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USDCAD trade ideas

USDCAD - Is History Repeating Itself?Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 USDCAD has been overall bullish , trading within the rising wedge pattern marked in blue. Today, USDCAD broke above its previous major high (marked in red). 🏹 As it retests this previous high, it will also intersect with the lower blue trendline, which acts as a dynamic support level. 📚 According to my trading style: As #USDCAD approaches the red zone, I'll be watching for bullish reversal setups—such as a double bottom pattern, a trendline break, and more. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TheSignalyst
8
USDCAD Range Trading: Key Support and Resistance LevelsUSDCAD Range Trading: Key Support and Resistance Levels In the daily chart, USDCAD is developing a large range trading pattern, where the price has been oscillating within this range for the past 50 days. The current support zone has been tested multiple times, leading to subsequent upward movements. Despite recent price weakness, it is possible that the support zone may prompt a price reaction once again. Watch for potential reversal signs that indicate a change in the current trend. Key Resistance Zones: 1.4345 1.4395 You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. This helps me cover the cost of providing regular insights.
Long
by KlejdiCuni
6
USDCAD BEARISH MOMENTUM The price has been in an uptrend since September, making higher highs and higher lows. A sharp rejection from the recent high indicates potential bearish pressure. The price is currently hovering near a support leveL , The chart also indicates a possible head and shoulders reversal pattern. If the price breaks below the (support), it may continue down towards the 1.38542 level. If the price bounces from the support zone, a temporary bullish retracement could occur before further downside.
Short
by MIRZA_TRADS
1
USD/CAD Exchange Rate StabilisesUSD/CAD Exchange Rate Stabilises As we reported on 3 February, the decision by the US president to impose 25% tariffs on goods imported from Canada sent the USD/CAD rate soaring to a 22-year high. However, after a round of negotiations between Donald Trump and Justin Trudeau, the tariff implementation was postponed by a month, which was reflected in the USD/CAD exchange rate chart. Current USD/CAD Chart Analysis: → The price has retreated from the upper boundary of the ascending channel identified three days ago and has now dropped below its lower boundary. → The price has returned to and remains within the broad 1.4270 – 1.4460 range. → The ATR indicator has reversed from its peak and is trending downward. Given these factors, it is reasonable to say that USD/CAD is stabilising after recent volatility. But what lies ahead? The exchange rate may fluctuate within the 1.4270 – 1.4460 range, reacting sensitively to any news on Trump’s tariff policies and his startling suggestion of making Canada the 51st US state. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
2
Fundamentals and upcoming headwinds is still supportiveYes tariffs delayed but fundamentals and upcoming headwinds is still supportive, even if for a short while. making long scalps very attractive with potential catalyst to cause runners Exhaustive wave down, corretive wave to start, whether distribution for further breakdown or accumulation for resumption of trend, long scalps are attractive at this level information created and published doesn't constitute investment advice! NOT financial advice
Long
by Mabelm
1
Canadian and US Employment Data: A Comparative AnalysisCanadian and US Employment Data: A Comparative Analysis Today, two of the world's major economies are scheduled to release their employment data. Bank of Canada is expected to report a Net Change in Employment for January at 25,000, down from 90,900 in the previous month. Meanwhile, the US will release the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for January, with expectations set at 170,000, compared to 256,000 previously. Here are potential scenarios and their implications: Both Countries Miss Expectations: If both Canada and the US miss their respective employment data expectations, USDCAD may remain relatively unchanged. Higher CAD Employment Data, NFP In Line with Expectations: Should the Canadian employment data exceed the previous month's figures while the NFP data meets expectations, USDCAD might move downwards. NFP Above Expectations: If the NFP data surpasses expectations, we may see USDCAD rising further, impacting the exchange rate more significantly. As of now, USDCAD is still within its pattern, indicating potential for further growth. Stay tuned to see how the data unfolds and impacts the markets. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by KlejdiCuni
3
USDCAD Bullish Flag Breakout and Uptrend PotentialUSDCAD is currently trading at 1.45200, showing a bullish outlook. The expected target price is 1.48590, indicating a potential gain of 300+ pips. A bullish flag pattern has already broken out, confirming strong upward momentum. This breakout suggests that buyers are in control and may push the price higher. The price action aligns with technical analysis, supporting a continued uptrend. Traders anticipate further bullish movement toward the target. Proper risk management is essential to navigate any pullbacks. Monitoring key resistance levels and market conditions is crucial. A sustained rally above the breakout zone can strengthen bullish confidence. Patience and discipline will be key in managing this trade effectively.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
1
USDCAD Testing Key Demand Zone - Bullish Bounce ExpectedOANDA:USDCAD is trading at a significant demand zone, highlighted by prior strong price reactions. This area serves as a critical support level, where buyers have historically stepped in to push prices higher. The current market structure suggests a potential bullish reaction if momentum emerges. I anticipate that if the price confirms a rejection from this demand zone, marked by bullish candlestick patterns or clear rejection wicks, the pair could move upward toward the 1.43960 level. Let me know if you agree with this analysis or have additional insights! Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments.
Long
by DanieIM
3
Trump’s Tariffs Push USD/CAD to a 22-Year HighTrump’s Tariffs Push USD/CAD to a 22-Year High As promised during his election campaign, US President Donald Trump introduced tariffs just two weeks after his inauguration: → 25% on goods from Canada and Mexico, prompting both countries to vow retaliatory measures. → 10% on Chinese goods, with China announcing plans to challenge the decision at the World Trade Organization. The tariffs will take effect on 4 February. Trump acknowledged potential economic pain but justified the measures as necessary to combat illegal immigration and drug trafficking, arguing that the long-term benefits would outweigh the costs. Trump’s decision: → Led to a decline in US stock indices, as analysts fear a potential trade war and global stagflation (sluggish economic growth amid high inflation). Further tariffs on Europe may follow. → Strengthened the US dollar, which gained around 1% against major currencies. According to the USD/CAD chart, the Canadian dollar is trading around 1.4700 against the US dollar—a level last seen in early 2003. On 30 January, our USD/CAD technical analysis highlighted the significance of a key trendline supporting the uptrend since last autumn. Now, by drawing a parallel line through December’s peak (A), we can identify a resistance level where the pair is currently stabilising. A large bullish gap has also formed on the chart. The lower boundary around 1.4600 may act as technical support in the short term, though broader price movements will likely be driven by fundamental factors. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
USD/CAD Daily AnalysisPrice has been moving in a steady uptrend since the last quarter of 2024 with the big number 1.4600 next in sight. However, an observation to note is that that the MACD has recently made a lower high, contradicting what is happening with price. We call this divergence and it's a sign that in this case buyers may be losing their grip of the market. We could see either a short term or longer term sell off, but while price remains above the swing low of 1.42612, it would be advisable to remain patient and wait for a sell setup below this key price point.
by FusionMarkets
1
USD/CAD "The Loonie" Forex Market Bullish Heist PlanDear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the USD/CAD "The Loonie" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (1.45100) then make your move - Bullish profits await!" however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest low or high level. Goal 🎯: 1.48000 (or) Escape Before the Target Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, Sentimental Outlook: 🟣 Fundamental and Macroeconomic Analysis US Dollar (USD): The USD remains strong due to the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance. The Fed has signaled potential rate hikes or prolonged higher rates to combat inflation, which supports the USD. Recent US economic data (e.g., strong labor market, resilient GDP growth) reinforces the Fed's tightening bias. Upcoming US CPI and PPI data will be critical. Higher-than-expected inflation could further boost the USD. Canadian Dollar (CAD): The CAD is influenced by oil prices (Canada is a major oil exporter). Crude oil prices have been volatile due to geopolitical tensions and OPEC+ production cuts, but recent stabilization around 80−85/barrel provides some support. The Bank of Canada (BoC) has paused rate hikes, citing slowing inflation and economic growth. This dovish stance weakens the CAD relative to the USD. Canada’s upcoming employment and GDP data will be key. Weakness in these metrics could further weigh on the CAD. Key Drivers: Interest Rate Differential: The Fed’s hawkishness vs. the BoC’s dovishness favors USD strength. Oil Prices: A sustained rise in oil prices could support the CAD, but current levels are not enough to offset USD strength. Economic Data: Strong US data vs. weaker Canadian data could widen the USD/CAD upside. 🟢 Commitments of Traders (COT) Report The latest COT data shows: Commercial Traders (Hedgers): Increasing long positions in the CAD, suggesting they expect some CAD strength or USD weakness in the medium term. Non-Commercial Traders (Speculators): Net long on USD, reflecting bullish sentiment toward the USD. Retail Positioning: Retail traders are heavily short on USD/CAD, which often acts as a contrarian indicator, suggesting further upside potential for USD/CAD. 🔵 Market Sentiment and Positioning Sentiment: The market is broadly bullish on the USD due to the Fed’s stance and strong US economic data. The CAD is viewed as vulnerable due to the BoC’s pause and reliance on oil prices, which are not currently providing enough support. 🟤 Positioning: Institutional investors are net long USD/CAD, aligning with the fundamental outlook. Retail traders are net short, which could lead to a squeeze higher if the USD continues to strengthen. 🔴 Market Sentiment and Positioning: COT Data: Non-commercial traders (speculators) are net long on USD, reflecting bullish sentiment. Retail traders are net short on USD/CAD, which often acts as a contrarian indicator (bullish for USD/CAD). Institutional Positioning: Institutional investors are net long USD/CAD, aligning with the fundamental outlook. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤗
Long
by Thief_Trader
2
USDCAD → Consolidation before downward distributionFX:USDCAD is stuck in a range (consolidation) between 1.4486 and 1.428. The dollar has been showing negative momentum lately, but with NFP ahead, the data could both reinforce the correction and support the index... All eyes are on today's economic news. If the actual NFP is below the forecast (169K), it will strengthen the expectations of the Fed rate cut. At 15:00 the Fed's monetary policy report will be released, which may clarify the further course of the regulator. If the NFP comes out weak, the dollar may sag and USDCAD may decline. If the data is stronger than expected, the USD will strengthen, which will lift the USDCAD. If the Fed hints at a rate cut, it may weaken the USD, supporting the CAD Resistance levels: 1.4345, 1.4369 Support levels: 1.428 News is uncertainty, as it is impossible to determine the outcome of this situation in advance. Technically, the currency pair looks weak due to the falling dollar. A break of the support at 1.428 may trigger further decline. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
1