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USDCAD trade ideas

Bearish reversal off 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?USD/CAD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.3703 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.3740 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 1.3644 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
Can 1.3633 Construct a Bottom?The USD/CAD exchange rate continues to maintain a (sideways) pattern, currently trading around 1.37. Although the US dollar is fundamentally supported by the boost from the US non-farm payroll data and the optimistic expectations of trade negotiations in major economies, the overall market sentiment remains cautious. The Canadian dollar is supported by the strengthening of crude oil prices, and the exchange rate trend presents a complex pattern of mixed long and short positions. In the short term, if the exchange rate can effectively break through 1.3800 and stabilize above this level, it will open up further upward space. The next targets may point to the middle track of Bollinger Bands at 1.3823 and the previous platform resistance area at 1.3900. However, if it is blocked again at the 1.3800 line and falls back, it will increase the market expectation of "making a new low after a technical rebound". At that time, the supports will focus on 1.3640 and the low point of 1.3633. If the latter is broken, it will open up the downward space to 1.3600 or even 1.3550. Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Long
by Ashbur
USDCAD Bearish OutlookTrend: Bearish (Lower highs and lower lows) Key Resistance / Invalidation Level: 1.38121 Current Price: ~1.3700–1.3750 range Expected Move: Further downside towards the 1.3500–1.3420 area unless price breaks and closes above 1.38121. --- 🎯 Trade Plan Setup: Look for bearish entries on retracements towards the 1.3700–1.3750 area. Invalidation: A confirmed breakout and close above 1.38121. Target: 1.3500–1.3420 range. -- ⚡️ Summary USDCAD remains in a downtrend, making lower highs and lower lows. As long as price stays below 1.38121, the bearish outlook is favored. --- ⚠️ Disclaimer This is NOT financial advice. All trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Short
by Forex_Int
Symmetry 📍 Hello traders, hope you’re having a great start to the trading week! USD/CAD has just completed a clean bearish AB=CD symmetry pattern, and we now have confirmed structure shift from the Price Completion Zone (PCZ). Price is rejecting perfectly, and the bearish move is now underway. 🌀 What we’re seeing: AB=CD symmetry completed right into the 127.2–161.8% extension Rejection from the D point followed by a strong bearish candle Structure has shifted — new lower low and confirmed lower high Price is now flowing cleanly from the top, confirming the setup 📌 Key levels and confluence: Pattern completed with symmetry and fib alignment PCZ respected with immediate rejection Structure confirms sellers are in control below the D point 🎯 Target: TP1: 23.6% retracement of CD leg — locked in and already reacting Extended downside remains possible if structure stays bearish ⚠️ Risk management: Entry: After confirmation below the D point Stop: Above the D high — pattern invalidation level Setup is live — manage it with precision 🧠 The pattern completed, price shifted, and the move is now in progress. Let structure lead. TP1 at 23% keeps it sharp. Pattern. Trigger. Structure. Repeat. — TradeChartPatternsLikeThePros
Short
by TradeChartPatternsLikeThePros
USD/CAD H1 | Overlap support at 38.2% Fibonacci retracementUSD/CAD is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 1.3686 which is an overlap support that aligns closely with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 1.3623 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 1.3773 which is a swing-high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
USDCAD - Long triggered We have entered into the discount area of the most recent swing point on USDCAD. With doing this we have taken out all the areas of liquidity within the trading range so it was time to look for potential long moves. Now at current price we have had a great example of AMD where by we Accumulate Manipulate and then the hope is that we begin to distribute higher. There was also a nice fair value gap that was left behind on the 5min So all that was left to do was execute. Let us see how it plays out. Win or lose great entry super happy with the trade. Lets see how it goes
Long
by BenFxLDN
USDCAD Eyes Oct 2022 Resistance Once AgainFollowing the U.S.–Iran strike over the weekend, the U.S. dollar strengthened, posting solid rebounds across major dollar pairs. The USD/CAD chart, in particular, climbed back toward the 1.38 level. The pair is now eyeing a key resistance zone between 1.3840 and 1.3880, a range that has consistently held since October 2022. A decisive break and hold above this zone could pave the way for a continued rally toward the 1.40 mark. Conversely, a drop back below 1.3600 could signal renewed downside risk for 2025, in line with the broader bearish trend that has defined the year so far. — Razan Hilal, CMT
by FOREXcom
USD/CAD — Rising Wedge Reversal Loading… A steep rising wedge has formed — a classic bearish pattern often signaling exhaustion. Price is testing strong yellow resistance zones between 1.3795 – 1.3855. Entry Dates: 📅 June 23 & 24 — ideal windows to catch a possible reversal. 📉 Bearish Targets: → 1.3750 → 1.3700 → 1.3640 → More downside if momentum kicks in. 🧠 This setup screams “overbought squeeze → sharp drop”. Big players might be waiting to short the rip.
Short
by AngleHunter
USD/CAD Tests Key Resistance Amid Mixed Global Economic SignalsTechnical Analysis On the 4-hour chart, USD/CAD has broken above the 1.3746 resistance level, which corresponds to the top swing of the recent rally from 1.3687. The breakout above this level is a bullish signal, reinforced by a positive RSI reading above 70, indicating strong buying momentum. The MACD histogram is in positive territory, and the stochastic oscillator remains near overbought levels, showing sustained bullish energy. Price action seems to retest the broken upper boundary of a descending channel drawn from the last high near 1.3723-1.3747. This resistance zone near 1.3770-1.3783 also coincides with the 141.4% and 161.8% Fibonacci extensions, marking key targets for continuation should bulls maintain control. Alternative Scenario If the price fails to hold above the 1.3746 breakout level and retreats back below 1.3723 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement), we could see a pullback towards the lower support zone near 1.3687. A breakdown below this support may extend the correction into the mid-1.3600s, retesting the lower channel boundary.
Long
by Errante
Bullish bounce off pullback support?USD/CAD has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.3703 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.3647 Why we like it: There is an overlap support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 1.3815 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 145% Fibonacci extension. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
Trade Idea: Sell USD/CAD **Why Sell USD/CAD?** **🇺🇸 U.S. Dollar (USD):** * **U.S. growth is slowing** → *Losing steam. A weaker economy means less support for the dollar.* * **Inflation still above 2%** → *Sticky, but not scary. Not enough heat for the Fed to tighten further — dollar stays dull.* * **Fed is on pause, no rate hikes ahead** → *The engine's idling. No fuel to push USD higher.* * **Market heavily short USD** → *Traders are already betting against it — and they might be right. Momentum is down.* --- **🇨🇦 Canadian Dollar (CAD):** * **Oil prices are back above \$70** → *Oil is CAD’s lifeline — and it’s flowing again. That props up the loonie.* * **BoC holding rates with a neutral tone** → *Not cutting, not panicking. Steady hands support CAD.* * **Core inflation still high (CPI-trim \~3.1%)** → *Quiet pressure. Enough to keep the BoC on alert — a silent strength for CAD.* * **More traders turning bullish on CAD** → *The crowd’s shifting — and the loonie is starting to feel the love.* * **CAD still sensitive to risk-off mood** → *If markets panic, CAD could slip. But for now, risk is manageable.*
Short
by Wainainarobert
USDCAD early reversal signs📈 USDCAD Analysis – 1H Chart (June 19, 2025) The USDCAD is showing signs of bullish exhaustion after a strong rally. The price is currently trading around 1.3710, just below the recent local high at 1.37117. 🔹 Bearish Divergence: Price action is forming higher highs, while RSI is forming lower highs — a classic bearish divergence, hinting at potential downside correction. 🔹 Support Zone: A clear demand zone is marked between 1.35800 - 1.36000, which acted as a breakout base and could serve as strong support if the price pulls back. 🔹 Ichimoku Cloud: Price is still trading above the cloud, indicating an ongoing uptrend. However, a potential retest of the cloud support is possible. 🔹 Dynamic Support: The 21 EMA is holding well, and price is currently retesting it. 🔹 RSI: RSI is above 50 but shows decreasing momentum, currently sitting near 59.26 with signal line crossing above at 64.36, suggesting weakening bullish momentum. 📊 Conclusion: The pair is overextended and showing early signs of reversal or correction. A break below the EMA and into the cloud may lead to a pullback toward the highlighted support zone. Watch price action closely for confirmation.
Short
by DayyanMuhammad