3RR Trade on AUDUSD Long Using Banks StrategyBased on my trading algorithms which are using banks strategy, this set up will give a 3RR
USDAUD trade ideas
AU 15 MIN CHARTlots of bullish momentum on higher tf. so closed short at 7R and reversed my bias . We should take asian range and go up to higher imbalalnces
AUDUSD Analysis: Follow The Price BreakoutAUDUSD Analysis: Contracting Triangle Pattern
The AUDUSD is currently creating a "Contracting Triangle pattern." Typically, this is a bullish
or bearish continuation pattern, but in this scenario, AUDUSD is presenting both bullish and bearish trading opportunities due to ongoing tariff issues.
Later today, the FOMC Minutes will be in focus, which could further impact the market.
On Tuesday, U.S. President Donald Trump announced his intention to impose auto tariffs "in the neighborhood of 25%" and similar duties on semiconductors and pharmaceutical imports. This is the latest in a series of measures that could significantly disrupt international trade
You may find more details in the chart!
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#AUDUSD 1DAYAUDUSD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price has been in a downtrend but has now broken above the downtrend resistance, signaling a potential shift in market direction. A breakout from this level suggests that buyers are gaining strength, possibly leading to further bullish movement.
Forecast:
A buy opportunity may arise as the breakout indicates a change in trend. Waiting for a retest of the breakout level for confirmation can provide a stronger entry point.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: A buy position can be considered after a successful breakout and retest of the previous resistance as support.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed below the breakout level to minimize risk.
- Take Profit: Target key resistance zones where price may face selling pressure.
Market Sentiment:
The breakout of the downtrend resistance suggests that bullish momentum is increasing. A confirmed retest with strong price action can provide better confirmation for an upward move.
uptrendConsidering the price action within the current resistance range, possible scenarios have been identified.
As long as the price fluctuates above the red support range, the upward trend is likely to continue.
AUD/USD bullish setupBullish market opening, taking liquidity in the nearest FVG (Fair Value Gap). In higher timeframes, we have continuation and a change of character.
AudUsd Buy then sellAudUsd still needs to retest the resistance above before dropping
**not financial advice**
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Australian Dollar holds up after RBA rate cut | FX ResearchEarlier today, the Reserve Bank of Australia cut rates by 25 basis points as widely expected. The accompanying communication leaned to the hawkish side with respect to the outlook on future rate cuts, which kept the Australian dollar propped up. As for Fed rate expectations, the market is currently pricing in 40 basis points of cuts in 2025. Meanwhile, risk sentiment has been improving in recent days due to an alleviation of stress around tariffs and a potential peace deal between Russia and Ukraine.
Key standouts on Tuesday's calendar include UK employment data, a speech from BOE Governor Bailey, German and Eurozone ZEW sentiment, Canada inflation data, New York Empire manufacturing, NAHB housing, and Fed speak. That's all for now.
Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
AUDUSD SELL ANALYSIS SMART MONEY CONCEPT Here on Audusd price form a supply around level of resistance and is likely to continue going down as more seller will come and push the price down so trader should go for short with expect profit target of 0.62575 and 0.61508 . Use money management
Falling towards 50% Fibonacci support?AUD/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6304
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6254
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.6375
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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AUDUSD Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a buying opportunity around 0.63200 zone, AUDUSD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.63200 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUDUSD ShortUse proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice.
AUmy short and thoughts on where price may want to fill imb or supply or demand zones . Large range demand with internal pivots. Price could sweep the low or not even come all the way down . take profits on the way down . .
AUDUSD SellAUDUSD SELL After LDN Killzone and moving towards 4h +FVG present below giving us 1:7 Risk:Reward Ratio... Let's see how the trade plays out!
AUD: A hawkish cut by the RBAThe Reserve Bank of Australia cut rates for the first time in four years this morning, matching consensus and market expectations. The 25bp reduction was accompanied by some rather hawkish remarks by Governor Michele Bullock, both in the statement and in the press conference.
Bullock seemed to focus on pushing back against the dovish repricing in the AUD curve, reiterating that the focus remains firmly on inflation risk. That approach is in contrast with those of other developed central banks (including the neighbouring Reserve Bank of New Zealand, which should cut 50bp this week) which have shifted towards growth concerns.
Markets are pricing just under two cuts in Australia by the end of 2025, while we have a slightly more dovish forecast with one cut per quarter (three in total). Bullock’s cautious tone on further easing has allowed AUD to counter the USD rebound this morning. That said, we doubt markets are ready to shift expectations to only one RBA cut this year, and AUD’s high exposure to the trade story and risk sentiment may quickly overcome any short-term benefits from the RBA’s tone today.
We still think a return to 0.62 in AUD/USD is warranted by the end of March, with further downside risks in the second and third quarters when US protectionism may intensify.
AUD/USD Trades Near Year’s High After RBA DecisionAUD/USD Trades Near Year’s High After RBA Decision
Today, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) eased monetary policy, cutting the interest rate from 4.35% to 4.10%, according to Forex Factory.
As reported by Reuters:
→ This marks the first easing since the 2020 pandemic;
→ RBA Governor Michele Bullock stated that market expectations for two more cuts this year are “ambitious”;
→ The bank’s leadership remains cautious about further easing prospects.
While analysts had accurately predicted the February rate cut, AUD/USD saw volatility without a significant move, possibly because market participants are more focused on Trump’s tariff plans, which could impact global trade and Forex markets.
Technical Analysis of AUD/USD Today
Since mid-December, the AUD/USD pair has mostly traded within the 0.6200–0.6300 range, except for early February’s sharp drop when Trump’s tariff policies shook currency markets.
However, demand appears resilient:
→ After plunging to around 0.6100, the price quickly rebounded into the range;
→ Arrows highlight rapid recoveries after short-term dips;
→ A blue ascending trend channel is forming on the chart.
These factors suggest growing appeal for the Australian dollar, with the 0.6300 level potentially acting as support going forward.
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AUD/USD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
AUD-USD uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 0.625 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the AUD/USD pair.
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AUDUSD Bullish AUD/USD has successfully broken a strong resistance level, signaling bullish momentum. After the breakout, we may see a retracement to the previous resistance area, which could now act as support before the next leg up. If buyers continue stepping in, further upside movement is expected.
🔹 Key Levels to Watch:
✅ Support: Retesting the previous resistance zone
✅ Bullish Confirmation: Holding above support could fuel further upside
Always follow proper risk management and wait for confirmation before entering trades
analysis based on smc and support amnd resisitence price actionsharing my view and my analysis for this pair
only educational purpose feel free to copy it for yourself basically posting for my data
The RBA just cut by 25bp: Instant ViewThe RBA have just cut their cash rate for the first time since late 2020. Using their monetary policy statement and updated forecast, I provide my instant high-level view of what this could mean fir future policy - with an update to my AUD/USD outlook thrown in for good measure.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Falling towards 50% Fibonacci support?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.6301
1st Support: 0.6259
1st Resistance: 0.6376
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AUD: a hawkish cut from the RBA?We continue to expect the RBA to start its rate cutting cycle with a hawkish 25bp rate cut on Tuesday. Australian trimmed mean inflation surprised the central bank 20bp to the downside coming out at 3.2% YoY in Q4. On a 6M annualised basis, trimmed mean inflation is running close to the centre of the central bank’s 2-3% target band. Household consumption appears to be picking up following income tax cuts and the introduction of the government’s cost-of-living measures, but recent retail sales have been given a boost by Black Friday and Cyber Monday sales and consumption likely remains soft.
While Australia’s labour market remains tight with an unemployment rate of 4%, the RBA will likely lower its estimate of NAIRU from 4.25% to around 4% given that wage inflation is coming off despite the stubbornly low unemployment rate. The central bank should also lower its inflation and growth forecasts to justify its rate cut. While the RBA may want to hold off for another quarterly inflation print to be more confident, inflation is coming sustainably back within its 2-3% target band, waiting until after the Q1 inflation data on 30 April would mean the central bank would be very likely be cutting rates during a Federal election.
RBA Governor Michele Bullock will manage households’ expectations, however, in her press conference and parliamentary committee hearing later this week. She will point to a likely shallow rate cutting cycle for several reasons. First, rental inflation while coming lower as immigration slows is coming off high levels. Construction of rental properties is occurring at a snail’s pace.
Second, fiscal policy will continue working against monetary policy during an election year, the ALP and opposition Liberal-National Party coalition (LNP) have already pledged over AUD10bn in additional spending; and the official election campaign has not even started. Third, trade frictions and tariffs generated by the administration of President Donald Trump will add to international inflation pressures in Australia. The US economy also remains robust and there is a growing risk of the FOMC not cutting rates any further. A strong US economy is good news for the Australian economy and will also limit RBA rate cuts. At 4.35%, the RBA’s cash rate is not far above the RBA’s central estimate of neutral of around 3.50%. With the market about 85% priced for a 25bp cut by the RBA this week, the kneejerk reaction in the AUD will be lower, but then the focus will be on Bullock’s rhetoric. We continue to look for just 75-100 bp worth of rate cuts by the RBA in 2025 and this is in line with current market pricing. Australian wages and labour market data out later in the week hold further volatility for the AUD.
AUDUSDHere's how the anticipated Australian economic data releases may affect the AUD/USD trade directional bias today by 4;30am
Key Data Releases and Potential Impacts:
(1)Cash Rate (Forecast 4.10%, Previous 4.35%):
Lower than Forecast (AUD Negative): If the actual cash rate is lower than the forecast of 4.10%, it would indicate a more dovish stance by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), suggesting concerns about economic growth. This would likely weaken the AUD, leading to a potential decline in the AUD/USD.
As Expected (Neutral to Slightly AUD Negative): If the cash rate matches the forecast of 4.10%, the impact might be neutral, but the AUD could still face some downward pressure because it confirms the RBA is easing monetary policy.
Higher than Forecast (AUD Positive): An unexpected hold or increase in the cash rate would signal a hawkish RBA, strengthening the AUD and potentially leading to an increase in the AUD/USD.
(2)RBA Monetary Policy Statement & RBA Rate Statement:
These statements provide context and reasoning behind the RBA's interest rate decisions and offer insights into the central bank's economic outlook and future policy intentions.
Dovish Statements (AUD Negative): If the statements express concerns about economic growth, highlight downside risks, or signal further rate cuts, the AUD would likely weaken, pushing the AUD/USD lower.
Hawkish Statements (AUD Positive): If the statements convey confidence in the economy, emphasize inflation control, or suggest a willingness to raise rates if needed, the AUD would likely strengthen, potentially leading to an increase in the AUD/USD.
(3)Factors Influencing AUD/USD Directional Bias:
Interest Rate Differentials: The difference between the interest rates set by the RBA and the US Federal Reserve influences the AUD/USD. If the Federal Reserve were to increase the interest rate, money may flow into the US strengthening the US dollar, and consequently weakening the AUD/USD rate.
(4)US Economic Data and Fed Policy: The anticipation is that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will adopt a more cautious stance on cutting interest rates going forward.
(5)China's Economic Conditions: China's weaker-than-expected reports fuel global growth concerns and limit the demand of "risk" currencies like the Aussie.
(6)Commodity Prices: AUD/USD is behaving like a cyclical risk asset, showing relationships with crude oil
Potential Scenarios and Trade Implications:
Dovish RBA, Hawkish Fed: This scenario could create a bearish backdrop for AUD/USD.
Technical Considerations: AUD/USD is finding support from a major area of interest at 0.61451 support,it may see enough demand to revisit the the supply roof aand if it breaks it to the moon,
