USDCAD 4H Bearish SetupThe USDCAD chart shows a clear bearish breakdown from the ascending channel. Price has broken below support near 1.3720, confirming a shift in structure.
Key Analysis:
Bearish Momentum: Break below the channel and current market structure signals downside pressure.
Immediate Resistance: 1.3725–1.3745 zone (yellow area) where price previously rejected.
Support Levels:
1.3639 / 1.3638: Short-term support — possible temporary bounce area.
1.3560: Main target — previous demand zone.
Trade Idea:
Sell below 1.3720
TP1: 1.3639
TP2: 1.3560
SL: Above 1.3750 (above resistance zone)
Summary:
Bias remains bearish as long as the price stays below 1.3725–1.3750 resistance zone. Confirmation of further downside expected on break below 1.3638.
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USDCAD trade ideas
Price channel break. Will the downtrend take place?✏️USDCAD broke the price channel and started forming a bearish wave. The resistance zone of 1.370 played an important role in starting the bearish wave. 1.365 is the immediate support zone that the pair faces. If it wants to extend the decline, it needs to close the h1 candle below this price zone. The convergence between the trendline and the resistance of the Asian session will be a reliable support point for a downtrend to take place.
📉 Key Levels
Support: 1.365-1.356
Resistance: 1.370
SELL Trigger: Rejects bellow 1.370
SELL DCA Trigger: Break support 1.365
Target 1.356
BUY Trigger: Break and trading above resistance 1.370
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USDCAD: Bearish Move From Resistance 🇺🇸🇨🇦
USDCAD is going to retrace from a key daily resistance.
A bearish imbalance candle that the price formed after its test
during the Asian session provides a strong intraday bearish confirmation.
Goal - 1.3707
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USDCAD BUYUSD/CAD returns below 1.3600, with YTD lows, at 1.3540 coming into view
The US Dollar extends its decline for the fourth consecutive day, with the Canadian Dollar supported by a brighter market mood, as the trade deal between the US and Japan provided some certainty about the outlook of global trade and boosted hopes of more such deals.
In the USD/CAD 2025 Forecast, FXStreet analyst Joshua Gibson suggests uncertainty and risk-off sentiment could strengthen the US Dollar (USD) early in 2025, while the Canadian Dollar (CAD) is expected to weaken in the first quarter. However, CAD investors may reassess prospects as the year progresses, focusing on the Federal Reserve (Fed) - Bank of Canada (BoC) policy dynamics.
From a technical point of view, USD/CAD could face a technical ceiling near the 1.4400 level after the Canadian Dollar's sharp 8.5% decline in 2024 sent the pair to 56-month highs. However, technical indicators like the MACD suggest caution, as short positions may only become viable once clear sell signals emerge, likely during the first quarter.
SUPPORT 1.361
SUPPORT 1.353
SUPPORT 1.361
RESISTANCE 1.357
RESISTANCE 1.355
Bearish Break of Trendline + Retest | Short SetupPrice has broken below the ascending trendline, indicating a potential shift in market structure. The recent bearish momentum suggests sellers are gaining control. After the breakout, price is now retesting the underside of the trendline, providing a potential short entry opportunity.
Entry: On retest confirmation below the trendline
Stop Loss: Above the recent swing high (red zone)
Take Profit: Toward the previous demand zone (highlighted blue support area)
This setup aligns with trendline break-and-retest principles and anticipates a move back toward significant demand.
BUY USDCADUSDCAD is currently i a good and clearpoint of interest , i expect the market to push ever since it has already changed its bearish character to bullish , with a supporting trendline liquidity whivch has been swapped out with a bearish push
use proper risk management
and goodluck.. manage ur trades well
USDCAD Bearish continuation below 1.3670The USDCAD pair is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the falling resistance, suggesting a continuation breakdown within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 1.3670, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 1.3670 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 1.3570, followed by 1.3540 and 1.3500 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 1.3670 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 1.3690, then 1.3720.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the pair breaks and holds above 1.3670. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
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USDCAD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDCAD for a selling opportunity around 1.37200 zone, USDCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.37200 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Market Analysis: USD/CAD Consolidates GainsMarket Analysis: USD/CAD Consolidates Gains
USD/CAD declined and now consolidates below the 1.3750 level.
Important Takeaways for USD/CAD Analysis Today
- USD/CAD started a fresh decline after it failed to clear the 1.3775 resistance.
- There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at 1.3715 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.
USD/CAD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of USD/CAD at FXOpen, the pair climbed toward the 1.3775 resistance zone before the bears appeared. The US Dollar formed a swing high near 1.3774 and recently declined below the 1.3750 support against the Canadian Dollar.
There was also a close below the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.3735. The pair is now consolidating losses below the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.3774 swing high to the 1.3695 low. But the bulls are active near the 1.3700 level.
If there is a fresh increase, the pair could face resistance near the 1.3735 level. The next key resistance on the USD/CAD chart is near the 1.3755 level or the 61.8% Fib retracement level.
If there is an upside break above 1.3755, the pair could rise toward 1.3775. The next major resistance is near the 1.3800 zone, above which it could rise steadily toward 1.3880.
Immediate support is near the 1.3715 level and a key bullish trend line. The first major support is near 1.3675. A close below the 1.3675 level might trigger a strong decline. In the stated case, USD/CAD might test 1.3650. Any more losses may possibly open the doors for a drop toward the 1.3620 support.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Bearish drop?The Loonie (USD/CAD) has rejected off the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance, and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.3742
1st Support: 1.3600
1st Resistance: 1.3792
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce off pullback support?USD/CAD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3681
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3645
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.3782
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
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Heading into pullback resistance?The Loonie (USD/CAD) has rejected off the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 1.3782
1st Support: 1.3673
1st Resistance: 1.3858
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop?The Loonie (USD/CAD) has rejected off the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance, and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.3742
1st Support: 1.3600
1st Resistance: 1.3792
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDCAD Trade Idea: Potential for Further GainsI've initiated a long position on USDCAD at the retest of the key demand zone at 1.35766. Positive indicators support this trade: non-commercial traders are also accumulating long positions, and a notable shift is observed in the CAD futures market, with commercials moving from a bearish to a potentially bullish stance. Furthermore, seasonal trends favor a USD strengthening against the CAD. A further drop in price could present another attractive entry point at a lower demand zone.
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USD/CAD BULLS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
USD/CAD pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is clearly falling on the 4H timeframe. And after the retest of the support line below I believe we will see a move up towards the target above at 1.374 because the pair is oversold due to its proximity to the lower BB band and a bullish correction is likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Bearish drop off pullback resistance?USD/CAD is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3753
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss: 1.3796
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance that is slightly above the 145% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 1.3709
Why we lik eit:
There is an overlap support that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDCAD / U.S. Dollar – Canadian Dollar (4H) – ABC Bearish PatterUSDCAD / U.S. Dollar – Canadian Dollar (4H) – ABC Bearish Pattern Completion at PCZ
Pattern Overview:
Pattern Type: ABC Bearish (Potential Reversal)
Asset: USDCAD
Timeframe: 4H
Trade Type: Short Bias – Rejection observed near PCZ zone
🔎 Key Levels
XA: 1.37880 → 1.35574
AB: 1.35574 → 1.37742
BC: Completed right into the PCZ, aligning with 127.2% and 161.8% projection zones
Rejection confirmed below 1.3774, entering pullback
📐 Fibonacci Extensions & Key Ratios
127.2% Projection: 1.37368
161.8% Extension: 1.37855
Retracement Target Zone (PCZ/Support):
50.0% = 1.36842
61.8% = 1.36629
💡 Price Action & Setup
The price has completed a textbook ABC structure into a confluence projection zone (PCZ), showing signs of exhaustion at 1.3774. This area aligns with a previous swing high and fib confluence, now acting as resistance.
The first leg of the pullback is underway, and momentum is favoring a deeper move toward the 1.3680 – 1.3660 PCZ, which aligns with key fibs and 200 SMA support.
🧠 Market Sentiment
DXY consolidating near highs – potential exhaustion
Crude oil stabilizing supports CAD
CAD correlation is enhancing bearish weight on this pair post-ABC
📊 Next Potential Movement
Targeting the 1.3680–1.3660 support cluster
If PCZ fails to hold on any retest → potential continuation down toward 1.3600 swing
Resistance to watch: 1.3737–1.3750 (any candle close above this weakens setup)
🛡 Risk Management
Short entries from the 1.3760–1.3770 area are valid
Stop-loss ideally above 1.3790 (beyond 161.8%)
Scaling out near 1.3680 and 1.3660, both technical targets and 200 SMA confluence
📌 Conclusion
Price completed a high-probability ABC Bearish structure and is now reacting from a strong confluence zone. While confirmation is still unfolding, momentum favors downside, and all eyes are on the next leg toward the PCZ support range.
“Bearish patterns are warnings, not guarantees. But confluence zones give them authority.”