USDCAD bounced from Support and can continue higherLooking at the chart and the overall structure, I think we can favor the continuation setup with a emphasis on price action at key zones, particularly when price breaks out then can revisit this structure for a retest.
This bounce off support has been accomplished in my previous analysis:
Here, if price breaks with strength and dips back into the area and holds with bullish confirmation (likely a wick rejection or bullish engulfing on lower timeframes), that would be the cue to get in.
I am projecting the next target to 1.38600 that makes sense as a logical level for trend continuation and that I find achievable.
USDCAD trade ideas
USDCAD: a long positionHello guys.
Divergence:
A bullish RSI divergence is noted, price made lower lows while RSI formed higher lows, signaling a potential bullish reversal.
Price Action:
Price has bounced strongly from around the 1.3570–1.3580 zone and is now approaching a descending trendline resistance.
Trade Setup:
Entry: 1.3718
Stop Loss: Below the breakout candle, near 1.3686
Take Profit: Around 1.3782
Risk-to-Reward: 1:3
USD/CAD Breaks Triangle: Bullish Target in SightHello guys!
USD/CAD has broken out of a clear triangle formation, signaling strong bullish momentum. The breakout above the top line of the triangle, supported by earlier bullish divergence, confirms that buyers are now in control.
Triangle breakout confirmed
Strong bullish impulse post-breakout
Retest of the broken trendline expected
Target: 1.38791
A clean retest of the breakout level could provide another entry opportunity before price reaches the target zone highlighted in blue.
A New Day, A New Opportunity: USDCAD Buy StrategyGood morning Traders,
USDCAD has reached a key support zone between 1.37531 and 1.37592.
I'm opening a buy position from this level, aiming for the 1.37887 target.
Feel free to adjust your stop-loss based on your own margin and risk tolerance.
Your likes are my biggest source of motivation when sharing analysis. Thanks to everyone who supports with a simple like!
USD/CAD Rises to 2-Month HighUSD/CAD Rises to 2-Month High
Today, the USD/CAD exchange rate briefly exceeded the 1.3870 mark – the highest level seen this summer. In less than ten days, the US dollar has strengthened by over 2% against the Canadian dollar.
Why Is USD/CAD Rising?
Given that both the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Canada left interest rates unchanged on Wednesday (as expected), the primary driver behind the pair’s recent rally appears to be US President Donald Trump's decision to impose tariffs on several countries – including Canada:
→ Despite efforts by Prime Minister of Canada Mark Carney to reach an agreement with Trump, no deal was achieved;
→ Canadian goods exported to the US will now be subject to a 35% tariff;
→ The tariffs take effect from 1 August;
→ Goods compliant with the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) are exempt.
Media analysts note that the tariffs are likely to increase pressure on the Canadian economy, as approximately 75% of the country's exports are destined for the United States.
USD/CAD Technical Analysis
At the end of July, the price formed a steep ascending channel (A-B), with bullish momentum confirmed by a decisive breakout above the 1.3790 resistance level, as illustrated by the arrow:
→ the pullback before the breakout was relatively shallow;
→ the bullish breakout was marked by a long bullish candlestick with a close near the session high;
→ following the breakout, the price confidently consolidated above 1.3790.
Provided that the fundamental backdrop does not undergo a major shift, bulls might attempt to maintain control in the market. However, the likelihood of a correction is also increasing, as the RSI indicator has entered extreme overbought territory.
Should USD/CAD show signs of a correction after its steep ascent, support might be found at:
→ line C, drawn parallel to the A-B channel at a distance of its width;
→ the previously mentioned 1.3790 level, which now acts as a support following the breakout.
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Will the Canada-US Trade Tension Continue to Impair CAD?Fundamental approach:
- USDCAD advanced this week, supported by broad US dollar strength and renewed trade tensions as the US announced higher tariffs on Canadian imports.
- The pair was further buoyed after the BoC left rates unchanged and signaled caution amid persistent core inflation and ongoing trade negotiations.
- Meanwhile, US labor data indicated that job openings were moderating growth while tariff-related uncertainty weighed on risk sentiment.
- The BoC’s decision to keep its policy rate at 2.75% cited domestic economic resilience and the unpredictable US trade policy outlook.
- At the same time, negotiations between Canada and the US over trade terms remained in an “intense” phase, with additional tariffs entering effect 1 Aug, adding to downside risks for the Canadian economy.
- USDCAD may remain elevated next week as markets monitor follow-through from new tariffs and assess further data on US jobs and Canadian trade. Potential progress or setbacks in Canada-US trade talks and upcoming economic releases could influence direction, while central bank policy signals and risk appetite will remain key catalysts.
Technical approach:
- USDCAD formed a Triple-bottom pattern at around 1.3567 and bounced up to break the neckline at 1.3755. The price also broke the descending trendline and closed higher than both EMAs, indicating a potential trend reversal.
- If USDCAD remains above the support at 1.3755 and both EMAs, the price may retest the resistance at 1.3980.
- On the contrary, closing below the support at 1.3755 and both EMAs may lead USDCAD to retest the key support at 1.3567.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Uptrend is coming. Opportunity for buyers✏️ OANDA:USDCAD is trading close to the upper boundary of the triangle pattern. There is a high possibility that the current bullish momentum will break the upper boundary and form an uptrend for the USDCAD pair. The important price zone for the sellers at the moment is 1.075. If the buyers are strong enough to push the price above 1.075, the sellers will only be really interested in the price zone of 1.340, the high of the pair in May.
📉 Key Levels
Buy trigger: Reject and Trading above 1.365
BUY DCA Break 1.375
Target: 1.400
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
USD/CAD Unless oil rockets, then the pair has room to rise.From June till now, we’ve been in a range-bound market, with multiple failed attempts to break lower.
But now we’re seeing higher lows forming, and price is bouncing off my fvp zone @ 1.36600 . So if the Fed stays patient and oil stays weak or sideways, USD/CAD bulls have the upper hand. I am expecting a bearish retest soon to develop @ Key Bullish FVP Zone: 1.36600, but if 1.3577 gets violated with strength, then scratch the long idea — it might be time for CAD bulls to party instead.
Extreme Discount Zone: Just below at 1.36000,
If the price dips into this area, it could be a liquidity hunt. But if not, then the bulls will have to come in and drive the market to the
1st Take Profit Target: 1.38400
USDCAD H4 I Bearish Reversal OffBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 1.3739, which is a pullback resistance.
Our take profit will be at 1.3689, an overlap support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 1.3775, the swing-high resistance level.
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USD/CAD - 6C1! : Trade update FundamentalThe US dollar index (DXY) gained strength against major currencies on Monday following a landmark trade agreement between the United States and the European Union. During the meeting in Scotland on Sunday, President Donald Trump and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen announced a new trade framework, which includes a 15% import tariff on EU goods—half of the 30% rate Trump had initially threatened to impose starting August 1.
The DXY opened higher at the start of the week, and it’s clear that most currencies are likely to see a decline in response. This trend also extends to pairs like the 6C1! (USDCAD), where the USD has been increasing its long positions. Last week, non-commercial traders added to their holdings, while commercial traders remain at their highest levels since 2021. Based on this setup, we are maintaining a bullish outlook and expect the continuation of our long position strategy.
Previous Idea :
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USDCADSupport Zone: Price has retested a strong support area
Price Action: The retest held — buyers defended it, showing rejection wicks / bullish candles.
Bias: Bullish while support holds → look for continuation to next resistance.
Invalidation: Bias weakens if support breaks and closes below the zone.
So as long as price stays above the retested support, USD/CAD remains bullish.
Price channel break. Will the downtrend take place?✏️USDCAD broke the price channel and started forming a bearish wave. The resistance zone of 1.370 played an important role in starting the bearish wave. 1.365 is the immediate support zone that the pair faces. If it wants to extend the decline, it needs to close the h1 candle below this price zone. The convergence between the trendline and the resistance of the Asian session will be a reliable support point for a downtrend to take place.
📉 Key Levels
Support: 1.365-1.356
Resistance: 1.370
SELL Trigger: Rejects bellow 1.370
SELL DCA Trigger: Break support 1.365
Target 1.356
BUY Trigger: Break and trading above resistance 1.370
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
Bearish reversal off multi swing high resistance?USD/CAD is reacting off the resistance level, which is a multi-swing high resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3782
Why we like it:
There is a multi-swing high resistance.
Stop loss: 1.3855
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance that lines up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 1.3702
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 48.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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USDCAD Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the USDCAD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.3704
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.3660
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Potential BEARSAfter a prolonged and a complex correction, it looks out to be a FLAT CORRECTION with wave B producing a flat correction as well in a lower degree hence making it all complex. But at the moment we have a perfect channel AB=CD correction which prompts a continuation to the south. Fingers crossed 🤞 as the market rejects a resistance of the channel.
Heading into multi swing high resistance?The Loonie (USD/CAD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support, which acts as a multi-swing high support.
Pivot: 1.3758
1st Support: 1.3574
1st Resistance: 1.3844
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USD/CAD Daily Chart AnalysisFrom the bigger picture we see that sellers are dominating the market. Currently, price looks to be in a correction phase and twice has found resistance at the 1.37740 price point.
If price finds resistance there again, we may see a breakout and another bearish impulse.
If you agree with this analysis, look for a trade that meets your strategy rules.
Canada's GDP contracts, US nonfarm payrolls misses forecastThe Canadian dollar continues to lose ground against its US counterpart and is trading at two-month lows. In the European session, the Canadian dollar is trading at 1.3875, down 0.13% on the day. USD/CAD has risen for six straight days, climbing 1.9% during that time.
US nonfarm payrolls for July were softer than expected at 73 thousand, compared to the forecast of 110 thousand. The June report was revised sharply downwards to 14 thousand from an initial 147 thousand.
Canada's GDP posted a small decline of 0.1% m/m in May, matching the market estimate. This followed an identical reading in April, as the economy is essentially treading water. A drop in retail trade was a significant factor in the weak GDP reading, particularly in motor vehicles and parts.
The decline in GDP in April and May can be squarely blamed on the trade war with the US, which has put a chill in economic activity. The markets are expecting a slight improvement in June, with an estimate of a 0.1% gain.
The Bank of Canada held the benchmark rate at 2.75% on Thursday for a third consecutive meeting. The rate statement noted that US trade policy remains "unpredictable" and Governor Macklem reiterated this at his press conference, saying that "some level of uncertainty will continue" until the US and Canada reach a trade agreement.
Meanwhile, the trade war between the two sides is heating up. President Trump announced on Thursday that the US was slapping 35% tariffs on Canadian products, effective Aug. 1. The new tariff will not apply to goods covered under the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement.
Canada's Prime Minister Mark Carney said he was "disappointed" with the US decision and vowed that "Canadians will be our own best customer". These are brave words, but Carney will be under pressure to reach a deal with the US, as 75% of Canadian exports are shipped to the US and Canada can ill-afford a protracted trade war with its giant southern neighbor.
USDCAD Analysis week 31🌐Fundamental Analysis
The Canadian dollar continued to decline against the US dollar on Friday. Trump returned to threatening tariffs on Canada as trade deals remain limited. The August 1 deadline for tariffs is approaching and Canada has not made much of a move so far.
🕯Technical Analysis
USDCAD continues to rally towards the 1.4000 resistance zone. A recovery of the pair to 1.365 is a good momentum for USDCAD to break the trendline and break 1.37700. The trading strategy for next week is mainly to look for BUY points when there is a recovery of the wave structure. If the important support of the week 1.357 is broken, the uptrend will reverse.
📈📉Trading Signals
BUY USDCAD 1.365-1.363 Stoploss 1.360
BUY Break out 1.37700