USD/CHF - Triangle Breakout (06.06.2025)The USD/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 0.8263
2nd Resistance – 0.8227
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USDCHF trade ideas
USD/CHF 4H Bearish Setup: FVG Rejection & EMA Resistance Strateg🔵 Chart Structure
🔻 Downtrend Identified
* Lower highs & lower lows forming.
* Resistance line sloping down 📉.
🧲 EMA 70 (0.82387)
* Acting as dynamic resistance 🔴.
* Price currently sitting just below it ⬇️.
💠 FVG (Fair Value Gap) — 0.82441 to 0.83097
* Price expected to fill the imbalance here.
* Confluence with resistance = 🔥 ideal sell zone.
🎯 Trade Plan (Short Setup)
🟦 Entry Point:
* 💥 0.82415
* Just under EMA + inside FVG zone.
🛑 Stop Loss:
* ❌ 0.83110
* Above FVG + above previous high = protected stop.
🎯 Take Profit:
* ✅ 0.80150
* Near prior demand zone + horizontal support.
* Target zone clearly marked in light blue 🧊.
⚖️ Risk-Reward Ratio
🎲 Estimated around 2.5:1 or better.
✅ High reward potential if resistance holds.
⚠️ Caution / Notes
🔎 Watch for bearish confirmation candles 🕯️ at entry zone.
📆 Be aware of economic news that could impact USD or CHF.
🧪 If price closes above 0.83110, setup becomes invalid ❌.
📌 Summary
Element Level Emoji
🔵 Entry 0.82415 💥
🛑 Stop Loss 0.83110 ❌
✅ Take Profit 0.80150 🎯
🔻 Trend Bias Bearish 📉
📐 Tools Used EMA, FVG, Resistance 📊
USD/CHF Setup Breaking Down: Don’t Get Caught Long This TrapUSD/CHF is currently trading at a critical technical and macro-structural juncture. Price is hovering within the weekly support area between 0.8050 and 0.8200, a zone that has historically triggered significant bullish reactions. However, the latest weekly candle closed below the psychological 0.8200 level, showing a clear rejection of upper resistance and signaling a lack of buying strength on the U.S. dollar side. This weak closure undermines the bullish structure and opens the door for a potential continuation of the downtrend—especially if price breaks below the 0.8150 mark on the daily or H4 timeframe.
From a seasonal standpoint, June has historically been a bearish month for USD/CHF. Monthly average returns over the past 20, 15, 10, and 5 years confirm steady downside pressure on the dollar against the Swiss franc. Only the 2-year average shows a slight positive bias, but it remains an outlier against the broader seasonal trend. This supports the idea that the recent weakness is not only technical but also cyclical in nature.
The Commitment of Traders (COT) report reinforces this bearish view. On the Swiss franc side, commercial traders (typically the most informed and hedging-oriented participants) are heavily net long, while non-commercial traders (speculators) remain significantly net short. This imbalance is often seen around reversal points and may indicate rising CHF strength. On the U.S. dollar side, positioning is far more balanced—the Dollar Index COT shows a neutral stance, with non-commercials slightly net long but without any dominant momentum. This confirms there’s currently no structural strength behind the dollar to justify a meaningful rebound in USD/CHF.
Lastly, retail sentiment provides a classic contrarian signal: over 90% of retail traders are long on USD/CHF, with only 10% short. This extreme imbalance typically occurs ahead of bearish breakdowns, as institutional players tend to fade overcrowded retail positions.
In conclusion, USD/CHF remains vulnerable to further downside. The weekly price action is weak, seasonal trends are dollar-negative, COT positioning favors CHF strength, and retail sentiment is extremely long-biased. All factors align toward a likely bearish continuation, with technical targets in the 0.8080–0.8050 range. The only alternative scenario would require a strong H4/H1 bullish reaction with a reclaim of 0.8220—but at this stage, that appears unlikely without a major macro catalyst.
USD/CHF Head and Shoulders Pattern Signals Bearish ReversalThe USD/CHF 4-hour chart shows a clear Head and Shoulders pattern, a classic reversal signal. The Left Shoulder, Head, and Right Shoulder are well-formed, suggesting bearish momentum. The price is currently consolidating below the neckline, indicating a potential breakout to the downside. The Ichimoku cloud confirms resistance above the current price level, adding further bearish bias. If the price breaks below the neckline decisively, a significant downward move is expected.
Entry point: 0.82080
First target: 0.80638
Second target: 0.79500
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USDCHF Primed for Monster Move to 0.92? Here's Why!In today’s video, I break down a potentially strong bullish opportunity on USDCHF and why, with the right entry signal, we might see a solid push up towards 0.88 and eventually 0.92 in the weeks and months ahead.
First off, let's check the monthly chart. In April, price finally broke and closed below the major 0.84 support, a level that held firm since 2011. Below, I've marked the massive buy zone created around the 2011 lows—interestingly, depending on your broker, you’ll notice this zone was tested during the dramatic Swiss franc unpegging event back in 2015 as well.
But here's why I don’t think we’re headed down to retest that monthly zone anytime soon. Zooming into the weekly charts, we clearly see a key weekly buy zone. This was actually the origin point for the massive move up from the 2011 lows to 0.95. This exact weekly level is already proving its significance again, given the strong buying reaction we saw here in May.
Now, zooming further into the daily charts, we had a nice bounce at that weekly buy zone, pushing price back up to retest the previous support at 0.84. If the market truly wanted lower prices, we would've seen a sharp sell-off from there. Instead, price has slowly been grinding lower, forming a clear W double-bottom pattern—a powerful reversal signal.
This all points to higher prices ahead, especially considering USDCHF currently offers one of the most attractive swap carry opportunities due to the interest rate differentials and the SNB’s hints about possibly returning to negative rates to weaken the franc.
Here's my game plan:
Wait patiently for the next bullish daily candle with a clear close above 0.83.
My first target will be the 0.88 area (previous strong resistance and weekly sell zone).
The longer-term target will be around the 0.92 resistance zone.
My stop loss will be placed comfortably below 0.80. Should we spike lower to that level, I'll remain alert for another high-probability bullish entry signal.
Let me know your thoughts below!
USD/CHF..30M chart pattern.Here’s the breakdown of MY USD/CHF Long Trade Setup:
📈 Trade Idea (Long USD/CHF)
Entry: 0.82140
1st Target: 0.82400
2nd Target: 0.82650
Stop Loss: Not specified ⚠️
🧮 Trade Metrics
Target Pips Gain % Gain (Approx)
1st Target +26 pips +0.32%
2nd Target +51 pips +0.62%
⚠️ Risk Consideration:
No stop loss provided — without it, risk/reward can’t be calculated.
A stop loss around 0.8180–0.8190 might make sense depending on recent support levels.
✅ Summary:
Clean setup with small but realistic targets.
Reward-to-risk will likely be favorable if you use a stop below 0.8190.
Would you like help identifying a technical stop loss or creating a table of your full trade plan (including BTC, gold, and USDCHF)?
USD/CHF💰Symbol: { USD/CHF }
🟩Price: { 0.82174 }
🟥Stop: { 0.82385 }
1️⃣profit: { 0.81707 }
2️⃣profit: { 0.81300 }
3️⃣profit: { 0.81000 }
&
🟩Price: { 0.82455 }
🟥Stop: { 0.82936 }
1️⃣profit: { 0.82200 }
2️⃣profit: { 0.81707 }
3️⃣profit: { 0.81300 }
4️⃣profit: { 0.81000 }
📊Check your chart before entering.
🚨Check before use to make sure there is no important news.🚨
USDCHF - Follow The Bears!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈USDCHF has been overall bearish trading within the falling channel marked in orange. And it is currently retesting the upper bound of the channel.
Moreover, the green zone is a strong structure.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper orange trendline and structure.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #USDCHF approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USDCHF Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow Analysis !In this video I will be sharing my USDCHF analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
Could the Swissie bounce from here?The price is reacting off the pivot and could reverse from this level to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.8197
1st Support: 0.8042
1st Resistance: 0.8448
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
UPDATE ON USD/CHF ANALYSISUSD/CHF 30M - Back with an update for you lovely people, as you can see price has traded down and into the Demand Zone I marked out, following the story I created.
For you pre-emptive traders, you may already be in with a pending order, however I am going to wait to see if we can more confirmation before I look to enter.
As we know trading against the overall prevailing trend comes with some risk which is why we need to take extra precautions when we look to buy into this market.
This is the main reason I am waiting for a little more confirmation before entering in long with this market, if you have any questions in the meantime drop me a message or comment below!
Market Analysis: USD/CHF Targets Upside BreakMarket Analysis: USD/CHF Targets Upside Break
USD/CHF is rising and might aim for a move towards the 0.8250 resistance.
Important Takeaways for USD/CHF Analysis Today
- USD/CHF is showing positive signs above the 0.8200 resistance zone.
- There was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at 0.8180 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.
USD/CHF Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of USD/CHF at FXOpen, the pair declined heavily below the 0.8250 level before the bulls appeared. The US Dollar tested 0.8160 and recently started a fresh increase against the Swiss Franc.
The pair climbed above the 0.8200 resistance zone. There was a break above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.8337 swing high to the 0.8157 low. Besides, there was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at 0.8180.
The bulls are now facing resistance near the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.8337 swing high to the 0.8157 low at 0.8250. The next major resistance is 0.8295.
The main resistance is near 0.8335. If there is a clear break above 0.8335 and the RSI remains above 50, the pair could start another increase. In the stated case, it could test 0.8420.
If there is another decline, the pair might test the 0.8200 support. The first major support on the USD/CHF chart is near the 0.8160 zone. A downside break below 0.8160 might spark bearish moves. The next major support is near the 0.8120 pivot level. Any more losses may possibly open the doors for a move towards the 0.8050 level in the near term.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Could the Swissie bounce from here?The price is reacting off the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Pivot: 0.8193
1st Support: 0.8047
1st Resistance: 0.8457
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USD/CHF: Squeeze Risk Builds After Bullish ReversalRisk of a countertrend squeeze in USD/CHF is building after it printed a bullish engulfing candle on Tuesday, breaking out of the falling wedge it had been trading in over recent weeks.
While the price signal alone is bullish, to get excited about the prospect of a meaningful squeeze higher, USD/CHF needs to clear minor resistance overhead at .8246. If it can get a foothold above this level, it would generate a setup where longs could be established with a stop beneath for protection. .8333 looms as a potential target—a known resistance level that also has the key 50-day moving average sitting just above it.
Momentum indicators remain bearish but are starting to turn higher, suggesting the bearish flows that pushed USD/CHF to multi-week lows on Monday may be starting to ebb.
Good luck!
DS
USDCHF H1 I Bullish Bounce Based on the H1 chart analysis, the price is approaching our buy entry level at 0.8185, a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 0.8206, a pullback resistance that aligns closely with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
The stop loss is placed at 0.8156, a swing lows support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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Bearish reversal off 50% Fibonacci resistance?USD/CHF is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8251
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8313
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.8112
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDCHF: Bearish Wave Ahead 🇺🇸🇨🇭
Quick update for USDCHF.
Earlier on Monday, I shared a bearish forecast based on a
confirmed violation of a neckline of a head and shoulders pattern on a daily.
We got quite a deep retest of that and bears finally showed their presence.
I remain bearish bias and expect a bearish continuation soon.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.