USD/CAD Battlelines Drawn at Former SupportUSD/CAD briefly registered in intraday low at 1.3540 last week before mounting a massive outside-weekly reversal off the yearly lows. The subsequent rally extended more than 1.9% off the low with the advance exhausting into resistance this week at 1.3795-1.3836- a region defined by the 61.8% retracement of the late-2023 advance, the April low-close, and the 23.6% retracement of the yearly range. Looking for inflection off this mark to offer guidance with the immediate recovery vulnerable while below.
Initial weekly support rests with the 61.8% retracement of the June range at 1.3639 with key support steady at the 1.618% extension of the February decline / 78.6% retracement at 1.3504/23- look for a larger reaction there If reached with a close below needed to mark resumption of the yearly downtrend. Subsequent support objectives rest with the 2024 low-week clow (LWC) at 1.3360 and the 2023 LWC at 1.3218.
A topside breach / close above the 2022 trendline (red) is needed to suggest a more significant low is in place / a larger recovery is underway with the next major technical consideration eyed at 1.3963-1.4018- a region defined by the 52-week moving average, the 2022 swing high and the 38.2% retracement. A weekly close above this key pivot zone is ultimately needed to invalidate the yearly downtrend in USD/CAD.
Bottom line: A rebound off the yearly channel is now approaching initial resistance at former support- looking for possible price inflection off the 1.3795-1.3835 zone into the monthly cross. From a trading standpoint, rallies would need to be limited to the 2022 trendline IF price is heading lower on this stretch / to validate a break of the multi-year uptrend with a close below 1.3504 still needed to mark resumption.
-MB
USDCAD trade ideas
Lingrid | USDCAD Support Level Bounce OpportunityThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . FX:USDCAD is attempting to stabilize after a sharp drop from the 1.3696 resistance area, approaching the lower boundary of the falling wedge pattern. The price is testing the 1.3600–1.3550 support band, aligned with the blue descending trendline and historical pivot zones. A bullish rebound here could push the pair back toward 1.3696, while failure to hold exposes 1.3500 and lower.
📈 Key Levels
Buy zone: 1.3550–1.3600
Sell trigger: breakdown below 1.3550
Target: 1.3696
Buy trigger: breakout and retest of 1.3625–1.3650 zone
💡 Risks
Bearish momentum continuation toward 1.3500 if bounce fails
Weak volume recovery may trap buyers near 1.3620
Rejection near descending red trendline can maintain bearish pressure
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
USDCAD is Nearing The Daily Trend!!Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDCAD for a selling opportunity around 1.36950 zone, USDCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.36950 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USD/CAD - Fair Value GAP On USD/CAD , it's nice to see a strong sell-off from the price of 1.36130. It's also encouraging to observe a strong volume area where a lot of contracts are accumulated.
I believe that sellers from this area will defend their short positions. When the price returns to this area, strong sellers will push the market down again.
Fair Value GAP (FVG) and Volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go short on this trade.
Happy trading,
Dale
Could the Loonie reverse from here?The price is reacting off the support level which lines up with the 100% and the 78.6% Fibonacci projection and could rise from this levl to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3544
Why we like it:
There is a support level at the 100% and the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 1.3516
Why we like it:
There is a support level at the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 1.3595
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 50% FIbonacci retracement.
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Bearish continuation for the Loonie?The price has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.3725
1st Support: 1.3430
1st Resistance: 1.3837
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UC WAITING GAME Looking to see how price reacts to this recent bearish rally, trend is biased for shorts. However, we can possible start to see price climb, I have a target in mind which is the green resistance (weekly) would like to see break and retest of the Daily (red line) before price continues to the mentioned target.
USD/CAD short 4Hr Supply Zone: I believe that the trade should be triggered in the supple zone I drew out (yellow rectangle)
Market Structure: There is a good market structure formation and I believe that the price will go up to the supply zone then continue the market structure towards the downside.
Fib tool: This is also aligning close to my price trigger and the t/p
Support level: if we go back in time we can see that my t/p is put on a support level (orange dotted line).
USDCAD: Short Signal Explained
USDCAD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short USDCAD
Entry - 1.3734
Sl - 1.3780
Tp - 1.3648
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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USDCADHere we are currently retesting the Impulsive Wave correction that's currently completed on smaller TF there's a Bearish RSI Divergence indicating the sellers to come in, however if the S/R Flip zone is respected and solid, the buyers will come in as on the chart indicated to perform the corrective "A,B,C" wave with bulls hence we looking to ride with those for that correction.
USDCAD SWING TRADE LONG IDEA - MASSIVE BULLISH MOVE COMING?OANDA:USDCAD USDCAD has given a massive bullish break of structure on 4 Hour time frame after tapping to a strong key level on weekly time frame that is serving as support.
Now am bullish on USDCAD for a weekly income swing trading moves.
All I need right now to enter for a long to ride the move is a pull back to key level of support like old highs or imbalance levels.
That is when I will take a bullish long trade on USDCAD.
This is my A+ Trading Setup.
What do you see on your chart?