Bearish Reversal Zone Approaching🔹 Pair: USDCAD
🔹 Timeframe: H4
🔹 Price: 1.36806
🔹 Bias: Short/SELL Setup Pending
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💡 Analysis Summary:
USDCAD is approaching a major resistance zone aligned with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level from the previous bearish leg.
Structure shows a clear ABC corrective pattern with signs of exhaustion at current levels.
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📌 Key Levels to Watch:
🔺 Resistance: 1.3720–1.3740 (Potential Reversal Zone)
🔻 Target Zone: 1.3450–1.3500
🔓 Invalidation Above: 1.3760
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📉 Plan:
Watch for bearish confirmation (e.g., bearish engulfing, double top, divergence) at resistance before entry.
High RR setup expected if price rejects near 1.3740.
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🔁 Wait. Confirm. Execute.
🧠 Trade smart, not fast.
📊 More updates coming daily.
USDCAD trade ideas
Bearish reversal?USD/CAD is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3695
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss: 1.3734
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 1.3639
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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USDCAD oversold rally The USDCAD currency pair remains in a bearish technical structure, consistent with the prevailing downtrend. Recent price action suggests sideways consolidation, indicating indecision as the pair pauses before its next directional move.
Key Technical Levels:
Resistance:
1.3700 – Key pivot zone; previously acted as intraday resistance.
1.3740 – Minor resistance.
1.3790 – Stronger resistance zone and potential reversal point.
Support:
1.3566 – Initial downside target on renewed selling pressure.
1.3544 – Intermediate support.
1.3520 – Long-term support and potential demand zone.
Scenario Analysis:
Bearish Case (Favored):
Price is consolidating below the key 1.3700 level. A failure to break above this resistance could trigger a renewed move lower. A bearish rejection from this level may open the path toward 1.3566, then 1.3544 and 1.3520 over a longer timeframe.
Bullish Case (Alternative):
A confirmed breakout and daily close above 1.3700 would invalidate the current bearish setup. This could shift sentiment to bullish and trigger a move toward the next resistance zones at 1.3740 and 1.3790.
Conclusion:
The technical bias for USDCAD remains bearish while price trades below the 1.3700 resistance zone. Traders should watch for a rejection from this level to confirm further downside potential. However, a sustained break above 1.3700 would neutralize the bearish setup and suggest scope for a short-term bullish reversal.
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USDCAD obeying Elliott Wave Principles.Our D1 chart is a continuation of a wave that started earlier and had a Flat correction for its Wave 2(Red), hence a Zigzag should be expected for our Wave 4(Red). When Wave 3(Red) completes, an aggressive selling move is triggered this is our Wave A(Black). A correction of this move occurs in the form of a Flat and this is now our Wave B(Black) of the major Zigzag correction that started when Wave 3(Red) completed. When Wave B(Black) is done, we should expect a Wave C(Black) to complete the Zigzag. Our Wave C(Black) unfolds in a 5 wave move and this is very normal. This 5 wave move is marked in Green. When Wave 1(Green) completes, our Wave 2(Green) unfolds in a Flat correction, meaning our Wave 4(Green) should be a Zigzag correction. After Wave 2(Green) completes, Wave 3(Green) is a strong downward move that reaches the 261.8% Fib. level. On reaching this level, we see a retest and a confirmation occurring. This is is to signal the end of Wave 3(Green) and the start of Wave 4(Green). As mentioned earlier, we should expect a Zigzag correction for Wave (Green) and we can see a shallow pullback and retest. The pullback is our first wave of the three wave Zigzag and is marked as Wave A(Blue). The retest as noted, does not go beyond Wave 3(Green) and this confirms it is a Zigzag. This retest is marked as Wave B(Blue). Next would be a Wave C(Blue) to complete Wave 4(Green). A retest and confirmation gives us an entry for the Wave C(Blue) which is also Wave 4(Green).
Bullish rise?USD/CAD has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3660
Why we like it:
There is a a pullback support.
Stop loss: 1.3618
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
Take profit: 1.3780
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Potential bearish drop?The Loonie (USD/CAD) has rejected off the pivot, which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 61.8% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 1.3688
1st Support: 1.3599
1st Resistance: 1.3743
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USD /CAD) bearish reversal analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/CAD pair on the 2-hour timeframe, suggesting that the price is likely to drop toward the support zone. Here's the detailed idea behind the analysis:
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Chart Breakdown (2H – USD/CAD)
1. Resistance Zone (Yellow Box - Top):
Marked as a strong supply area where price has repeatedly been rejected (highlighted by red arrows).
Acts as a key zone where sellers are in control.
Also aligns with a descending trendline, reinforcing bearish pressure.
2. Support Zone (Yellow Box - Bottom):
This is the target point marked at 1.35387, which previously served as a demand zone.
The chart suggests this level as the next significant area where price might find buyers.
3. Trend Context:
Price is moving within a descending channel (black trendlines), confirming the overall downtrend.
The 200 EMA (1.36834) is acting as dynamic resistance, keeping price under pressure.
4. Projected Move (Blue Box):
Shows a potential drop of ~91 pips toward the support level.
A bearish wave is anticipated as per the black zigzag line on the chart.
5. RSI Indicator:
RSI is near neutral (49.02 and 49.70) — suggesting no overbought/oversold conditions, but confirming lack of bullish momentum.
RSI is aligned with price trending down.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary:
Bias: Bearish
Entry Zone: Near current price or minor pullback (1.364–1.365)
Target: 1.35387 (support zone)
Invalidation: Break and close above resistance level / 200 EMA (~1.3685)
Trend: Downtrend within channel
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Bullish rise?The Loonie (USD/CAD) has bounced off the pivot which is a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.3570
1st Support: 1.3435
1st Resistance: 1.3732
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish reversal?USD/CAD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and the 145% Fibonacci extension and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3656
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 145% Fibonacci extension and the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3695
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 1.3618
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDCAD: Bearish Continuation & Short Signal
USDCAD
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short USDCAD
Entry Point - 1.3688
Stop Loss - 1.3717
Take Profit - 1.3634
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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USDCAD Holds Rebound Above 1.36In parallel with the DXY’s rebound from the 96-level, USDCAD has bounced from its 1.35 support zone, coming off oversold conditions last seen in 2021. The pair is also respecting a breakout from the 2025 contracting downtrend pattern.
Key upside levels for the ongoing correction are 1.3830, 1.3860, and 1.40 — aligning with a significant support/resistance zone established in October 2022. However, if 1.36 and 1.3520 are breached to the downside, the bearish trend could resume, with downside levels at 1.34 and 1.32 in focus.
- Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
The importance of trendlines in FOREXIn the world of currencies or FOREX, there are certain entry points that only happen a few times a year , but they’re incredibly powerful . These opportunities come after a trend breaks, a trend that has been touched and confirmed as a support or resistance zone over several years.
Right now, with OANDA:USDCAD , we’re seeing a break and pullback to one of these long-term trends. That makes this a great moment to go short on this pair.
Let me share a couple of examples with USDBRL and USDMXN. In both cases, after similar long-term trends were broken, the price moved strongly in one direction, these are the kinds of moves that can really grow your account.
There are other pairs showing similar breakouts.
Have you spotted them? If not, leave a comment and I’ll share the other pairs with you!
USDCADTrend Reversal Structure + Lower High + Supply Zone Rejection
Key Confirmations:
1.Market Shift from Bullish to Bearish (Structure Break)
Price formed a Lower High (LH) after a Higher High (HH).
A clear Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside occurred (marked on the chart), indicating a shift in trend from bullish to bearish.
2.Trendline Respect + Rejection
A clean downward trendline is drawn connecting HH → LH → lower LH.
Price rejected perfectly from the trendline, confirming resistance and bearish momentum.
3.Supply Zone Rejection
Price action touches a previously tested supply zone (highlighted in red).
That zone acted as resistance, and price failed to break above.
4.Bearish Continuation Setup
After forming a Lower Low (LL), price pulls back to create another Lower High (LH) – classic bearish continuation pattern.
USDCAD Entering Bullish Trend on 2-Hour Chart – Key LevelsUSDCAD Entering Bullish Trend on 2-Hour Chart – Key Levels and Analysis
The USDCAD pair is showing early signs of a potential bullish trend reversal on the 2-hour chart, as price action has formed a Higher High, indicating a shift in market structure. This pattern suggests that buyers are gradually gaining control, which could lead to further upside momentum if the trend continues. However, in the short term, the pair may still experience some bearish pressure before confirming a full bullish breakout.
Current Market Structure and Bullish Indications
- The formation of a Higher High signals that the downtrend may be weakening, and buyers are stepping in at higher levels.
- If the price holds above recent swing lows, it could confirm the beginning of a new uptrend phase.
- However, traders should remain cautious, as a temporary pullback or consolidation is possible before a sustained upward move.
Key Support Level: 1.35500
On the downside, 1.35500 is a critical support zone. This level has previously acted as both resistance and support, making it a strong area for buyers to defend.
- Bullish Scenario: If the price bounces from 1.35500, it could reinforce the bullish outlook and provide a base for further upward movement.
- Bearish Risk: A decisive break below this level could delay the bullish reversal and lead to a deeper retracement toward 1.35000 or lower.
Upside Targets: 1.37450 & 1.38000
If the bullish momentum strengthens, the next key resistance levels to watch are:
1. 1.37450 – A break above this level could accelerate buying interest.
2. 1.38000 – A major psychological and technical resistance zone where profit-taking may occur.
Short-Term Bearish Possibility Before Bullish Continuation
Despite the bullish signals, the pair may still face short-term bearish pressure due to:
- Profit-taking near resistance levels.
- Potential USD weakness or CAD strength in upcoming sessions.
- Market consolidation before the next directional move.
Trading Strategy & Key Takeaways
- Confirmation Needed: Wait for a strong close above recent highs to confirm the bullish trend.
- Support Watch: A hold above 1.35500 keeps the bullish structure intact.
- Targets: If bullish momentum continues, 1.37450 and 1.38000 are the next key objectives.
- Risk Management: A break below 1.35500 could invalidate the bullish setup, leading to a reassessment of the trend.
Conclusion
The USDCAD is showing early signs of a bullish reversal on the 2-hour chart, but traders should remain cautious of short-term bearish retracements. The critical levels to watch are 1.35500 (support) and 1.37450–1.38000 (resistance targets). A confirmed breakout above resistance could signal a stronger bullish trend, while a breakdown below support may extend the correction phase. Proper risk management and confirmation through price action will be essential for successful trading in this scenario.