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U.S. Dollar / Canadian Dollar

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USDCAD trade ideas

USD/CAD 4-Hour Forecast: Short Position Setup🔻 **USD/CAD 4-Hour Forecast: Short Position Setup** 📉 USD/CAD is currently trading at **1.38887**, with a potential move down to our target of **1.35251**. Here are the key resistance and support levels we’re tracking as this short position unfolds: 🔍 **Key Levels to Watch:** - **Primary Resistances:** 1.39587, 1.39309 - **Intermediate Supports:** 1.38237, 1.37647, 1.37154, 1.36888, 1.36610, 1.36248, 1.36094, 1.35641 - **Bearish Target:** 1.35251 💡 **Trading Insight:** Each support level may act as a confirmation for this downtrend if broken. Watching for strong moves at these points will be key. 👉 What’s your view on USD/CAD? Let’s discuss in the comments! #USDCAD #ForexTrading #4HChart #ShortPosition #PricePrediction #Pipnest
Short
by pipnest
USD/CAD chart on the 4-hour timeframeUSD/CAD chart on the 4-hour timeframe, here's a detailed analysis for potential future movements, along with suggested entry, take profit (TP), and stop loss (SL) levels based on a 1:3 risk-to-reward ratio. Analysis: 1. Trend Observation: Uptrend: USD/CAD has shown strong bullish momentum, reaching new highs in the recent period. The pair appears to be in an uptrend, with higher highs and higher lows. 2. Key Support and Resistance Levels: Resistance: Around 1.3950 (near recent highs). This level has been tested but not broken, indicating selling pressure. Support: Around 1.3810 and 1.3680. These levels have previously seen buying interest and could provide support if there is a retracement. 3. Potential Scenarios and Setups: Bullish Scenario (If uptrend continues): USD/CAD may find support near 1.3810, and a bullish reversal from this level could signal a continuation of the uptrend. Watch for bullish confirmation signals such as strong green candles near support. Bearish Scenario (If resistance holds or a reversal occurs): If USD/CAD fails to break above 1.3950 and shows signs of reversal, a pullback towards support at 1.3680 is possible. Strategy Summary: 1. Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Both setups are designed to provide a 1:3 risk-to-reward ratio. 2. Market Confirmation: Wait for confirmation patterns (e.g., candlestick patterns like engulfing candles) before entering to increase the probability of success. 3. Monitor Economic Events: USD/CAD can be impacted by U.S. and Canadian economic announcements, oil prices, and interest rate decisions from the Federal Reserve and Bank of Canada.
Short
by ShariarsLife
USD/CAD H4 | Falling to swing-low supportUSD/CAD is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 1.3823 which is a swing-low support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 1.3745 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. Take profit is at 1.3943 which is a multi-swing-high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
Price can drop down to 1.378 , but..theres is FOMC meeting tonigh, the cut is expected so lets see how it will affect the price. There can be some short term spike up, but I think Dollar needs pullback You are very welcome to comment with your thoughts, share your charts or questions about COT or how I came to this setup. Just comment below, I like any constructive discussion. If we get the confirmation, I will be looking to position myself with my students and followers as highlighted on the chart. Accumulation / Manipulation / Distribution - No liquidity raid = No trade - Never buy high and never sell low “Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.” Dave FX Hunter ⚔
Short
by Dave-Hunter
2
USDCAD - Trump gave a new trend to the dollar!The USDCAD currency pair is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its medium-term bullish channel. If the upward movement continues, we can see the supply zone and sell within that range with the appropriate risk reward. The correction of this currency pair towards the demand zones will provide us with the next buying positions. Following the announcement of Donald Trump’s election victory, the U.S. dollar has risen against almost every currency globally. Markets are not only preparing for Trump’s presidential win but also foresee a Republican-controlled Congress, which is crucial for the incoming president’s ability to implement policy changes through the U.S. government. Ahead of the October 23 monetary policy meeting, officials at the Bank of Canada believed that inflationary pressures were on a downward trend and further tightening of monetary policy was unnecessary. They considered a 0.25% rate cut, though strong consensus emerged for holding off based on economic data observed since July. Officials noted that a rate cut would require time to sufficiently impact per capita consumer spending and counterbalance the overall consumption decline driven by slower population growth. They agreed to continue normalizing their balance sheet through maturing bonds. According to informed sources, OPEC+ has reached a preliminary agreement to postpone an increase in oil production for December. This agreement includes countries such as Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, the UAE, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria, and Oman, which have decided to extend their voluntary oil production adjustments until the end of December 2024. One key factor weakening the Canadian dollar is the country’s economic challenges. The Canadian housing market is facing serious difficulties due to rising interest rates, and the decline in demand for new home purchases has dimmed future prospects for the market. Additionally, slower population growth, largely dependent on government immigration policies, is negatively impacting the economy. Nonetheless, some hope that China’s economic stimulus efforts and rising natural commodity prices might support the Canadian dollar, though these factors carry their own risks. BlackRock has stated that expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut are overly optimistic. The bank cited the following reasons: U.S. third-quarter GDP data show that consumers remain the main driver of economic growth. The average monthly job creation over the past three months has been 104,000 jobs, a healthy rate, which is likely to rise considering hiring pauses due to storm disruptions.
Long
by Ali_PSND
The Best Level to short USDCAD TP +250/+500 pips🔸Hello traders, let's review the daily chart for USDCAD today. Trading near premium prices of the multiyear range, established in 2023. Currently risk/reward is shifting in bears favor, so it's recommended to look for sell side setups in this market. 🔸Range highs set at 3800, premium prices overhead at 3880 3960 range lows set at 3300 and premium prices below at 3140 3240 current bid is 3885. 🔸Recommended strategy for USDCAD traders: focus on short selling any rips/rallies near market price. price is currently trading near premium levels and is maxed out already, limited upside. TP1 bears +250 TP2 bears +500 pips keep in mind this is a swing trade setup so naturally will take more time to complete / hit both targets. good luck traders! 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Short
by ProjectSyndicate
19
Can USDCAD Hold 1.387 Support as Pressure Mounts?FxNews —The U.S. Dollar began a pullback against the Canadian Dollar after peaking at the 1.395 resistance on August 5. This dip aligns with an overbought signal from the Stochastic Oscillator since October 10. Currently, USD/CAD is around 1.387, filling the Fair Value Gap. In the 4-hour chart, despite the recent decline, USD/CAD remains above the 100-SMA, keeping the main trend bullish. However, the Awesome Oscillator has turned bearish, and the Stochastic is below 20, signaling a potential consolidation phase. > Immediate Support: 1.387 > Next Support: 1.382 (100-SMA) > Critical Support: October 17 low at 1.375 > Resistance Levels: 1.395, 1.40 Forecast If bears (sellers) close below 1.387, the current downtrend could extend to the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level, backed by the 100-period simple moving average.
by FxNews-me
1
USDCAD H4 LONG TERM Buying TRADE IDEAHello Traders In This Chart Usdcad HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today USDCAD analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (USDCAD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on USDCAD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Channel
Long
by ForexMasters2000
2
USD/CAD Weekly Technical AnalysisTrendline and Support Levels: The USD/CAD pair is following a long-term uptrend, as highlighted by the purple ascending trendline. This trendline has acted as dynamic support since 2021, with multiple price bounces validating its strength. Key support levels are marked at 1.33647, 1.31234, and 1.29767. These levels represent potential areas where buyers could re-enter if the price retraces, providing strong zones of interest for long-term traders. Resistance Levels: Immediate resistance is observed around 1.38439, which aligns with recent price rejection. This level has historically acted as both support and resistance, making it an important area to watch. The critical resistance is located at 1.40130. A breakout above this level could signal further bullish momentum, potentially leading to a new high. Volume Profile Analysis: The volume profile (visible range) shows a high concentration of trading volume around the 1.33647 level, indicating a significant area of price acceptance. This zone could act as strong support if the price moves down, as traders may view it as a fair value level. RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI appears to be in a neutral range, hovering near the 50 mark, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions. However, it would be prudent to monitor RSI for any breakout above 70 or drop below 30, which could signal potential trend reversals or continuation. Volume Analysis: Volume has shown occasional spikes, reflecting heightened activity during key price movements. However, recent weeks have seen average volume levels, suggesting a steady interest from traders without excessive volatility. Outlook and Strategy: Bullish Scenario: A breakout above 1.40130 could trigger further upside momentum, making higher levels a target for long-term bulls. Watch for confirmation through strong bullish candlesticks and increased volume. Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to hold above 1.38439 and closes below the trendline, it could signal a reversal or consolidation phase, with 1.33647 as a key downside target. Traders should watch for bearish signals like a break below the trendline and potential RSI divergence. Conclusion: USD/CAD is currently trading near a significant resistance level, testing the strength of the ongoing uptrend. Traders should watch for a breakout above 1.40130 to confirm bullish momentum, while a break below the trendline could suggest consolidation or a potential reversal. Patience is advised as the price approaches these key levels.
Short
by AngshumanSaikia
USD/CAD Analysis: Potential Retracement on Supply Area ContactThe USD/CAD has recently moved into a key supply area, prompting a watchful stance for a potential retracement. According to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report, there’s a clear divergence between retail and institutional sentiment: while retail traders remain bullish on USD/CAD, institutional investors, or "smart money," have started building bearish positions, indicating a possible shift in momentum. Seasonal Forecast and Technical View Seasonal analysis suggests an increased probability of bullish price action in USD/CAD, but given our current position in a supply area, the focus is on a corrective retracement rather than a sustained reversal. This is especially relevant for short-term traders looking to capitalize on minor pullbacks. From a technical perspective, USD/CAD’s proximity to supply suggests a temporary exhaustion of the recent uptrend, allowing for a pullback within a controlled risk-reward framework. A tight stop loss is recommended here to protect against potential reversals should bullish seasonal tendencies overpower short-term retracement forces. Trading Strategy With a setup offering a strong risk-to-reward ratio, traders might consider a short position on USD/CAD with a focus on the retracement rather than a deep decline. Monitoring economic releases and potential changes in institutional positioning will be essential in determining whether the supply area holds, as well as to gauge the sustainability of any bearish retracement. ✅ Please share your thoughts about USD/CAD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
8