AUDUSD Discretional Analysis: It's Going Down, BroI don't know man, I have a feeling it's gonna go down. If I'm right I'll make some money and if I'm wrong I'll lose some money.
Just my opinion, not financial advice.
USDAUD trade ideas
AUDUSD I Monday CLS Range I KL - OB I Model 2Hey Traders!!
Feel free to share your thoughts, charts, and questions in the comments below—I'm about fostering constructive, positive discussions!
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AUDUSD triangle pattern suggests a big move is comingAUDUSD has been consolidating in a triangle pattern, suggesting a breakout is near—likely within weeks. A bullish breakout could target 0.6393, with potential for a 229-pip move. A bearish break is also possible but less clear. The setup offers strong risk-reward, with examples showing a 5.6x ratio.
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DeGRAM | AUDUSD growth in the channelAUDUSD is in an ascending channel between the trend lines.
The price is moving from the support level, which has already acted as a rebound point, as well as from the lower boundary of the channel and the trend line.
The chart maintains the local upward structure and has formed a harmonic pattern.
On the 1H Timeframe, the indicators indicate that the chart is working out the formed bullish convergence.
We expect the growth to continue in the channel.
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Week of 3/23/25: AUDUSD AnalysisAnalysis of my main pair AUDUSD, last week resulted in the bears taking over and my analysis explains why my bias is bearish going into the new week.
Not much volatile news except for Unemployment Claims on Thursday.
Let me know what you guys think, your analysis, and if you want to see anything else!
Goodluck this week traders, let's kill it.
We’re bullish on AUDUSDTechnical Analysis
AUDUSD lies below 50 - period SMA (0.6324, declining) and 100 - day SMA (0.6512, falling), indicating a downward trend yet short - term upside potential. January 2025 RSI bullish divergence shows weakening downward momentum. Break above 0.6340 could push it to 0.6400; otherwise, it may range 0.6131 - 0.6302.
Economic Fundamentals
Australia: Its economic growth, inflation and export prices affect the Aussie. Growth aids appreciation; inflation undermines it. Higher resource prices boost the currency.
US: Strong US data strengthens the dollar, weakening AUD/USD; weak data has the opposite effect.
Market & Geopolitical Factors
High risk appetite benefits the Aussie; low appetite favors the dollar. Geopolitical tensions prompt a flight to the dollar, hurting the Aussie.
💎💎💎 AUDUSD 💎💎💎
🎁 Buy@0.62500 - 0.62800
🎁 TP 0.63500 - 0.64000
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AUDUSD 1H forecastLooking for a potential sell continuation on AU, either it being an impulse down or a correction down.
Currently projecting a wave 3/C, which is gonna be a 5-wave sequence as well.
AUDUSD Buy NowBuying Setup Based on a very strong Potential Reversal zone which is Support zone for this Pair. Indicates potential Bullish momentum. Accordingly TPS and SL is highlighted with proper Risk Management. Normally market responds to such Support Zones. what are your thoughts?
AUDUSD(Better RRR)As the Price is Falling We are Buying with better risk reward Ratio..SL below todays low ENJOY!!!
AUD/USD at a Crossroads: The Battle of Breakouts and SupportsTrade frictions remain a headwind in the market. US trade measures have triggered concerns, and the Australian economy, which is dependent on exports to China, may be impacted. Meanwhile, inflation triggered by tariffs conflicts with concerns about a slowdown in the US economy. The Federal Reserve has maintained the interest rate unchanged and adjusted its economic forecasts.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cut interest rates in February, and future actions will depend on inflation data. Employment positions decreased in February while the unemployment rate remained stable. The upcoming release of the monthly CPI indicator for February is of great concern. The net short - positions of the Australian dollar have increased, and market sentiment is bearish.
Technically, if the AUD/USD breaks through key levels, there is upward potential. If the bears dominate, there are multiple support levels. Momentum indicators show mixed performance.
AUDUSD
sell@0.63500-0.63000
tp:0.62500-0.62000
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WHY AUDUSD IS BEARISH ?? DETAILED ANALYSIS AUD/USD is currently trading at approximately 0.6290 and is forming a bearish flag pattern—a technical indicator suggesting potential continuation of the prevailing downtrend. This pattern typically emerges after a sharp decline, followed by a brief consolidation phase resembling an upward-sloping channel or flag. A decisive break below the flag's support often signals the resumption of bearish momentum, potentially leading to a significant price drop.
Fundamental factors are reinforcing this bearish outlook. Australia's employment data for February 2025 revealed an unexpected decline of 53,000 jobs, contrary to forecasts predicting an increase of 30,000 positions. Despite this, the unemployment rate remained steady at 4.1%. This unexpected contraction in employment could prompt the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to consider interest rate cuts in upcoming meetings to stimulate economic activity.
Additionally, escalating global trade tensions, particularly due to increased U.S. tariffs under the new administration, are contributing to economic uncertainty. These developments have led to downgraded growth forecasts by organizations like the OECD and Fitch Ratings, further weighing on the Australian dollar.
Given these technical and fundamental factors, the AUD/USD pair appears poised for a bearish breakout from the flag pattern. Traders should monitor key support levels, such as the March low of 0.6186 and the 2025 trough at 0.6087. A sustained break below these levels could pave the way toward the psychologically significant 0.6000 mark, aligning with the anticipated 200-pip decline.
In this context, adopting a short position on AUD/USD may be advantageous. However, it's crucial to implement robust risk management strategies, including setting appropriate stop-loss orders, to mitigate potential market volatility.
Bullish Setup on AUD/USD – Are You In?Hi traders ! , Analyzing AUD/USD on the 1H timeframe, spotting a potential long entry :
🔹 Entry: 0.62851
🔹 TP: 0.63934 🎯
🔹 SL: 0.61863 🔻
AUD/USD is respecting the lower boundary of the ascending channel and bouncing off support. If this trend continues, we could see a push toward 0.63934. RSI is neutral, leaving room for further upside.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. Every trader makes their own decision.
Master the Market with These 5 Wave Trading RulesHello,
In any business, rules are the backbone of success, providing the structure and discipline needed to thrive. Trading and investing are no exceptions—they must be treated with the same seriousness and rigor as any entrepreneurial venture.
As a wave trader, I rely on a refined set of rules that blend technical analysis with Wave Theory to understand market behavior. Wave trading is a powerful strategy that analyzes price patterns to uncover the cyclical nature of market trends, enabling traders to predict future movements and seize profitable opportunities.
Understanding Wave Trading
Markets don’t move randomly—they ebb and flow in predictable waves. According to Elliott Wave Theory (a type of wave theory), trends unfold in a series of five waves (known as impulses) followed by three waves (corrections). Mastering this rhythm allows you to anticipate where the market is headed next, giving you a strategic edge.
Our Trading Rules
Here’s a breakdown of the essential rules I follow as a wave trader, designed to guide you through the process with clarity and precision:
Identify Impulse & Correction
Impulse: A robust, directional price surge made up of five sub-waves, signaling the dominant trend.
Correction: A smaller, counter-trend move consisting of three sub-waves, acting as a pause or pullback.
Recognizing these phases reveals the market’s underlying structure. For example, spotting a five-wave impulse upward suggests a bullish trend, while a three-wave correction might signal a temporary dip—perfect for planning your next move.
Identify the Pattern Formations
Look for patterns that can help you anticipate the next moves e.g. the expanding triangle, Bullish flag or even reversal patterns.
Identify Entry Points
Timing is everything. Pinpoint the perfect moment to enter a trade based on your wave and pattern analysis.
Wait for confirmations like a breakout above a flag pattern or a signal from indicators such as moving averages or MACD that align with your wave count.
Look for Targets
Set clear profit targets to stay disciplined and secure gains.
Wave projections, like the expected end of wave 5 in an impulse.
Look for Exits in Case the Trade Doesn’t Go Your Way
Not every trade is a winner, and that’s okay. Protect your capital with stop-losses placed at logical levels.
Where to set them: Choose points that invalidate your analysis—like below a key support level or a wave pattern’s critical threshold. If the market breaks that level, your trade idea’s likely wrong, so exit calmly.
This removes emotion from the equation, safeguarding your account for the long haul.
The Power of Discipline
These rules aren’t just guidelines—they’re your shield against the emotional rollercoaster of trading. Write them down, pin them up, or keep them handy on your trading desk. Reviewing them before every trade reinforces your commitment to a systematic, objective approach. Discipline turns good strategies into great results.
Wishing you success on your trading journey!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUDUSD BULLISH CONTINUATION Possible to see AUDUSD continue the bullish push upon the mitigation of the H4 Demand zone..
Two way to approach it:
- Wait for LTF confirmation before entering, or
- Enter at the 50% of the Demand zone.
Stay reactive and DYOR
AUDUSD is ready for another LONG Consolidation at support indicates that Price may go up again ! AUDUSD is a the higher low of the support .
Bearish drop off 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?AUD/USD has rejected off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6319
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6345
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.6281
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that line sup with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
AUDUSD 110 buy setup!!The current market structure shows a strong alignment for a potential upward movement, forming a double bottom at a significant support level. This pattern respects both the structural levels and Fibonacci retracement levels. With important news scheduled for release today at 8 PM, particularly positive developments for the dollar could influence market direction. Given the risk-to-reward ratio, it appears favorable to consider positioning for an upward trend.
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AUDUSD LONG ReboundAUDUSD Rebound, we have bullish confirmation, the price jumped up from the 1h orderblock.
AUD/USD (15M) Analysis – 24-03-2025📊 AUD/USD (15M) Analysis – 24-03-2025
📉 Current Price: 0.62781
🟢 Demand Zone (Support): 0.62586 - 0.62742 – Potential area for bullish reaction.
🔴 Supply Zones (Resistance):
0.63219 – First target zone.
0.63628 – Key resistance level.
📌 Market Outlook:
Price is within a bullish order block inside the demand zone.
Scenario 1: If price holds above 0.62742, expect a move towards 0.63219 (TP1) and 0.63628 (TP2).
Scenario 2: If price breaks below 0.62586, bearish momentum may continue.
⚡ Trade Setup:
🔻 Buy Setup: If bullish confirmation at 0.62586 - 0.62742
🎯 TP1: 0.63219
🎯 TP2: 0.63628
🛑 SL: Below 0.62550
#AUDUSD #ForexTrading #SmartMoney #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis
Bullish bounce?AUD/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that line sup with the 71% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6248
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6203
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.6305
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
AUD/USD (1H) Analysis & Key Levels📊 AUD/USD (1H) Analysis & Key Levels
🔵 Current Price: 0.62900
🟢 Demand Zone (Support): 0.6250 - 0.6275
🔴 Resistance Levels:
0.63060 (Breakout level)
0.63628 (Major resistance/target)
🔍 Possible Scenarios:
1️⃣ Bullish Case: If price breaks and retests 0.63060, it could push towards 0.63628 as the next resistance.
2️⃣ Bearish Case: If price fails to break above 0.63060, it may retrace back to the demand zone (0.6250 - 0.6275) for another attempt.
💡 Trading Plan:
✅ Look for bullish confirmations at 0.63060 for a long position.
✅ Watch for rejection at resistance for potential pullbacks.
✅ A strong rejection at 0.63628 could signal a reversal.
#FxFOREVER #FXF #AUDUSD #Priceaction
AUDUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on AUDUSD?
The AUDUSD pair is moving within an ascending channel and has recently broken its downtrend line to the upside. This breakout could signal a continuation of the bullish trend.
We expect the price to make a pullback and correction toward the broken trendline before continuing its upward move towards the channel’s upper boundary.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Continue to be bullish.Economic Fundamentals
Australia: Its economic growth, inflation and export prices affect the Aussie. Growth aids appreciation; inflation undermines it. Higher resource prices boost the currency.
US: Strong US data strengthens the dollar, weakening AUD/USD; weak data has the opposite effect.
Market & Geopolitical Factors
High risk appetite benefits the Aussie; low appetite favors the dollar. Geopolitical tensions prompt a flight to the dollar, hurting the Aussie.
💎💎💎 AUDUSD 💎💎💎
🎁 Buy@0.62500 - 0.62800
🎁 TP 0.63500 - 0.64000
The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed，Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
