USDCAD SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs 3
entry at both Daily and Weekly AOi
Weekly Rejection At AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Daily Structure point
Around Psychological Level 1.38500
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 4.49
Entry 105%
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USDCAD trade ideas
Potential bullish rise?USD/CAD has reacted off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3844
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Stop loss: 1.3781
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 1.4029
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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USDCAD (1M) Bullish Pennant Structure and H ProjectionUSDCAD (1M) — Technical and Fundamental Analysis: Bullish Pennant Structure and H Projection
On the monthly chart of USDCAD, a bullish pennant structure has been formed and confirmed with a breakout followed by a clean retest of the upper boundary. The price broke out of the consolidation zone with momentum and is currently holding above the key support at 1.3802. The structure remains active: the first target based on the projected move is 1.4905. If the impulse continues and the market structure remains intact, extended targets lie at 1.5690 (1.272), 1.6100 (1.414), and 1.6689 (1.618) Fibonacci expansions. Technically, the 1.3802 level (0.618 retracement) is the critical support. If this zone holds, the bullish scenario remains valid. The nearest resistance is 1.4287 (0.786), and a confirmed break above this level would likely trigger the next phase toward 1.49. Volume increased during the breakout, confirming strong buyer interest.
Fundamentally, the setup is supported by diverging monetary policies: the Bank of Canada has signaled a more dovish stance due to slowing inflation and economic softness, while the Federal Reserve remains more neutral and cautious about rate cuts. In addition, oil prices — a key factor for the Canadian dollar — are under pressure, weakening the CAD further. Broader macro uncertainty and the global demand for USD as a reserve and safe-haven asset continue to support the dollar, strengthening the USDCAD pair.
Conclusion: As long as the price holds above the 1.38 zone and confirms above 1.4287, the bullish structure remains in play with a target of 1.4905 and potential extensions to 1.5690–1.6100.
USDCAD Short 4/23/2025USD/CAD Short Setup – Break of Daily Demand + Textbook Triangle Unwind
This short is built off both macro fundamentals and multi-timeframe technical precision.
Daily Chart:
USD/CAD has been steadily breaking structure to the downside. Yesterday's close was significant — we broke below a major daily demand zone at 1.38221, signaling a shift in longer-term sentiment.
Today’s price action has already retested yesterday’s high into that broken zone — a classic break-and-retest setup.
4H Chart:
A clear 5-wave triangle correction is printing — text-book stuff. We’re nearing the breakout point. Price is pressing against the lower boundary, and momentum looks ready to shift.
A potential Evening Star pattern is forming right now, supported by an inside bar and a follow-up bearish hammer — a stacked reversal signal.
1H Chart:
Structure confirms the 4H — all signs point toward a correction completing and a new impulsive leg down beginning.
Fundamentals:
Later today, the U.S. Flash Manufacturing PMI is expected to show contraction — a negative for the dollar. If the data misses expectations, it could amplify the bearish move on USD/CAD.
We’re also tracking oil closely — further CAD strength via crude would accelerate the downside here.
Trade Plan:
Entry: Current area near the 1.382 retest
SL: Above triangle high
TP1: 1:1 R:R – partial take profit (75%)
TP2: Let the remaining 25% run with structure-based trailing
If the setup confirms post-PMI, this could be a strong follow-through play after a major HTF breakdown.
USDCAD INTRADAY Downtrend continuation below 1.4060. The USDCAD pair is exhibiting a bearish sentiment, reinforced by the ongoing downtrend. The key trading level to watch is at 1.4060, which represents the current intraday swing low and the falling resistance trendline level.
In the short term, an oversold rally from current levels, followed by a bearish rejection at the 1.4060 resistance, could lead to a downside move targeting support at 1.3780, with further potential declines to 1.3730 and 1.3630 over a longer timeframe.
On the other hand, a confirmed breakout above the 1.4060 resistance level and a daily close above that mark would invalidate the bearish outlook. This scenario could pave the way for a continuation of the rally, aiming to retest the 1.4080 resistance, with a potential extension to 1.4160 levels.
Conclusion:
Currently, the USDCAD sentiment remains bearish, with the 1.4060 level acting as a pivotal resistance. Traders should watch for either a bearish rejection at this level or a breakout and daily close above it to determine the next directional move. Caution is advised until the price action confirms a clear break or rejection.
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USD/CAD H1 | Rising into a multi-swing-high resistanceUSD/CAD is rising towards a multi-swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 1.3849 which is a multi-swing-high resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 1.3915 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 1.3735 which is a support level that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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USDCAD: Breakout & Bearish Continuation 🇺🇸🇨🇦
USDCAD broke and closed below a key intraday/daily horizontal support cluster.
I expect a bearish trend continuation after its retest.
Next goal - 1.376
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BUY USDCAD for bearish trend reversal STOP LOSS : 1.37774 BUY USDCAD for bearish trend reversal
STOP LOSS : 1.37774
Regular Bullish Divergence
In case of Regular Bullish Divergence:
* The Indicator shows Higher Lows
* Actual Market Price shows Lower Lows
We can see a strong divergence on the MACD already and There is a strong trend reversal on the daily time frame chart.....
The daily time frame is showing strength of trend reversal from this strong level of Support so we are looking for the trend reversal and correction push from here .....
TAKE PROFIT : take profit will be when the trend comes to an end, feel from to send me a direct DM if you have any question about take profit or anything
Remember to risk only what you are comfortable with…….trading with the trend, patient and good risk management is the key to success here
USDCAD Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for USDCAD.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 1.385.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 1.396 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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USDCAD A break of the 4hr structure would call for the following, A break of the daily that would lead us breaking the 4hr BOT. Unless Trump does the unthinkable, this will be a good swing trade to hold.
Based on the weekly, it would indicate the end of the W. counter trend and a continuation of the bullish move
USD/CAD Analysis (30min TimeframeUSD/CAD
Timeframe: 30-Minute Chart
Trend: Bearish (within a descending channel)
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Entry Point:
Entry Price: 1.38192 (current market price marked on chart)
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Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 1.37812 (labeled "TARGET 1")
Final TP (TP2): 1.37374 (labeled "TARGET 2")
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Support Levels:
1.37812 – First major support level (TP1)
1.37374 – Second strong support level (TP2, previous structure low)
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Resistance Levels:
1.38192 – Current entry zone and minor resistance (short-term reaction level)
1.38400 - 1.38500 – Mid-channel resistance area
1.38700+ – Upper trendline resistance (from channel)
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Chart Structure:
Descending Channel: Price is respecting a downward sloping parallel channel.
Bearish Momentum: Lower highs and lower lows.
Entry at Pullback: Entry aligns with a pullback to channel mid-zone.
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Suggested Caption to Share with Your Client:
> USD/CAD Trade Setup (30-Min Chart):
Price is trending inside a descending channel.
Entry: 1.38192
TP1: 1.37812
Final TP: 1.37374
Trend: Bearish
Expecting continuation to downside after pullback.
Key Resistance: 1.38400–1.38700
Key Support: 1.37812, 1.37374
Watch for bearish confirmation at entry level before executing.