AUDUSD H4 | Bearish DropBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is testing our sell entry at 0.6406, which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 161.8% Fibo extension and the 61.8% Fibo projection, indicating a strong resistance level.
Our take profit will be at 0.6369, a pullback support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 0.6460, which is an overlap resistance level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USDAUD trade ideas
AUDUSDAUDUSD,AUD bulls looks to be at work, on the monthly time frame they face immediate supply roof ,if the month closes on break of structure above the current supply roof then AUDUSD will keep its bullish momentum for a long time.
Dollar is confused at the moment because of tariff and trade war with other countries.
AUD/USD Potential Reversal and Uptrend ContinuationObservation: The AUD/USD pair is depicted on a 15-minute chart, showing a recent upward trend followed by a consolidation phase. The price is currently at a critical Fibonacci retracement level around 0.63996, which could act as a potential support.
Analysis: The chart features a series of higher lows and higher highs, indicating an intact uptrend. The Fibonacci retracement levels drawn from the recent swing low to swing high show that the price is hovering around the 0.786 retracement level at approximately 0.63959. This level often acts as a strong support in trending markets.
Trading Strategy:
Entry Point: Consider a long position if the price respects the 0.786 Fibonacci level and shows bullish reversal signals such as a pin bar or bullish engulfing candle.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the recent swing low at around 0.63817 to protect against unexpected reversals.
Profit Targets: Aim for initial profits at the recent swing high around 0.64030. Further targets could be set at Fibonacci extension levels of 1.618 (0.64251) and 2.618 (0.64062) if the upward momentum continues.
Risk Management: Adjust position size to maintain a risk profile of no more than 2% of the trading capital. Monitor the trade closely for signs of weakening momentum or reversal patterns near target levels.
This strategy capitalizes on the trend continuation pattern and uses Fibonacci levels for strategic entry and exit points.
AUDUSD - Look for a short !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. As we can see price took buy side liquidity and now it's in bearish OB, I expect to see BOS on lower timeframe to open the trade.
Fundamental news: Upcoming week on Tuesday (GMT+2) we will see results of Cash Rate on AUD and on Thursday (GMT+2) we have Unemployment Rate. News with high impact on currency.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
AUD/USD Triangle Breakout (19.2.25)The AUD/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 0.6391
2nd Resistance – 0.6404
🎁 Please hit the like button and
🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post !
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING
Thank you.
AUD/USD breaks to a new weekly highFollowing the RBA’s hawkish rate cut supports, we are continuing to see bullish AUD/USD price action.
Earlier this week, the RBA provided no clear easing bias, citing risks on both sides of the inflation outlook. While it acknowledged that the disinflationary process is progressing, a strong labour market has kept policymakers cautious. The central bank’s governor Bullock highlighted risks to inflation, saying we cannot declare victory on inflation yet.
Overnight, we had some strong labour market data that further supported the Aussie dollar, and just now we have seen rates break to a new weekly high.
From a technical standpoint, the trend has been bullish on the AUD/USD ever since forming a hammer candle around the 0.6130 area a couple of weeks ago. Since then, it has consistently printed bullish price action, keeping buyers in control.
Previous resistance at 0.6330 has now turned into support, keeping the path of least resistance to the upside. This has potentially paved the way for a run toward the 0.6500 handle in the next few days.
Ahead of that, the 38.2% Fibo level comes into focus as 0.6415 next.
On the downside, the 21-day exponential moving average at around 0.6280 serves as the next support in the event of a breakdown below the abovementioned 0.6330 level.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
AUDUSD Bullish break-out signalThe AUDUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern for the whole month of February and since yesterday it is making a bounce on the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line).
Today it broke above the previous High and this is a bullish break-out signal. The previous Bullish Leg that rebounded on the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) and broke above its previous High, targeted the 1.382 Fibonacci extension.
With the presence of an Inner Higher Highs trend-line, we expect the pair to hit the 1.382 Fib at 0.64250.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Lingrid | AUDUSD capitalizing on the BULLISH ContinuationFX:AUDUSD market continues to make higher highs, indicating that bulls are in control. The price has formed a range zone near last week's high, and there is a chance it may break above and reach higher levels. The market formed a small pause before continuing, as the price closed above the psychological level of 0.63000. On the daily timeframe, the price took liquidity below the previous day's low, and the subsequent move higher demonstrates bullish dominance. I expect the price to move toward the upper border of the channel. My goal is resistance zone around 0.64380
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
AUD/USD - Bullish Engulfing at Support for Long Entry📈 Trade Idea: Long AUD/USD
Analysis:
Price formed a bullish engulfing candle off the 0.6360 support zone, signaling strong buyer interest. This level was previously a resistance zone, now acting as support. The engulfing pattern confirms momentum shift, making it a strong entry trigger.
Trade Plan (Based on Chart Setup):
🔹 Entry: 0.6361 (Bullish engulfing confirmation)
🔹 Stop Loss: 0.6346 (Below support and engulfing low)
🔹 Take Profit: Fixed at 2R
Risk/Reward:
✅ Stop Loss: ~15 pips
✅ Take Profit: ~30 pips (2R target)
✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2
Why this trade?
✔️ Bullish engulfing at key support
✔️ Break and retest confirmation
✔️ Strong momentum shift in favor of buyers
📌 Looking for price to hold above 0.6360 to maintain bullish momentum.
AUDUSD Long Setup 2/19/25 (Smart Money)Smart money trading is the method I use.
It utilizes market structure, liquidity, and supply/demand zones. From my image you can see the steps before a long setup possibly in NY session tomorrow.
Liquidity was taken and momentum has went for the upside, looking for a long setup at my 7th step.
AUDUSD InsightHello, dear subscribers!
Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don't forget to like and subscribe!
Key Points
- The U.S. is engaged in one-on-one negotiations with Russia regarding an end to the war in Ukraine, while tensions with Ukraine and the European Union continue to rise. U.S. President Donald Trump criticized Ukrainian President Zelensky on Truth Social, calling him a “moderately successful comedian” and a “dictator who never held an election.”
- ECB Executive Board Member Isabel Schnabel stated that the time is approaching for the ECB to either pause or completely halt rate cuts. She explained that inflation in the Eurozone remains high due to new shocks in energy prices and persistent wage growth.
- The FOMC meeting minutes indicated that, given the debt ceiling dynamics, there could be significant fluctuations in reserves over the coming months. Several participants mentioned that it might be appropriate to pause or slow down the balance sheet reduction until the debt ceiling issue is resolved.
Key Economic Events This Week
+ February 21: U.S. February Manufacturing PMI, February Services PMI
AUDUSD Chart Analysis
AUDUSD has successfully broken through the 0.63000 resistance level and continues its upward trend. However, there is overlapping resistance at the 0.64000 level, making further upward movement challenging. A significant pullback is likely, with 0.60000 being the most probable support level. Given this setup, the bias remains bearish.
If AUDUSD breaks above 0.64000, the next target would be 0.66000. In that case, we will adjust our strategy accordingly.
AUDUSD Analysis: Follow The Price BreakoutAUDUSD Analysis: Contracting Triangle Pattern
The AUDUSD is currently creating a "Contracting Triangle pattern." Typically, this is a bullish
or bearish continuation pattern, but in this scenario, AUDUSD is presenting both bullish and bearish trading opportunities due to ongoing tariff issues.
Later today, the FOMC Minutes will be in focus, which could further impact the market.
On Tuesday, U.S. President Donald Trump announced his intention to impose auto tariffs "in the neighborhood of 25%" and similar duties on semiconductors and pharmaceutical imports. This is the latest in a series of measures that could significantly disrupt international trade
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.