AUDUSD Bullish Ready for long position**Description (AUD/USD Long Setup):**
This is a 1-hour chart of **AUD/USD**, showing a textbook **bullish continuation setup**. The price has recently pulled back in a **bullish flag** (descending channel) and is now showing signs of a breakout above the flag's upper boundary.
Price is reacting from a **Weekly Area of Interest (AOI)** — a zone of previous support — while remaining above the **200 EMA (red)** and reclaiming the **50 EMA (blue)**.
All major timeframes (W, D, 12H, 6H, 4H) are **100% bullish**, adding confluence and confidence to this buy idea.
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**Why I want to enter Buy:**
* ✅ **Bullish flag breakout** — strong bullish pattern indicating trend continuation.
* ✅ **Price bounced from Weekly AOI** — key support zone respected.
* ✅ **Reclaiming EMAs** — bullish strength returning.
* ✅ **Confluence of timeframes** — momentum aligned from 4H to Weekly.
* ✅ **Great Risk-to-Reward (R\:R)** — defined invalidation below support (Daily AOI), and upside toward **Daily AOI @ 0.66500**.
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🎯 **Target:** 0.66500
🛡️ **Stop loss:** Just below 0.64500
📈 **Entry idea:** Either aggressive on breakout or conservative on retest of flag breakout / AOI
This setup reflects smart money reaccumulation at a key zone with multi-timeframe alignment — high probability for bullish continuation.
USDAUD trade ideas
AUDUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers,
Please feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments. Don't forget to like and subscribe.
Key Points
- According to the U.S. Department of Labor’s Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), job openings in May increased by 374,000 from the previous month to 7.769 million, significantly exceeding market expectations of 7.3 million.
- U.S. President Trump has indicated that he has no intention of further extending the reciprocal tariff exemption set to expire on the 9th, warning that tariffs of 30% to 35% could be imposed on Japan.
- Trump's tax cut proposal has dramatically passed the Senate and is now awaiting passage in the House. President Trump aims to sign the bill into law before July 4th.
- Australia's May CPI rose 2.1% year-on-year, falling short of market expectations. Some analysts now expect the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to cut interest rates in July.
Key Economic Events This Week
+ July 2: U.S. June ADP Non-Farm Employment Change
+ July 3: U.S. June Non-Farm Payrolls, U.S. June Unemployment Rate
AUDUSD Chart Analysis
The pair has been steadily rising and recently reached the 0.66000 level. In the longer term, a rise toward the 0.69000 level seems likely. However, expectations of a rate cut by the Reserve Bank of Australia have introduced new uncertainty. There is also minor resistance near the 0.67000 level, which could lead to a potential reversal if market conditions align. While maintaining a bullish outlook, we will closely monitor the price action around the 0.67000 level.
AUD/USD Approaches Key Resistance with Bullish Momentum IntactAUD/USD has extended its steady climb and is now challenging the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level (0.6558) from the July–October 2023 decline. The pair is trading within a rising channel structure and has cleared both the 50-day (0.6457) and 200-day (0.6422) SMAs, confirming a medium-term bullish shift.
Price action remains constructive, with higher lows and rising support from the channel base suggesting consistent demand. A sustained break above the 0.6558 level could open the door toward the 78.6% Fib retracement at 0.6730, a level that also aligns with prior resistance from September 2023.
Momentum indicators support the advance. The RSI is at 61.77 and rising, but still comfortably below overbought levels, implying room for further upside. The MACD is marginally positive and could accelerate higher if price confirms a breakout above the 61.8% Fib barrier.
Traders will be watching whether the pair can hold above the confluence of the SMAs and the lower trendline of the channel. A failure here could expose downside toward 0.6420–0.6450. Otherwise, the bullish structure remains intact, with scope for a continuation higher into July.
-MW
AUDUSDAUD/USD Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.6530–0.6550
Slightly bearish near-term bias amid RBA rate cut expectations
Australia 10-Year Government Bond Yield
Current Yield: 4.15% (as of June 30, 2025)
Rose 0.01 percentage points from the previous session.
Reflects market reaction to RBA policy and global trade uncertainty.
Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Rate
Current Cash Rate: 3.85% (lowest in two years)
Cut by 25 bps in May 2025 to combat slowing growth and align with 2–3% inflation targets.
Markets price a 90% probability of another 25 bps cut in July 2025.
US Federal Reserve (Fed) Rate
Current Federal Funds Rate: 4.25–4.50%
Unchanged since December 2024; held steady at the June 18, 2025, meeting.
Fed signaled potential for two 25 bps cuts in late 2025 (September/December), contingent on inflation cooling.
Key Implications
Rate Differential:
RBA-Fed spread: –0.40% to –0.65% (AUD negative), pressuring AUD/USD.
Australia’s 10Y yield premium over US 10Y (~4.26%) is –0.11%, reducing AUD carry appeal.
AUD/USD Drivers:
RBA Easing: Expected July cut may weaken AUD further.
Fed Patience: Delayed cuts sustain USD strength.
Yield Sensitivity: Narrowing yield spreads limit AUD upside.
In summary:
AUD/USD trades near 0.6530–0.6550, pressured by RBA-Fed policy divergence and narrowing yield spreads. The RBA’s dovish path (3.85% rate, July cut expected) contrasts with the Fed’s hold at 4.25–4.50%, sustaining USD strength. Australia’s 10Y yield at 4.15% offers minimal premium over US Treasuries, limiting AUD support.
#AUDUSD
AUDUSD AUD/USD Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.6530–0.6550
Slightly bearish near-term bias amid RBA rate cut expectations
Australia 10-Year Government Bond Yield
Current Yield: 4.15% (as of June 30, 2025)
Rose 0.01 percentage points from the previous session.
Reflects market reaction to RBA policy and global trade uncertainty.
Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Rate
Current Cash Rate: 3.85% (lowest in two years)
Cut by 25 bps in May 2025 to combat slowing growth and align with 2–3% inflation targets.
Markets price a 90% probability of another 25 bps cut in July 2025.
US Federal Reserve (Fed) Rate
Current Federal Funds Rate: 4.25–4.50%
Unchanged since December 2024; held steady at the June 18, 2025, meeting.
Fed signaled potential for two 25 bps cuts in late 2025 (September/December), contingent on inflation cooling.
Key Implications
Rate Differential:
RBA-Fed spread: –0.40% to –0.65% (AUD negative), pressuring AUD/USD.
Australia’s 10Y yield premium over US 10Y (~4.26%) is –0.11%, reducing AUD carry appeal.
AUD/USD Drivers:
RBA Easing: Expected July cut may weaken AUD further.
Fed Patience: Delayed cuts sustain USD strength.
Yield Sensitivity: Narrowing yield spreads limit AUD upside.
In summary:
AUD/USD trades near 0.6530–0.6550, pressured by RBA-Fed policy divergence and narrowing yield spreads. The RBA’s dovish path (3.85% rate, July cut expected) contrasts with the Fed’s hold at 4.25–4.50%, sustaining USD strength. Australia’s 10Y yield at 4.15% offers minimal premium over US Treasuries, limiting AUD support.
AUDUSD WEEKLY HIGHER TIME FRAME FORECAST Q3 W27 Y25AUDUSD WEEKLY HIGHER TIME FRAME FORECAST Q3 W27 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly 50EMA Rejection
✅Daily Order block identified
✅4H Order Block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
AUD/USD Parallel Channel Setup – Breakout or Pullback in PlayThe AUD/USD pair is trading within a clearly defined ascending parallel channel, with consistent rejections from both the upper resistance zone near 0.6550–0.6560 and repeated bounces from the rising support area near 0.6390–0.6400. This structured price movement indicates strong channel discipline, which traders can use for high-probability breakouts or reversal plays.
The current price action is approaching the upper boundary of the resistance, and a decisive breakout here could lead to a bullish rally toward the projected target.
📈 Bullish Breakout Scenario
If the price breaks and closes above the resistance zone (above 0.6560), it will confirm a bullish breakout from the channel. Based on the height of the channel, the projected breakout target is 0.67365, which is derived by measuring the vertical distance between support and resistance and projecting it upward from the breakout point. This could signal a major trend continuation in favor of the bulls.
📉 Bearish Rejection Scenario
If the price once again gets rejected at the resistance zone, a corrective move is expected toward the support area around 0.6400. The structure suggests that unless a breakout occurs, price may continue to oscillate within the rising channel. The next bearish leg could form a lower high and test the trendline support again.
🧭 Trading Strategy Outlook
Buy Breakout Strategy:
Entry: Above 0.6560
SL: Below breakout candle
TP: 0.67365 (projected target)
Sell Rejection Strategy:
Entry: Near 0.6550 resistance
SL: Above 0.6570
TP: 0.6400 support zone
This is a neutral-to-bullish setup, with a potential for continuation if the resistance breaks with strength. Traders should wait for confirmation before entering.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUD/USD Bearish Setup – Rejection from Supply ZoneAUD/USD is showing signs of bearish pressure after getting rejected from the key 0.65420 supply zone, marked by strong historical resistance and a high-volume node. Price tested this area multiple times but failed to break above, forming a potential lower high – a classic signal of institutional distribution.
🔵 Key Levels:
Resistance (Supply Zone): 0.65420
Mid-range support: 0.65040
Demand Zone: 0.64649 – 0.64400
🔻 Bearish Outlook: If price holds below 0.65420, we anticipate a drop first toward 0.65040, and potentially down to 0.64649, where a demand zone is likely to react. The previous bounce from demand suggests smart money accumulation below.
📌 Watch for:
Bearish engulfing or rejection wick candles near 0.65400.
Break below 0.65040 to confirm short continuation.
Confluence with macroeconomic events (FOMC, US data on the 17th–18th).
💬 Are you shorting AUD/USD from the supply zone? Drop your thoughts👇
#AUDUSD #Forex #SmartMoney #SupplyDemand #PriceAction #LuxAlgo #ForexTrading #TradingView #MarketStructure
AUDUSD TRADING INSIGHT (RECAP)In this video, I invite you to join me as I delve into my thought process behind this trade and the strategies I used to manage it. I’m confident you’ll uncover valuable insights that can enhance your trading journey. If you’ve taken the same trade, I’d love to hear your experiences and thoughts in the comments section below! Your perspective could spark an engaging discussion!
#AUDUSD 4H 📉#AUDUSD 4H Sell Setup – Bearish Shift in Play
AUDUSD has tapped into buy-side liquidity at 0.65713, triggering a sharp rejection and signaling a potential Market Structure Reversal (MSR). Price is now approaching a key Order Block (OB) zone, aligning with prevailing bearish order flow.
🔻 Sell Zone: 0.65400 – 0.65000
❌ Stop Loss: Above 0.65713 (Liquidity Level)
🎯 Target: 0.6432
This setup reflects strong rejection from premium pricing and confirmation of bearish momentum. Smart money dynamics suggest a continuation to the downside as price respects resistance and structure.
AUDUSD Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the AUDUSD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 0.6555
Bias - Bearish
Safe Stop Loss - 0.6583
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 0.6497
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUD/USD Coils Below Critical ResistanceThe June range is preserved heading into the close of the month with a massive outside-weekly reversal taking Aussie back into key resistance on Friday. Note that momentum is approaching the 60-level for the first time this year and a break higher alongside a breach above 6550 could fuel a substantial rally here- watch the weekly close.
Initial support rests with the February high-week close (HWC) at 6357 and is backed closely by 6290/6315- a region defined by the yearly low-week close (LWC) and the 38.2% retracement of the yearly range. Note that the median-line converges on this level over the next few weeks and we’ll reserve this threshold as our bullish invalidation level- a break / weekly close below would threaten downtrend resumption toward the next major technical consideration at 6162/79.
A topside breach / close above this key pivot zone is needed to fuel the next leg of the advance with key resistance seen at the 2019 lows near 6670. Ultimately a break above the upper parallel (blue) would be needed to suggest a more significant trend reversal is underway with subsequent resistance objectives eyed at the 2024 HWC / yearly open near 6795-6810 and 6900.
Bottom line: An outside-weekly reversal has covered the entire monthly range with the Australian Dollar now testing critical resistance for an eighth-consecutive week. From a trading standpoint, losses should be limited to the 52-week moving average IF price is heading higher on this stretch with a close above 6550 needed to fuel the next move.
-MB
AUDUSD Ranging BullishHi there,
AUDUSD broke above (A) and formed a higher high (C). From this point, it gets interesting.
(BC) represents a full bullish range, and (n) is blocking the drop of (D). If the price falls below 0.64786, the bullish bias will be invalidated.
We have two price targets for a bias of 0.65397.
Happy trading,
K.
Not trading advice
AUSSIE BANK ROBBERY: AUD/USD Bullish Breakout Confirmed!🔥 AUD/USD BANK HEIST: The Ultimate Bullish Robbery Plan (Thief Trading Style) 🔥
🌟 ATTENTION, MONEY MAKERS & MARKET ROBBERS! 🌟
💸 MISSION BRIEF:
Based on Thief Trading Style (technical + fundamental analysis), we’re executing a bullish heist on AUD/USD ("The Aussie")—time to steal those pips like a pro!
📈 ENTRY STRATEGY (The Heist Begins!)
Long Entry Trigger: Wait for Dynamic Resistance MA crossover + candle close above 0.65300 (bullish confirmation).
Pro Tip: Use Buy Stop orders above MA or Buy Limit orders on pullbacks (15m/30m timeframe).
🔔 SET AN ALERT! Don’t miss the breakout—alert up, gloves on!
🛑 STOP LOSS (Protect Your Loot!)
"Yo, rookie! 🗣️ If you’re entering on breakout, DO NOT set SL before confirmation!
📍 Thief SL Placement: Nearest 4H swing low (0.64800)—adjust based on your risk, lot size, & trade multiples.
⚠️ Warning: Deviate at your own peril—your risk, your rules!
🎯 TARGET (Cash Out & Run!)
Take Profit Zone: 0.65800
Scalpers: Long-only plays! Use trailing SL to lock profits.
Swing Traders: Ride the wave—big money moves require patience!
📰 FUNDAMENTAL BACKUP (Know Why We Robbin’!)
Bullish momentum fueled by macro trends, COT data, sentiment shifts.
🚨 Breaking News Alert: Avoid high-impact news spikes—trail SL or stay out!
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Hit 👍 LIKE, 🔄 SHARE & 🚀 BOOST—strengthen the robbery squad! More heists = more profits!
🤑 NEXT HEIST COMING SOON… STAY TUNED! 🐱👤
AUD/USD – Rejection at 2025 High?By: MJTrading
📉 AUD/USD – Rejection at 2025 High?
The Aussie is struggling at its 2025 high, printing successive lower highs (LH) and flirting with the 60-period EMA. With momentum leaning bearish, a short opportunity opens up near 0.64878, targeting the 0.64094 support zone. Confirmation from the EMA breakdown and rejection wicks strengthens the setup. Stop-loss above 0.65285 protects against a breakout trap.
Entry: 0.64883
Stop Loss: 0.65285
TP1: 0.64500
TP2: 0.64100
#Hashtags: #AUDUSD #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #ReversalSetup #BearishBias #LowerHighs #EMARejection #ShortThePop #PriceAction