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U.S. Dollar / Australian Dollar

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USDAUD trade ideas

Bearish reversal off multi-swing high resistance?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is reacting off the pivot which acts as a multi-swing high resistance and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support. Pivot: 0.6897 1st Support: 0.6797 1st Resistance: 0.6988 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
1
Weekly Pennant, Daily Bull Flag Confirmed! - AUHere I have AUD/USD on the Weekly & Daily Charts! Starting on the Weekly: - Price has been creating Lower Highs into Higher Lows forming a Pennant Pattern! - Price will consolidate in this formation until we are given a Bullish or Bearish Break. - Aug. 5th - RBA decides to HOLD rates @ 4.35%, afterwards we see a Fake-out of Price Breaking Down the Daily: - After the Fake-out, we see Price make a Bullish run and create an Equal High - Going from the Low of the Fake-out @ .63478 to the Equal High @ .68239, Price follows a Descending Channel until making a Fibonacci Retracement to the 38.2% Level, leading to a Bullish Break Confirming a Bull Flag Pattern! - Sept. 18th - FED decide to Cut rates by 50 BPS to 5%, afterwards on Sept. 19th Price Closes Bullish Above the Resistance-Turned-Support giving us a Higher High and Potential Buying Opportunities! I suspect the next area of Resistance Price will come to is at the over head Swing High @ .6895 and Falling Resistance where ultimately I believe AUD will give a Bullish Break to the Weekly Pennant and we will see Price continue to climb! Indicators: * RSI is beginning to become sustained Above 50 * BBTrend is printing Green Bars * If you take the two Largest Bearish Candles in recent Price Action ( Sept. 3rd & Sept. 6th in Descending Channel), we can see that the Volume Delta prints -36.103K for the 3rd but only -20.958k for the 6th, Signaling less Bearish Participants!
Long
by Novi_Fibonacci
AUDUSD OUTLOOK FOR SEPT 24-26AUDUSD is currently Overvalued against the US dollar We have 3 Supply zone highlighted wherein the price broke through Supply #1 Price is currently at Supply zone #2 and might reach Supply Zone # 3 depends if the USD reaches Demand zone because they are negatively correlated. If DXY went in the Demand zone (See other Idea on my page) The AUDUSD should Follow. Other Factor is FED Chair Powell speech on Thursday might be the catalyst for the Forex Major pairs Huge Bearish move. Disclaimer: Do your own analysis and Trade Safe.
Short
by TradersPod
AUDUSD: 4H Curve AnalysisHere's a breakdown of the current AUDUSD market outlook based on the 4-hour timeframe, followed by my setup for the upcoming downtrend as price action approaches the Supply Zone. OSCILLATORS OVERVIEW The oscillators are showing a MIXED picture: Relative Strength Index (RSI) : 59.78, Neutral Stochastic %K : 76.30, Neutral Commodity Channel Index (CCI) : 104.73, indicating a Sell MACD Level : 0.00207, indicating a Sell Momentum : 0.00375, signaling a Buy The remaining indicators like ADX, Awesome Oscillator, and Williams Percent Range are neutral, suggesting NO SIGNIFICANT DIRECTIONAL BIAS YET. In summary, the oscillators show a MIXED to NEUTRAL sentiment with no overwhelming momentum in one direction. However, the CCI and MACD hint at potential SELLING pressure as the pair enters OVERBOUGHT conditions. MOVING AVERAGES OVERVIEW The moving averages paint a stronger BULLISH picture: All key moving averages—SMA and EMA across 10, 20, 30, 50, 100, and 200 periods—are in BUY territory. This shows that the medium and long-term trend remains BULLISH for now. Notably, the Hull Moving Average (9) is showing a SELL signal, potentially signaling a shift in short-term momentum or exhaustion in the uptrend. The Ichimoku Base Line is NEUTRAL, indicating indecision. As price enters the Supply Zone (near overbought levels), I'm preparing to enter short positions with a well-defined strategy: SLO2 @ 0.6845 SLO1 @ 0.6793 TP1 @ 0.6693 TP2 @ 0.6609 TP3 @ 0.6548 TP4 @ 0.6452 BLO1 @ 0.6430 BLO2 @ 0.6374 🚫 For shorts, the stop-loss is set at 0.6872 (pivot high) to protect against unexpected bullish reversals. 🚫 For potential buys, the stop-loss is placed at 0.6348 (pivot low). This setup capitalizes on a potential downtrend when AUDUSD hits resistance in the Supply Zone, targeting key levels down to 0.6452. Should the downtrend continue, there’s also room for further downside to 0.6374 and below. Be prepared for the trade to trigger once price action enters overbought territory. I’ll keep you posted on any key updates as the market develops. Stay strategic and disciplined!
Short
by ProfessorCEWard
AUDUSD Maintains UptrendAs long as AUDUSD stays above 0.6730, traders will likely buy on dips in the 0.6730 to 0.6797 range, and then challenge the 0.6868 high, followed by 0.69. Breaking this level opens the door to the January 2023 high of 0.7159, a significant 250-pip gain, providing a potentially easier path for traders if resistance is cleared. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Long
by ThinkMarkets
Aussie H4 | Approaching overlap supportThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 0.6806 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 0.6727 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level. Take profit is at 0.6921 which is a level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
AUD/USD Reaches Key Supply Area, possible ReversalThe AUD/USD pair has reached our identified supply area, coinciding with the start of the London session. A rejection candle has formed, signaling a potential reversal, with the spike briefly hitting 0.6872 before pulling back. This price action suggests that sellers are stepping in at this level, creating a possible reversal opportunity. Traders are now watching closely for further confirmation of a bearish move. Today, the US CB Consumer Confidence report is set to be released, and this key economic indicator could provide additional momentum for the US Dollar. A stronger-than-expected reading may further bolster the USD, potentially driving the AUD/USD lower and continuing its downward trajectory. With the market's focus on the upcoming US data, we remain poised for a potential short setup in anticipation of a reversal in the AUD/USD pair. Traders should keep a close eye on both the technical patterns and the economic news to confirm entry points. ✅ Please share your thoughts about AUD/USD in the comments section below and 👍 HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
7
Aussie dollar strengthens as RBA moves opposite with Fed The RBA is less likely to cut rates as Australia's labor market remains tight. Australia's Aug Unemployment Rate held steady at 4.2%, while labor participation surged to a record high of 67.1%. Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers emphasized that the increasing number of jobs and opportunities for Australians is a very encouraging development. The RBA also clarified that inflation could continue to decrease if the Unemployment Rate increases further. As the RBA continues to uphold its hawkish stance while the Fed declares a 0.50% rate cut, the Aussie dollar may persist in its upward trajectory. AUDUSD extended its uptrend, breaching the psychological resistance at 0.6800. The price rose above both EMAs, while EMA21 widened the gap with EMA78, sending a bullish signal. If AUDUSD sustains its uptrend while holding above EMA21, the price could gain upward momentum toward the 0.6870 high. Conversely, if AUDUSD fails to hold above EMA21 and breaks the support at 0.6730, the price may fall further to the 0.6640 level.
by inkicho_exness
Aussie dollar strengthens as RBA moves opposite with Fed The RBA is less likely to cut rates as Australia's labor market remains tight. Australia's Aug Unemployment Rate held steady at 4.2%, while labor participation surged to a record high of 67.1%. Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers emphasized that the increasing number of jobs and opportunities for Australians is a very encouraging development. The RBA also clarified that inflation could continue to decrease if the Unemployment Rate increases further. As the RBA continues to uphold its hawkish stance while the Fed declares a 0.50% rate cut, the Aussie dollar may persist in its upward trajectory. AUDUSD extended its uptrend, breaching the psychological resistance at 0.6800. The price rose above both EMAs, while EMA21 widened the gap with EMA78, sending a bullish signal. If AUDUSD sustains its uptrend while holding above EMA21, the price could gain upward momentum toward the 0.6870 high. Conversely, if AUDUSD fails to hold above EMA21 and breaks the support at 0.6730, the price may fall further to the 0.6640 level.
by inkicho_exness
AUD/USD 1H Short Setup📉 Entering a short trade on AUD/USD as price breaks below the ascending trendline. I'm watching for a possible rejection at the current highs to confirm downward momentum. 🔻 Entry: 0.67922 (waiting for confirmation after trendline break) 🎯 Take Profit 1: 0.67446 (+47 pips) + Move SL to BE 🎯 Take Profit 2: 0.66924 (+99 pips) 🎯 Final Target: 0.66222 (+170 pips) 📈 Stop Loss: 0.68538 (-62 pips) This setup is based on the potential rejection at the top, with the trendline break acting as a signal for short-term bearish continuation. I'm managing risk with a SL at 0.68400, and once TP1 hits, moving SL to breakeven.
Short
by PipShiesty
AUD/USD: Watch for a Reversal with RBA Decision AUD/USD continues to hit new yearly highs as risk sentiment improves following the FOMC’s 50-basis-point rate cut last week and today’s Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) meeting, where no rate change is expected. However, a dovish tilt from the RBA meeting notes could shift the pair’s momentum, with the 200-Day Moving Average acting as a key level to watch. Also, keep an eye on the RSI, which is nearing the overbought zone at 70 on the daily chart. Beyond the RBA decision later today, Australian inflation data is set for release tomorrow, with headline inflation expected to drop sharply from 3.5% to 3.1%.
by BlackBull_Markets