USDCHF I Intraday Long Opportunity from Support Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** USDCHF Analysis - Listen to video!
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USDCHF trade ideas
USD/CHF Bullish Setup Using ICT Strategy (1D Chart)
This is a bullish trading idea on the USD/CHF daily chart, based on the Inner Circle Trader (ICT) methodology, which focuses on how institutional traders move the market.
Market Structure Shift (eMSS): In mid-April, the price broke above a previous high, creating an External Market Structure Shift (eMSS). This signals a potential change from a downtrend to an uptrend, as the market shows bullish intent by taking out a key resistance level.
Liquidity Sweep (S): Before the eMSS, the price dipped below a prior low, likely to grab liquidity by triggering stop-loss orders of sellers. This "sweep" is a common ICT concept where the market hunts for liquidity before reversing in the intended direction.
Order Block (Demand Zone): After the eMSS, the price consolidated in a shaded area, which acts as a demand zone or order block. This is where institutional buyers likely placed their orders. ICT teaches us to look for entries in these zones, as they often lead to strong price reactions.
Breakout and Target: The price broke above the order block, confirming the bullish setup. The target is set around 0.8400, where there might be another liquidity pool (like buy stops above previous highs). This aligns with ICT’s idea of targeting areas where the market is likely to move to collect more orders.
USDCHF LONG FORECAST Q2 W18 D30 Y25USDCHF LONG FORECAST Q2 W18 D30 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅Daily order block rejection
✅15’ order block
✅Intraday bullish breaks of structure
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Bullish bounce?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is reacting off the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.8211
1st Support: 0.8114
1st Resistance: 0.8372
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bearish drop?USD/CHF has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8253
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 38,2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8321
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.8135
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 100% Fibonacci projection.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDCHF Daily, H4,H1 Forecasts, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeaMidterm forecast:
0.84000 is a major resistance, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be downtrend.
OANDA:USDCHF
Technical analysis:
A trough is formed in daily chart at 0.80385 on 04/21/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 0.83314 and maximum to Major Resistance (0.84000) is expected.
Take Profits:
0.83314
0.84000
0.85430
0.86286
0.87550
0.89147
0.90367
0.92218
0.94400
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US DOLLAR TO LOOSE THE FIGHT AGAINST THE SWISS FRANC????Good day once again traders on USDCHF we hab=ve a beautiful market structure as you can see the market dipped into our D1 FVG then showed us a bearish market structure shift after breaking the buyside $, combining that with time of day gives us a high propability trade,GOODLUCK!!!
USDCHF: Important Breakout & Bullish Outlook Explained
USDCHF broke and closed above a key daily horizontal resistance area.
The broken structure most likely turned in a strong support.
I expect a bullish continuation from that next week.
Goal - 0.8356
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USD/CHF High-confidence, Trend-Aligned setup. – April 26 2025 1️⃣ Technical Outlook
TF Structure & Momentum Verdict
Weekly (W1) Lower-lows since Jan; bearish OB at 0.8400 caps rallies Bearish
Daily (D1) Clean bearish channel; Friday close < mid-channel Bearish
H4 Consolidation under 0.8335 FVG after liquidity sweep Bearish
Trend-Aligned ✅
2️⃣ Primary Alert Zones (H4)
Zone Price Type Setup Idea
0.8335 – 0.8350 Bearish OB + FVG Break-&-retest short
0.8260 – 0.8250 Weekly swing low TP1 / possible bounce
0.8200 – 0.8180 Liquidity pocket TP2 / extended target
3️⃣ Indicator Snapshot
RSI (H4): 38 → momentum still weak
MACD (D1): below 0, widening histo → bearish pressure
ATR (1 h): ≈ 10 pips (14-period)
Tick Vol (trigger-candle rule): need > 20 % above avg
4️⃣ Fundamental & Sentiment Radar
USD side: Dollar Index 99.25, stabilising after 4-wk slide
Investing.com
CHF side: SNB jawboning risk – talk of curbing CHF strength
Investing.com
Next Red-Flag Events:
FOMC (May 6-7) – full blackout starts Apr 26 00:00 (today)
Home
US ISM Mfg (May 1)
Swiss CPI (May 2)
Net positioning: CFTC shows record CHF longs vs USD → crowded trade (contrarian squeeze risk).
Risk Mood: Equities firm; CHF retains safe-haven bid if risk fades.
5️⃣ Trade Considerations (BEES v2)
Entry Trigger: M15 bearish engulf at 0.8335 OB + volume > 20 %
Rejection Filters: No trade if price < 0.8300 without retest (chase risk)
No-Trade Zone: ±50 pips around 0.8400 HTF resistance unless clean breakout
6️⃣ Risk Management
ATR-based SL: 1.5 × 10 pips ≈ 15 pips
TP Plan:
TP1 0.8260 (≈ 2 R)
TP2 0.8200 (≈ 3 R)
Trail remainder via H1 swing highs
7️⃣ Execution Checklist ✅/❌
HTF trend aligned
Volume surge > 20 % required
Outside 6 h of red-flag release (entry after NY open Mon)
Confidence ≥ High
Price not in No-Trade Zone
8️⃣ Pre-Trade Grading (0–2 each)
Criterion Score
Trend Alignment 2
Confluence Strength 2
Price Behaviour 2
Risk : Reward Quality 2
Event Risk Filtered 1
Total 9 / 10 → Trade Valid
🗺️ Time-Based Volatility Map
Session Expectation
Asia (Sun 17:00-00:00 EST) Likely gap fill, low vol
London (03:00-06:00 EST) Highest probability retest zone
NY (08:00-11:00 EST) USD data spikes; monitor spreads
🧩 Correlation Radar
EUR/CHF also heavy – confirms CHF strength
DXY soft; correlated pairs (USD/CAD, USD/JPY) biased lower
USDCHF STRONG BULLIDH (UPTREND) SCENARIOTrade Setup: BUY
Entry Zone (Buy Price Range):
Between 0.81500 – 0.82500 (ideal pullback or breakout entry range depending on current price action)
Stop Loss (Risk Management):
0.80500
Below recent swing low and key support zone
Take Profit Targets:
Target 1: 0.83700 (near-term resistance or Fibonacci level)
Final Target: 0.85800 (major resistance / long-term objective)
Trade Management Plan:
1. After Entry:
Monitor price action at 0.83000–0.83700.
Consider partial profits at Target 1 and move stop to break even.
2. If Target 1 Hits:
Lock profits and trail stop loss below higher lows for continuation to 0.85800.
3. Exit Plan:
Exit completely if price breaks below 0.80500 with strong bearish momentum.
Bullish bounce?The Swissie (USD/CHF) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.8211
1st Support: 0.8114
1st Resistance: 0.8372
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDCHF Will Move Lower! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for USDCHF.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.826.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.815 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
USD/CHF "SWISSIE" Forex Bank Heist (Day Trade Plan)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the USD/CHF "SWISSIE" Forex Bank Heist. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is to escape near the high-risk Yellow MA Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the Crossing previous high (0.83300) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level for Pullback entries.
📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑: "🔊 Yo, listen up! 🗣️ If you're lookin' to get in on a buy stop order, don't even think about settin' that stop loss till after the breakout 🚀. You feel me? Now, if you're smart, you'll place that stop loss where I told you to 📍, but if you're a rebel, you can put it wherever you like 🤪 - just don't say I didn't warn you ⚠️. You're playin' with fire 🔥, and it's your risk, not mine 👊."
📍 Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing low level Using the 30mins timeframe (0.82200) Day trade basis.
📍 SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 0.84600
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
💰💵💸USD/CHF "SWISSIE" Forex Bank Heist (Day Trade Plan) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors. .☝☝☝
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets... go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗🔗🔗
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰🗞️🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the pullback support.
Pivot: 0.8400
1st Support: 0.8089
1st Resistance: 0.8604
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDCHF Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow Analysis !In this video I will be sharing my USDCHF analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
USD/CHF: Safe-Haven Demand and Weak U.S. Data Weigh on Dollar!The USD/CHF pair is trading in a general downtrend on the 4-hour timeframe, forming consecutively lower lows. The recent declines are attributed to the weakening US dollar amid concerns over tariff-related disruptions and their impact on the US economy. On the other hand, the Swiss franc has seen increased demand as a safe-haven currency, similar to the Japanese yen.
Will the Pair Continue to Decline?
Markets are closely watching this week’s upcoming US employment data, which is highly significant as it will provide insight into how tariffs are affecting the US labor market.
On Tuesday, April 29, 2025, the JOLTS Job Openings report showed a disappointing reading of 7.91M, marking the lowest level since October 2024. Additionally, the Consumer Confidence Index fell to 86 — its weakest level since July 2014!
These figures highlight weakness in the US dollar and suggest a potential continuation of its decline against other currencies.
Technical Outlook for USD/CHF:
On the 4-hour chart, the pair is in a clear downtrend. A rise toward the 0.83052 level increases the likelihood of a renewed decline, continuing the bearish trend and targeting 0.82291 as the first support and 0.81025 as a second, longer-term target.
This bearish scenario would be invalidated on the 4-hour chart if the price breaks above and closes above the 0.83344 level.
Note: Markets are awaiting several key data releases this week that could impact this pair, including:
• ADP Non-Farm Employment Change
• Advance GDP q/q
• Core PCE Price Index m/m
• ISM Manufacturing PMI
• Average Hourly Earnings m/m
• Non-Farm Employment Change
• Unemployment Rate
If growth and employment data disappoint, the US dollar is likely to continue weakening in the short to medium term.
Bullish bounce off overlap support?USD/CHF is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% and the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8258
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 50% and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8226
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.8315
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.