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USD/CAD (OANDA EU Clients)

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USD/CAD – Major Trendline Rejection + Bullish Reversal ZoneUSD/CAD is currently forming a bullish reversal setup on the weekly timeframe, suggesting a potential longer-term move to the upside. Right now, the price is rebounding from a long-term ascending trendline, which has acted as dynamic support since 2021. This level also aligns with a prior resistance-turned-support zone, adding confluence. Volume has spiked recently, signaling strong market interest at this level. ⚠️ If price holds above 1.3800 and breaks above the recent weekly highs, we could see a bullish continuation toward the 1.4650–1.4800 supply zone. 🎯 🔹 Trade Setups to Consider: 1️⃣ Weekly Trendline Bounce Entry 📍 Entry: 1.3886 🛑 Stop Loss: 1.3723 🎯 Targets: 1.4140 ➡️ 1.4650 2️⃣ Breakout & Retest Entry 📍 Entry: 1.4140 (on retest after breakout) 🛑 Stop Loss: 1.3950 🎯 Target: 1.4800 📌 Risk Management Tip: This setup is based on a higher timeframe, so wider stops and longer holding periods are expected—size your positions accordingly. 💬 What’s your view on USD/CAD? Drop your thoughts below 👇 #Forex #TradingSetup #WeeklyChart #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #TradeIdeas #USDCAD #TrendlineSupport #BullishReversal #MacroSetup
Long
by ByteSignals
2
USD/CAD ConsolidatesUSD/CAD Consolidates In the second half of April, the USD/CAD chart has shown a decline in volatility following significant spikes observed since February. The Canadian dollar has stabilised against the US dollar within the 1.390–1.380 range over the past week, as market participants assess what a fair USD/CAD rate might be, given the evolving news backdrop: → The US dollar gained upward momentum on hopes of easing trade tensions between the US and China, although the information remains conflicting — Trump claims negotiations are ongoing, while Beijing denies this. → Oil prices — a key Canadian export — have recovered by more than 10% from their April lows, providing support for the Canadian dollar. → Economic data published this week suggests a cooling in the Canadian economy: employment is declining, and the pace of average wage growth has slowed to 5.4%. → Although an important political event — the Canadian Parliamentary elections — is set to take place this weekend, it appears to have had little impact on the USD/CAD exchange rate so far. Trade tariffs between the US and Canada likely remain the dominant concern. Technical Analysis of the USD/CAD Chart Price fluctuations have formed a descending channel that originated in March. From a bearish perspective, resistance may be encountered at: → the median line of the channel; → the psychological level of 1.400. From a bullish perspective: → the price has formed a rounding bottom pattern near the 1.380 level; → the lower boundary of the channel is acting as significant support. It is possible that the weekend will bring key developments that could act as catalysts, breaking the established range between 1.390 and 1.380. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
USDCAD – 4H Bullish Divergence Setting Up for a Potential ReversUSDCAD – 4H Bullish Divergence Setting Up for a Potential Reversal 🚀🔄 Hey traders 👋 USDCAD is flashing some early signs of a potential trend shift on the 4H chart, and it’s coming straight from one of the most reliable clues in technical analysis — bullish divergence. Let’s walk through it. 📈 Price Making Lower Lows, But RSI Isn’t So here’s what’s happening: price action has been sliding lower, printing a series of lower lows — looks bearish on the surface, right? But when you peek under the hood and check out the RSI, you’ll notice something interesting. The RSI is actually making higher lows during the same period. That’s classic bullish divergence, and it’s usually a sign that selling pressure is weakening, even if price hasn’t caught up to that idea yet. Momentum is starting to shift, and the bulls may be loading up in the background. 🔍 What This Means This setup tells us that while bears have been in control, they’re losing strength. Buyers are quietly stepping in, and if price confirms with a breakout or a structure shift — we might be looking at a solid reversal opportunity. These divergences can often be the first clue before a full-blown reversal. Not something to trade blindly, but definitely something to prepare for. 💡 Watch For Confirmation Look for structure breakouts (trendline cracks, minor resistance flips, etc.) Volume rising on bullish candles = extra confidence A strong bullish engulfing candle or a higher low can be a great signal to jump in Patience is key here. Let the market show its hand, then act. 📌 The Setup Looks Promising – But Timing Is Everything. Are you spotting the same divergence? Or waiting for more signs before stepping in? #USDCAD #Forex #BullishDivergence #4HChart #RSI #TrendReversal #ForexTrading #PriceAction #SmartMoney
Long
by MAAwan
USDCAD COT and Liquidity AnalysisCOT Report Analysis: This is a bit tricky one on the first sight you can see there is more longs than shorts, but !! And this where many traders makes mistakes when they are looking to the just current COT data. We can see that since march longs has dropped from the 165k to 1002K this is bearish. Net positions also going down. while the long % exposure is still 85% long it mostly go much lower. Also price action confirms lower prices, but I think healthy pullback is in play. So we got framework and bias now we need to look for setups. Which I will again use my CLS method. /b] Hey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. This is a big part of my FX Trading. Im always trying to trade with the Big players so knowing their positions is good thing. Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage. I created this simple free indicator which you can find in the my scripts. It's highlighting the day of the real report - Tuesday. Here is the tip if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance. Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
Short
by David_Perk
2
USDCAD Bears Gain Momentum Below Resistance WallUSDCAD 8D TECHNICAL ANALYSIS OVERALL TREND 📉 DOWNTREND — Confirmed by multiple moving averages stacked bearishly and recent breakdown from a Pivot High at 1.46560. The Trend Score reads -0.10, signaling growing bearish sentiment, though the current downtrend confidence is moderate (4.8%). 🔴RESISTANCE ZONE 🔴 1.47937 — PIVOT HIGH | SELL STOPLOSS 🔴 1.46560 — SELL ORDER 2 🔴 1.43772 — SELL ORDER 1 🎯ENTRIES & TARGETS 🎯 1.38464 — SELL ORDER & TP 1 🎯 1.34004 — SELL ORDER & TP 2 | Mid-Pivot 🎯 1.30718 — SELL ORDER & TP 3 🎯 1.25643 — EXIT SELL | TP 4 🟢SUPPORT ZONE 🟢 1.24442 — BUY ORDER 1 🟢 1.21463 — BUY ORDER 2 🟢 1.20070 — PIVOT LOW | BUY STOPLOSS 📊INDICATOR SUMMARY RSI @ 37 — Near oversold, but neutral MACD — Bearish divergence confirmed (Sell) Momentum — Weak bullish rebound (Buy) Stochastic %K — Neutral but nearing oversold (14.64) Major Moving Averages — Mostly bearish alignment (20/30/50/100/200 EMAs & SMAs all showing Sell) 🤓STRUCTURAL NOTES Bearish engulfing candle near 1.43772 resistance confirms sell-side pressure Price rejected near the Pivot High zone (1.46560) and has broken below short-term support EMA/SMA crossover downward confirms bearish acceleration Volume Weighted MA also supports a downside continuation TRADE OUTLOOK 🔎 📉 Short Bias — Valid below 1.43772 with target zones between TP1 @ 1.38464 and TP4 @ 1.25643 📈 Long setups only initiate below 1.24442 support bounce with confluence at the BUY STOP zone (1.20070) 👀 Watch price action at 1.38464 and 1.34004 — key decision zones for mid-trend reversal or continuation 🧪STRATEGY RECOMMENDATION CONSERVATIVE APPROACH (Trend-Following): — Entry: 1.43772 retest — TP Levels: 1.38464 / 1.34004 / 1.30718 / 1.25643 — SL: Above 1.46560 AGGRESSIVE APPROACH (Breakout Pullback): — Entry: On break and close below 1.38464 — TP: 1.34004 / 1.30718 / 1.25643 — SL: Above 1.40900 “Discipline | Consistency | PAY-tience™” — Let the chart speak and the setup confirm.
Short
by ProfessorCEWard
#USDCAD: 1000+ Pips Big Bullish Move With Three TargetsThe USDCAD is currently in a bearish trend since the day has dropped significantly and is still falling. We anticipate the price to drop slightly more before it reaches our entry zone. There are two entry points, and you can choose either one that aligns with your views. There are three targets, and you can set take profit targets that suit you best. Good luck and trade safely. Thanks for your support! 😊 If you want to help us out, here are a few things you can do: - Like our ideas - Comment on our ideas - Share our ideas Team Setupsfx_ ❤️🚀
Long
by Setupsfx_
17
USDCAD Long 4/24/2025USD/CAD Long Setup – 4H Demand Bounce + Fib Confluence Ahead of Jobless Claims Looking to long USD/CAD based on a confluence of technical structure and macro catalysts. Daily Chart: Yesterday printed a bullish engulfing candle, signaling strong buyer intent and continuation of the broader uptrend. 4H Chart: Price pulled back into a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the recent leg, aligning perfectly with a well-defined 4H demand zone. Importantly, no 4H candle has closed below the body of the previous bullish engulfing, suggesting buyers are holding control. Trade Expectation: Expecting this to be a correction within a trend, not a reversal — looking for a continuation that retests the highs and pushes for a breakout beyond 1.3900. Fundamental Catalyst: Today’s U.S. unemployment claims release will be the key driver. A lower-than-expected print could fuel USD strength and send this pair accelerating to new short-term highs. Target Zone: First target is a retest of the recent high; extended target is a break above 1.3900, which opens the door to higher timeframe expansion. Stop: Just below the 4H demand zone, respecting the structural invalidation of the Fib level. This is a clean trend-continuation play with both technical alignment and fundamental tailwinds.
Long
by Big6Financial
USD/CAD BUYERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG Hello, Friends! We are now examining the USD/CAD pair and we can see that the pair is going down locally while also being in a downtrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB lower band being nearby indicating that the pair is oversold so we can go long from the support line below and a target at 1.387 level. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Long
by EliteTradingSignals
1
USDCAD at Risk? COT Turns Bearish📊 COT Overview – CAD & USD Futures 🇨🇦 Canadian Dollar (CAD) Asset Managers: Still net short, but recovering fast → from -150K to nearly -50K. Leveraged Money: Strong bullish reversal from -100K to -30K and climbing. ✅ Interpretation: Institutions are flipping bullish on CAD → Bearish pressure on USDCAD. 🇺🇸 US Dollar (USD) Asset Managers: Cutting long exposure since March. Leveraged Money: Losing conviction → neutral to slightly long. ⚠️ Interpretation: USD is structurally weakening → adding to the USDCAD bearish bias. 🧠 Technical Analysis Price has returned to the key demand zone (1.3700–1.3850) for the third test. Candles are compressing → signal of upcoming volatility. RSI remains weak, no bullish divergence → no clear reversal yet. 📌 Key Levels: Support: 1.3700 → A confirmed break opens space toward 1.3550–1.3480. Resistance: 1.3950–1.4100 🎯 Trade Scenarios 🔻 Breakdown trade below 1.3700 → Target: 1.3480 🔁 Pullback short on rejection from 1.3950–1.4000 → SL above 1.4100 🔼 Long only with a bullish engulfing weekly close + RSI divergence ✅ Summary COT Bias: Bearish USDCAD → CAD strengthening, USD weakening Technical Structure: Support under pressure, breakout likely Preferred Play: Short continuation on breakdown or pullback rejection
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
USD/CAD(20250424)Today's AnalysisMarket News: The United States hit a 16-month low in April. The total number of new home sales in the United States in March was an annualized to a new high since September 2024. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.3861 Support and resistance levels: 1.3966 1.3927 1.3901 1.3820 1.3794 1.3755 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 1.3901, consider buying, the first target price is 1.3927 If the price breaks through 1.3861, consider selling, the first target price is 1.3820
Short
by Toml1314
Canadian Dollar vs. US Dollar. The Spring Is Compressing.In previous posts, we have already begun to look at the key drivers of the US outperformance over the past decade. The US market dominance has been largely driven by the rapid rise of tech giants (such as Apple, Microsoft, Amazon and Alphabet), which have benefited from strong profit growth, global market reach and significant investor inflows. Unsatisfactory International Performance Markets outside the US have faced headwinds including multiple stifling sanctions and tariffs, slowing economic growth, political uncertainty (especially in Europe), a stronger US dollar and the declining influence of high-growth tech sectors. The Valuation Gap By 2025, US equities will be considered relatively expensive compared to their international peers, which may offer more attractive valuations in the future. Recent Shifts (2025 Trend) Since early 2025, international equities have begun to outperform the S&P 500, and European and Asian equities have regained investor interest. Global market currencies are also widely dominated by the US dollar. Factors include optimism around the following three big themes. DE-DOLLARIZATION. DE-AMERICANIZATION. DIVERSIFICATION. De-dollarization is the process by which countries reduce their reliance on the US dollar (USD) as the world's dominant reserve currency, medium of exchange, and unit of account in international trade and finance. This trend implies a shift away from the central role of the US dollar in global economic transactions to alternative currencies, assets, or financial systems. Historical context and significance of the US dollar The US dollar became the world's primary reserve currency after World War II, as enshrined in the Bretton Woods Agreement of 1944. This system pegged other currencies to the dollar, which was convertible into gold, making the dollar the backbone of international finance. The United States became the world's leading economic power, and the dollar replaced the British pound sterling as the dominant currency for global trade and reserves. The dollar has been the most widely held reserve currency for decades. As of the end of 2024, it still accounts for about 57% of global foreign exchange reserves, far more than the euro (20%) and the Japanese yen (6%). However, this share has fallen from over 70% in 2001, signaling a gradual shift and prompting discussions about de-dollarization. How De-Dollarization Works Countries looking to reduce their reliance on the dollar are pursuing several strategies: Diversifying reserves: Central banks are holding fewer U.S. dollars and increasing their holdings of other currencies, such as the euro, yen, British pound, or new alternatives such as the Chinese yuan. While the yuan's share remains small (about 2.2%), it has grown, especially among countries like Russia. Using alternative currencies in trade: Countries are entering into bilateral or regional agreements to conduct trade in their own currencies rather than using the dollar as an intermediary. For example, China has introduced yuan-denominated oil futures (the "petroyuan") to challenge the petrodollar system. Increasing gold reserves: Many countries, including China, Russia and India, have significantly increased their purchases of gold as a safer reserve asset, reducing their dollar holdings. Developing alternative financial systems: Some countries and blocs, such as BRICS, are working to develop alternatives to the US-dominated SWIFT payment system to avoid the risk of sanctions and gain true economic and political independence. Reasons for de-dollarization The move towards de-dollarization is driven by geopolitical and economic factors: Backlash against US economic hegemony: The US often uses dollar dominance to impose sanctions and exert political pressure, encouraging countries to seek financial sovereignty. Rise of new economic powers: Emerging economies like China and groups like the BRICS are seeking to reduce their vulnerability to U.S. influence and promote regional integration and alternative financial infrastructures. Geopolitical tensions: Conflicts like the war in Ukraine have intensified efforts by countries like Russia to remove the dollar from their reserves to avoid sanctions. Implications and outlook While the dollar remains dominant, a more de-dollarized world is already changing global economic power. The U.S. may lose some advantages, such as lower borrowing costs and geopolitical influence. For the U.S. economy, de-dollarization could lead to a weaker currency, higher interest rates, and reduced foreign investment, although some effects, such as inflation from a weaker dollar, could belimited . For other countries, de-dollarization could mean greater economic independence and less exposure to U.S. policy risks. However, no currency currently matches the dollar’s ​​liquidity, stability, and global recognition, so a full transition is unlikely in the near future . Summary De-dollarization is a complex, ongoing process that reflects a gradual shift away from the global dominance of the U.S. dollar. It involves diversifying reserves, using alternative currencies and assets, and creating new financial systems to reduce dependence on the dollar. Driven by geopolitical tensions and the rise of emerging economic powers, de-dollarization challenges the entrenched role of the dollar but is unlikely to completely replace it anytime soon. Instead, it is leading to a more multipolar monetary system in international finance, increasing demand for alternative investments to the U.S. Technical task The main technical chart is presented in a quarterly breakdown, reflecting the dynamics of the Canadian dollar against the US dollar FX_IDC:CADUSD in the long term. With the continued positive momentum of the relative strength indicator RSI(14), flat support near the level of 0.70 and a decreasing resistance level (descending top/ flat bottom) in case of a breakout represent the possibility of price growth to 0.80, with the prospect of parity in the currency pair and strengthening of the Canadian dollar to all-time highs, in the horizon of the next five years. -- Best wishes, Your Beloved @PandorraResearch Team 😎
by PandorraResearch
Potential bullish rise?USD/CAD has reacted off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could rise from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.3844 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level. Stop loss: 1.3781 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Take profit: 1.4029 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets