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USD/CAD LMAX

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USDCAD_LMAX trade ideas

Hugely Important Trading Plans | BOC Rate DecisionEver since the BOC has undertaken a quicker easing cycle (and signalled more of it) we have seen a lot of CAD shorts come into play. Removing investment from CAD due to lower ROI is a direct cause of easing, and easing quickly. Largely expected that another cut comes today at a 50 BPS consensus. It remains yet to be seen whether this cycle is too fast. The FED has also undertaken a reasonable cutting pace, but latest data and rhetoric around it suggests a slower, more careful easing (hence the late rises in USD value, see DXY). May be slight room to go higher, although USDCAD sits at key rejection areas, last hits going further into them. Would not be surprised if this continues based on recent price action to the upside. Awaiting rejection at these key levels before further entry short.
Short
by WillSebastian
USD/CAD WHATS GOING ON?As you can seeif we go to a more high timeframes we can see the importance that the weekly support and resistence have if we make e a quick look of it the pric its now heding again to this zone and we dont know exactly whats happening with the price, we have 3 options, to make the same reaction to the downside, to make a fake breakout and then go to the downside, or to relly make a breakout and start making new historical highs in this pair. If you like my ideas please support me.
by hcarbajal12
1
Is it time to Sell USDCAD? Interest Rate aheadThe USDCAD pair has been trending upwards steadily since 24 September, achieving a notable gain of 3.22% without any significant retracement. It is now approaching a key resistance level of 1.3880, the most significant resistance region since 2022. USDCAD overbought? The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicated a reading of 75.53 on 21 October, suggesting a potential overbought condition for USDCAD. The RSI is a widely used indicator in technical analysis, employed to identify possible overbought or oversold scenarios. Classic Bearish Divergence on H4: On the 4-hour chart, USDCAD has formed a classic bearish divergence, signalling the potential influx of selling pressure. A classic bearish divergence occurs when the price makes higher highs while the RSI fails to keep pace, forming lower highs. This is a powerful bearish reversal pattern, particularly relevant following a significant upward movement, as is the case with USDCAD at this time. Technical Analysis Summary: From a technical analysis standpoint, we have identified several key factors: 1. A directional upward movement, accumulating 3.22% in USDCAD. 2. The RSI indicates signs of buyer exhaustion on the H4 chart. 3. The presence of a classic bearish divergence on the H4 chart. These elements collectively support the notion that USDCAD may be in an overbought situation, potentially creating selling opportunities. Sell trigger with 9-period Moving Average Recent price action has remained above the 9-period moving average, indicating a slight uptrend in the short term. However, if the price crosses below the SMA9 on the H4 chart, this could act as a sell trigger, leading to a potential decline towards the 1.3690 region within a few days. Impact of CAD Interest Rate Decisions: The Bank of Canada is currently adopting a more dovish stance, gradually lowering interest rates as inflation moves closer to control. This has been evidenced in recent meetings, with a consistent 0.25% cut implemented at each meeting. The next interest rate decision is scheduled for 23 October, with the market anticipating a potential 0.50% cut. However, given that the last three meetings resulted in 0.25% reductions, a 0.50% cut appears unlikely at this stage. If the interest rate cut is smaller than expected, the CAD may appreciate in the short term, which could further contribute to a decline in USD/CAD. Monitoring Key Developments In summary, as USDCAD approaches a critical resistance level amid signs of overbought conditions, traders should monitor these technical indicators and market sentiments closely. With potential selling opportunities pending and the influence of interest rate decisions looming, it will be crucial to stay alert to market developments moving forward. Disclaimer: 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK.
Short
by Marketscom
1
Bearish drop?The Loonie (USD/CAD) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support. Pivot: 1.3853 1st Support: 1.3751 1st Resistance: 1.3946 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
USDCAD with two probabilities for 10/25/2024USDCAD with a high probability to make the decision for 10/25/2024 ✅️ : 🔸️If the price exceeds the green bar 🟩, with the bar closing in the hour above: there will be a high chance of entering a purchase as indicated in the chart, respecting the day, news and the stop loss. 🔸️If the price exceeds the red bar 🟥, with the bar closing in the hour below: there will be a high chance of entering a sale as indicated in the chart, respecting the day, news, and the stop loss.
Short
by Abderrahmane_24
Idea for next week.What a great chart on point let's wait for the charts to open.The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is little changed against the USD, with spot holding close to 1.38 on the day. The CAD’s slide against the USD steadied through mid-week which was not unexpected, given the extended and sustained drop seen since the start of the month, Scotiabank’s Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes. CAD holds little changed near 1.38 “USD/CAD gains looked stretched relative to our fair value estimate at the start of the week and while the CAD has been able to stabilize, headwinds remain significant—especially from the cash bond and swap spread perspective where the risk of a November hold decision from the Fed and a 50bps cut by the BoC next week has driven differentials wider.”
by EZIO-FX