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USDAUD trade ideas

AUD/USD - Bullish outlook with smaller sell side movement📈 AUD/USD – Daily Time Frame Bullish Outlook We’re currently in a clear impulsive wave structure with Elliott Wave (1)-(5) unfolding within a rising wedge formation — signaling potential strength but also the need for confirmation at key resistance levels. 🔹 Wave Structure: Price is completing or near completion of Wave (5), indicating bullish continuation unless structure breaks. Volume is increasing at the lows, suggesting strong accumulation followed by impulsive pushes upward. 🔹 Fibonacci & Support Zone: The recent bounce originated from a long-term demand zone aligned with the 71% Fibonacci retracement, confirming strong buyer interest at discounted levels. 🔹 Volume Insight: Sharp spike in volume during the initial reversal suggests smart money stepping in. "Increase of selling pressure" was observed in the highlighted zone, but price held firm, hinting at absorption. 🔹 EMA Resistance: Price is approaching dynamic resistance around the 200 EMA — a key level to watch for short-term pullbacks or breakouts. 🔹 Target Levels: Target 1: 0.65984 Target 2: 0.66952 Target 3: 0.67200 These levels align with historical price imbalances and potential liquidity zones — offering attractive bullish targets if momentum continues.
Long
by jamesibartram
AUDUSD Long Setup | Price Action and SMC concepts.🔍 Market Structure & Price Action: After a clear Break of Structure (BoS) to the upside, AUDUSD is currently retracing back into a Bullish Order Block and sitting above a strong Support Zone and an ascending Trend Line. Previous Bearish Momentum has shifted into Bullish Momentum, suggesting a potential upside continuation from discounted pricing. 📈 Trade Plan: 🎯 Entry: 0.64025 (inside Bullish OB & near support) 🛑 Stop Loss: 0.63870 (below Bullish OB & Support Zone) ✅ Take Profit: 0.64520 (before Bearish OB & inside premium zone) 🧱 Zones to Watch: 🔵 Bullish Order Block: 0.64025 - 0.63947 (entry aligned) 🔴 Bearish Order Block: 0.64585 - 0.64526 (profit booking area) 🟠 Support Zone: 0.63878 - 0.63956 (strong rejection area) 🟢 Resistance Zone: 0.64693 - 0.64605 (final premium structure) 📊 Confluences: Trendline support + Bullish OB + Support zone + Bullish momentum shift = High-probability buy setup. RR Ratio: Approx. 3.2:1 📐 🗺️ Expectation: Price may first wick into the OB/support zone (0.6400 area), then rally towards the bearish OB (0.645x), with potential partials before major resistance.
Long
by PraveenTrader1
2
THERE IS POTENTIAL - AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D23 Y25AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D23 Y25 BE SMART- AWAIT A BREAK OF STRUCTURE FIRST! Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅4H Order Block ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled ✅15' order block identified ✅Weekly 50 EMA forecasting rejection ✅Daily 50 EMA target 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
AUDUSD Will Go Down From Resistance! Short! Here is our detailed technical review for AUDUSD. Time Frame: 2h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 0.642. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 0.638 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
BREAKOUT OR REJECTION? WATCH 0.64137 KEY ZONE CLOSELY! AUDUSD 22/05 – BREAKOUT OR REJECTION? WATCH 0.64137 KEY ZONE CLOSELY! 🌐 MACRO OVERVIEW DXY is starting to lose momentum after a sharp rally fueled by the Fed’s hawkish stance. However, there’s still no clear signal of an imminent rate cut. Meanwhile, the RBA (Reserve Bank of Australia) maintains a steady policy, offering short-term support for AUD. While rates remain unchanged, the central bank’s cautious tone adds a defensive layer for the Aussie. On the trade front, Australia has seen marginal recovery in commodity prices, though ongoing concerns about Chinese economic slowdown continue to weigh on sentiment. 📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (Timeframes: H1 – H4) AUDUSD is forming a tight symmetrical triangle, with lower highs and higher lows — a typical precursor to a breakout. The current price at 0.6418 is sitting right along the lower trendline. Price action here is critical to determine today’s direction. 🔍 Scenario A – Upside Breakout (30% probability): If price breaks and closes above 0.64700–0.64910, we could see bullish continuation toward the 0.65134 resistance zone. 🔍 Scenario B – Breakdown (70% probability): A strong break below 0.64137 could trigger a move toward 0.63964 and potentially deeper into the 0.63640 liquidity zone. 🎯 TODAY'S TRADE PLAN 🔵 BUY SCALP (only if price reacts strongly at trendline support) Entry: 0.6414 – 0.6416 SL: 0.6408 TP Targets: 0.6445 → 0.6470 → 0.6490 🔴 SELL SETUP (if triangle is broken to the downside) Entry: 0.6405 – 0.6396 SL: 0.6420 TP Targets: 0.6364 → 0.6340 ⚠️ IMPORTANT NOTES Expect high volatility during the U.S. session as PMI and Unemployment Claims data are released. Stick to your TP/SL levels with discipline — the market may sweep liquidity on both sides before choosing a direction. 📌 SUMMARY: AUDUSD is consolidating in a clean technical pattern while macro uncertainty looms. Whether we break up or down, the key is to trade what the market gives — not what we think. React to confirmation, not prediction.
by MMFlowTrading
Trading AUDUSD NZDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 20/05/2025We’re halfway through the week and already sitting on two clean setups, all rooted in the Judas Swing Strategy. After Monday gave us nothing worth trading, Tuesday served up textbook opportunities on OANDA:AUDUSD and $NZDUSD. In this breakdown, we’ll walk through two trades from Tuesday and highlight how they followed the exact Judas Swing playbook: manipulation first, then break of structure, retracement and execution AUDUSD: The Classic Fakeout Reversal Tuesday's OANDA:AUDUSD setup was as clean as they come. Price action leading into our session was heading downward. Liquidity had built up nicely above and below our zones giving us the bait we needed for the Judas Swing setup to trigger. As expected, our session opened with a sharp fake move to the downside, sweeping the sell-side liquidity and trapping breakout sellers. What came next was the real clue: a decisive break of structure to the upside, signaling that the manipulation was complete and the true direction was about to unfold. Price formed a Fair Value Gap (FVG) during the move up, and once it retraced into that imbalance, we executed our buy: Entry: 0.64007 Stop Loss: 0.63907 Take Profit: 0.64207 The result? We faced some drawdown and a clean move into target. It was a low-stress trade that respected the plan from entry to exit NZDUSD: Same Script If OANDA:AUDUSD was the blueprint, OANDA:NZDUSD mirrored it almost exactly since they are closely correlated pairs. Again, we started the session with a tight range. Liquidity had stacked nicely above and below the zone. Then, right on cue, the market delivered its Judas move, a fast pump below the pre-session lows, baiting in breakout shorts. This was followed by a swift rejection and a clear break of structure to the upside. Once that displacement printed a Fair Value Gap, we knew where our opportunity lay. Entry: 0.59002 Stop Loss: 0.58902 Take Profit: 0.59202 We entered on the retrace, and price moved smoothly in our favor. The difference here? We barely faced any drawdown on this trade as it moved straight to hit our TP putting us up 4% on the two trades These setups reinforce why the Judas Swing Strategy is so effective in manipulated markets: - We don’t chase breakouts we wait for the trap - We don’t force trades we wait for displacement and confirmation - We trust our backtested process even when we miss trades or price misses TP by a whisker Not every trade will close out perfectly, but this method is built around structured logic and patience
by CleoFinance
Lingrid | AUDUSD sideways Market POTENTIAL Short EntryThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . FX:AUDUSD facing resistance near the 0.6450–0.6460 area, marked by a lower high under the descending red trendline. After a breakout from the triangle pattern, price showed strength but failed to sustain above the swap zone. Now it's forming a potential lower high setup, suggesting weakening momentum. If price fails to clear resistance, it could rotate back toward 0.6412 support and below. 📉 Key Levels Sell trigger: rejection near 0.6450 Buy zone: 0.6412 Target: 0.6368 Buy trigger: reclaim of 0.6460 with strong bullish candles 💡 Risks A break above the descending trendline would shift structure bullish. U.S. dollar weakness could invalidate the bearish thesis. Data surprises may cause sharp volatility spikes. Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Short
by Lingrid
6