USDCAD trade ideas
USDCAD Massive Short! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the USDCAD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.3730
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.3668
My Stop Loss - 1.3761
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDCAD LONG DAILY FORECAST Q3 D14 W29 Y25USDCAD LONG DAILY FORECAST Q3 D14 W29 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily Order block identified
✅4H Order Block identified
✅1H Order Block identified
📈 Risk Management Principles
🔑 Core Execution Rules
Max 1% risk per trade — protect your capital, preserve your edge
Set alerts — let price come to your levels, not the other way around
Minimum 1:2 RR — if the reward doesn’t justify the risk, it’s not worth it
Focus on process, not outcomes — the outcome is random, your process is not
🧠 Remember: The edge lies in execution, not prediction. Your strategy is only as good as your discipline to follow it.
🧠 FRGNT Insight of the Day
"The market rewards structure and patience — not emotion or urgency."
Execute like a robot. Manage risk like a pro. Let the chart do the talking.
🏁 Final Words from FRGNT
📌 USDCAD is offering textbook alignment — structure, order flow, and confirmation are all in place.
📌 The opportunity is there — now it’s about how you show up to execute.
🎯 Trade with clarity. Act with conviction. Manage with precision.
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Heading into pullback resistance?The Loonie (USD/CAD) has rejected off the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 1.3782
1st Support: 1.3673
1st Resistance: 1.3858
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?USD/CAD is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3753
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss: 1.3796
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance that is slightly above the 145% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 1.3709
Why we lik eit:
There is an overlap support that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USD/CAD) strong bullish trend Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/CAD (U.S. Dollar vs Canadian Dollar) on the daily timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the trade
---
Technical Breakdown:
1. Breakout from Descending Channel:
Price has broken out above a descending trend channel (marked with black lines).
This breakout suggests a potential trend reversal or at least a bullish correction phase.
2. Key Support Zone (Yellow Box):
The yellow zone marked as “support level” was a strong consolidation area.
Price has bounced off this zone multiple times, forming a solid base for further upside.
3. Bullish Price Action:
Price has closed above the previous resistance (now support), signaling bullish intent.
Current candle structure confirms strength with bullish continuation patterns.
4. RSI Indicator:
RSI is at 56.38, indicating bullish momentum without being overbought.
Suggests there is room for further upside before exhaustion.
---
Target Levels:
Target Point 1: 1.37968 (near-term resistance)
Target Point 2: 1.38615 (intermediate target)
Target Point 3: 1.39064–1.39090 (longer-term resistance near the 200 EMA)
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Trade Idea Summary:
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone: Break and retest of the yellow support area (~1.368–1.371)
Target Zone: 1.379 – 1.390
Invalidation: Break below the yellow support zone
Confluence: RSI strength + breakout of downtrend channel + structural support
plesse support boost 🚀 this analysis)
USDCAD oversold consolidation, resistance at 1.3760The USDCAD pair is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the previous resistance zone, suggesting a temporary sideways consolidation within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 1.3760, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 1.3760 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 1.3670, followed by 1.3650 and 1.3620 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 1.3760 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 1.3785, then 1.3800.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the pair breaks and holds above 1.3760 Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USDCAD LONG DAILY FORECAST Q3 D11 W28 Y25USDCAD LONG DAILY FORECAST Q3 D11 W28 Y25
It’s Fun Coupon Friday! 💸🔥
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily Order block identified
✅4H Order Block identified
✅1H Order Block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
USD/CAD Institutional Buy Zone – Thief Trading Alert!🔥 USD/CAD "LOONIE BANK HEIST" 🔥 – THIEF TRADING STYLE (BULLISH SNIPER PLAN)
💸 ATTENTION: Market Robbers & Profit Pirates!
"Steal Like a Pro – Escape Before the Cops Arrive!"
🎯 MASTER TRADE PLAN (Based on Thief Trading Tactics):
Entry Zone (Pullback Heist):
📌 Pullback-1: Market Maker Trap Zone (1.35400+) – Wait for retest!
📌 Pullback-2: Institutional Buy Zone (1.33500+) – Confirm bullish momentum!
"Patience = Perfect Heist Timing. Don’t rush—ambush the trend!"
🎯 Profit Target: 1.38100 (or escape earlier if momentum fades).
🛑 Stop Loss (Escape Route): Nearest 4H Swing Low (wick/close) – Adjust based on risk & lot size!
🚨 SCALPERS’ WARNING:
"Only snipe LONG! Big pockets? Strike now. Small stack? Join swing robbers & trail your SL!"
📉 WHY THIS HEIST? (Bullish Triggers):
Technical + Fundamental alignment (COT, Macro, Sentiment).
Overbought but institutional demand holding strong.
"Bears are trapped—time to rob their stops!"
⚠️ CRITICAL ALERT:
News = Volatility = Police Ambush!
Avoid new trades during high-impact news.
Trailing SL = Your Getaway Car! Lock profits before reversals.
💥 BOOST THIS HEIST!
"Hit 👍, 🔔 Follow, and 🚀 Boost to fuel our next robbery! Let’s drain the banks together!"
🔮 NEXT HEIST COMING SOON… Stay tuned, partner! 🎭💰
4 HOUR CONFIRMATION- USDCAD ENTRY UPDATEPrice tapped in our Weekly Demand ideal 👌 for long buys.
Previously i anticipated a trend shift H4 as guide , cmp price just break our int previous high meaning change a in trend as we anticipated
Now waiting for price to drop to our int demand then we rise or the breaker block can hold - major reactions
USDCAD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDCAD for a selling opportunity around 1.36900 zone, USDCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.36900 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Bullish bounce off pullback support?USD/CAD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3695
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
Stop loss: 1.3644
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.3781
Why we lik eit:
There is a pullback resistance.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDCADThe US tariffs have had a mixed but generally weakening effect on the Canadian dollar (CAD) , influencing the USD/CAD exchange rate
Current Exchange Rate Context
As of July 11, 2025, the USD/CAD rate is around 1.37-1.3698 , with the US dollar strengthening and the Canadian dollar weakening about 0.7% over the past month.
Impact of US Tariffs on CAD Strength
Trade Exposure:
Canada is highly integrated with the US economy, with over 70% of Canadian exports going to the US. Tariffs on Canadian goods or retaliatory tariffs can reduce trade volumes and economic growth in Canada, weakening the CAD.
Market Sentiment and Risk:
Tariff uncertainties create volatility and risk aversion, often benefiting the safe-haven USD at the expense of commodity-linked currencies like CAD.
Commodity Prices:
Tariffs can disrupt global supply chains and commodity demand. Since Canada is a major oil exporter, any negative impact on oil prices due to trade tensions tends to weaken the CAD.
Interest Rate and Economic Outlook:
Trade tensions may lead to cautious monetary policy by the Bank of Canada, limiting rate hikes or prompting cuts, which can reduce the interest rate differential versus the US and weigh on CAD
2. Interest Rates
Bank of Canada (BoC) Overnight Target Rate: 2.75% (held steady as of July 9, 2025).
Canadian government 10 year bond yield is 3.419%
US Federal Reserve Rate: Around 4.5% (market consensus for mid-2025).
United states government 10 year bond yield is 4.38%-4.4%
The interest rate differential between the US and Canada remains significant, favoring USD, which supports USD strength against CAD.
US 10-Year Treasury Yield: Generally higher than Canadian yields, around 4.38%–4.4% (market consensus), maintaining a yield advantage for USD assets.
4. Impact on USD/CAD
The higher US interest rates and bond yields relative to Canada make USD-denominated assets more attractive, contributing to the USD’s strength against CAD.
Conclusion
The US tariff policies in 2025 have contributed to a weaker Canadian dollar by increasing economic uncertainty, disrupting trade, and pressuring commodity prices. This has supported the US dollar’s recent strength against CAD, pushing the USD/CAD rate toward the higher .
#usdcad #cad #usd
USDCAD is breaking the trendline againOnce again, FX_IDC:USDCAD is breaking its medium-term downside resistance line, drawn from the current highest point of this year. If the rate remains above it, we may see a few more bulls stepping in. Let's take a look.
MARKETSCOM:USDCAD
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
75.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
USDCAD upside target 1.3960On the 4-hour chart, USDCAD stabilized and moved upward, with bulls taking the upper hand. The current market has formed a potential double bottom pattern. In the short term, attention can be paid to the resistance near 1.380. A breakthrough will hopefully continue to move higher, with the upward target around 1.3960. When the price reaches 1.3960, attention can be paid to the bearish bat pattern.
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?USD/CAD has rejected off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3695
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss: 1.3740
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.3618
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDCAD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISUSDCAD has just completed a clean falling wedge breakout—a classic bullish reversal pattern often signaling trend exhaustion. After months of consistent lower highs and lower lows within a well-defined wedge, price has now broken decisively above the descending resistance. The current price sits around 1.367, and we are confidently targeting the 1.407 level in the coming weeks. This breakout aligns perfectly with the seasonal USD strength historically seen in Q3, especially following soft Canadian economic data.
From a fundamental perspective, the Canadian dollar is facing downside pressure amid falling crude oil prices and softening domestic data. Canada’s most recent GDP growth came in below expectations, raising concerns around economic resilience. Meanwhile, the Bank of Canada is expected to remain dovish with growing speculation of another rate cut in the next quarter. In contrast, the US dollar has been gaining traction following stronger-than-expected ISM services data and a better-than-anticipated ADP employment report, supporting the Fed’s “higher for longer” stance on interest rates.
Technically, the breakout is further supported by increasing bullish momentum and a break of market structure on lower timeframes. We’re seeing volume confirmation with this push, adding conviction that buyers are stepping in with strength. The risk-to-reward ratio remains highly favorable here, and any pullback into the 1.36 zone would provide an excellent re-entry opportunity for continuation.
With sentiment shifting in favor of USD bulls and oil-related weakness dragging CAD, USDCAD looks primed for a rally. The 1.407 target aligns with both key resistance levels and Fibonacci projections from the breakout structure. Momentum is with the bulls, and this setup has the potential to deliver solid profits as we head deeper into Q3.
US
USDCAD – July 10 OutlookUSDCAD’s high-risk, high-reward (HRHR) sells from Wednesday are still in play with price currently up 35 pips. Price action remains within the structure as we continue to respect the March trendline, but are now stalling in a tight 4H range.
📍 Key Observations:
1.36647 is acting as strong intraday support
Possible retest of yesterday’s or Wednesday’s high could provide another HRHR sell opportunity
Break below 1.36527 could open the door for a clean 70-pip move toward 1.35827
🔔 Summary: Patience is essential—watching for either another short-term rejection at resistance or a clean structural break to continue the broader bearish bias.