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U.S. Dollar / Australian Dollar

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USDAUD trade ideas

AUD/USD Bearish Breakout PotentialThe chart shows AUD/USD on a 1-hour timeframe, highlighting a consolidation phase with multiple rejections at resistance (labelled 1-4). The price has recently rejected the upper boundary and is breaking down from the range, suggesting bearish momentum. A significant liquidity grab appears to have occurred near the highs, followed by a strong rejection. The projected move suggests a further decline toward the next support level around 0.6300. Traders might look for confirmation via increased selling pressure and volume before entering short positions.
Short
by BeaucoupPips
AUD/USD: Smart Money Loading Up or Another Trap?AUD/USD – Bullish Momentum or Liquidity Grab? Technical Breakdown: The Australian Dollar vs. US Dollar (AUD/USD) is showing an interesting setup, with price action hinting at potential continuation to the upside. Let’s dive into the analysis across multiple timeframes to see if buyers are in control or if we’re facing another liquidity trap. Weekly Timeframe: • AUD/USD experienced a strong bearish move after reaching 0.6938 in September 2024, followed by a relentless downtrend to 0.6085 by mid-November. • Since then, we’ve seen a three-week bullish push off the lows, suggesting a potential shift in sentiment. • A higher low has been established, but the key question remains: Will buyers maintain control? Daily Timeframe: • A structural break above 0.6311 signals bullish intent. • The market previously swept early buyers, forming a double bottom, before pushing back above resistance. • Current price action is retesting this level, potentially building liquidity for the next leg up. H4 Timeframe (Trade Execution Level): • Price printed a higher low at 0.6371, and bullish momentum is attempting to reclaim the recent highs. • A strong bearish retracement provided a potential early buy entry, setting up a high reward-to-risk trade. • If price holds above the 0.6359 entry zone, we could see further upside targets. Entry & Risk Management: • Entry: 0.6359 • Stop Loss: 0.6371 (tight 5-pip stop) • First Target: 0.6408 (1:6 RR) • Final Target: 0.6446 (1:9-1:10 RR) Market Psychology & Liquidity Play: • Many traders chased the highs and placed stop losses below local support—these were swept out. • A large bullish volume candle remains significant, hinting at strength in buyers. • If the market sustains momentum, we could see a move toward higher resistance at 0.6446. Conclusion: AUD/USD is setting up for a potential bullish breakout, but traders must watch for confirmations on lower timeframes. If price structure holds, this could be a highly profitable swing trade. Like this breakdown? Follow, boost the post, and drop your thoughts in the comments! Let’s see where AUD/USD heads next.
Long
by BlueOceanFxAcademy
2
AUD/USD Bullish Breakout Signals Further UpsideAUD/USD has broken out of a bullish flag pattern on the 4-hour timeframe, suggesting continued upward momentum. A buy entry is recommended at a retest of the former resistance level near 0.63700, now acting as support, aligning with a key bullish trendline. Technical Observations: Higher High Formation: The AUD/USD pair has established a higher high on the 4-hour chart, confirming an ongoing bullish trend. Bullish Flag Breakout: Price has decisively broken above a well-defined bullish flag pattern, typically a continuation pattern that signals further upside. Support Confirmation: The 0.63700 level, previously acting as resistance, is anticipated to act as support upon a retest. Trendline Confluence: A bullish trendline further reinforces the support zone near the 0.63700 level. Trading Recommendation: Entry Point: Buy AUD/USD near the retest of the 0.63700 level. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss at 0.63200 to manage risk. Take Profit 1: 0.64200 Take Profit 2: 0.64700 Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you should carefully consider your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions.
Long
by MZ_FX_
AUDUSD LongAUDUSD Analysis (H4, Long Position): 1. Current Context: At 0.63862, AUDUSD is likely near a lower range, possibly testing a support zone after a downtrend driven by USD strength or weaker Australian/Chinese economic sentiment. On H4, this could signal a potential reversal or consolidation before the next move. 2. Support and Resistance Levels: Support: The current price of 0.63862 might be near a key support zone, likely around 0.6350–0.6380. This could align with a historical low, the 200-period EMA, or a Fibonacci retracement (e.g., 78.6% from a prior swing up). Resistance: The next resistance could be around 0.6450–0.6470, a level that may correspond to a prior swing high, the 50-period EMA, or a psychological barrier. 3. Technical Indicators: Moving Averages (EMA): If the price is below the 50 EMA (e.g., near 0.6450) but approaching the 200 EMA (possibly around 0.6380), a bounce off the 200 EMA could signal bullish potential. A 50 EMA crossover above the 200 EMA would confirm a trend shift. RSI (14): If RSI is near oversold levels (below 30) or rising from 30–40, it suggests fading bearish momentum and a possible reversal. Volume: Look for a spike in volume at 0.63862 or slightly below, indicating buyer interest at this support. 4. Patterns: At 0.63862, H4 might show a bullish reversal pattern, like a "Double Bottom" near 0.6350–0.6380 or a "Hammer" candle after a downtrend, hinting at a bounce to 0.6450. Alternatively, if the price is consolidating, a breakout above a short-term descending trendline (e.g., near 0.6400) could trigger a long entry. 5. Long Position Scenario: Entry Point: If the price holds 0.63862 or dips to 0.6350–0.6370 and shows bullish confirmation (e.g., a strong bullish candle, engulfing pattern, or rejection of lower levels), enter a long position. Stop-Loss: Place the stop below support, e.g., at 0.6330, to account for a potential breakdown. Take-Profit: First target at 0.6450 (60–80 pips profit), second target at 0.6470 if momentum builds. Risk/Reward Ratio: With a 20–30 pip stop and a first target of 60–80 pips, you get a 1:2 to 1:3 ratio, which is favorable. 6. Fundamental Factors: AUDUSD at 0.63862 likely reflects USD strength (e.g., Fed hawkishness) or AUD weakness (e.g., softer commodity prices, Chinese demand concerns). A reversal could be spurred by positive Australian data (e.g., employment), a dovish US shift, or commodity price recovery. Check TradingView’s "Economic Calendar" for RBA or US events.
Long
by Trade_Hive_Signals
AUDUSD Will Move Higher! Long! Take a look at our analysis for AUDUSD. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.638. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.645 level soon. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
2
AUD/USD - 1H Smart Money Concept Analysis📊 AUD/USD - 1H Smart Money Concept Analysis 🔹 Market Structure: ✅ Break of Structure (BOS): Strong bullish momentum with multiple BOS confirming an uptrend. ✅ Change of Character (ChoCH): Previous bearish attempts failed, indicating a bullish shift. 🔹 Key Levels: ✅ Demand Zones: • 0.63670 - 0.63736 (Potential support & retracement area) • 0.63222 - 0.63301 (Major demand zone if deeper pullback occurs) ✅ Fair Value Gaps (FVG): • Price may revisit 0.63682 (FVG + Fibonacci 0.50 level) before continuation. ✅ Fibonacci Levels: • 0.382: 0.63777 • 0.50: 0.63682 (Key Level) • 0.618: 0.63587 • 0.705 - 0.786: 0.63517 - 0.63452 ✅ Supply Zone: • 0.64422 - 0.64563 (Potential target if bullish continuation holds) 📌 Trade Idea: 🔹 Bullish bias unless price closes below 0.63222. 🔹 Ideal buy entries: 0.63682 (50% Fib retracement + FVG). 🔹 Targets: 0.64422 - 0.64563 supply zone. #FXFOREVER #AUDUSD #ForexAnalysis #SmartMoney #LiquidityHunt #BOS #FVG #PriceAction
Long
by FXFOREVER_87
Bearish reversal?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the pullback support. Pivot: 0.6421 1st Support: 0.6377 1st Resistance: 0.6465 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
Bullish continuation?The Aussie (AUD/USD0 is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 0.6376 1st Support: 0.6331 1st Resistance: 0.6449 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
AUDUSD H4 | Bearish DropBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is testing our sell entry at 0.6406, which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 161.8% Fibo extension and the 61.8% Fibo projection, indicating a strong resistance level. Our take profit will be at 0.6369, a pullback support level. The stop loss will be placed at 0.6460, which is an overlap resistance level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
AUD/USD Potential Reversal and Uptrend ContinuationObservation: The AUD/USD pair is depicted on a 15-minute chart, showing a recent upward trend followed by a consolidation phase. The price is currently at a critical Fibonacci retracement level around 0.63996, which could act as a potential support. Analysis: The chart features a series of higher lows and higher highs, indicating an intact uptrend. The Fibonacci retracement levels drawn from the recent swing low to swing high show that the price is hovering around the 0.786 retracement level at approximately 0.63959. This level often acts as a strong support in trending markets. Trading Strategy: Entry Point: Consider a long position if the price respects the 0.786 Fibonacci level and shows bullish reversal signals such as a pin bar or bullish engulfing candle. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the recent swing low at around 0.63817 to protect against unexpected reversals. Profit Targets: Aim for initial profits at the recent swing high around 0.64030. Further targets could be set at Fibonacci extension levels of 1.618 (0.64251) and 2.618 (0.64062) if the upward momentum continues. Risk Management: Adjust position size to maintain a risk profile of no more than 2% of the trading capital. Monitor the trade closely for signs of weakening momentum or reversal patterns near target levels. This strategy capitalizes on the trend continuation pattern and uses Fibonacci levels for strategic entry and exit points.
Long
by HUGO_DT150
AUDUSD - Look for a short !!Hello traders! ‼️ This is my perspective on AUDUSD. Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. As we can see price took buy side liquidity and now it's in bearish OB, I expect to see BOS on lower timeframe to open the trade. Fundamental news: Upcoming week on Tuesday (GMT+2) we will see results of Cash Rate on AUD and on Thursday (GMT+2) we have Unemployment Rate. News with high impact on currency. Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
Short
by Snick3rSD
13