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USDAUD trade ideas

Pines-Capital Trade IdeaThe second chart shows a bullish daily structure with a higher volume range and positive momentum. The first long idea is based on a pullback to the value area high or the 0.5 Fibonacci zone around 0.6498. Should the market test this area and show buyers there, this would be an opportunity for a long entry with a target in the area of the recent high at 0.6538. The stop can be placed slightly below the 0.618 level at 0.6484. A second long opportunity arises on a breakout above the recent high at 0.6538. If the price breaks above this zone with volume and stabilizes there, a procyclical long can be entered with a target towards 0.6560+ (next psychological level). The stop should be placed just below the breakout level.
Long
by jakubNQ
Pines-Capital Trade IdeaThe chart shows a bullish daily structure with a higher volume range and positive momentum. The first long idea is based on a pullback to the value area high or the 0.5 Fibonacci zone around 0.6498. Should the market test this area and show buyers there, this would be an opportunity for a long entry with a target in the area of the recent high at 0.6538. The stop can be placed slightly below the 0.618 level at 0.6484. A second long opportunity arises on a breakout above the recent high at 0.6538. If the price breaks above this zone with volume and stabilizes there, a procyclical long can be entered with a target towards 0.6560+ (next psychological level). The stop should be placed just below the breakout level.
Long
by jakubNQ
AUD/USD Bearish Setup – Key Rejection🔍 Market Context: AUD/USD has shown an ascending structure followed by a potential bearish divergence. The recent high around 0.65437 is marked as the Invalidation Level — a break and close above this level would invalidate the current bearish scenario. 📌 Key Levels: Resistance / Invalidation Zone: 0.65437 Support Target Zone: Near 0.64000 --- 📉 Bearish Scenario: Price is expected to reject the resistance zone and move downward based on the current structure and possible exhaustion of bullish momentum. The red projected path illustrates a potential move lower if price fails to break above the invalidation level. --- 📛 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a trading recommendation. All trading involves risk. Please conduct your own analysis or consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
Short
by Forex_Int
AUDUSDTechnical Analysis: Trend Context: On H4 and Daily, AUD/USD is in a downtrend or corrective phase within a broader bearish structure. Recent rallies have failed to break key resistance at 0.6550-0.6560, forming a double top/weak continuation. Key Levels: Resistance Zone: 0.6550 – 0.6565 Support Zone: 0.6460 – 0.6440 Next Major Support: 0.6400 (if 0.6460 breaks) Trade Setup: AUD/USD Short at 0.65256 🔻 Position: Sell AUD/USD 🔹 Entry Price: 0.65256 🎯 Target: 0.64600 (Initial TP) 🛑 Stop-Loss: 0.65580 🔧 Risk:Reward Ratio: ~1:2
Short
by Ali_Explorer
AUDUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISAUDUSD is currently forming a strong ascending triangle on the 8H chart, with a series of higher lows pressuring a key horizontal resistance zone around 0.65250–0.65300. This is a classic bullish continuation pattern, indicating buyer strength and a potential breakout toward 0.67000 if the structure confirms. The current price action at 0.65285 shows that bulls are testing the upper boundary again, signaling possible breakout acceleration as we move into mid-June volatility. From a macro standpoint, the Australian dollar is supported by rising commodity demand, particularly in iron ore and copper — both of which are showing strength in global markets. At the same time, the Federal Reserve remains cautious with its rate path, with recent U.S. labor data pointing to a cooling job market. Traders are now pricing in possible rate cuts sooner than expected, weakening the dollar’s bullish grip. This divergence in central bank tone and economic performance favors risk-on currencies like the AUD. Technically, the ascending triangle is providing solid structure and confluence. Breakout traders may look for a clean candle close above 0.65350, which could open the path to the 0.67000 zone with minimal resistance ahead. A well-placed stop below the 0.64500 zone keeps risk controlled, and the favorable risk-to-reward ratio makes this setup ideal for swing continuation strategies in trending environments. This pattern has been building over several weeks, showing market accumulation and strong bullish compression. With today's fundamentals aligning with the technical structure, AUDUSD looks ready to launch into a higher bullish leg. Keep eyes on the breakout candle and volume confirmation as we may be entering a powerful momentum phase toward the 0.67 handle.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
AUDUSD follow the ascending channel bullish now from key demand 📈 AUD/USD Technical Outlook – 1H Timeframe The AUD/USD pair continues to trade within a bullish ascending channel, rebounding strongly from the key support zone at 0.64800. Momentum remains positive, signaling potential for further upside. 🎯 Next Technical Target: 1st Resistance: 0.65200 Traders should monitor price action near this level for potential breakout or rejection signals. 🔍 Stay tuned for more real-time updates, insights, and setups. 👉 Like, follow, comment, and join the community for daily market analysis and trading ideas! — Livia 😜
Long
by LIVIATRACK
2
Aussie H1 | Rising into a swing-high resistanceThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 0.6526 which is a swing-high resistance. Stop loss is at 0.6547 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and a multi-swing-high resistance. Take profit is at 0.6502 which is an overlap support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
Aussie Weekly overviewHello Traders, Be more cautious for short trades from 0.65031 ************************************************************ The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones. Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray. You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confirmation and ETC. SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings. TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels. ******************************************************************* Role of different zones: GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them. RED: Just Short trades allowed on them. BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them. WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
by AliSignals
AUD Bulls Charge on China CPI & Trade HopesOANDA:AUDUSD is trading near 0.6510, buoyed by China’s better-than-expected May CPI print at -0.1% YoY (vs forecast of -0.4%) and optimism over the renewed U.S.-China trade dialogue, which has improved global risk sentiment. Despite weak CMCMARKETS:AUDUSD Australian Q1 GDP and a narrower trade surplus, the Aussie remains firm as a proxy for Chinese demand and commodity-linked risk appetite. From a technical perspective, the pair is moving within an ascending hourly channel and is currently testing key resistance at 0.6517. A confirmed breakout could clear the path toward monthly resistance at 0.6582. However, failure to break higher may see a pullback to 0.6492, or deeper to the critical support at 0.6411. As long as the channel structure remains intact, the bias stays bullish. Resistance : 0.6517 ， 0.6582 Support : 0.6492 ， 0.6411
Short
by ATFX_Global
Bearish drop?AUD/USD is reacting off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.6499 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.6517 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 0.6471 Why we like ot: There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
AUDUSD consolidation phase bullish from supportOANDA:AUDUSD Analysis 🦘💵 | 4H Timeframe Pair is currently consolidating, creating a solid base around 0.63400 – key support level holding strong. Entered long from support, targeting 0.65400 resistance zone. 📈 Trend bias: Bullish 🟢 Entry: 0.63400 (Support zone) 🎯 Target: 0.65400 (Key resistance) 🔐 Invalidation: Break and close below 0.63000 Also keeping eyes on the bullish Order Block at 0.59500 on higher timeframe – strong liquidity area if price revisits. Let the market breathe, plan your trade, and trade your plan. Patience pays 💅 — Livia 😜📊 #Forex #PriceAction #AUDUSD #TradeSetup #SmartMoney #FXQueen
Long
by LIVIATRACK
AUDUSD Start of Week DropThe DXY index has double bottomed and left a significant FVG at around $1. This has yet to retrace and market sentiment towards seeing the USD under $1 is tough. This FVG is likely to close this week as a last ditch effort to hold the USD at $1 level. We have business confidence news twice in the early week that is likely to be not great pressuring the AUD, then later on we have USD news that will likely hold or temporarily bolster USD confidence. This is the dynamics shift that I believe will bring on that larger retracement of the USD to $1. Be ready for a significant rejection once we arrive at the FVG though.
Short
by sd_x
3
AUDUSD 1. Current 10-Year Bond Yields Australia 10-Year Bond Yield: Around 4.26% to 4.53% in early June 2025, with recent fluctuations near 4.3% to 4.5%. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cut the cash rate to 3.85% in early June, citing inflation progress and global uncertainties, which influenced bond yields to decline slightly after a prior rise. United States 10-Year Treasury Yield: Approximately 4.44% to 4.55% in early June 2025, slightly higher than Australia's yield. US yields rose due to fiscal concerns and inflation risks despite expectations of rate cuts later in the year. 2. Interest Rate Differential The 10-year bond yield differential (Australia minus US) is currently small and slightly negative or near zero: 4.3%(AU)−4.5%(US)≈−0.2% This indicates US 10-year yields are marginally higher than Australian yields, reducing the carry advantage for AUD relative to USD. The policy rate differential also favors the US slightly, with the US Federal Reserve cash rate around 4.10% and RBA cash rate at 3.85% as of June 2025. 3. Interest Rate Parity and Uncovered Interest Rate Parity (UIP) Interest Rate Parity (IRP) theory states that the forward exchange rate should reflect the interest rate differential between two countries, preventing arbitrage opportunities. Uncovered Interest Rate Parity (UIP) suggests the expected change in the spot exchange rate equals the interest rate differential E =iAU−USE =i AU −i US With a slightly negative differential (~ -0.2%), UIP implies the AUD may appreciate slightly against the USD or the USD may depreciate against AUD over time to offset interest rate differences. However, UIP often fails in the short term due to risk premiums, capital flows, and market sentiment. 4. Carry Trade Advantage Given the small or negative yield differential, the traditional carry trade incentive to buy AUD and sell USD based on interest rates is currently weak or absent. The carry trade advantage depends on the interest rate spread; with US yields marginally higher, borrowing USD to invest in AUD offers little or no positive carry. Other factors like commodity prices, risk sentiment, and economic outlook influence AUD/USD more than carry trade currently. 5. Key Upcoming June 2025 Economic Data Australia: Q1 GDP data release (important for growth outlook) Inflation reports (CPI updates) Employment and unemployment figures Retail sales and business confidence data RBA monetary policy statements and forward guidance United States: Non-farm payrolls and unemployment rate good for dollar index and holding rate cute on data. CPI and PCE inflation data Federal Reserve meeting minutes and policy outlook Consumer confidence and retail sales These data points will be critical in shaping expectations for interest rates, bond yields, and ultimately the AUD/USD exchange rate. Summary Table Metric Australia (AUD) United States (USD) Differential (AU - US) 10-Year Government Bond Yield ~4.26% - 4.53% ~4.44% - 4.55% ~ -0.2% to 0% Policy Interest Rate 3.85% (RBA) ~4.10% (Fed) ~ -0.25% UIP Expected Exchange Rate — — Slight AUD appreciation implied Carry Trade Advantage Weak/None Slight advantage Minimal carry trade incentive Key June Economic Data GDP, CPI, employment, RBA policy Employment, inflation, Fed policy — Conclusion The current AUD/USD 10-year bond yield differential is minimal or slightly negative, reducing the carry trade appeal of AUD versus USD. According to uncovered interest rate parity, this suggests a modest expected appreciation of AUD against USD, but actual currency movements will depend heavily on upcoming economic data and central bank policy signals from both countries. The market is closely watching inflation, growth, and employment reports in June 2025 to gauge the direction of monetary policy and bond yields #audusd
by Shavyfxhub
AUDUSD Will Fall! Short! Take a look at our analysis for AUDUSD. Time Frame: 5h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.649. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.645 level soon. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1