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USDAUD trade ideas

AUDUSD – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W32 | D4 | Y25📊 AUDUSD – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W32 | D4 | Y25 Daily Forecast 🔍📅 Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈 Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭. It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias. This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us. 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core principles: Max 1% risk per trade Only execute at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk. 🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work. FX:AUDUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT
AUDUSD Technical & Order Flow AnalysisOur analysis is based on a multi-timeframe top-down approach and fundamental analysis. Based on our assessment, the price is expected to return to the monthly level. DISCLAIMER: This analysis may change at any time without notice and is solely intended to assist traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no obligation to act on it, nor should you. Please support our analysis with a boost or comment!
Short
by dkb14246
1
AUDUSD H4| Bearish reversal off 38.2% Fibonacci resistanceAussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards the sell entry, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the take profit. Buy entry is at 0.6541, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 0.6580, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 0.6467, which is a swing low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
AUD/USDThis is a trade setup for AUD/USD, based on volume and trend analysis. Entry Price: 0.64230 Stop-Loss (SL): 0.64350 Take-Profit (TP): 0.64100 The trade is intended to be executed instantly at the mentioned price, in alignment with both volume behavior and the current trend direction. Disclaimer: This setup is shared purely for backtesting purposes and to document trade ideas. It is not financial advice. Always perform your own analysis before making any trading decisions.
Short
by alisardari
Aussie H4 | Bearish reversal off pullback resistanceBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is reacting off the sell entry, which acts as a pullback resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop lower from this level. Sell entry is at 0.6467, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 0.6525, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 0.6389, which is a swing low support that aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
AUDUSD Engineered to Drop?🧠MJTrading: 📸 Viewing Tip: 🛠️ Some layout elements may shift depending on your screen size. 🔗 View the fixed high-resolution chart here: 🔻 OANDA:AUDUSD – Tagged the Top | Smart Money Eyes Lower Levels?? 📍 Perfect Respect of Channel Structure AUDUSD has just kissed the upper boundary of a long-standing ascending channel, showing sharp rejection — a sign that premium pricing might now shift toward discount levels. 📈 The aggressive push into the highs likely aimed to clear buy stops — fulfilling smart money objectives before a potential reversal. 📉 And here’s the subtle clue: Just below the last bullish candle lies a thin slide — a structural weakness. If price breaks and closes below that full body bearish candle (Below 0.66000), the market could slip fast, unleashing a momentum-driven drop into the first liquidity zone (0.6520s). 🧠 For smart money lovers, this is the classic: Sweep → Trap → Slide 📏 And for fans of parallelism, the chart’s geometry offers a rare beauty — lines in harmony, structure in rhythm, and opportunity in alignment. 🔍 What to Watch For: Break below 0.66000 (last candle body) = entry signal 0.6520–0.6540: first liquidity zone 0.6400–0.6300: deeper cleanout, if bearish pressure sustains Inset: DXY bouncing from long-term demand supports bearish thesis Manage your risk wisely... For Lower time frame traders: Psychology Always Matters: (Click on the pictures for caption and concepts) #AUDUSD #SmartMoney #LiquiditySweep #ChannelTrading #ChartDesigner #MJTrading #PriceAction #Forex
Short
by MJElahifx
3
AUD USD long: 0.6470Following Friday's NFP data, calls for FED rate cuts are still in the air. And I agree with an ING article suggesting USD strength can be sold. Combined with just published 'higher than forecast' AUD service PMI data. I think AUD USD long is worth a go. It's a 12 pip stop loss with 18 pip profit target up to recent highs. The risk to the trade is Chinese data or simply USD strength. If the trade is ongoing, I will make a decision tomorrow whether to 'hold' the trade through US ISM data.
Long
by johnelfedforexblog
AUDUSD BUYThe AUD/USD pair is trading around 0.6520 on Tuesday. The daily chart’s technical analysis indicates a prevailing bullish bias as the pair remains within the ascending channel pattern. However, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) has moved below the 50 mark, indicating that a bearish bias is active. Additionally, the pair is positioned below the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), indicating that short-term price momentum is weaker. The US and EU reached a framework trade agreement on Sunday that sets 15% tariffs on most European goods, taking effect on August 1. This deal has ended a months-long stand-off, per Bloomberg. Traders keep their eyes on further developments in the US-China trade talks. The discussions are set to resume on Tuesday after top economic officials from both nations held over five hours of negotiations in Stockholm on Monday. The purpose of this meeting is to resolve ongoing disputes and extend their trade truce by another three months. US Treasury Chief Scott Bessent met with China’s Vice Premier He Lifeng at Sweden’s Rosenbad government offices. The meeting comes ahead of an August 12 deadline to finalize a long-term tariff agreement with the Trump administration, building on preliminary deals reached in May and June that had helped ease tensions. The US Federal Reserve (Fed) is widely expected to keep the benchmark interest rate steady between 4.25% and 4.50% at its July meeting. The FOMC press conference will be observed for any signs that rate cuts may start in September. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is expected to closely watch the June labor force data and second-quarter inflation figures before deciding on a potential rate cut. Both the monthly and quarterly CPI reports are scheduled for release later this week. SUPPORT 0.65593 SUPPORT 0.65424 SUPPORT 0.65593 RESISTSNCE 0.65050 RESISTANCE 0.64973
Short
by Mark804
1
AUDUSD – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W31 | D29 | Y25📊 AUDUSD – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W31 | D29 | Y25 Daily Forecast 🔍📅 Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈 Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭. It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias. This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us. 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core principles: Max 1% risk per trade Only execute at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk. 🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work. FX:AUDUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
AUDUSD.JULY 29TH Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish will JOLTS which measures the Number of job openings during the reported month, excluding the farming industry; JOLTS Job Openings CB Consumer Confidence forecast 95.9 previous 93.0 .market will watch for data report for clear directional bias . wednesday 30th Australian Bureau of Statistics will publish the Consumer price index which Measures Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast or below will be watched for clear directional bias . this data are Frequency Released quarterly, about 25 days after the quarter ends; and the next report will be on Oct 30, 2025 Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate of 2% Aud CPI q/q forecast 0.8% previous 0.9% AUD CPI y/y forecast 2.1% previous 2.1% AUD Trimmed Mean CPI q/q forecast 0.7% previous 0.7% USD 1:15pm 1:15pm USD ADP Non-Farm Employment Change forecast 82K previous -33K Advance GDP q/q forecast 2.4% previous -0.5% Advance GDP Price Index q/q forecst 2.3% previous 3.8% Pending Home Sales m/m forecast 0.3% previous 1.8% USD Crude Oil Inventories-3.2M by 7pm USD Federal Funds Rate previous 4.50% 4.50% FOMC Statement 7:30pm FOMC Press Conference. watchout for federal fund rate data report and FOMC (federal open market committee) NOTE;TRADING ANAY INSTRUMENT IS 100% PROBABILTY ,ANY KEY LEVEL CAN FAIL YOU,DONT EVER TRADE WITH ALL YOUR CAPITAL BECAUSE YOU MENTOR SAY BUY OR SELL. TRADING IS 100% PROBABILTY AND NO STRATEGY IS PERFECT. TRADE WITH CAUTION. WISH A HAPPY NEW WEEK. BYE.
Long
by Shavyfxhub
AUD/USD Sell SetupOANDA:AUDUSD Timeframe: m30 Entry: 0.66151 SL: 0.66266 TP1: 0.66033 TP2: 0.65914 TP4: 0.65681 📊 Setup Rationale 🔺 Channel Top Rejection (8H Overlay) Price has touched the upper boundary of a descending channel visible on the 8-hour chart. This zone has historically acted as a strong resistance, increasing the probability of a reversal. 🧱 Local Structure (30min) Entry aligns with a minor double top (in lower TFs) and bearish momentum. The tight SL allows for a high R:R profile. 🔄 Momentum Shift Watch for bearish engulfing or rejection wick on lower timeframes to confirm entry. #MJTrading #Forex #AUDUSD #Sell Psychology always matters:
Short
by MJElahifx
2
Australian dollar down, eyes US GDP, Australian CPIThe Australian dollar is down for a third straight trading day. In the North American session, the US dollar has posted gains against most of the major currencies, including the Aussie. The greenback received a boost after the US and the EU reached a framework trade agreement after protracted negotiations. The data calendar is bare on Monday, with no events out of the US or Australia. Things get very busy on Wednesday, with Australian inflation, US GDP and the Federal Reserve rate decision. Even with no US releases, the US dollar has posted gains against most of the major currencies, including the Aussie. The greenback received a boost after the US and the EU reached a framework trade agreement after protracted negotiations. President Trump had threatened to impose 30% tariffs on European goods if a deal was not reached by Aug. 1. With the deal, a nasty trade war between the world's two largest economies has been avoided and the US will tariff most EU products at 15%. The deal with the EU comes on the heels of a similar agreement with Japan, bringing a sigh of relief from the financial markets that have been worried about the economic fallout from Trump's tariff policy. The agreements remove a great deal of uncertainty and investors are hopeful that the US and Chinese negotiators will wrap up their talks with an agreement in hand. The Federal Reserve meets on Wednesday and is virtually certain to maintain interest rates for a fifth straight meeting. It will be interesting to see if President Trump, who has been sharply critical of Fed policy, reacts to the decision. The money markets are expecting at least one cut before the end of the year, with the money markets pricing in a 61% likelihood a cut in September, according to FedWatch's CME.
by OANDA
This Chart Screams Breakout – Are You In?AUD/USD – Bullish Setup Brewing AUD/USD has been respecting this rising channel beautifully, with clean higher highs and higher lows. Back in April, we saw a classic bear trap, price wicked below support, lured in shorts, and then reversed sharply. That fakeout sparked a strong rally and confirmed demand. Currently, price is consolidating near the Key Resistance Zone and bouncing off the lower trendline again a sign of strength. If this pattern continues, we could soon see a breakout above the upper trendline, potentially sending AUD/USD flying toward 0.68+. Outlook: As long as the structure holds, dips are for buying. Bulls remain in control. DYOR, NFA Thanks for the reading
Long
by unichartz
AUDUSD Still early days 20% in me: Unless strong bullish fundamentals present themselves or the big boys with the big bucks drive a bullish push anywhere from 0.65784 or resistance, I would be looking to sell. Buy outside the resistance box TP:0.66600 new immediate high? Please also consider price action as there are 2 previous rejections in the 0.65784 price area. 80% in me: -Australia is heavily tied to China via exports RBA rate cuts? Falling iron ore prices... -Perfect price action channel trade. SELL at resistance BUY at support. Bullish long term, bearish short term. -fib 0.382 downward continuation and close below 0.65784 -Looking for a break below the upward sloping trendline HARD sell -safer option: wait for a 0.65780 retest, below the upward sloping trendline sells and make bank. TP: 0.6500 THOUGHTS?
Short
by Mmoremi