USDCHF.1.MINI trade ideas
USD/CHF Accumulation Phase with Strong Rejections and New Highs USD/CHF has been in an accumulation phase for over a month, making new highs and showing strong rejection at the lowest low from December. From a technical standpoint, it looks like a good time to buy. You could place a stop order to catch the move without missing out or wait for a possible retracement to get a better entry.
USD/CHF "The Swissy" Forex Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the USD/CHF "The Swissy" Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise placing Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 0.90800 (swing Trade) Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 0.89000(or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
USD/CHF "The Swissy" Forex Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors.
🔴Fundamental Analysis
US Economic Trends: The US economy is expected to grow at a moderate pace in 2025, driven by consumer spending and business investment.
Swiss Economic Trends: The Swiss economy is expected to grow at a slower pace in 2025, driven by exports and investment .
Monetary Policy: The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain low interest rates in 2025, while the Swiss National Bank is expected to maintain a negative interest rate policy.
Trade Policies: The US-Switzerland trade relationship is expected to remain stable, with no major changes in trade policies anticipated.
⚫Macro Economics
Global GDP Growth: The World Bank forecasts global GDP growth to accelerate to 3.4% in 2025, up from 3.2% in 2024 .
Inflation Rate: Global inflation is expected to rise to 3.8% in 2025, driven by increasing demand and supply chain disruptions.
Interest Rates: Central banks are expected to maintain low interest rates in 2025, supporting currency markets.
Unemployment Rate: The global unemployment rate is expected to decline to 5.4% in 2025, driven by job growth in emerging markets.
🔵COT Data
Net Long Positions: Institutional traders have reduced their net long positions in USD/CHF to 35%
COT Ratio: The COT ratio has fallen to 1.6, indicating a bearish trend
Open Interest: Open interest in USD/CHF futures has decreased by 8% over the past month, indicating declining investor interest
🟢Sentimental Outlook
Institutional Sentiment: 40% bullish, 60% bearish
Retail Sentiment: 35% bullish, 65% bearish
Market Mood: The overall market mood is bearish, with a sentiment score of -30
🟡Technical Analysis
Moving Averages: 50-period SMA: 0.9104, 200-period SMA: 0.9034.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): 4-hour chart: 38.21, daily chart: 34.14.
Bollinger Bands: 4-hour chart: 0.90200 (lower band), 0.9124 (upper band).
🟠Overall Outlook
The overall outlook for USD/CHF is bearish, driven by a combination of fundamental, technical, and sentimental factors. The expected decline in US interest rates, slower Swiss economic growth, and bearish market sentiment are all supporting the bearish trend. However, investors should remain cautious of potential upside risks, including changes in global trade policies and unexpected economic data releases.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
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USDCHF💡The chart shows technical analysis of the USDCHF currency pair On the daily time frame D1. Rising channel:⬆️ The price was moving within an ascending channel ✨Channel break: The price broke the bottom line of the channel, which may indicate a trend change to down.
If the price continues below the channel, it may head to one of the identified support areas. If the price returns inside the channel, it may retest the resistance. The MACD is showing weakness in the upward momentum, which supports the bearish idea.⬇️
⛔️It is not investment advice for educational purposes only.
POTENTIAL SHORT TRADE SET UP FOR USDCHFAnalysis: Utilizing chart patterns, highs & lows, and impulses & corrections, the focus is on identifying a continuation corrective structure following a breakout.
Entry: The price has reached the upper boundary of a higher time frame (HTF) bearish continuation structure, approaching this zone with an ascending channel on the mid time frame (MTF). On the lower time frame (LTF), a bearish impulse has developed, and we will be watching for a continuation pattern to pinpoint a potential entry point for the trade.
Expectation: A downward move is anticipated, targeting the lower boundary of the HTF bearish continuation structure.
⚠️ Reminder: Always conduct your own analysis and apply proper risk management, as forex trading involves no guarantees. This is a high-risk activity, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trade responsibly!
USD/CHF Breakout from Uptrend Channel, Potential for BearishIn the daily time frame chart of USD/CHF, it is evident that the price has broken out of the uptrend channel that had previously constrained price movements over the past few months. This breakout occurred after the price failed to breach the resistance around the blue area, which marks the previous local high. After testing the channel support multiple times, the price eventually experienced a breakdown, indicated by a solid red candlestick closing below the channel’s support line (highlighted in the yellow area with the "Breakout" label).
This breakout signals a potential shift from a bullish trend to a deeper correction, with downside targets at 0.88 and 0.87, as marked by the horizontal blue lines below the current price. These levels serve as key targets since they have previously acted as strong support areas.
Short selling can be considered with additional confirmation, such as a retracement to the breakdown area for a more optimal entry. Conversely, if the price moves back into the uptrend channel and holds above the breakout level, this bearish scenario may become invalid.
Risk management remains crucial, with an ideal stop loss placed above the breakout area to mitigate the risk of a false breakout. If selling pressure continues, the next target will be 0.87.
Trade idea for USD/CHFWhen we look at the chart we can see that the price is now in a good support zone that was good respected in the past.
What I am looking for now is to get a good entry here and to see what the price is going to do in this zone. Also we need to keep an eye out for the upcoming news and the volume that we can see when that is hitting.
If you want to play it save you can always wait an hour to see what the news is going to do and then see if you want to enter or not.
We can also see that there was a very beautiful Elliott wave pattern in the past that is almost looking like an Elliott wave pattern from the books. Always nice to see that.
Any updates will be giving in the comments.
USDCHF Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDCHF for a buying opportunity around 0.90300 zone, USDCHF is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.90300 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USD_CHF SUPPORT AHEAD|LONG|
✅USD_CHF is about to retest a key structure level around 0.9000
Which implies a high likelihood of a move up
As some market participants will be taking profit from short positions
While others will find this price level to be good for buying
So as usual we will have a chance to ride the wave of a bullish correction
LONG🚀
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USDCHF LONG
Market structure Bullish on HTFs 3
Entry at both Daily and Weekly AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.91000
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 6.82
Entry 110%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
USDCHFShort Fundamental Analysis – USD/CHF
1. Context
• Swiss National Bank (SNB)
• Maintains a cautious monetary stance, with relatively high rates by Swiss standards to combat inflation.
• Switzerland’s economy remains stable, and the CHF typically serves as a safe-haven currency during periods of global uncertainty.
• Federal Reserve (Fed)
• Continues with elevated interest rates to manage persistent inflation in the US.
• Strong macro data (GDP ~+2.6%, unemployment ~3.7%) underpins the USD, making it attractive compared to other currencies, including CHF.
2. Possible Direction
• Bias: Slightly bullish for USD/CHF, as higher yields and resilient US economic performance often overshadow CHF’s safe-haven appeal.
• Alternate Scenario:
• A significant uptick in global risk aversion or a dovish shift by the Fed could bolster CHF, leading to downward pressure on USD/CHF.
• If the SNB unexpectedly tightens further, it may provide additional CHF strength.
3. Factors to Watch This Week
1. US Economic Indicators
• Inflation, labor market, and consumer spending data can either reinforce or weaken the dollar’s advantage.
2. SNB Communications
• Any surprise rate adjustments or changes in inflation outlook could shift sentiment in favor of CHF.
3. Global Risk Appetite
• In times of heightened geopolitical tensions or market volatility, CHF demand may spike as investors seek safe havens.
4. Overall Conclusion
• USD remains supported by higher yields and robust economic conditions.
• CHF benefits from safe-haven flows and stable economic fundamentals but often lags when the Fed is markedly hawkish.
• Near-term direction for USD/CHF is modestly tilted upward, barring a sudden spike in risk aversion or unexpected SNB actions.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice. Financial markets can be volatile and involve significant risks. Always consult official sources and consider your own risk tolerance before making any trading decisions.
USDCHFWe have strong demand zone and price come back to the zone and show as confirmation that price want to change direction that s way we take it long
LR
USDCHF H4 I Bullish Bounce Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is approaching our buy entry level at 0.9080, a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 0.9154, an overlap resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 0.9024, a pullback support level.
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USD/CHF: Avoiding a false dichotomyThe US dollar is in a correction of its uptrend (see EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD etc)
Do we really face a linear option of fade or no trade?
Actually, it might be a false dichotomy .
Going long EUR/USD and GBP/USD (i.e. selling USD) would mean fading the major trend (as per the weekly charts).
But going short USD/CHF (i.e. also selling USD) would not be a counter trend trade because USD/CHF is in a trading range. Selling below resistance in a trading range is a high probability setup.
We can see the topping process on the daily chart, with 0.90 as the broken neckline.
Here the risk is well defined - if the price pops back over 0.90 - the breakdown trade is no longer on but while below 0.90, 0.88 is a natural target as the last major support area and the 30 week moving average.
But - as always - that’s just how the team and I are seeing things, what do you think?
Share your ideas with us - OR - send us a request!
Drop a comment
cheers!
Jasper
#USDCHFHalf way through our target!
If you want to connect your trading account to my account just send me a DM
USDCHF H4 ShortAfter leaving the consolidation zone we go down. We wait for consolidation behind the level and sell.
Falling towards overlap support?USD/CHF is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.9009
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Stop loss: 0.8973
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.9072
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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USD/CHF H1 | Bullish uptrend to extend further?USD/CHF could fall towards a multi-swing-low support and potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 0.9096 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 0.9063 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 0.9158 which is a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USD/CHF bullish setupPrice in trend with bullish opening. The price has taken liquidity creating a higher high, consequently we should only look for buys until a change of structure is created.
USDCHF to find buyers at market price?USDCHF - 24h expiry
Levels close to the 78.6% pullback level of 0.9151 found sellers.
We expect a move lower in a corrective sequence, targeting Fibonacci retracement levels.
Buying continued from the 50% pullback level of 0.9083.
We look to buy dips.
Offers ample risk/reward to buy at the market.
We look to Buy at 0.9083 (stop at 0.9058)
Our profit targets will be 0.9153 and 0.9168
Resistance: 0.9115 / 0.9140 / 0.9156
Support: 0.9089 / 0.9070 / 0.9055
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The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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USDCHF SHORT H4Market Entry. There will be a consolidation at the level. We wait for the breakdown and move to the breakeven zone.
USDCHF shortPlaying off the dollar weakness, this is another of my favorite pairs to trade. I already have a swing short from higher prices, but like oil I'm not adverse to adding shorts to any rally to my targets lower.
I do see the dollar spiking up very sharply in the near future. This pair could be very profitable as it moves quick and attracted to my targets.
lets see how it goes.
