USDAUD trade ideas
AUDUSD Is Bullish! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 0.658.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 0.663 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUD/USD Approaches Key Resistance with Bullish Momentum IntactAUD/USD has extended its steady climb and is now challenging the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level (0.6558) from the July–October 2023 decline. The pair is trading within a rising channel structure and has cleared both the 50-day (0.6457) and 200-day (0.6422) SMAs, confirming a medium-term bullish shift.
Price action remains constructive, with higher lows and rising support from the channel base suggesting consistent demand. A sustained break above the 0.6558 level could open the door toward the 78.6% Fib retracement at 0.6730, a level that also aligns with prior resistance from September 2023.
Momentum indicators support the advance. The RSI is at 61.77 and rising, but still comfortably below overbought levels, implying room for further upside. The MACD is marginally positive and could accelerate higher if price confirms a breakout above the 61.8% Fib barrier.
Traders will be watching whether the pair can hold above the confluence of the SMAs and the lower trendline of the channel. A failure here could expose downside toward 0.6420–0.6450. Otherwise, the bullish structure remains intact, with scope for a continuation higher into July.
-MW
Bullish continuation for the Aussie?The price has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.5537
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 0.6490
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Take profit: 0.6623
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level at the 138.2% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish Analyzing the AUD/USD across multiple timeframes, we observe a consistent pattern of price recovery and potential accumulation phases. Starting from the 1D chart, there is a visible upward trend with recent bullish candles indicating strong buying interest. The 4H and 1H charts show a pullback to a potential Order Block (OB) around 0.6535, suggesting institutional buying interest at these levels.
The 15M, 5M, and 1M charts provide a more granular view, showing recent price rejection at lower levels and a swift recovery, indicating a sweep of liquidity below recent lows and a potential trapping of retail short positions. This setup suggests a possible preparation for an upward continuation, as institutions may have accumulated enough positions at a discount.
INSTITUTIONAL THESIS:
Institutions appear to be in an accumulation phase, buying at lower levels (around 0.6535) and preparing for a potential upward move. The repeated testing and rejection of lower prices across shorter timeframes indicate a buildup of buy-side liquidity, likely targeting the recent highs for a liquidity grab.
LEARNING POINT:
"1H Order Block mitigation after liquidity sweep" - This concept is crucial as it shows how institutions potentially use lower price levels to accumulate positions before driving the price up to target liquidity above the market.
SIGNAL: WAIT
SYMBOL: AUD/USD
ENTRY PRICE: $0.6535
STOP LOSS: $0.6520
TARGET PRICE: $0.6560
CONDITION: Buy limit at $0.6535 after confirming support at this level across multiple timeframes.
RATIONALE: Calculated risk/reward ratio of 1:1.7 (Risk=$0.00, Reward=$0.00) does not meet minimum 2:1 requirement. Waiting for better institutional setup with improved risk parameters.
STRATEGIES USED: 1H Order Block Mitigation, Multi-Timeframe Liquidity Analysis
URGENCY: MEDIUM
TIMEFRAME: Short-term
CONFIDENCE SCORE: 85%
RISK/REWARD RATIO: Risk=$0.00, Reward=$0.00, Ratio=1:1.7 (Below 2:1 minimum)
Risk Calculation:
Risk = Entry Price - Stop Loss = $0.6535 - $0.6520 = $0.0015
Reward Calculation:
Reward = Target Price - Entry Price = $0.6560 - $0.6535 = $0.0025
Ratio Calculation:
Ratio = Reward ÷ Risk = $0.0025 ÷ $0.0015 = 1:1.67
Final Decision:
The calculated risk/reward ratio is less than 2:1, thus changing the signal to WAIT.
FINAL RECOMMENDATION: WAIT
Despite the favorable setup for a BUY based on institutional analysis, the risk/reward ratio does not meet the minimum requirement of 2:1. It is recommended to monitor the price action closely and adjust the target or stop loss to improve the risk/reward ratio before entering the trade.
The Aussie Dollar Heist Blueprint: "AUD/USD" Long Setup!?🌍 Hello, Global Wealth Warriors! Ciao, Salut, Guten Tag, Ola! 🌟
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Unveiling our cunning blueprint to plunder the AUD/USD (The Aussie) forex market, crafted with 🔥Thief Trading’s razor-sharp technical and fundamental insights🔥. Stick to the chart’s game plan, zoned in on a long entry. Our mission? Slip out near the high-stakes RED Zone Level—a perilous spot with overbought vibes, consolidation, trend flips, and traps where bearish bandits lurk. 🏴☠️💰 Celebrate your wins, traders—you’ve earned it! 🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA line breakout (0.65200) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the ATR line (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level for Pullback entries.
📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
🛑 **Stop Loss**:
📍 Thief SL parked at the recent/swing low on the 4H timeframe (0.64600) for day/swing trades.
📍 Tailor your SL to your risk appetite, lot size, and number of orders. Stay sharp!
🎯 **Target**: Aim for 0.66300 or make a swift exit just before.
👀 **Scalpers, Listen Up**: Stick to long-side scalping. Got deep pockets? Dive in now! Otherwise, join swing traders for the grand heist. Use trailing SL to shield your loot. 💰
💹 **Market Pulse**: The AUD/USD (The Aussie) forex market is in a ATR Dynamic Resistance zone but leaning bullish, fueled by key drivers. ☝
🌐 Dive into Fundamentals, Macro Insights, COT Reports, Quantitative Analysis, Sentiment Outlook, Intermarket Trends, Future Targets & Overall score.. Check the linkss for the full scoop! 🔗🌍
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AUDUSD Trendline Strategy AUDUSD has been on an uptrend all day on Thursday, this trend was broken during the Asian session on Friday. To confirm that the trend was broken it hit the 1H Supply Zone and retested the trend line. Right before the London session it seemed to have formed some support at the 0.65455 level then it retraced back to the 1H Supply Zone and created a large bearish engulfing candle on the 15M which also showed a double top candlestick pattern. I then entered the trade on the break of candle on the 3:15am EST engulfing candle. I placed my stop loss right above the supply zone and entered the trade with a profit target of .65270. I chose this level due to it being a strong demand level and I thought it seemed like a lot of resting liquidity was there. Although on the chart I have the profit target as .65100 I did not hold the trade that long due to me not wanted to get chopped during after the NY AM session. I'm still practicing trusting my full analysis and holding trades for the entire duration I originally project. On this chart I also drew up other demand zones in which I was expecting a large reaction at. All 3 zones played out but it did not disturb the trade because the overall trend (1H) was on a downtrend. Its important to always remember to have time frame correlation when taking trades and always remember to follow the higher timeframe trend. Personally I feel like AUDUSD will continue this downtrend and possibly gap down to .65 during either Sunday night open or sometime during the London session.
Trading AUDUSD NZDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 25/06/2025This week the Judas Swing strategy has delivered two clean setups on OANDA:AUDUSD and $NZDUSD. Both trades played out beautifully, hitting their targets and ending the day with a solid +4% return (2% each), reinforcing the power of patience, structure, and sticking to the rules.
Let’s break down how each trade unfolded:
Trade 1: OANDA:AUDUSD Long — Textbook Setup
We kicked off Wednesday’s session watching OANDA:AUDUSD closely after identifying a classic Judas Swing scenario.
First, we saw liquidity swept below the previous session’s low, exactly what we’re looking for. This kind of move is crucial to the strategy, it grabs early sellers or stop orders and sets the stage for a reversal.
Right after the sweep, price broke structure to the upside, confirming our bullish bias. At this point, we didn’t rush in. We waited for price to retrace into our FVG (Fair Value Gap).
Patience paid off and price finally tapped into the FVG, and as soon as the entry candle closed in our direction, we executed the trade.
We risk 1% on every trade, aiming for a 2:1 reward-to-risk. After being in drawdown for a bit, price accelerated sharply and hit our target after being in the trade for 5 hours. Clean setup, clean execution, and a smooth +2% return.
Trade 2: OANDA:NZDUSD Long
OANDA:NZDUSD presented a near-identical setup. Price had been consolidating, but by the time the NY session rolled in, the stage was set.
Just like OANDA:AUDUSD , we saw a liquidity sweep at the lows, followed by a bullish break of structure, textbook Judas Swing again.
This time, the retracement into the FVG came swiftly. We executed as soon as we had confirmation on the candle close.
The trade barely hesitated, and price moved decisively in our direction, steadily climbing until our target was hit. Another +2% return, reinforcing the strategy’s strength when rules are respected
What This Week Reminds Us:
Discipline matters: We don’t chase trades. Both setups met all our checklist criteria
Patience is key: Waiting for the FVG entry and confirmation avoids emotional entries
Risk management is the foundation: With a 1% risk and 2:1 target, you only need to win half the time to be consistently profitable
When you follow a rules-based strategy like Judas Swing, you remove the guesswork and bring structure to your trading decisions.
Aussie H4 | Heading into a swing-high resistanceThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.6545 which is a swing-high resistance.
Stop loss is at 0.6571 which is a level that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit is at 0.6514 which is a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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AUD/USD finally ready to take off?Following the collapse in oil prices and the rally in all risk assets, the AUD/USD created a hammer candle on the daily time frame yesterday as it held key support and the 200-day average in the shaded blue area on the chart. We have seen some further upside so far today, suggesting that the AUD/USD may finally be ready to lift off from the congestion zone it has been stuck inside for several weeks now. Immediate upside target is the liquidity resting above 0.6552. Break that then 0.6600 handle will come into focus next. Bias will turn bearish if we close below the shaded blue area in the coming days.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Australian Dollar Consolidation Which Way From Here?Hey traders so today we are going to look at the Austrailian Dollar which is now in chart pattern called a Symetrical Triangle.
So how do we know which way to trade the market right now?
We don't so why guess when instead we can wait for the market to confirm which way it wants to go.
These are normally known as a consolidation patterns, and normally they can break out in the direction of the prevailing trend which appears to be bullish. However they can also break against the trend so the best way to trade it is watch which side it breaks then place an order to enter on the side that market breaks out of. The the other side can then become your stop loss because most likely the market won't go to the other side.
For profit target you can measure the distance of the triangle from top to bottom so in this example 183 pips or ticks.
Always use Risk Management! (just in case your wrong in your analysis)
Hope This Helps Your Trading
Clifford
Very Great Short!Hello All. As I told you before( in very Higher TF analysis) market would collapse soon. Now it is time to go to a lower time frame and catch the market with 30 R:R ratio. and I wanna tell you after ending the war between Israel and Iran (and Victory of Iran for sure), Market will be accelerate falling. be happy and have a great time(wink)
AUD/USD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
AUD/USD pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 1D timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 0.636 area.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUDUSD H4 AnalysisAUDUSD Showing a Bearish Flag. If it breaks this zone above, Most probably can fly up to 0.65018 and higher to 0.65379. If no, Can rally between 0.64068 or even lower to 0.63878. Trading Analysis from 23-06-25 to 27-06-25. Take your risk under control and wait for market to break support or resistance on smaller time frame. Best of luck everyone and happy trading.🤗
Long trade
🟢 Trade Journal Entry – Buyside Trade
📍 Pair: AUDUSD
📅 Date: Tuesday, June 17, 2025
🕒 Time: 3:00 PM (NY Session PM)
⏱ Time Frame: 1 Hour
📈 Direction: Buyside
📊 Trade Breakdown:
Entry Price 0.64738
Profit Level 0.65380 (+0.99%)
Stop Loss 0.64639 (−0.15%)
Risk-Reward
Ratio 6.48 : 1
🧠 Context / Trade Notes:
1HR TF Execution:
Entry aligned with bullish OB on the 1hr chart following a clean mitigation and rejection candle.
Stacked Confluences:
Liquidity sweep, OB retest, and session timing aligned for a high-conviction buyside setup.