USD/CAD teeters on bearish reversal brink ahead of US electionBearish reversal patterns generated by USD/CAD on the daily timeframe have enjoyed a decent track record recently, especially following a pronounced bullish trend. That makes today's early price action interesting, with the price reversing hard after closing at fresh 2024 highs on Friday.
As the daily candle has yet to be competed, getting short pre-emptively screens as a low probability setup. But if we do see a bearish engulfing candle print, it will provide a decent short setup heading into US election day, especially if the price bounces a touch from current levels.
To make the trade stack up from a risk-reward perspective, the price would need to break several nearby levels, including the uptrend from October 15 and horizontal support at 1.3869. If they were to fold, 1.3815 is one potential target with 1.3748 and 1.3700 the next after that. A stop-loss order above Friday's high would offer protection against reversal.
Bolstering the case for potential downside, RSI (14) has broken the uptrend it was sitting in after sitting in overbought territory for more than a week, hinting bullish momentum may be starting to turn. While the signal is yet to be confirmed by MACD, that too is looking like it may soon rollover as it moves closer to the signal line.
Good luck!
DS
