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USDCAD.PRO.OTMS trade ideas

USDCAD (1M) Bullish Pennant Structure and H ProjectionUSDCAD (1M) — Technical and Fundamental Analysis: Bullish Pennant Structure and H Projection On the monthly chart of USDCAD, a bullish pennant structure has been formed and confirmed with a breakout followed by a clean retest of the upper boundary. The price broke out of the consolidation zone with momentum and is currently holding above the key support at 1.3802. The structure remains active: the first target based on the projected move is 1.4905. If the impulse continues and the market structure remains intact, extended targets lie at 1.5690 (1.272), 1.6100 (1.414), and 1.6689 (1.618) Fibonacci expansions. Technically, the 1.3802 level (0.618 retracement) is the critical support. If this zone holds, the bullish scenario remains valid. The nearest resistance is 1.4287 (0.786), and a confirmed break above this level would likely trigger the next phase toward 1.49. Volume increased during the breakout, confirming strong buyer interest. Fundamentally, the setup is supported by diverging monetary policies: the Bank of Canada has signaled a more dovish stance due to slowing inflation and economic softness, while the Federal Reserve remains more neutral and cautious about rate cuts. In addition, oil prices — a key factor for the Canadian dollar — are under pressure, weakening the CAD further. Broader macro uncertainty and the global demand for USD as a reserve and safe-haven asset continue to support the dollar, strengthening the USDCAD pair. Conclusion: As long as the price holds above the 1.38 zone and confirms above 1.4287, the bullish structure remains in play with a target of 1.4905 and potential extensions to 1.5690–1.6100.
Long
by TotoshkaTrades
USDCAD Short 4/23/2025USD/CAD Short Setup – Break of Daily Demand + Textbook Triangle Unwind This short is built off both macro fundamentals and multi-timeframe technical precision. Daily Chart: USD/CAD has been steadily breaking structure to the downside. Yesterday's close was significant — we broke below a major daily demand zone at 1.38221, signaling a shift in longer-term sentiment. Today’s price action has already retested yesterday’s high into that broken zone — a classic break-and-retest setup. 4H Chart: A clear 5-wave triangle correction is printing — text-book stuff. We’re nearing the breakout point. Price is pressing against the lower boundary, and momentum looks ready to shift. A potential Evening Star pattern is forming right now, supported by an inside bar and a follow-up bearish hammer — a stacked reversal signal. 1H Chart: Structure confirms the 4H — all signs point toward a correction completing and a new impulsive leg down beginning. Fundamentals: Later today, the U.S. Flash Manufacturing PMI is expected to show contraction — a negative for the dollar. If the data misses expectations, it could amplify the bearish move on USD/CAD. We’re also tracking oil closely — further CAD strength via crude would accelerate the downside here. Trade Plan: Entry: Current area near the 1.382 retest SL: Above triangle high TP1: 1:1 R:R – partial take profit (75%) TP2: Let the remaining 25% run with structure-based trailing If the setup confirms post-PMI, this could be a strong follow-through play after a major HTF breakdown.
Short
by Big6Financial
USDCAD INTRADAY Downtrend continuation below 1.4060. The USDCAD pair is exhibiting a bearish sentiment, reinforced by the ongoing downtrend. The key trading level to watch is at 1.4060, which represents the current intraday swing low and the falling resistance trendline level. In the short term, an oversold rally from current levels, followed by a bearish rejection at the 1.4060 resistance, could lead to a downside move targeting support at 1.3780, with further potential declines to 1.3730 and 1.3630 over a longer timeframe. On the other hand, a confirmed breakout above the 1.4060 resistance level and a daily close above that mark would invalidate the bearish outlook. This scenario could pave the way for a continuation of the rally, aiming to retest the 1.4080 resistance, with a potential extension to 1.4160 levels. Conclusion: Currently, the USDCAD sentiment remains bearish, with the 1.4060 level acting as a pivotal resistance. Traders should watch for either a bearish rejection at this level or a breakout and daily close above it to determine the next directional move. Caution is advised until the price action confirms a clear break or rejection. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
USD/CAD H1 | Rising into a multi-swing-high resistanceUSD/CAD is rising towards a multi-swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 1.3849 which is a multi-swing-high resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 1.3915 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and an overlap resistance. Take profit is at 1.3735 which is a support level that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
BUY USDCAD for bearish trend reversal STOP LOSS : 1.37774 BUY USDCAD for bearish trend reversal STOP LOSS : 1.37774 Regular Bullish Divergence In case of Regular Bullish Divergence: * The Indicator shows Higher Lows * Actual Market Price shows Lower Lows We can see a strong divergence on the MACD already and There is a strong trend reversal on the daily time frame chart..... The daily time frame is showing strength of trend reversal from this strong level of Support so we are looking for the trend reversal and correction push from here ..... TAKE PROFIT : take profit will be when the trend comes to an end, feel from to send me a direct DM if you have any question about take profit or anything Remember to risk only what you are comfortable with…….trading with the trend, patient and good risk management is the key to success here
Long
by BALE_FX
USDCAD Will Go Up From Support! Long! Take a look at our analysis for USDCAD. Time Frame: 3h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is on a crucial zone of demand 1.385. The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 1.396 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
USD/CAD Analysis (30min TimeframeUSD/CAD Timeframe: 30-Minute Chart Trend: Bearish (within a descending channel) --- Entry Point: Entry Price: 1.38192 (current market price marked on chart) --- Take Profit Targets: TP1: 1.37812 (labeled "TARGET 1") Final TP (TP2): 1.37374 (labeled "TARGET 2") --- Support Levels: 1.37812 – First major support level (TP1) 1.37374 – Second strong support level (TP2, previous structure low) --- Resistance Levels: 1.38192 – Current entry zone and minor resistance (short-term reaction level) 1.38400 - 1.38500 – Mid-channel resistance area 1.38700+ – Upper trendline resistance (from channel) --- Chart Structure: Descending Channel: Price is respecting a downward sloping parallel channel. Bearish Momentum: Lower highs and lower lows. Entry at Pullback: Entry aligns with a pullback to channel mid-zone. --- Suggested Caption to Share with Your Client: > USD/CAD Trade Setup (30-Min Chart): Price is trending inside a descending channel. Entry: 1.38192 TP1: 1.37812 Final TP: 1.37374 Trend: Bearish Expecting continuation to downside after pullback. Key Resistance: 1.38400–1.38700 Key Support: 1.37812, 1.37374 Watch for bearish confirmation at entry level before executing.
by JAMES_GOLD_MASTER_MQL5
USD/CAD - Channel Pattern (22.04.2025)The USD/CAD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.3771 2nd Support – 1.3745 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
15
USDCAD Will Explode! BUY! My dear friends, My technical analysis for USDCAD is below: The market is trading on 1.3840 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 1.3958 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
USDCAD Ready to Collapse? COT Signals a Bearish Storm!🔎 1. COT Context – Canadian Dollar (CAD) Asset Managers: Consistently net short for most of the period, but since January 2025, there's been a strong recovery—net positions have become progressively less negative. By mid-April, they’re still short, but significantly less so. Leveraged Money: Also heavily short in December 2024, but showing a clear bullish reversal starting in early 2025, with net positions turning increasingly positive on CAD. ✅ Interpretation: There's been a clear sentiment shift from bearish to bullish on CAD starting late 2024. This adds downward pressure on USDCAD. 💵 2. COT Context – US Dollar Index (USD) Asset Managers: Consistently long, but reducing their net exposure since late March 2025. Leveraged Money: Opposite of CAD – heavily short in December 2024, now recovering, though without strong momentum. Positions are hovering around neutral. ⚠️ Interpretation: While CAD grows stronger, USD shows signs of indecision or profit-taking. This amplifies the bearish bias on USDCAD. 📉 3. Technical Analysis – USDCAD Current Price: 1.38369, right near a strong demand zone between 1.3700 – 1.3830, which has already been tested multiple times. The current weekly candle is forming a doji or pin bar, hinting at a potential technical bounce. Key Resistance: 1.45215 (monthly high). Key Support: 1.3700. A breakdown below this could trigger a move toward 1.3480. RSI: Neutral to slightly bearish, no major divergences observed. 🧠 Technical Outlook: If the 1.3700–1.3830 zone holds, we might see a corrective bounce toward 1.4000–1.4100. If that zone breaks, expect a bearish continuation toward 1.3580–1.3480. 📊 Trade Summary Fundamental Bias (COT): Bearish USDCAD → Strong CAD, weakening USD. Technical Bias: Neutral to bearish, potential for short-term bounce before continuation. 🧭 Trade Plan 🎯 Short on pullback toward 1.4000–1.4100 with stop above 1.4150, targeting 1.3600–1.3500. 🎯 Breakout trade below 1.3700 → Enter on daily close confirmation, target 1.3480.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
1