AUDUSD SELL & BUY TRADE PLAN🔥 AUD/USD TRADE PLAN
📅 Date: 17 April 2025
🔖 Plan Type:
Dual-Sided Swing Setup
→ Bearish Reversal (Active)
→ Bullish Re-entry Setup (Not Yet Active)
📈 Bias & Trade Type:
Primary Bias: 🔻 Bearish Reversal from Supply (LTF weakness forming)
Secondary Bias: 🔼 Bullish Re-engagement from deeper HTF OB zones
🔰 Confidence Level:
Sell Plan: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (80%) – Active structure + rejection forming
Buy Plan: ⭐⭐⭐ (70%) – Pending price retrace to HTF demand
📌 CURRENT TRADE STATUS:
AUD/USD is trading at 0.6337, just under intra supply zone (0.6345–0.6365)
✅ Sell Setup = Active: Price showing rejection, divergence forming on M15–H1
❌ Buy Setup = Not yet valid: Lower zone untested
⚠️ If price consolidates without clean rejection or BOS → Neutral zone
📍 ENTRY ZONES:
🔴 SELL PLAN – Bearish Reversal
🟥 Primary Sell Zone: 0.6345 – 0.6375
→ (M15–H1 bearish OB + imbalance fill + premium structure zone)
🔁 Confirmation: LTF bearish engulfing, divergence, or wick re-entry below 0.6345
🟥 Secondary Sell Zone: 0.6390 – 0.6415
→ (Unmitigated H4 imbalance top + structure sweep zone)
🔁 Entry only on rejection with wick trap or supply re-entry
❗ Stop Loss: Above 0.6435
→ Invalidates HTF bearish scenario, breaks OB stack
🎯 Take Profits:
🎯 TP1: 0.6280 → Local support cluster
🎯 TP2: 0.6235 → H4 demand + FVG
🎯 TP3: 0.6205 → Weekly OB tap zone (HTF liquidity pocket)
🟢 BUY PLAN – Bullish Continuation Setup
🟩 Primary Buy Zone: 0.6230 – 0.6265
→ (Clean demand block + unfilled FVG + previous BOS)
🔁 Confirmation: Bullish LTF reclaim + OB absorption
🟨 Secondary Buy Zone: 0.6175 – 0.6205
→ (Weekly OB sweep zone + deeper liquidity trap)
🔁 Entry only with wick + D1 support reclaim
❗ Stop Loss: Below 0.6150
→ Invalidates HTF bullish structure
🎯 Take Profits:
🎯 TP1: 0.6320 → Supply gap re-entry
🎯 TP2: 0.6370 → Previous high + fair value
🎯 TP3: 0.6425 → Weekly resistance / liquidity wick
🧠 CONFLUENCE SNAPSHOT:
🔻 Bearish Setup Confluences:
✅ OB rejection zone (H1–H4 supply)
✅ Price hit premium zone with no follow-through
✅ M15–H1 divergence & wick exhaustion
✅ Trendline break signs + weakening upside momentum
✅ Macro USD stabilization adds weight
🔼 Bullish Setup Confluences:
✅ Unmitigated HTF demand zone (0.6230–0.6265)
✅ Prior BOS with imbalance left behind
✅ USD still structurally soft overall
⚠️ Await volume spike + LTF reclaim to activate
📏 Risk–Reward Estimate:
Sell Setup: Up to 1:3.5 depending on entry precision
Buy Setup: Up to 1:4.0 if from deeper OB
🧠 Management Guidelines:
📍 Move SL to BE after TP1
📍 Scale partials at TP1/TP2
📍 Leave 25–30% to run for HTF expansion
🔁 Re-entry optional if BOS confirmed again from OB
🌐 Fundamentals:
AUD supported by China resilience & risk-on rebound
USD volatile post CPI but showing short-term recovery signs
No major red-tier events today, but Fed speakers + risk sentiment pivotal
⏳ Validity:
48 hours from trigger or until OB structure is invalidated
📋 Final Summary:
AUD/USD currently showing signs of short-term exhaustion at supply. A well-structured bearish reversal setup is live with clean entry zones and TP targets. HTF bullish scenario may activate only upon a deeper retracement to unfilled demand zones. Confirmation critical. Trade both sides if confluence triggers separately.
