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USD/CAD (OANDA EU Clients)

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USDCAD.PRO.OTMS trade ideas

USD/CAD Hints at Bullish ReversalBearish momentum has continued to wane on USD/CAD, as bears continue to make hard work of fresh cycle lows. That has allowed a bullish RSI divergence to form on the daily chart alongside a falling wedge pattern. That is has formed around historical VPOC (volume point of controls) adds further weight to the potential bullish reversal. Also note that a bullish engulfing candle formed on Wednesday to suggest a bullish breakout could be pending. Bulls could seek dips towards the September VPOC in anticipation of a bullish breakout, and retain a bullish prices while they remain above recent swing lows. The core target is the base of the wedge, just below 1.4. Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Long
by CityIndex
USDCAD INTRADAY range trading capped at 1.4050The USDCAD pair is exhibiting a bearish sentiment, reinforced by the ongoing downtrend. The key trading level to watch is at 1.4060, which represents the current intraday swing low and the falling resistance trendline level. In the short term, an oversold rally from current levels, followed by a bearish rejection at the 1.4060 resistance, could lead to a downside move targeting support at 1.3780, with further potential declines to 1.3730 and 1.3630 over a longer timeframe. On the other hand, a confirmed breakout above the 1.4060 resistance level and a daily close above that mark would invalidate the bearish outlook. This scenario could pave the way for a continuation of the rally, aiming to retest the 1.4080 resistance, with a potential extension to 1.4160 levels. Conclusion: Currently, the USDCAD sentiment remains bearish, with the 1.4060 level acting as a pivotal resistance. Traders should watch for either a bearish rejection at this level or a breakout and daily close above it to determine the next directional move. Caution is advised until the price action confirms a clear break or rejection. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
USD-CAD Free Signal! Sell! Hello,Traders! USD-CAD is trading in a Downtrend and the pair is Consolidating below the Horizontal resistance Around 1.3880 so we are Bearish biased and we can Enter a short trade on Monday With the Take Profit of 1.3725 And the Stop Loss of 1.3908 Sell! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TopTradingSignals
1
USDCADThis 4-hour chart of USD/CAD presents a bearish channel setup, signaling continuation of the downtrend. Here's a breakdown of the technical context: Trend & Structure Analysis: 🔻 Descending Channel: The price is respecting a downward-sloping channel (highlighted in red). Lower highs are marked by red arrows showing consistent rejection at the upper trendline. 🔹 EMA Resistance: EMA 9 (blue line) and EMA 21 (orange line) are above price and sloping downward. The 9 EMA is currently at 1.38199, reinforcing resistance in this area. 🔹 Horizontal Levels: Daily Resistance around 1.38554 has been rejected repeatedly. Immediate support lies around 1.37603. Fibonacci Levels & Bearish Projection: Fibonacci retracement from a recent swing shows: 0.382 ≈ 1.38241 0.5 ≈ 1.38133 (currently acting as resistance) Fibonacci Extensions (Downside Targets): 1.618 = 1.36972 2.618 = 1.35951 3.618 = 1.34930 4.236 = 1.34371 (aligns with Daily Demand Zone) Trade Setup Idea (Short Bias): Bias: Bearish while price stays below the descending channel’s upper boundary and EMA resistance. Entry: Near 1.3813–1.3824 (after a potential pullback) Stop-Loss: Above 1.3855 (daily resistance) Targets: TP1: 1.3760 TP2: 1.3697 TP3: 1.3595 TP4: 1.3437 (Daily Demand Zone)
Short
by Dailypaperfx888
USDCAD short (the week of 05 May) – deserves considerationIf you did not see my analysis of last week (link attached) or were not convinced, take another look at this pair. During last week we did have a bearish move but essentially price merely consolidated. I have redrawn my trend line (to reflect the current market situation) and I see a possible retest of this line or perhaps a bigger retracement, but the bearish pressure is clearly visible. Price is below the 200 dma and the next major support is around 1.3610. Anything is possible in the markets but it is my opinion that this setup has a good risk/reward ratio. Link - This is not a trade recommendation; it’s merely my own analysis. Trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose and carefully manage your capital and risk. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more. Please comment and share your thoughts too!! It’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soros
Short
by Trading_Vista
USDCAD | Technical Rebound or Final Stop Before the Crash?USDCAD is currently in a highly delicate phase: the price has reached a key weekly demand zone between 1.3720–1.3820, which overlaps with a strong Fibonacci retracement cluster (0.705–0.78) of the previous bullish leg. So far, the reaction has been muted, but price compression and fading volatility suggest a potential short-term rebound. However, looking at the bigger picture, the macro and positioning signals are flashing red for the US dollar: 📊 COT Report: Non-Commercials are significantly increasing short positions on USD and reducing shorts on CAD → bearish bias on USDCAD 🧠 Retail sentiment: Most retail traders are long on USDCAD → contrarian bearish bias 🗓️ Seasonality: May is historically negative for the USD and positive for the CAD → further confirms the short thesis Only a structural recovery above 1.4150 on the weekly close would invalidate the bearish setup. Until then, any retracement towards 1.3980–1.4050 should be seen as an opportunity to sell strength. 🎯 Key Levels: Sell zone: 1.3980–1.4050 Invalidation: Weekly close > 1.4150 Targets: 1.3720 – 1.3550 🔔 Critical note: When everyone is long, often the only direction left is down.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
USD/CAD 4H CHART PATTERNUSD/CAD Technical Analysis Chart Pattern: Trend Line Breakout Reversal Target: 1.44000 1. Overall Market Structure The chart depicts a clear downtrend, followed by sideways consolidation near a horizontal support line. A descending trend line captures the bearish structure, which has now been challenged by recent bullish momentum. 2. Support Zone & Rejection The price has respected the support zone multiple times, forming a strong base. Repeated bounces off this level suggest accumulation, where buyers are building positions. 3. Breakout Confirmation Price action is attempting to break above the descending trend line, signaling a potential reversal from bearish to bullish. The "Entry Long" point marks an ideal breakout zone, where traders could enter with confirmation (strong bullish candle close above the trend line). 4. Target Projection: 1.44000 The projected target is 1.44000, aligning with a major resistance level (previous structure highs). This makes the trade a trend reversal play, aiming to capture the first major upward swing post-breakout . 5. Risk Management A stop loss should be placed just below the support line or recent swing low to guard against a false breakout. The trade offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, especially if entered on a retest of the breakout zone.
Long
by Trend_logic
USDCAD I Weekly CLS I KL - Monthly OB I Model 1Hey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model. If you haven't followed me yet, start now. My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution. 🧩 What is CLS? CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets. ✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits. 🛡️ Models 1 and 2: From my posts, you can learn two core execution models. They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained. 📍 Model 1 is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range. 📍 Model 2 occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range. 👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
 ⚔️ Listen Carefully: Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves. If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
Long
by David_Perk
11
USDCAD LONG POSSIBILITY SIGNALUnder current market conditions, the area near 1.3821 has been identified as a critical support zone, where the AI model detects a high-probability trade setup. From a technical perspective, the AI algorithm has recognized a clear directional bias based on recent price action patterns. Suppose the market demonstrates increased volume and price stability above key moving averages in the 1.3821 area. In that case, traders are advised to monitor for trend-continuation entry opportunities in alignment with the prevailing momentum. Profit targets are defined at 1.3855 and 1.3904, corresponding to logical technical resistance zones. These levels are designed for staged profit-taking across different trade management styles. Stop-loss should be strictly enforced at the designated level; once breached, the strategy is considered invalidated in order to limit potential downside.
Long
by FOREX_CRYPTO_MASTER
1
USDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D1 Y25USDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D1 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Intraday breaks of structure ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled ✅15' order block identified 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT