Short trade
15min TF entry
🟥 Sellside Trade Log
📉 Pair: AUD/USD
🏷️ Type: Intraday | Tokyo Session AM (7:00 PM NY time)
🧠 Setup: Breakout (Downside)
📅 Date: Tuesday, 13th May 2025
🕖 Time: 7:00 PM (New York Time)
🔹 Entry Price: 0.64382
🔹 Profit Target: 0.64208 (-0.81%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 0.64762 (+0.05%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 16.87
🔍 Reasoning:
This sellside breakout trade was initiated following a rejection at a pivotal resistance level within an ascending channel. We assume sellside pressure will continue to break to the downside as momentum failed to hold above the upper boundary, triggering a move through structural support. The setup was reinforced by confluence from channel dynamics and directional intent.
USDAUD trade ideas
AUDUSD Order Block Set Up📊 AUD/USD Trade Setup Breakdown 🔍
Here’s a clean Order Block to Order Block setup on AUD/USD using multiple time frames and stacking several confluences for higher probability.
🎯 Entry Trigger:
Bullish Order Block + Key Support Zones (as marked on the chart)
These levels have held previously and align perfectly with the bullish OB for a potential long.
🧠 Strategy:
I’m planning multiple entries for partial TPs, with the final take profit set at the bearish order block on the 2H chart. The setup offers a strong Risk:Reward ratio.
🛡️ Risk Managed:
The trade is structured to be a “set and forget” with solid risk management in place. High-quality setup based on my analysis—now it’s about letting the market do its thing. 👀
Let’s see how it plays out. 📈
#AUDUSD #ForexTrading #OrderBlock #SmartMoney #FXSetup #PriceAction #RiskReward #TradingAnalysis
Australian dollar loses ground, jobs report nextThe Australian dollar has declined on Wednesday. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6441, down 0.45% on the day. This follows the Australian dollar's massive gains of 1.5% a day earlier.
Australia's wage growth accelerated in the first quarter. Annually, the Wage Price index gained 3.4%, up from 3.2% in Q4 2024 and above the market estimate of 3.2%. The gain was driven by stronger wage growth in the public sector. On a quarterly basis, wage growth rose 0.9% q/q, up from 0.7% and above the market estimate of 0.8%. This is the first time since Q2 2024 that annual wage growth has accelerated.
The higher-than-expected wage report comes before next week's Reserve Bank of Australia's rate decision. Currently, it looks like a coin toss as to whether the Reserve Bank will maintain or lower rates.
Australia releases employment data on Thursday. Employment change is expected to ease to 20 thousand in April, down from 32.2 thousand in March. The unemployment rate is expected to remain at 4.1%. The labor market has been cooling and if it continues to deteriorate, there will be pressure on the Reserve Bank to lower rates.
At last week's Federal Reserve meeting, Fed Chair Powell said that he would take a wait-and-see attitude in its rate policy. Trump's erratic tariff policy must be frustrating for the Fed, as it makes it difficult to make reliable growth and inflation forecasts.
This week's surprise announcement of a tariff deal between the US and China is a case in point at Trump's zig-zag trade policy. The two sides have been engaged in a bruising trade war and slapped massive tariffs on each other's products. Suddenly, the tariffs were slashed, leading to a sigh of relief in the financial markets. The deal is only for 90 days, and what happens then is very much up in the air.
AUDUSD Still on the Bullish Leg of its 3-year Channel Down.The AUDUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Down since the August 08 2022 High and is currently testing the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) as a Resistance. This is a big Resistance cluster as it also made contact with the Pivot trend-line from the pattern's first Low.
However, all Lower Highs of the Channel Down have been priced above its 1W MA50, with three Tops forming on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). As a result, we expect a few more months of uptrend on this Bullish Leg until it approaches the 1W MA200. Our Target is 0.67000.
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
AUDUSD..LONG
Analysis complete — scenarios outlined. The zone could be a decision point
for [ OANDA:AUDUSD ]. Price reaction here may define the next move.
**** If price breaks and pulls back to retest, a reversal setup might emerge.
Smart Forex Analysis | Weekly Setups
Clean charts. No noise. Just levels.
So much SUCCESS going down the Swing; BEARISH APPETITE!Can you the reader give us a prayer, brief one please as we salivate on this AUDUSD course meal. Call the Doc, obesity on the way, been eating way too many Pips with cream.
Bearish trend has been so graceful after all with well trimmed entries (except one which almost gave me a heart attack, just kidding).
As usual, we've conditioned ourselves to wait for the right moment to catch the sardines in the net, we should be seeing some major retracements pretty soon but positioning yourself requires PATIENCE and FOCUS.
We wait!
AUDUSD: Bullish Move After Breakout 🇦🇺🇺🇸
AUDUSD broke and closed above a key horizontal resistance yesterday.
Retesting the broken structure, the price formed a tiny ascending
triangle pattern on an hourly time frame.
I expect a bullish continuation now.
Goal - 0.6492
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUDUSD InsightHello to all subscribers.
Please feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to hit the boost and subscribe buttons!
Key Points
- U.S. President Trump commented on the proposed meeting between the Presidents of Ukraine and Russia in Türkiye on the 15th, suggested by Saudi Arabia, saying, “They could achieve a very good result.”
- The U.S. Department of Labor reported that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.2% from the previous month and 2.3% year-on-year, marking the lowest level since February 2021 and coming in below expectations.
- In last week's Australian general election, the Labor Party, capitalizing on anti-Trump sentiment, achieved a landslide victory and succeeded in extending its term in office.
Key Economic Events This Week
+ May 14: Germany April Consumer Price Index
+ May 15: U.K. Q1 GDP, U.S. April Retail Sales, U.S. April Producer Price Index, Fed Chair Powell’s speech
+ May 16: Japan Q1 GDP
AUDUSD Chart Analysis
The pair has broken above a resistance level and is showing upward momentum. If it breaks through the recent high at the 0.65000 level, it may trigger a full-fledged rally, with 0.69000 being a likely target. However, if it fails to break above the previous high, the trend could shift, and in that case, we will formulate a new strategy.
AUD/USD "The Aussie" Forex Bank Money Heist (Bullish)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the AUD/USD "The Aussie" Forex Bank Heist. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is to escape near the high-risk Red Zone. It's a Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA Pullback at Institutional Buy zone (0.63700) & (0.62800) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
Stop Loss 🛑: "🔊 Yo, listen up! 🗣️ If you're lookin' to get in on a buy stop order, don't even think about settin' that stop loss till after the breakout 🚀. You feel me? Now, if you're smart, you'll place that stop loss where I told you to 📍, but if you're a rebel, you can put it wherever you like 🤪 - just don't say I didn't warn you ⚠️. You're playin' with fire 🔥, and it's your risk, not mine 👊."
📍 Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing low level Using the 2H timeframe "Big Money buy" SL at (0.64000) & "Institutional Buy" SL at (0.62000) Swing trade basis.
📍 SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 0.67000
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
💰💵💸AUD/USD "The Aussie" Forex Bank Money Heist is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors. .☝☝☝
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰🗞️🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits.
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
AUDUSD H4 I Bullish ContinuationBased on the H4 chart analysis, the price could fall toward our buy entry level at 0.6433 a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 0.6515, a swing high resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 0.6354, below a swing low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
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LONG AUDUSD breaking major resistance# AUDUSD Buy Setup Trading Plan
**Entry:**
- Buy on first pullback on smaller timeframe after resistance breakout
- Confirm with bullish candlestick pattern or moving averages
**Stop Loss:**
- Place below broken resistance level
- Approximately around 0.63262
**Take Profit:**
- Target 1: Previous swing high
- Target 2: Next major resistance level (1:2 risk-reward)
**Risk Management:**
- Risk 1-2% of account per trade
- Consider partial profit taking at Target 1
Always confirm breakout with multiple timeframes before entering.
AUDUSD(20250514)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The U.S. unadjusted CPI annual rate unexpectedly dropped to 2.3% in April, the lowest since February 2021.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
0.6435
Support and resistance levels:
0.6552
0.6508
0.6480
0.6390
0.6362
0.6318
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 0.6480, consider buying, the first target price is 0.6508
If the price breaks through 0.6435, consider selling, the first target price is 0.6390
Bullish momentum to extend?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which aligns with the 145% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 0.6445
1st Support: 0.6408z
1st Resistance: 0.6514
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
AUDUSD Technical & Order Flow AnalysisOur analysis is based on multi-timeframe top-down analysis & fundamental analysis.
Based on our view the price will rise to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis can change anytime without notice and is only for assisting traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no reason to act on it, and neither should you.
Please support our analysis with a boost or comment!
AUD/USD) Technical Analysis Read The ChaptianSMC-Trading Point update
Technical analysis of the AUD/USD currency pair on the 1-hour timeframe. Here's the idea behind the analysis:
Key Elements:
1. Support and Resistance Levels:
Resistance zone: Around 0.64350–0.64450
Support zone: Around 0.63450–0.63550
2. EMA (200):
The price is currently below the 200 EMA (0.64259), indicating bearish momentum.
3. RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is around 50, indicating neutral momentum, but recently crossed down, hinting potential bearish continuation.
4. Two Scenarios Proposed:
Bullish Scenario:
If the price breaks above the resistance zone (~0.64400), a bullish rally toward the upper target at 0.65139 is expected.
Bearish Scenario:
If the price gets rejected from the resistance and breaks below the current support zone, a bearish move toward 0.63461 is expected.
5. Current Bias:
Slight bearish bias as the price is below both the resistance zone and the 200 EMA, with a possible setup for a breakdown.
Mr SMC Trading point
Conclusion:
This is a classic breakout or breakdown setup. The price is near a decision point, and the next move will likely depend on whether it breaks above the resistance or below the support zone.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow
AUDUSD SELL TRADE PLANAUDUSD – May 13, 2025
📋 Plan Overview Table
Plan Type Direction Confidence R:R Status
Main Swing Plan Sell 🔶 84% 3.2R ✅ Active
📈 Market Bias & Type
Bias: Bearish
Type: HTF Continuation Sell after failed bullish attempt into resistance (breaker + supply)
🔰 Confidence Level
84% Total Confidence
* HTF Structure Break + Shift: 25%
* Fresh H4 Supply Zone with imbalance: 20%
* D1 Trendline break & retest: 15%
* Confluence with NY Session rejection: 12%
* USD Index correlation supportive: 12%
📍 Entry Zones
* Primary Zone (Optimal):
0.6420 – 0.6430 → H4 fresh supply zone + liquidity sweep
* Secondary Zone (Deeper POI, if spiked):
0.6440 – 0.6455 → Last D1 supply engulf before sell-off
❗ SL with Reasoning
* Stop Loss: 0.6470
* Reasoning: Above final wick and imbalance; invalidation of HTF supply and D1 rejection structure.
🎯 TP1/TP2/TP3 Targets
* TP1: 0.6365 → H1 mid-range structure
* TP2: 0.6320 → D1 equal lows + liquidity pool
* TP3 (Extended): 0.6285 → Full H4 liquidity run below multi-week range
🧠 Management Strategy
* Risk: 0.5% per entry zone
* Scale: Add 0.25% on secondary zone if triggered
* Breakeven: On clear break of 0.6365 with momentum
* Trail: Trail manually after 0.6320 touch with volatility logic
⚠️ Confirmation Checklist
* ✅ H1 Bearish Engulfing at entry
* ✅ Volume spike or wick rejection (preferably NY session)
* Optional: Internal BOS on M15 near entry adds further weight
⏳ Validity
* Swing Trade: Valid for 48–72 hours
* Review zone daily for continuation or rejection invalidation
❌ Invalidation Conditions
* Clean close above 0.6468 on H4 or Daily
* Break in bearish HTF structure
* DXY sharp reversal invalidating USD strength
🌐 Fundamental & Sentiment Snapshot
* AUD: Bearish due to weaker CPI outlook, RBA dovish tones
* USD: Bullish momentum from sticky CPI + Fed hawkish repricing
* Sentiment: Risk-off continues favoring USD gains against risk currencies like AUD
📋 Final Trade Summary
AUDUSD presents a textbook swing continuation short from a premium supply area backed by macro USD strength, technical structure break, and session rejection. Favoring strong reward with tight invalidation, it's positioned for a 2–3 day hold targeting March–April liquidity pockets.
AUDUSD Will Move Lower! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 7h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.642.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.635 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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