Get started

U.S. Dollar / Australian Dollar

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Technicals Seasonals Economic Calendar

USDAUD trade ideas

AUDUSD Retest of Key breakout area at 0.62060-Fakeout or Retest.Following US CPI coming out as expected, (showing a slight uptick in inflation for December) TVC:DXY pushed back to 108.6-108.4 area: -> A rising wedge was identified on AUD/USD with an exit on the upside following CPI release. -> Aussie is trading at a key area around 0.6260, whether it will be a retest of the top of the wedge or a reclaim of this resistance and become a fakeout is still to be determined. Bulls narrative: -> Bulls see the current set up as a breakout from a wedge followed by a three leg pullback (5 min the time frame), they want a retest of 0.6260 followed by a follow through buying around 0.6260 and a reclaim of the 5 min EMA. bulls need to see follow through buying and consecutive bull bars. Previous 4H close above 0.62070 shows the market is willing to go above. Bears narrative -> After breakout there was no significant follow through buying followed by 5 consecutive bear bars on the 30 min. >A reclaim of the 0.62025 on the 4H timeframe would open the door to downside targets for at least a test of the bottom of the wedge at 0.61700. W -> Bears want weak buying around the 0.6260 and trap bulls for follow through selling and put them in a loosing trade For now, trade favors bulls with potential for upside targets around the daily 20EMA and a retest of the 0.62800 and 0.63000 area. If none of these scenarios play out in the coming hours, market will go sideways to down.
Long
by Baudoouin
2
Aussie rises after US core CPI declines to 3.2%The Australian dollar is higher for a third consecutive trading day. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6233, up 0.63% at the time of writing. The US inflation report for December was a mixed bag, as headline CPI rose while the core rate declined. Headline CPI rose to 2.9% y/y from 2.7% in November, matching the market estimate. Monthly, headline CPI rose to 0.4%, up from 0.3% and above the market estimate of 0.3%. The more important story was the decline in core CPI, which excludes food and energy and is more closely watched by the Federal Reserve than the headline data. Core CPI eased to 3.2% y/y in December, down from 3.3% over the past three months and below the market estimate of 3.3%.  Monthly, core CPI ticked lower to 0.2% in December, down from 0.3% a month earlier and in line with the market estimate. The decline in core CPI was small but still significant, as the core rate showed downward movement after remaining unchanged for three months. Investors responded by raising the probability of a quarter-point cut in March at 29%, up from 19% prior to the inflation release, according to CME's FedWatch. The Fed meets at the end of the month and is virtually certain to hold rates. Australia releases the December employment report early on Thursday. Australia's labor market remains solid, although the economy as a whole is struggling. Job growth increased by a strong 35.6 thousand in November, beating expectations. Will the positive trend continue? The market estimate for December stands at 15 thousand, which would mark a nine-month low. The unemployment rate has been low and fell to an eight-month low in November at 3.9%. It is expected to creep up to 4.0% in December. The Reserve Bank of Australia meets on Feb. 18 and the strength of the labor market is a key consideration in the central bank's decision-making. As long as the labor market remains solid and does not deteriorate quickly, the RBA can afford to hold off on a rate cut. If, however, the employment report is softer than expected, it would put pressure on the RBA to lower rates at next month's meeting. AUD/USD is testing resistance at 0.6231. Above, there is resistance at 0.6255 0.6189 and 0.6171 are providing support
by OANDA
AUD/USD Bullish Trade Set Up! A lot of Confirmation! Tap In Now!We are seeing AUD/USD rebound from a 4-day bearish push to .61300 to new highs around the .62000 level. The .62000 level has been holding strong as a resistance level; four separate times it has held the market below it. It has now broken back above previous lows and is now retesting to the support line and is looking to move around the .61800 level. We are also hovering between the 50 and 200 EMA levels, with the EMAs starting to converge. Another sign we see is an inverse shoulder head shoulder on the 1 hour. The low of the right shoulder is the black box at .61700, and we don't want to see the market break below that point. If it breaks below the black low box, it is an indication of bearish strength. Move Summary: We want to see it make a move to break through the .62000 level to break into more buy territory and create new highs. A break above the 200 EMA would be another signal for bullish confirmation. Our target will be the MONEY box for a 3:1 trade. Like, Comment, and Follow if you agree with this Idea! Let's Connect!
Long
by AceTradingAcademy
AUDUSD - Potential Bullish Reversal, LONGDear Friends, CPI Today, be Safe! How I see it: Falling Wedge Pattern. Price is holding around fair market value, exhaustion characteristics. Safest Option: Waiting for a wedge " breakout and hold (or Re-Test)" for a "Long" entry. The falling wedge pattern "breakouts" can be some of the most explosive of all breakouts. Keynote: (Patience!) "Falling Wedge Exhaustion" patterns are the best bullish reversal indicators in my opinion. It is also the best breakout patterns for a "LONG" entry of course. Whatever happens, regardless of the strength and the distance of the "breakout". IT HAS TO COME BACK AND TEST THE BREAKOUT "ZONE" AGAIN, ALWAYS! I deeply appreciate you taking the time to study my analysis and point of view.
Long
by ANROC
Ghost Traders FX AUD/USD 4H Continuation [SHORT]Price formed a weak low @ 0.613 on Friday last week. It looks to me that most of this rally has just been big money taking profit on short positions as opposed to any real buying pressure on AUD or we would of seen a faster recovery, not a slow drip up. Price has rejected the previous 4H ranges BOS and close back below it forming strong consolidation. I'm anticipating news today sweep one last time below the low set @ 0.613, tapping into a key level used in 2020 COVID recovery and the Higher Time Frame analysis heading into full swing. Goodluck gang.
Short
by Ghost_Traders_FX
AUDUSD H1 | Bearish Reversal Based on the 4-hour chart analysis, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 0.6221, which is a key resistance near the 127% Fibonacci extension. This level is expected to act as a potential reversal point in the bearish setup. Our take profit is set at 0.6172, an overlap support. The stop loss is set at 0.6133, below the recent swing low and a key support zone, providing room for price fluctuations while protecting against invalidation of the bearish setup. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
Elliott Wave View Looking for AUDUSD to Resume LowerShort Term Elliott Wave view in AUDUSD suggests that cycle from 9.30.2024 high is in progress as an impulse. Down from 9.30.2024 high, wave 1 ended at 0.6434 and wave 2 rally ended at 0.6528. Pair resumed lower in wave 3 towards 0.6176 as the 1 hour chart below shows. Wave 4 rally ended at 0.63. Internal subdivision of wave 4 unfolded as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Up from wave 3, wave ((a)) ended at 0.6225 and pullback in wave ((b)) ended at 0.6194. Wave ((c)) higher ended at 0.63 which completed wave 4 in higher degree. Pair has resumed lower in wave 5 which subdivides into another 5 waves. Down from wave 4, wave ((i)) ended at 0.6128. Wave ((ii)) rally is in progress as a zigzag with wave (a) ended at 0.6207 and wave (b) ended at 0.6162. Expect wave (c) higher to end at 0.624 – 0.629 area and this should complete wave ((ii)) in higher degree. As far as pivot at 0.6302 high stays intact, expect rally to fail in 3, 7, 11 swing for further downside.
by Elliottwave-Forecast
AUDUSD InsightHello, subscribers! It's great to see you all. Please feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to hit the boost button and subscribe! Key Points - According to foreign media reports, President-elect Trump’s economic team is reportedly considering a gradual increase in tariffs by 2–5% per month, interpreted as a strategy to minimize a sharp rise in inflation. - The market has shown relief regarding inflation after both the December PPI headline and core figures came in significantly below expectations, shifting focus to the upcoming CPI. - Concerns over stagflation risks and rising fiscal deficits persist as the yield on the UK’s 30-year government bond reaches its highest level since 1998. - In Australia, November retail sales rose 0.8% month-on-month, marking the largest increase in 10 months, while November CPI reached 2.3%, nearing the target range and raising expectations for a rate cut in February. Major Economic Events This Week + January 15: UK December Consumer Price Index (CPI), US December Consumer Price Index (CPI) + January 16: UK November GDP, Germany December Consumer Price Index (CPI), US December Retail Sales + January 17: UK December Consumer Price Index (CPI) AUDUSD Chart Analysis Recently, the AUD/USD pair has experienced significant downward pressure due to the US dollar's strength and rising expectations of a rate cut by the Reserve Bank of Australia. During this decline, the pair broke below the 0.62000 level. However, it has since rebounded, recovering to around the 0.62000 level as it finds support. That said, the upward movement may be short-lived, with a high likelihood of continuing its downward trend toward the 0.60000 level after confirming a peak. If the upside momentum unexpectedly strengthens, I will quickly adjust the strategy accordingly.
Short
by shawntime_academy
AUD/USD steady as consumer sentiment slips lowerThe Australian dollar is showing little movement on Tuesday. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6174, down 0.06% at the time of writing. The Australian consumer remains pessimistic about the economic outlook. The Westpac consumer sentiment index fell 0.7% in January from -2% in December 2024. This brought the index down to 92.1 in January, down from 92.8 a month earlier. The Westpac report found that confidence over employment has been falling and interestingly, a majority of consumers expect interest rates to move higher, despite signals that the Reserve Bank of Australia's first rate move will be a cut rather than a hike. The RBA hasn't moved on rates in over a year and the current cash rate of 4.25% continues to squeeze businesses and consumers. Australia releases third-quarter inflation on Jan. 29 and the central bank will be watching. That inflation reading could result in a historic rate cut if inflation is lower than expected. We'll get a look at the US Producer Price Index later today, with mixed numbers expected. PPI is projected to jump from 3.0% to 3.4% y/y  while decreasing monthly from 0.4% to 0.3%. Core PPI and is expected to jump to 3.8% y/y from 3.4% and from 0.2% to 03% m/m. If the PPI report indicates an acceleration as is expected, the money markets will likely lower their expectations for a rate cut. Currently, the money markets have priced in a quarter-point cut at the Jan. 29 meeting at below 3%  and at the March meeting at around 20%. Federal Reserve members are sounding hawkish and have signaled that the market shouldn't expect a rate cut anytime soon. AUD/USD tested resistance at 0.6193 earlier. Above, there is resistance at 0.6209 0.6162 and 0.6146 are providing support
by OANDA