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USDAUD trade ideas

23rd September 2024 (AUDUSD) Currency Pair Upward Trend Current Market Conditions: The AUDUSD pair is in the midst of an impulsive bullish wave structure, currently in the corrective Wave (4) phase. The market is trading within a well-defined upward trend channel, with a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows. Key Technical Levels: Support: The primary support is located at 0.6765, which corresponds to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the prior impulse wave. A break below this level could invalidate the bullish structure. Resistance: The key resistance stands at 0.6962, representing the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. A successful break above this level would confirm the completion of Wave (4) and signal the continuation of the broader uptrend. Invalidation Point: The crucial level to watch is 0.6715, which is the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the previous impulse wave. A sustained break below this point would invalidate the current bullish thesis. Expectations for the Next 2 Weeks: Consolidation and Retracement: In the next two weeks, the AUDUSD pair is likely to experience a period of consolidation and retracement as it completes Wave (4) of the larger bullish impulse. Breakout Scenario: If the price manages to break above the 0.6962 resistance level, it would confirm the completion of Wave (4) and the start of Wave (5), potentially leading to further upside. Invalidation Risk: Traders should closely monitor the 0.6715 invalidation point, as a breakdown below this level would suggest a more substantial corrective phase and a reassessment of the market structure. Conclusion: The AUDUSD pair is expected to navigate a period of consolidation and potential retracement in the next two weeks as it completes the Wave (4) corrective phase. Traders should keep a close eye on the key support and resistance levels, as a successful breakout above 0.6962 could signal the continuation of the broader bullish trend. However, a breakdown below the 0.6715 invalidation point would warrant a reevaluation of the market outlook.
Long
by spacedevil
3
AUD/USD's Path to 0.70: Bullish Continuation in PlaySince the beginning of August, AUD/USD has started reversing its bearish trend. The rise appears to be forming an ABCD pattern, with the final target potentially around the 0.70 level. After reaching a recent high, this week's correction halted exactly at the confluence of support, defined by a horizontal line and a trendline. Yesterday, the pair quickly rebounded near its previous top, which is clearly a bullish sign Today, we’re seeing a minor pullback, which could present a good buying opportunity. I remain bullish as long as the support holds and am targeting the 0.70 zone.
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
2
AUDUSD H1 I Bearish BreakoutBased on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 0.6886, a pullback resistance level. Our take profit will be at 0.6833, which is a pullback support close to 78.6% Fibonacci retracement The stop loss will be placed at 0.6907, which is a swing-high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
2
AUD/USD Bounce from Fibo Support, Prior Resistance If looking for USD-weakness to continue through tomorrow's Core PCE report, AUD/USD can remain a viable venue, along with GBP/USD. The pair had a stark pullback yesterday but support showed at a key Fibonacci level plotted at .6824. That was resistance just last week and, so far, it's substantiated a bounce back up to the .6900 handle. That's also the level that bulls need to hold to retain the trend or else there'll be an oncoming concern of lower-lows and highs. That's a scenario I'd look to in the event of a USD recovery, which is certainly a possibility ahead of and around tomorrow's Core PCE release. But - if looking for USD-strength, EUR/USD may be a more attractive venue. And, big picture, this speaks to potential for bearish scenarios in EUR/AUD, playing the fundamental divergence between Europe and Australia. - js
by FOREXcom
1
AudUsd Mid-term AnalysisThe price, which broke the main resistance level after the FED's rate cut that exceeded expectations, has retested the broken resistance level today, turning it into a support level. In the main trend movement, we expect the price to complete the Elliott 3rd wave around the 0.7000 level. Afterward, we anticipate a corrective drop to the main support level of 0.68, followed by another rise for the 5th wave. For more detailed information, you can check our DXY analysis.
Long
by TradeAndMeApp
Bearish reversal off 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?AUD/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.6867 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.6909 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 0.6795 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets