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USDCAD trade ideas

USDCAD Short Setup – Potential Top Formation & Seasonal WeaknessTechnical: USDCAD has stalled in recent weeks, signaling a potential topping pattern. A recent break of the short-term trend suggests a deeper correction may follow. Key resistance is at 1.4355 , offering a favourable risk-reward short opportunity. Fundamental: The U.S. dollar remains weak, with commercial participants showing little interest in buying. Meanwhile, the Canadian dollar is seeing increased accumulation, indicating a potential shift in momentum. Seasonal: Historically, from March 24 – April 30 , USDCAD has declined 76.2% of the time over the past 21 years, with an average drop of 1.30%. Trade Idea: Sell: 1.4355 Stop Loss: 1.4551 Target: 1.3948 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by Signal_Centre1
Bearish reversal?The Loonie (USD/CAD) is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support. Pivot: 1.4359 1st Support: 1.4236 1st Resistance: 1.4451 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
6
Bearish reversal?USD/CAD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.4366 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.4447 Why we like it:} There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 1.4345 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
#USDCAD 4HUSDCAD (4H Timeframe) Analysis Market Structure: The price is currently trading within a well-defined downtrend channel and has reached the upper boundary, which is acting as strong resistance. Previous price action suggests that sellers have been active at this level, leading to potential bearish pressure. Forecast: A sell opportunity may arise if the price fails to break above the channel resistance and shows signs of rejection. If the resistance holds, further downside movement is expected within the channel structure. Key Levels to Watch: - Entry Zone: Consider selling near the channel resistance upon confirmation of bearish rejection. - Risk Management: - Stop Loss: Placed above the channel resistance to manage risk. - Take Profit: Target lower levels within the channel, aligning with previous support zones. Market Sentiment: As long as the price remains within the downtrend channel and respects the resistance, the bearish trend is likely to continue. However, a breakout above the resistance may shift the market sentiment toward bullish movement.
Short
by PIPSFIGHTER
Inverse head and shoulders on H4USD/CAD faced strong resistance near 1.4800 last month and has recently carved out a lower high at 1.4550, Société Générale's FX analysts note. Below 1.4240, USD/CAD can fall towards 1.4150 and 1.4030 "Daily MACD is within positive territory but has dipped below its trigger line highlighting receding upward momentum. A short-term pullback is taking shape. Low achieved earlier this month at 1.4240 is first layer of support. Break below this can lead to extended down move towards 1.4150 and projections at 1.4030. Resistance at 1.4550 must be overcome to confirm further uptrend."
by EZIO-FX
USDCAD 4H Chart Analysis1. Market Structure The chart shows a bearish market structure, where price has broken a key trendline support. The price previously made higher highs and higher lows, but recently failed to continue upward and broke below the ascending trendline. This confirms a potential trend reversal to the downside. 2. Key Levels Broken Support Zone (~1.4350 - 1.4400): This level previously acted as support, but price has now dropped below it. Current Resistance (~1.4300 - 1.4320): Price attempted a pullback to this zone, but it is now acting as resistance. Target Zone (~1.4165 - 1.4180): Marked as a potential take-profit area for short positions. 3. Bearish Setup Confirmation The chart shows a short position setup, with: Entry near the pullback area (~1.4300) Stop-loss above the resistance zone (~1.4350 - 1.4400) Take-profit near 1.4165 (previous key support) The trade setup suggests a Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR) > 2:1, making it a favorable setup. 4. Trading Strategy If Price Retests Resistance (1.4300 - 1.4320) and Rejects → Short (Sell) Entry If Price Breaks Above 1.4350 → Invalidates Bearish Setup If Price Drops Below 1.4260 → Bearish Momentum Confirmed 5. Additional Confirmation Factors EMA 50: Price is below the 50 EMA, which supports the bearish outlook. Break of Trendline: Strong signal for downside continuation. Conclusion Primary Bias: Bearish Entry Zone: Near 1.4300 - 1.4320 resistance Stop Loss: Above 1.4350 Take Profit: Around 1.4165 Trade Confirmation: Look for rejection candles at resistance.
Short
by aziezieam
USDCAD.. SELL TRADE SETUP..Here’s a structured analysis of the *USDCAD sell trade setup, assuming the entry is near current market levels (e.g., **1.4300–1.4310*). If the entry differs, adjust calculations accordingly: --- ### *Trade Summary* - *Entry: *Not specified (Assumed near *1.4300*) - *Stop Loss (SL): **1.43130* (13 pips risk if entry is 1.4300) - *Targets*: 1. *1.42400* (-60 pips from 1.4300) 2. *1.41777* (-123 pips from 1.4300) --- ### *Key Analysis* 1. *Risk-Reward Ratios (If Entry = 1.4300)*: - *Target 1: 60 pips reward vs. 13 pips risk → **4.6:1* (Exceptional). - *Target 2: 123 pips reward vs. 13 pips risk → **9.5:1* (Very aggressive). 2. *Position Sizing*: - For a 13-pip SL, ensure alignment with your risk tolerance (e.g., 1–2% of capital). - Example: For a $
Short
by Algo_Trading_Mql5