AUDUSD Technical and Order Flow AnalysisOur analysis is based on multi-timeframe top-down analysis & fundamental analysis.
Based on our view the price will rise to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis can change anytime without notice and is only for assisting traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no reason to act on it, and neither should you.
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USDAUD trade ideas
Week of 4/13/25: AUDUSD AnalysisDaily bias is bullish, prior week ended bullish with a V shape recovery showing that bulls are in control. As always our MTF internal structure dictates our immediate bias (bullish) and until it breaks, we're continuing our longs.
Price is reaching an important level at the extreme of the HTF supply level so once price gets there, it's good to see what happens next.
Major News: Unemployment Claims - Thursday
Preview strong resistance and also the nec line!Those who are passionate about trading know that this is a tough business. You have to understand that the predictions people make regarding the price movement directions are based on probabilities. There is no such thing as 100 percent direction in the market and that is because the market can turn against you or your direction any time it wants. The reason doesn't even matter, it could be the news of some geopolitical changes, oil cut production or war, or many other factors that could impact the financial market. If you have one or more good reasons that the price will follow a certain direction all you have to do is to take a small risk entry in your direction with a good risk-to-reward ratio and just wait and see how the market will perform. A trader could have 1 good reason or a few reasons why his bias is up or down. The reasons could be based on particular studies, past behavior, fundamentals, technical analysis, or certain observations. The important part for you to understand is that the market is in a continuously changing process this means that yesterday's prediction, today could be irrelevant. The market does not have to follow your analysis. You have to follow the market, observe its changes, and react accordingly to them! I hope some of you will find this helpful, good luck!
AUDUSD: Expecting Bearish Movement! Here is Why:
The analysis of the AUDUSD chart clearly shows us that the pair is finally about to tank due to the rising pressure from the sellers.
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AUDUSD Waiting for Pullbacks
Price began a recovery process to the upside since the beginning of this week.
We should be completing wave 1/A pretty soon, and I´ll be looking for 2/B correction for long trades.
Green support would be a very interesting spot for the correction.
To the upside, there is strong resistance just below 0.64 (gray zone).
AUDUSD I Weekly CLS I KL - OB I Model 2, Target - CLS HHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
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My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
🛡️ Models 1 and 2:
From my posts, you can learn two core execution models.
They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
📍 Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
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AUDUSD Technical Analysis! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for AUDUSD is below:
The market is trading on 0.6377 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 0.6324
Recommended Stop Loss - 0.6403
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUD_USD BULLISH BREAKOUT|LONG|
✅AUD_USD is going up now
And the pair made a bullish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 0.6200 which is now
A support and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are locally
Bullish biased and we will be
Expecting a further move up
After a potential pullback
LONG🚀
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AUD/USD - Sellers remain in control!The AUD/USD pair has been in a clear and consistent downtrend on both the 4-hour and daily timeframes. Sellers have maintained firm control over price action, driving the pair lower while it continues to respect the prevailing bearish market structure. Each failed bullish attempt further validates the dominance of the bears, reinforcing the narrative that the path of least resistance remains to the downside.
Recently, however, the 4-hour chart witnessed a sharp move to the upside, tapping into and filling a previously unmitigated 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG). Despite this temporary rally, the broader structure remains bearish, with the market still printing lower highs and lower lows, a classic hallmark of a sustained downtrend. As such, the current momentum favors a continuation lower, potentially targeting the green imbalance/FVG zone on the 4H timeframe, which aligns with the next logical area of liquidity.
This green FVG also coincides with the golden pocket retracement zone (61.8%–65%), adding confluence and strengthening its validity as a potential support area. A reaction here could provide an opportunity for a short-term bullish correction or even the start of a larger reversal, depending on how price behaves around this level.
That said, a bullish scenario is not entirely off the table. Should price decisively break above the red FVG to the upside, and ideally close above it with conviction, it may signal a potential shift in market sentiment. This would be the first sign of buyers regaining control, suggesting a possible trend reversal or at least a deeper retracement toward higher time frame resistance zones.
Until such confirmation is seen, however, bearish momentum prevails. Traders can continue to favor short setups, with particular interest around premium zones on the 4H chart. Any bullish setups should be approached cautiously and ideally considered only at key areas of support like the green FVG, especially where it aligns with high-probability fib levels.
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AUDUSD SELL?The market is currently testing the current Daily 0.786 Fib Area and based on 4HR TF, the market seems to be forming a possible reversal pattern which could lead to a possible reversal.
We could see SELLERS coming in strong should the current level hold.
Disclaimer:
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account.
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AUDUSDWe await a retest and withdrawal of liquidity and a correction to the area we specified at points 0.6135 and 0.61084. From this area, we wait for a confirmation candle and a buy entry, targeting 0.62555. But noticing any movement in the market may change the goals. This is a region, so we will wait and see what update we publish.
#AUDUSD PERFECT PULLBACK SCENARIOAUDUSD broke structure to the downside earlier and pulled back to this exact zone around 0.62600.
I will now wait for this pullback to complete and confirmation to enter my short trade with 1st target set at 0.60770 and 2nd target set at 0.59.500.
Trade carefully due to PPI news today!
AUDUSD SHORT 📉 AUDUSD: Missed the Entry, But Still Watching Closely! 🔍
I already posted about this one: bearish bias on AUDUSD, but I didn’t manage to enter.
Here’s a quick update with a bit more clarity:
🧠 I still believe a downward move is in the cards, but we’ll need to drop to lower timeframes to catch clean confirmations, find a solid entry, and of course, manage risk with a proper stop.
📌 No rush – let’s stick to the plan and wait for the right moment.
💬 How are you approaching this pair?
Good luck and good analysis, traders! 🚀
AUDUSD Will Fall! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.622.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.602.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUD/USD Breakdown: Bears in ControlThe AUD/USD pair has officially broken below its medium-term ascending channel on the daily chart, signaling a strong shift in momentum. After failing to hold above the resistance zone at 0.6311 – 0.6386, the pair reversed sharply and is now trading around 0.6213.
🔍 Key technical highlights:
A confirmed breakout beneath the channel support, accompanied by strong bearish candles, suggests growing seller dominance.
Both the EMA 34 and EMA 89 are now positioned well above the current price, reinforcing a medium-term bearish trend.
A potential short-term pullback to the 0.6240 – 0.6266 area may occur before further downside continuation.
📉 Next downside target: If bearish momentum persists and price fails to reclaim the broken support, the pair is likely to slide toward the marked support at 0.59142.
💬 With the USD gaining strength amid hawkish Fed expectations and the AUD facing domestic economic headwinds, selling the rallies remains the favored strategy in the current environment.
AUD/USD Update: Potential Targets Dear Fellow Traders,
4HR Calibration - Post CPI
1) Potential return - "SHORT" to breakout area if bullish trend is breached.
2) Potential continuation of rally - in case of breached trend resistance:
* Imbalance to be filled
Feel free to ask if anything is unclear.
Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis.