USDCHF Will the Downtrend Break or Bounce? Full Trade Plan TodayUSDCHF – Will the Downtrend Break or Bounce? | Full Trade Plan Today 🔥
🌍 Macro Overview
USDCHF remains in a short-term bearish correction, reflecting current macroeconomic uncertainties surrounding US interest rate expectations and safe-haven demand for CHF.
USD is under pressure after softer-than-expected CPI and PPI data last week, increasing speculation that the Fed may cut rates in Q3.
CHF continues to benefit from its safe-haven status amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainty and fragile European growth.
However, the key support around 0.8318 has acted as a major demand zone. If bulls react strongly here, we could see a technical rebound in the short term.
📉 Technical Analysis (H1–H2)
USDCHF is trading within a descending channel, showing lower highs and lower lows.
Price is now testing the lower boundary of the channel around 0.8318, which also aligns with a key liquidity area.
EMAs (13 and 34) still slope downward, but momentum is slowing — a possible signal that sellers are losing strength.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
🔺 Resistance Zones:
0.8395 → Recent swing high & supply zone
0.8459 → Medium-term structural resistance
🔻 Support Zones:
0.8318 → Major confluence zone (channel bottom + demand block)
0.8230 → Final support level before deeper drop
🎯 Trade Setups
✅ Scenario A – Bullish Reversal from Support (Preferred):
Entry (Buy): 0.8318 – 0.8322 (after bullish rejection confirmation)
Stop Loss: 0.8288
Take Profits: 0.8395 → 0.8430 → 0.8459
✅ Scenario B – Bearish Breakdown Below Support:
Entry (Sell): 0.8300 – 0.8310 (only if price closes below 0.8310 on H2)
Stop Loss: 0.8340
Take Profits: 0.8260 → 0.8230 → 0.8200
⚠️ What to Watch Today:
Market may see higher volatility during the US session, especially with housing data (Existing Home Sales) and Fed speakers lined up.
Watch for clean price action around 0.8318 — no need to rush entries until confirmation appears.
This is a reactive market, not a predictive one. Let price speak first.
📌 Follow for real-time market updates and actionable strategies during US trading hours.
USDCHF trade ideas
USDCHF - Bulls Are Almost Ready! Are You?Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈USDCHF has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in blue.
Moreover, the green zone is a strong support and structure!
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of support and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #USDCHF is around the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USDCHF Analysis: Break & Retest or Mean Reversion?Hello traders!
USDCHF is offering two trading scenarios on the daily timeframe.
The first scenario suggests the pair may react bearishly from the resistance zone, setting up a break-and-retest opportunity that could drive price lower toward the 0.80001 area.
The second scenario anticipates a bounce toward the 0.89100 region, where a mean reversion setup may come into play (if sellers step in and price action confirms bearish intent near that resistance).
Discretionary Trading: Where Experience Becomes the Edge
Discretionary trading is all about making decisions based on what you see, what you feel, and what you've learned through experience. Unlike systematic strategies that rely on fixed rules or algorithms, discretionary traders use their judgment to read the market in real time. It's a skill that can't be rushed, because it's built on screen time, pattern recognition, and the ability to stay calm under pressure.
There's no shortcut here. You need to see enough market conditions, wins, and losses to build that intuition—the kind that tells you when to pull the trigger or sit on your hands. Charts might look the same, but context changes everything, and that's something only experience can teach you.
At the end of the day, discretionary trading is an art, refined over time, sharpened through mistakes, and driven by instinct. It's not for everyone, but for those who've put in the work, it can be a powerful way to trade.
USDCHFUSDCHF price is near the support zone 0.83397-0.82745. If the price cannot break through the 0.82745 level, it is expected that the price will rebound. Consider buying the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
❤️ Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!
USD-CHF Will Grow! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
USD-CHF made a retest of
The horizontal support level
Of 0.8318 from where we
Are already seeing a bullish
Rebound so we are locally
Bullish biased and we will
Be expecting a further
Bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bullish bounce off pullback support?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is falling towards the pivot which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which is also a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.8315
1st Support: 0.8213
1st Resistance: 0.8519
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDCHF bullish There's a clear descending triangle with price testing the upper resistance. A breakout is anticipated.
You can enter from FVG (Stop loss 0.83230)or wait a breakout above the triangle, then retest.
We have two targets:
-The distance from the highest point to the support line which will be at 0.8522
-Second target will be swing deal take it on weekly IFVG which will be at 0.87132
Bullish bounce for the Swissie?The price has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8322
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8197
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.8510
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USD/CHF continue with the UptrendOn USD/CHF , it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 0.83160.
There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again.
(FVG) - Fair Value GAP and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade.
Happy trading
Dale
USD/CHF H4 | Falling toward a pullback supportUSD/CHF is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 0.8315 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 0.8175 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 0.8467 which is a swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USDCHF 30min | Fibonacci + Order Block Combo Reversal Setup💵 USDCHF 30-Min Smart Money Breakdown — May 14, 2025
This is a prime example of a multi-confluence reversal trade. Let’s walk through this sniper setup:
🔍 1. Market Structure & Context
Price has been flowing within a solid descending channel
We just witnessed a sharp impulse leg downward, now reacting from a key demand area
Channel bottom + OB + fib = confluence stacker heaven
🧱 2. Zone Confluence
Price taps into a high-probability Order Block (highlighted purple)
Lining up with the 61.8% fib retracement, one of the most powerful golden pockets
Immediate reaction seen with bullish wick rejection — evidence of smart money stepping in
📈 3. Entry Logic
Entry: Around 0.83350
SL: Below 0.83200 (protected under 70.5%)
TP: Near 0.84700
RRR ≈ 1:5+ — perfect for prop firm funded traders or swing-style scalpers
🔁 Management & Outlook
Key confirmation = break above midline channel
Scale out at 0.83700 (50% fib), then trail SL for runners
If price rolls back under 0.83200, it may seek the 79% or deeper liquidity zone
💡This type of setup is what separates reactive traders from anticipatory Smart Money traders. You’re not chasing—you're waiting in the kill zone.
💬 Comment “🔥” if you’d take this setup.
🔁 Repost if you love OB + Fib sniper logic.
📲 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for next-level breakdowns.
USDCHF - it has been a while. Team, as mentioned, I do not trade forex much, but when I do, we must kill them. In other words, we must focus on a high chance of winning ratio before we trade.
We are back in business again.it has been a while; please ensure we are within target ranges and take profit 40%-70% at the first target and bring stop loss to BE; the rest are the second target if you wish
USDCHF Premium Tap into Order Block🚨 USDCHF Smart Money Setup Unfolding – One Shot, One Kill Opportunity
Here’s why this setup is packed with confluence and how Smart Money might be laying the perfect trap before a big drop...
🧠 Structure Breakdown:
We’re currently seeing a textbook retracement into premium pricing after a clear bearish move, and Smart Money seems ready to strike again.
✅ Swing High to Low Fib Analysis
We’ve pulled from the most recent swing high to the swing low — and price is now retracing into the 61.8%–79% golden zone. That’s classic territory for Smart Money to reposition short.
📍 Premium Trap Zone:
Between 0.8375 and 0.8395, we’re stacking multiple confluences:
Fib Golden Zone (61.8% – 79%)
Bearish Order Block
Strong High (Liquidity Pool)
Diagonal Trendline Resistance
Break of structure beneath current price
Price action is walking up cleanly, likely to attract late longs — but we know better. This is liquidity engineering at its finest. 📊
🧱 Smart Money Zones:
🔲 Order Block (OB) at ~0.8380–0.8395)
This OB aligns beautifully with 79% fib retracement and sits right below a Strong High — where liquidity is waiting to get grabbed.
🎯 Entry Logic:
Wait for a tap + bearish rejection candle inside the OB.
Set stop loss just above the Strong High.
Ride the momentum back down toward discount zones.
🎯 Target Zones:
TP1: Back to 0% fib level (~0.8325)
TP2: Extension to -27% fib (~0.8295)
TP3 (if momentum flows): Sub 0.8280 levels
This setup offers a clean 1:3+ RRR with sniper-level precision. Low risk, high reward — exactly what we love!
🧘♂️ Psychology of This Move:
Smart Money creates the illusion of bullish strength to:
Lure breakout traders above the high.
Fill institutional sell orders inside the OB.
Sweep weak lows after rebalancing inefficiencies.
This is not a random pullback — it’s a calculated liquidity sweep before expansion. 🚀
⚡ Game Plan:
✅ Wait for price to reach premium zone
✅ Look for rejection (engulfing or SMC candle confirmation)
✅ Enter with SL above high
✅ Take partials at equilibrium and trail to discount
✅ Don’t rush — let price come to you 💎
🧨 Risk Management Tip:
This is a surgical setup — you don’t need to overleverage to win.
Let the chart do the heavy lifting. Stick to 1–2% risk and let the RRR carry the profit.
✍️ In Summary:
USDCHF is retracing into a major premium zone packed with Smart Money confluence — Order Block, Fib, BOS, liquidity, and trendline resistance.
This could be one of the cleanest bearish setups this week if you stay patient and time it right.
🗣️ Drop "USDCHF READY" in the comments if you're planning to catch this setup!
📲 Tag your trading partner and don’t let them miss this sniper entry!
Bearish drop?The Swissie (USD/CHF) has broken out of the support level which has been identified as a pullback support and could drop to the 61.8% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 0.8311
1st Support: 0.8199
1st Resistance: 0.8391
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.