AUDUSD H1 I Bullish Bounce Off 61.8% Fibo Based on the H1 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 0.6417, a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 0.6488, a swing high resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 0.6355, a swing high resistance.
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USDAUD trade ideas
Australian dollar hits five-month high after Australian electionThe Australian dollar continues to impress and has posted strong gains on Monday. European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6491, up 0.72% on the day and its highest level since early December 2025.
Prime Minister Anthony Albanese cruised to a resounding victory in Saturday's national election. Albanese' centre-left Labor Party increased its majority and thumped the Liberal Party opposition. The coalition's defeat was marked by its leader, Peter Dutton losing his own seat.
The long shadow of US President Donald Trump was a factor in the election. Dutton adopted right-wing policies such as promising tougher immigration laws and establishing a platform to reduce the waste of public funds. The similarities between Dutton and Trump hurt the Liberal leader as many voters were upset with Trump's 10% tariffs on Australia.
At the start of the year, Albanese was trailing badly in the opinion polls. However, he struck a receptive chord among voters on domestic issues such as health care and housing, and benefited from the anti-Trump sentiment, which proved to be a winning recipe.
US nonfarm payrolls, a key gauge of the US labor market, dipped slightly to 177 thousand in April, down from a revised 185 thousand in March. This easily beat the market estimate of 130 thousand. The positive unemployment report points to a resilient labor market which remains strong despite the US economy declining in the first quarter.
The markets have responded by lowering the odds of a rate hike in June to 33%, down sharply from 60% a week ago, according to the CME's FedWatch. The Federal Reserve meets on Wednesday and is virtually certain to maintain the benchmark rate of 4.25%-4.5%.
GBP/JPY Short, GBP/USD Short, AUD/CAD Short and AUD/USD ShortGBP/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
GBP/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Corrective tap into area of value.
• 4H risk entry or 1H risk entry after 2 x 1H rejection candles.
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
AUD/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
AUD/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of interest.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
AudUsd Trade IdeaAU is showing a clear range between 64350 and 63600. With last weeks higher time frame closing below the previous high at 64500 I would want to see smaller frames shifting bearish below 64350 to confirm our move to the downside where 63600 could potentially get smacked again in the range continuation.
AUD/USD Opening Trends and Trading Strategies Next WeekThe AUD/USD has been in a range - bound fluctuation recently. 📈 In the short term, if the price can stay above the support level of 0.63340 and market risk - appetite sentiment rises, the AUD/USD is expected to challenge the target level of 0.64500. 🎯 However, if it breaks below the support level, it may trigger further downward adjustments. 📉
⚡⚡⚡ AUDUSD ⚡⚡⚡
🚀 Buy@0.6350 - 0.6380
🚀 TP 0.6400 - 0.6450
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟
AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D2 Y25AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D2 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly 50 EMA
✅Intraday 15' order block
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
✅Intraday 15' order block trading levels
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The Xrest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT
AUDUSD SELL (USD NFP NEWS FRDAY TOMORROW)As the chart looks its building resistance with many wicks, we can most likely see AUDUSD will drop tomorrow as Non-Farm Payroll from USD. It does not seem it will push up as I thought to expect to break the resistance, but still keep a good watch on it.
Take Profit: 0.634 or below
AudUsd Trade IdeaAu is showing a clear range between 64930 and 63600 with 64350 being the mid level. After price tapped into 64930 we had a clean bearish structure flip on the smaller time frames to support the push back to the downside. Once price got to the mid level we could see price continuing to respect bearish structures. Entry for me was the 1hr bearish engulfing after the retesting the range it was in to confirm our overall direction. I'll be looking for a 1:3rr on this set up. If all goes well we could expect price to tap back into 63600 again. We'll see what happens.
AUDUSD Is Very Bullish! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.641.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.655 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
AUDUSD LONG FORECAST Q2 W20 D15 Y25AUDUSD LONG FORECAST Q2 W20 D15 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily order block rejection
✅15’ order block identified
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
✅Intraday bullish breaks of structure to be confirmed
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short trade
15min TF entry
🟥 Sellside Trade Log
📉 Pair: AUD/USD
🏷️ Type: Intraday | Tokyo Session AM (7:00 PM NY time)
🧠 Setup: Breakout (Downside)
📅 Date: Tuesday, 13th May 2025
🕖 Time: 7:00 PM (New York Time)
🔹 Entry Price: 0.64382
🔹 Profit Target: 0.64208 (-0.81%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 0.64762 (+0.05%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 16.87
🔍 Reasoning:
This sellside breakout trade was initiated following a rejection at a pivotal resistance level within an ascending channel. We assume sellside pressure will continue to break to the downside as momentum failed to hold above the upper boundary, triggering a move through structural support. The setup was reinforced by confluence from channel dynamics and directional intent.
AUDUSD - LONG - Simple yet effective Bullish Indicators:
1- Market is respecting trend line support
2- Market is respecting major support level
3- FIB 0.618 level coincide with the Trend line support
4- Series of HH and HL (HL is froming)
5- Formation of Inside bar (Bullish Harami) Candle stick on 1H time Frame
AUDUSD InsightHello to all subscribers.
Please feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to hit the boost and subscribe buttons!
Key Points
- U.S. President Trump commented on the proposed meeting between the Presidents of Ukraine and Russia in Türkiye on the 15th, suggested by Saudi Arabia, saying, “They could achieve a very good result.”
- The U.S. Department of Labor reported that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.2% from the previous month and 2.3% year-on-year, marking the lowest level since February 2021 and coming in below expectations.
- In last week's Australian general election, the Labor Party, capitalizing on anti-Trump sentiment, achieved a landslide victory and succeeded in extending its term in office.
Key Economic Events This Week
+ May 14: Germany April Consumer Price Index
+ May 15: U.K. Q1 GDP, U.S. April Retail Sales, U.S. April Producer Price Index, Fed Chair Powell’s speech
+ May 16: Japan Q1 GDP
AUDUSD Chart Analysis
The pair has broken above a resistance level and is showing upward momentum. If it breaks through the recent high at the 0.65000 level, it may trigger a full-fledged rally, with 0.69000 being a likely target. However, if it fails to break above the previous high, the trend could shift, and in that case, we will formulate a new strategy.
LONG AUDUSD breaking major resistance# AUDUSD Buy Setup Trading Plan
**Entry:**
- Buy on first pullback on smaller timeframe after resistance breakout
- Confirm with bullish candlestick pattern or moving averages
**Stop Loss:**
- Place below broken resistance level
- Approximately around 0.63262
**Take Profit:**
- Target 1: Previous swing high
- Target 2: Next major resistance level (1:2 risk-reward)
**Risk Management:**
- Risk 1-2% of account per trade
- Consider partial profit taking at Target 1
Always confirm breakout with multiple timeframes before entering.
AUDUSD(20250514)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The U.S. unadjusted CPI annual rate unexpectedly dropped to 2.3% in April, the lowest since February 2021.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
0.6435
Support and resistance levels:
0.6552
0.6508
0.6480
0.6390
0.6362
0.6318
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 0.6480, consider buying, the first target price is 0.6508
If the price breaks through 0.6435, consider selling, the first target price is 0.6390
AUDUSD SELL TRADE PLANAUDUSD – May 13, 2025
📋 Plan Overview Table
Plan Type Direction Confidence R:R Status
Main Swing Plan Sell 🔶 84% 3.2R ✅ Active
📈 Market Bias & Type
Bias: Bearish
Type: HTF Continuation Sell after failed bullish attempt into resistance (breaker + supply)
🔰 Confidence Level
84% Total Confidence
* HTF Structure Break + Shift: 25%
* Fresh H4 Supply Zone with imbalance: 20%
* D1 Trendline break & retest: 15%
* Confluence with NY Session rejection: 12%
* USD Index correlation supportive: 12%
📍 Entry Zones
* Primary Zone (Optimal):
0.6420 – 0.6430 → H4 fresh supply zone + liquidity sweep
* Secondary Zone (Deeper POI, if spiked):
0.6440 – 0.6455 → Last D1 supply engulf before sell-off
❗ SL with Reasoning
* Stop Loss: 0.6470
* Reasoning: Above final wick and imbalance; invalidation of HTF supply and D1 rejection structure.
🎯 TP1/TP2/TP3 Targets
* TP1: 0.6365 → H1 mid-range structure
* TP2: 0.6320 → D1 equal lows + liquidity pool
* TP3 (Extended): 0.6285 → Full H4 liquidity run below multi-week range
🧠 Management Strategy
* Risk: 0.5% per entry zone
* Scale: Add 0.25% on secondary zone if triggered
* Breakeven: On clear break of 0.6365 with momentum
* Trail: Trail manually after 0.6320 touch with volatility logic
⚠️ Confirmation Checklist
* ✅ H1 Bearish Engulfing at entry
* ✅ Volume spike or wick rejection (preferably NY session)
* Optional: Internal BOS on M15 near entry adds further weight
⏳ Validity
* Swing Trade: Valid for 48–72 hours
* Review zone daily for continuation or rejection invalidation
❌ Invalidation Conditions
* Clean close above 0.6468 on H4 or Daily
* Break in bearish HTF structure
* DXY sharp reversal invalidating USD strength
🌐 Fundamental & Sentiment Snapshot
* AUD: Bearish due to weaker CPI outlook, RBA dovish tones
* USD: Bullish momentum from sticky CPI + Fed hawkish repricing
* Sentiment: Risk-off continues favoring USD gains against risk currencies like AUD
📋 Final Trade Summary
AUDUSD presents a textbook swing continuation short from a premium supply area backed by macro USD strength, technical structure break, and session rejection. Favoring strong reward with tight invalidation, it's positioned for a 2–3 day hold targeting March–April liquidity pockets.