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USDAUD trade ideas

AUD/USD – Swing Short from Resistance | Daily RangeI'm placing a sell limit order on AUD/USD at a key resistance level, with a take profit set at the bottom of the current daily range. This is a swing trade based on both technical structure and fundamental reasoning. Technically, price has been moving in a consolidation range on the daily chart, trading between the EMA 100 and EMA 200, which often signals indecision and potential reversal zones. The resistance I'm targeting has acted as a ceiling within this range. From a fundamental perspective, the USD has been under prolonged pressure due to political uncertainty and weakening investor confidence in the U.S. economy. However, this bearish momentum may be overextended — the DXY (Dollar Index) is currently testing the 99.600 level, a significant historical support. A potential bounce from this zone could bring USD strength back into the picture, increasing the probability of a reversal in AUD/USD. This trade idea aligns a technical resistance rejection with a possible USD recovery, making it a high-probability short setup in the current market context
Short
by Rikardo_Donatelo
4
Trading AUDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 15/04/2025Tuesday's price action on FX:AUDUSD , we got a textbook Judas Swing play and for those still getting used to spotting these setups in real-time, let’s break this one down and talk through what happened and more importantly, why it happened. Going into the session open, we had a relatively tight consolidation, with the 00:00 - 08:30est range acting as a container for liquidity. Price had built up liquidity at the high and low of the zone. Whichever side gets swept first will determine our directional bias for the session Just after the session began, we saw price aggressively push up taking out the buy side liquidity resting above those early highs. This is what is called the "Judas move", a false breakout meant to trap breakout buyers and entice liquidity into the market. This move is not random. It’s designed to induce traders into the wrong side of the market before the real direction reveals itself As soon as that liquidity grab was complete, we noticed price begin to stall and form a shift in market structure. This is critical. Once you see a break of structure to the downside, followed by a lower high into a FVG, that’s your confirmation that the real move, the sell-off is in play. We then saw clean displacement to the downside, confirming the manipulation phase was over Now we wait for a retracement into the Fair Value Gap (FVG). We'll only look to execute a trade once a candle enters the FVG and closes. After a few minutes of waiting, price finally retraced into the FVG, giving us the green light to execute the trade. Entry: 0.63749 Stop loss: 0.63849 Take profit: 0.63549 This FX:AUDUSD trade gave us a smooth ride with minimal drawdown. Right after entry price moved swiftly into profit. Although there was a brief retrace back to our entry point, it quickly corrected, and we were back in the green. With just a 1% risk, the trade delivered a solid 2% return all within 1 hour and 20 minutes This setup is an excellent example of why you don’t want to chase early session breakouts blindly. The Judas Swing strategy teaches us to look for the trap, wait for confirmation, and then trade in alignment with the real intention behind price. Beginners often get caught up in the initial move, thinking it’s the real trend. But if you can slow down, understand the time of day, the draw on liquidity, and the reaction around key highs/lows, you’ll start to see how often price manipulates before delivering.
by CleoFinance
AUD/USD) Resistance level pullback Short Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update analysis of the AUD/USD pair on the 2-hour timeframe, showing a possible bearish setup. Here's a breakdown of the idea behind it: Key Observations: 1. Current Trend: The pair was in an uptrend, as indicated by the rising channel (parallel trendlines). However, it has now broken out of that channel. 2. Resistance Level: The price has reached a resistance zone around 0.64000, and it seems to be rejecting this level. 3. 2 Timeframe Demand Zone: Around the 0.63300 – 0.63400 range, this area previously acted as a demand zone (support), and the chart suggests price might retest it. 4. Projected Move: First, a pullback up into the resistance zone could occur. Then a drop to the demand zone. If the demand zone fails to hold, the price could head down toward the key support/FVG (Fair Value Gap) around 0.61000 – 0.61500. 5. EMA (200): The 200 EMA is below the price, suggesting longer-term bullish pressure, but it's starting to flatten, which could signal weakness in the uptrend. 6. RSI Indicator: RSI is around 52, showing neutral momentum—neither overbought nor oversold, allowing room for movement in either direction. Mr SMC Trading point --- Idea Summary: The chart suggests a potential reversal from the uptrend into a downtrend, triggered by a failure to break above resistance. The two key targets for a bearish move are: First: the 2TF demand zone Final: the key support/FVG zone Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
5
AUDUSD – Sell Stop Setup (Intraday)Published: 17/04/2025 06:42 Expires: 18/04/2025 06:00 Duration: Intraday 🧠 Trade Summary Type: Sell Stop Entry: 0.6315 Target: 0.6205 Stop Loss: 0.6370 Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2 Confidence Level: 46% News Sentiment: 54% 📊 Technical View While bulls have been in control, momentum is stalling. Bearish divergence suggests limited upside potential. Price action is showing signs of forming a top. RSI is rolling over, indicating potential short-term weakness. A break below 0.6315 would confirm bearish intent and trigger the short setup. 🔍 Key Levels Resistance: 0.6380 / 0.6400 / 0.6425 Support: 0.6325 / 0.6275 / 0.6250 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by Signal_Centre1
AUDUSD SELL & BUY TRADE PLAN🔥 AUD/USD TRADE PLAN 📅 Date: 17 April 2025 🔖 Plan Type: Dual-Sided Swing Setup → Bearish Reversal (Active) → Bullish Re-entry Setup (Not Yet Active) 📈 Bias & Trade Type: Primary Bias: 🔻 Bearish Reversal from Supply (LTF weakness forming) Secondary Bias: 🔼 Bullish Re-engagement from deeper HTF OB zones 🔰 Confidence Level: Sell Plan: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (80%) – Active structure + rejection forming Buy Plan: ⭐⭐⭐ (70%) – Pending price retrace to HTF demand 📌 CURRENT TRADE STATUS: AUD/USD is trading at 0.6337, just under intra supply zone (0.6345–0.6365) ✅ Sell Setup = Active: Price showing rejection, divergence forming on M15–H1 ❌ Buy Setup = Not yet valid: Lower zone untested ⚠️ If price consolidates without clean rejection or BOS → Neutral zone 📍 ENTRY ZONES: 🔴 SELL PLAN – Bearish Reversal 🟥 Primary Sell Zone: 0.6345 – 0.6375 → (M15–H1 bearish OB + imbalance fill + premium structure zone) 🔁 Confirmation: LTF bearish engulfing, divergence, or wick re-entry below 0.6345 🟥 Secondary Sell Zone: 0.6390 – 0.6415 → (Unmitigated H4 imbalance top + structure sweep zone) 🔁 Entry only on rejection with wick trap or supply re-entry ❗ Stop Loss: Above 0.6435 → Invalidates HTF bearish scenario, breaks OB stack 🎯 Take Profits: 🎯 TP1: 0.6280 → Local support cluster 🎯 TP2: 0.6235 → H4 demand + FVG 🎯 TP3: 0.6205 → Weekly OB tap zone (HTF liquidity pocket) 🟢 BUY PLAN – Bullish Continuation Setup 🟩 Primary Buy Zone: 0.6230 – 0.6265 → (Clean demand block + unfilled FVG + previous BOS) 🔁 Confirmation: Bullish LTF reclaim + OB absorption 🟨 Secondary Buy Zone: 0.6175 – 0.6205 → (Weekly OB sweep zone + deeper liquidity trap) 🔁 Entry only with wick + D1 support reclaim ❗ Stop Loss: Below 0.6150 → Invalidates HTF bullish structure 🎯 Take Profits: 🎯 TP1: 0.6320 → Supply gap re-entry 🎯 TP2: 0.6370 → Previous high + fair value 🎯 TP3: 0.6425 → Weekly resistance / liquidity wick 🧠 CONFLUENCE SNAPSHOT: 🔻 Bearish Setup Confluences: ✅ OB rejection zone (H1–H4 supply) ✅ Price hit premium zone with no follow-through ✅ M15–H1 divergence & wick exhaustion ✅ Trendline break signs + weakening upside momentum ✅ Macro USD stabilization adds weight 🔼 Bullish Setup Confluences: ✅ Unmitigated HTF demand zone (0.6230–0.6265) ✅ Prior BOS with imbalance left behind ✅ USD still structurally soft overall ⚠️ Await volume spike + LTF reclaim to activate 📏 Risk–Reward Estimate: Sell Setup: Up to 1:3.5 depending on entry precision Buy Setup: Up to 1:4.0 if from deeper OB 🧠 Management Guidelines: 📍 Move SL to BE after TP1 📍 Scale partials at TP1/TP2 📍 Leave 25–30% to run for HTF expansion 🔁 Re-entry optional if BOS confirmed again from OB 🌐 Fundamentals: AUD supported by China resilience & risk-on rebound USD volatile post CPI but showing short-term recovery signs No major red-tier events today, but Fed speakers + risk sentiment pivotal ⏳ Validity: 48 hours from trigger or until OB structure is invalidated 📋 Final Summary: AUD/USD currently showing signs of short-term exhaustion at supply. A well-structured bearish reversal setup is live with clean entry zones and TP targets. HTF bullish scenario may activate only upon a deeper retracement to unfilled demand zones. Confirmation critical. Trade both sides if confluence triggers separately.
by jibkhan111
AUD-USD Free Signal! Sell! Hello,Traders! AUD-USD is already making A local pullback from the Horizontal resistance level Around the 0.6395 area So we are bearish biased And so we can enter a Short trade with the Take Profit of 0.6310 and the Stop Loss of 0.6414 Sell! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TopTradingSignals
1
AUDUSD ANALYSIS 4-16-2025 - Next WeekThe market is currently exhibiting a prevailing downtrend, prompting a focus on identifying potential short-selling opportunities. According to this analysis, a Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern has formed on the 3-5min chart, presenting a potential bearish entry following a confirmed break below the neckline. For traders who have entered short positions based on this pattern, there are two potential target levels identified at and , derived by the hourly strong resistance level, the 4 hour downtrend, the previous recent lower low, the overbought RSI, and a few other indicators used. Conversely, while the primary focus is on sell opportunities due to the overarching downtrend, potential long positions would require more significant confirming signals. These confirmations may include [ a break and close above a key resistance level, bullish divergence on a specific indicator, positive fundamentals and a LOCK. Further detailed analysis and real-time updates are available just send a message or leave a comment!
Short
by Profitsdaily
AUDUSDThe market is currently exhibiting a prevailing downtrend, prompting a focus on identifying potential short-selling opportunities. According to this analysis, a Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern has formed on the 3-5min chart, presenting a potential bearish entry following a confirmed break below the neckline. For traders who have entered short positions based on this pattern, there are two potential target levels identified at and , derived by the hourly strong resistance level, the 4 hour downtrend, the previous recent lower low, the overbought RSI, and a few other indicators used. Conversely, while the primary focus is on sell opportunities due to the overarching downtrend, potential long positions would require more significant confirming signals. These confirmations may include [ a break and close above a key resistance level, bullish divergence on a specific indicator, positive fundamentals and a LOCK. Further detailed analysis and real-time updates are available just send a message or leave a comment!
Short
by Profitsdaily
AUDUSD(20250416)Today's AnalysisMarket news: U.S. import prices fell 0.1% in March from the previous month, the first month-on-month decline since September last year. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 0.6346 Support and resistance levels: 0.6414 0.6388 0.6372 0.6320 0.6304 0.6278 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 0.6346, consider buying, the first target price is 0.6372 If the price breaks through 0.6320, consider selling, the first target price is 0.6304
Long
by BraveTigercat
AUDUSD Discretionary Analysis: Recovery Mode ActivatedIt’s that feeling when the engine’s been cold for a while, but now it’s starting to rev. AUDUSD is flashing signs it wants to push up — not in a rush, but with purpose. I’m seeing strength building, like it’s getting ready to climb. Recovery mode’s not just activated — it’s already in motion. I’m calling for upside here. If it plays out, I’ll be riding the move. If not, hey, I’ll wait for the next setup. But right now? I like the long. Just my opinion, not financial advice.
Long
by davidavasalcai
34
AU Short AUD/USD – Short Entry @ 0.63426 Entry Justification Price approached a well-defined resistance zone with momentum, aggressively sweeping through all visible fair value gaps without meaningful rejection, signaling liquidity grab behavior. The rally was ultimately capped just beneath a higher time frame supply area, where sell-side pressure emerged. During yesterday’s NY session, price stalled and left clear signs of exhaustion. Today’s Asia session provided the technical confirmation needed — a clean Break of Structure on the intraday entry timeframe, signaling the end of the bullish leg and offering alignment with the higher timeframe bearish narrative. Macro Alignment - RBA remains dovish with no clear path to tightening - Risk-off sentiment driven by macro (China tariffs, soft commodities, USD resilience) - AUD remains fundamentally weak relative to USD in current conditions Trade Logic - Resistance test and liquidity sweep - Break of structure post-liquidity event - Aligned with macro bearish bias and current market sentiment - Entry taken on confirmation of shift in order flow during low-volume session (Asia), offering optimal R:R Risk Management Note - Hold remainder through CPI only if price action remains clean and reactive to USD data
Short
by JureBrumen
AUDUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers! Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to hit the booster and subscribe. Key Points - White House spokesperson Caroline Leavitt stated, “The ball is in China’s court, and China needs to negotiate with us,” indicating that the U.S. expects China to come to the negotiation table first. - In its first tariff talks with the United States, the European Union focused on mutual zero tariffs on automobiles and the issue of Chinese steel overcapacity. - China requested joint action with Australia regarding tariff issues, but Australia refused, emphasizing its intention to reduce dependence on China and strengthen ties with countries like Indonesia, India, and the United Arab Emirates. Major Economic Events This Week + April 16: U.K. March CPI, Eurozone March CPI, U.S. March Retail Sales, Bank of Canada Rate Decision + April 17: ECB Rate Decision, Fed Chair Powell’s Speech + April 18: Easter AUDUSD Chart Analysis Previously, the pair showed strong downward momentum, breaking below the 0.60000 level. However, it successfully rebounded and is now retesting resistance at the 0.64000 level. This area is a strong resistance zone, so a downward move is more likely. If the pair faces resistance as expected, a pullback to the 0.60000 level is anticipated. On the other hand, if it breaks through this resistance, a rise toward the 0.66000 level can be expected.
Short
by shawntime_academy