100% secondary tariffs on buyers of Russian crude and warned China, a major oil consumer of severe penalties if it continues its purchases of Russian oil.
🔍 Potential Scenarios
- Bullish Breakout Scenario
If price breaks out of the smaller symmetrical triangle to the upside and clears the $70 resistance level with strong momentum, it may quickly test the $71.03 zone. A clean break above $71.03 would confirm the continuation of the previous uptrend, potentially opening room toward $72.50 and beyond in the medium term. The pattern would resemble a bullish pennant — a continuation pattern following the late July rally.
-Bearish Rejection and Breakdown
Conversely, a failure to sustain above $70 followed by a break below the lower boundary of the smaller triangle could lead to a sharper decline. The first critical level to watch would be $69.05; a break below this would likely invalidate the bullish setup and initiate a retest of the previously broken upper trendline of the larger triangle near $67.50. A further breakdown could lead price towards the larger support zone around $65–$66.
📈 Trend Outlook
- Short-Term: Neutral to Bullish — Consolidation in a smaller symmetrical triangle suggests a pause before continuation. However, the structure is still technically bullish unless $69.05 is broken.
- Medium-Term: Bullish Bias — The breakout from the large symmetrical triangle in late July indicates a shift in market sentiment, favoring higher prices unless the price fails to hold above $67.50.
- Long-Term: Cautiously Bullish — As long as WTI holds above the $65–$66 structural support area, the longer-term outlook remains constructive.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
USOIL BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 66.22
Target Level: 69.94
Stop Loss: 63.73
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅