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USD/CAD (OANDA EU Clients)

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Canadian dollar calm ahead of BoC, US inflationThe Canadian dollar posted gains earlier but couldn't consolidate.  In the European session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.4439, up 0.03% on the day. It's decision day at the Bank of Canada, which is widely expected to lower rates by 25 basis points. This would lower the cash rate to 2.75%, its lowest level since July 2022.  The BoC has been aggressive and has lowered rates at five straight meetings, chopping 200 basis points during that time. The economy remains weak despite the sharp drop in interest rates and the central bank plans to continue lowering rates in order to boost economic growth.  The BoC finds itself in a difficult position as far as rate policy.   The labor market is showing weakness, with almost no job growth in February, while at the same time inflation remains sticky, above the BoC's 2% target.  Throw into the mix the Trump administration's tariffs on Canada, and the situation has become fluid.  The specter of a long trade war between Canada and the US would be disastrous for Canada and has complicated matters for the BoC. In the US, inflation has been contained but remains above the Federal Reserve's target of 2%.  Headline CPI for February is expected to ease to 0.3% m/m, down from 0.5% in January, and down to 2.9% y/y from 3.0%.  The core rate is projected to drop to 0.3% m/m from 0.4% and to 3.2% from 3.3%. If the CPI estimates prove to be on target, it would  point to little movement in inflation and investors may feel relieved that Trump's tariffs policies have not yet raised inflation.  The Federal Reserve is widely expected to hold rates at next week's meeting but it's unclear what happens after that, with the chances of a May cut at around 50/50. USD/CAD is testing resistance at 1.4445.  Above, there is resistance at 1.4511 1.4370 and 1.4304 are the next support levels
by OANDA
USDCAD could be about to deliver a 330 pips moveUSDCAD is forming an ascending triangle pattern, suggesting a potential breakout if it surpasses 1.4546, with an upside target of around 322 pips. Economic factors include U.S. tariffs on Canadian goods, a Canadian boycott of U.S. products, and slowing economic data in both countries, which could pressure the CAD as an export-driven currency. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information
by ThinkMarkets
USD/CAD Trend in US Session Today🔔🔔🔔 USD/CAD news: 👉DXY is currently at 103.4, its lowest since November 5, 2024. A break of this level could see DXY fall further. The pair has been losing ground as the US dollar struggles amid concerns that tariff uncertainty could push the US economy into recession. 👉The RSI (1H) is currently entering extreme overbought territory and shows no signs of stopping. 👉The US 10-year bond yield is also down 0.21%, further weighing on the US dollar. 👉On the other hand, CIBC analysts expect the Canadian central bank to cut 25 bps on Wednesday, lowering its benchmark rate to 2.75%, with more cuts to follow this year if trade uncertainty persists. The rising bets of further BoC rate reductions could undermine the CAD and help limit the pair’s losses. Personal opinion: 👉DXY's RSI (1H) enters the overbought zone, so watch this area closely. Moreover, 103.3 is a strong support zone, so there may be signs of a reversal in the short term Analysis: 👉Based on important resistance - support levels and Fibonacci combined with trend lines to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: 🔆 Price Zone Setup: 👉Buy USD/CAD 1.4410 - 1.4400 ❌SL: 1.4370 | ✅TP: 1.4450 - 1.4490 - 1.4550 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Long
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
Different Shades of DisciplineIn my decade of trading experience I've come to realize through huge number of trials and errors that discipline in trading is a rather unique and not always universal beast. While there are definitely broad categories of discipline trading like taking high-quality setups, correctly managing risk, taking profits, and so on; There are also many unique underlying reasons and mind-tangled cognitive dissonances that can become the cause of these lapses. What I understood in my experience is that discipline seems to be transferrable from 1 area to another. Addicted to smoking? Perhaps, quitting can be beneficial to one's trading. However, not necessarily as some traders smoke (and can't quit that habit) for a different underlying reason and thus quitting for them might NOT be as beneficial for the former one. The devil seems to be in the details. Why one smokes? Is it a coping mechanism for stress, or is it a little ritual that one employs to consciously recalibrate themselves? The key seems to be in action and number of trials and experiments. Attempting to try the routine of other people might not yield the best results for the expended effort. One person may run for many miles and enjoy that time, for another it will be excruciating agony to do that. The discipline required in that example would obviously be vastly different, and thus the effect that action produces also - different. At the end of the day - the most important thing in trading is consistency, but coupled with PERSONAL unique discipline is something that gives us edge in the markets.
Education
by Lightwork_
Bearish drop?USD/CAD is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.4430 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance. Stop loss: 1.4539 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 1.4382 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
International politics is now a high school dramaSo, Trump was all like, “Let’s slap an extra 25% tariff on Canadian steel and aluminum,” which meant total duties shot up to 50%. Why? Because Ontario put a 25% tax on electricity exports to the U.S. And Doug Ford? He was not having it—saying he’d “respond appropriately” and “not back down.” But —he totally backed down and scrapped the tax on electricity exports to Michigan, New York, and Minnesota. And now, Trump just ditched the extra 25% tariff, and boom— USDCAD broke below the recent low of 1.43986
by BlackBull_Markets
USD/CAD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT Hello, Friends! USD/CAD pair is trading in a local downtrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 1D timeframe the pair is going up. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 1.411 area. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
USD/CAD: Textbook Waves—ABC Correction Next?Discover the Power of Elliott Waves with This USD/CAD Setup! Hey traders! If you’re looking for a clean, textbook Elliott Wave example to sharpen your analysis skills, you’re in the right place. Let’s break it down together—and who knows, this could be the edge your trading needs! Elliott Wave Breakdown Wave 1: Kicked things off with a strong move higher, marking the start of the current trend. Wave 2 (Flat): A sideways, flat correction—think of it like the market catching its breath. It moved in three waves (A-B-C), holding up price and hinting at the strength to come. Wave 3: The rocket ship! Wave 3 is typically the powerhouse, and USD/CAD delivered. Traders who caught this move likely enjoyed a nice ride. Wave 4 (Zigzag): True to Elliott Wave theory, we saw alternation. After the flat Wave 2, Wave 4 gave us a sharp A-B-C zigzag down. Quick, clean, and offering a second chance for those who missed Wave 3. Wave 5: The final push completed the 5-wave impulse, potentially wrapping up the current trend. What’s Next? An ABC Correction! This is where it gets exciting. After completing a 5-wave pattern, markets often retrace in an A-B-C correction. This could be your chance to plan the next move. Will it pull back to the 38.2%, 50%, or even 61.8% retracement? Smart traders are already watching these levels! Why This Matters for You Understanding wave structures like this can give you a huge advantage. It’s not about predicting the future—it’s about stacking probabilities in your favor. And when a textbook pattern like this shows up, it’s an opportunity worth watching. Actionable Tips for Traders Be ready for the ABC correction—this could be your ideal entry for the next impulse move. Use tools like RSI, MACD, or trendline breaks for extra confirmation. Manage risk wisely. No setup is guaranteed, but the odds are on your side when you follow the waves! Stick around for more insights like this. If you find this breakdown helpful, give it a thumbs up and follow me for more real-time analyses and trading tips! Good luck and happy trading!
Long
by TheSignalService
The 3 Step Rocket Booster Strategy In Forex TradingI have been quiet for the past few days as am trying to refine my trading strategy so that I could have an edge on the markets. After sitting in a cave and refining My trading strategy am back with a new all all-improved strategy to take advantage during this bear market that we are in. This bear market is very brutal and its taking a lot of prisoners meaning that unless you are learning a trading strategy that will put you ahead of the competition you are probably expecting some bad trades as well The key is to follow the rocket booster strategy it has 3 steps as follows: #1- The price has to be above the 50 EMA #2- The price has to be above the 200 EMA #3 -The price should gap up or pass the Buy stop order line This last step is very important because it will give you the signal to enter your trade or not. Remember it has to pass that line to confirm the last step. Remember to rocket boost this post to learn more Disclaimer:Trading is risky please learn risk manamgnet and profit taking strategies also feel free to use a simulation trading account before you trade with real money.
Long
by lubosi
USDCAD Eyes on BoC Interest Rate DecisionUSDCAD Eyes on BoC Interest Rate Decision On Friday, the Bank of Canada reported a contraction in employment data. However, it was positive that the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 6.6% from the previous month, and the average hourly wages for February were higher than the previous month. Overall, the Canadian economy is performing well. Despite this, USDCAD is expected to advance further in the coming days. On Wednesday, March 12, the BoC will announce its interest rate decision. The market anticipates a rate cut of 25 basis points, bringing the rate down to 2.75% from the current 3%2. This expectation is causing CAD weakness ahead of the news. The price may test our target areas soon. If this does not happen by Wednesday, trading could become riskier. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please suppo rt with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by KlejdiCuni
8
USDCAD H4 | Bearish BreakoutBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is currently at our sell entry at 1.4423, a pullback resistance Our take profit will be at 1.4311, a pullback support. The stop loss will be placed at 1.4540, which is a swing-high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM