AUDUSD I Weekly CLS I KL - OB I Model 2, Target - CLS HHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
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🛡️ Models 1 and 2:
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📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
📍 Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
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USDAUD trade ideas
AUDUSD Waiting for Pullbacks
Price began a recovery process to the upside since the beginning of this week.
We should be completing wave 1/A pretty soon, and I´ll be looking for 2/B correction for long trades.
Green support would be a very interesting spot for the correction.
To the upside, there is strong resistance just below 0.64 (gray zone).
AUDUSD ShortI noticed we have a bearish structure on the 15m, and the entire push was created from the 15m Orderblock we're currently in. We've had a bearish reaction from there (1m BOS), and now I'm waiting to see if the price will revisit the OB left behind for a potential continuation to the downside.
My first target is 1:3 (30pips) and overall i expect price to fill previous Asia.
AUDUSD Discretionary Analysis: Recovery Mode ActivatedIt’s that feeling when the engine’s been cold for a while, but now it’s starting to rev. AUDUSD is flashing signs it wants to push up — not in a rush, but with purpose. I’m seeing strength building, like it’s getting ready to climb. Recovery mode’s not just activated — it’s already in motion. I’m calling for upside here. If it plays out, I’ll be riding the move. If not, hey, I’ll wait for the next setup. But right now? I like the long.
Just my opinion, not financial advice.
AUDUSD Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a buying opportunity around 0.63600 zone, AUDUSD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at trend at 0.63600 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUD/USD – Swing Short from Resistance | Daily RangeI'm placing a sell limit order on AUD/USD at a key resistance level, with a take profit set at the bottom of the current daily range. This is a swing trade based on both technical structure and fundamental reasoning.
Technically, price has been moving in a consolidation range on the daily chart, trading between the EMA 100 and EMA 200, which often signals indecision and potential reversal zones. The resistance I'm targeting has acted as a ceiling within this range.
From a fundamental perspective, the USD has been under prolonged pressure due to political uncertainty and weakening investor confidence in the U.S. economy. However, this bearish momentum may be overextended — the DXY (Dollar Index) is currently testing the 99.600 level, a significant historical support. A potential bounce from this zone could bring USD strength back into the picture, increasing the probability of a reversal in AUD/USD.
This trade idea aligns a technical resistance rejection with a possible USD recovery, making it a high-probability short setup in the current market context
Turn or Burn Deep retracement within this current TR. Volume price analysis suggest manipulation as price is rising but demand volume is declining, Either supply is deeply diminished allowing ease of movement or is this slow profit taking by larger interest.
In a bullish scenario price creates momentum to push, close, and maintain above .64080. In what my opinion is more favorable based on market conditions, price takes out one of the previous highs in this range near .64000 where liquidity rest and resumes the htf downtrend. Catalyst being AUD unemployment rates and Fed Powell Speech, FOMO would likely induce a buy trap / false breakout.
AUDUSD - ANALYSIS👀 Observation:
Hello, everyone! I hope you're doing well. I’d like to share my analysis of AUD-USD with you.
Looking at the AUD-USD chart, I expect a slight price decline towards the 50% Fibonacci level, around 0.61138. After this price drop, I anticipate a price increase to around 0.63000.
📉 Expectation:
Bearish Scenario: A slight decline towards 0.61138 (50% Fibonacci level).
Bullish Scenario: After reaching 0.61138, expect a rise to 0.63000.
💡 Key Levels to Watch:
Support: 0.61138
Resistance: 0.63000
💬 What are your thoughts on AUD-USD this week? Let me know in the comments!
Trade safe
AUD/USD - Sellers remain in control!The AUD/USD pair has been in a clear and consistent downtrend on both the 4-hour and daily timeframes. Sellers have maintained firm control over price action, driving the pair lower while it continues to respect the prevailing bearish market structure. Each failed bullish attempt further validates the dominance of the bears, reinforcing the narrative that the path of least resistance remains to the downside.
Recently, however, the 4-hour chart witnessed a sharp move to the upside, tapping into and filling a previously unmitigated 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG). Despite this temporary rally, the broader structure remains bearish, with the market still printing lower highs and lower lows, a classic hallmark of a sustained downtrend. As such, the current momentum favors a continuation lower, potentially targeting the green imbalance/FVG zone on the 4H timeframe, which aligns with the next logical area of liquidity.
This green FVG also coincides with the golden pocket retracement zone (61.8%–65%), adding confluence and strengthening its validity as a potential support area. A reaction here could provide an opportunity for a short-term bullish correction or even the start of a larger reversal, depending on how price behaves around this level.
That said, a bullish scenario is not entirely off the table. Should price decisively break above the red FVG to the upside, and ideally close above it with conviction, it may signal a potential shift in market sentiment. This would be the first sign of buyers regaining control, suggesting a possible trend reversal or at least a deeper retracement toward higher time frame resistance zones.
Until such confirmation is seen, however, bearish momentum prevails. Traders can continue to favor short setups, with particular interest around premium zones on the 4H chart. Any bullish setups should be approached cautiously and ideally considered only at key areas of support like the green FVG, especially where it aligns with high-probability fib levels.
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AUD/USD) Resistance level pullback Short Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
analysis of the AUD/USD pair on the 2-hour timeframe, showing a possible bearish setup. Here's a breakdown of the idea behind it:
Key Observations:
1. Current Trend:
The pair was in an uptrend, as indicated by the rising channel (parallel trendlines). However, it has now broken out of that channel.
2. Resistance Level:
The price has reached a resistance zone around 0.64000, and it seems to be rejecting this level.
3. 2 Timeframe Demand Zone:
Around the 0.63300 – 0.63400 range, this area previously acted as a demand zone (support), and the chart suggests price might retest it.
4. Projected Move:
First, a pullback up into the resistance zone could occur.
Then a drop to the demand zone.
If the demand zone fails to hold, the price could head down toward the key support/FVG (Fair Value Gap) around 0.61000 – 0.61500.
5. EMA (200):
The 200 EMA is below the price, suggesting longer-term bullish pressure, but it's starting to flatten, which could signal weakness in the uptrend.
6. RSI Indicator:
RSI is around 52, showing neutral momentum—neither overbought nor oversold, allowing room for movement in either direction.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Idea Summary:
The chart suggests a potential reversal from the uptrend into a downtrend, triggered by a failure to break above resistance. The two key targets for a bearish move are:
First: the 2TF demand zone
Final: the key support/FVG zone
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
AUDUSD 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart is for the AUD/USD currency pair on a 30-minute timeframe. It appears to be a double top pattern, which is typically a bearish reversal pattern. Here's a breakdown of the strategy implied in the chart:
Key Elements:
Double Top (Red Arrows): Indicates a strong resistance zone around the 0.6389 area.
Neckline (Blue Horizontal Line): Around 0.637
AUDUSD: Expecting Bearish Movement! Here is Why:
The analysis of the AUDUSD chart clearly shows us that the pair is finally about to tank due to the rising pressure from the sellers.
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Inflation Outlook in AustraliaInterest Rate Differentials
RBA's Monetary Policy Stance 👉
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has been treading a path of maintaining relatively high - interest rates compared to some of its major counterparts, especially the U.S. Federal Reserve 😏. For example, if the RBA sets a cash rate at 3.5% while the Fed has been gradually reducing its rates or keeping them at a lower level, say 2.5%, this creates an alluring yield differential for investors 💰.
Higher interest rates in Australia make Australian - dollar - denominated assets, such as government bonds, far more appealing. Foreign investors are then spurred to buy Australian assets, which in turn escalates the demand for the Australian dollar. As the demand for AUD surges in the foreign exchange market, the AUD/USD exchange rate typically experiences an upward climb 📈.
Inflation Outlook in Australia
A healthy inflation environment in Australia also plays a pivotal role 🤝. If inflation in Australia is nestled within the RBA's target range (e.g., 2 - 3%) and shows signs of stability or a gentle upward trend, it provides the RBA with the leeway to maintain or even increase interest rates 😎.
In contrast, if inflation in the U.S. is lower than anticipated or shows inklings of deflationary pressures, the Fed may be more predisposed to keep rates low or implement expansionary monetary policies 😕. This divergence in inflation - related monetary policy responses can be a catalyst for an increase in the AUD/USD exchange rate 📈.
💰💰💰 AUDUSD💰💰💰
🎯 Buy@ 0.6330 - 0.6350
🎯 TP 0.6400 - 0.6450
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AUD/USD - Bullish SetupDaily View - We can actknowedlge that price is currently consolidation within a Large supply zone from where we saw last weeks news.. I would like to see us return into the Demand further down as we will be getting close to being over sold. From there we can notice smaller amounts of Sell side Liquidity to test before powering into Buy side Highs.
Currently we are also testing a Resistance zone which is still currently strong so that tells me price will need to really push through with volume to invalidate this level.
Smaller Time frames suggest a break and retest from this supply zone. If we get a Bearish break and retest I would consider this a fadeout for the favour of resting Liquidity sitting lower to collect as mentioned before.
Please follow for any questions
AUDUSD INTRADAY key resistance retest at 0.6390 AUDUSD maintains a bullish bias, supported by the prevailing upward trend. Recent intraday movement indicates a corrective pullback toward a key consolidation zone, offering a potential setup for trend continuation.
Key Support Level: 0.6266 – previous consolidation range and pivotal support
Upside Targets:
0.6390 – initial resistance
0.6420 and 0.6550 – extended bullish targets on higher timeframes
A bullish breakout from 0.6390 would suggest continuation of the uptrend, confirming buying momentum.
However, a decisive reversal and daily close below 0.6390 would invalidate the bullish structure, opening the door for further retracement toward 0.6266, with additional support at 0.6100 and 0.6030.
Conclusion
AUDUSD remains bullish above 0.6390. A bounce from this level supports further gains. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before positioning for the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
AUD-USD BEARISH BIAS|SHORT|
✅AUD_USD will soon retest a key resistance level of 0.6409
So I think that the pair will make a pullback
And go down to retest the demand level below at 0.6318
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUDUSD is ready to push againNo comment needed. All information is in the chart analysis.
Steps to follow:
Analyze yourself.
Take the position with SL and Take Profits.
Wait, it may take a couple of days, so take a break and step away from the screen from time to time, just like I do :)
Get the result.
I will update the trade every day.
Like, comment with your good mood or viewpoint, share with your circle. It’s together that we get stronger!
Good trades, Traders!
The golden bear
Market Analysis: AUD/USD Gains Pace, Bulls Are Back?Market Analysis: AUD/USD Gains Pace, Bulls Are Back?
AUD/USD started a decent increase above the 0.6150 and 0.6200 levels.
Important Takeaways for AUD USD Analysis Today
- The Aussie Dollar rebounded after forming a base above the 0.6000 level against the US Dollar.
- There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6260 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen.
AUD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 0.5940 support. The Aussie Dollar was able to clear the 0.6065 resistance to move into a positive zone against the US Dollar.
There was a close above the 0.6200 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the pair tested the 0.6315 zone. A high was formed near 0.6314 and the pair recently started a consolidation phase.
There was a move below the 0.6300 level. The pair remained above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.5913 swing low to the 0.6314 high.
On the downside, initial support is near the 0.6260 level. There is also a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6260. The next major support is near the 0.6220 zone. If there is a downside break below the 0.6220 support, the pair could extend its decline toward the 0.6205 level.
Any more losses might signal a move toward 0.6065 and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.5913 swing low to the 0.6314 high.
On the upside, the AUD/USD chart indicates that the pair is now facing resistance near 0.6315. The first major resistance might be 0.6340. An upside break above the 0.6340 resistance might send the pair further higher.
The next major resistance is near the 0.6385 level. Any more gains could clear the path for a move toward the 0.6450 resistance zone.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
AUDUSD A Fall Expected! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for AUDUSD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 0.6314
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 0.6202
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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