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U.S. Dollar / Swiss Franc

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USDCHF trade ideas

USDCHF: Technicals Meet Diverging Dollar-Franc FundamentalsHey Traders! In today’s trading session, we’re closely monitoring USD/CHF for a potential buying opportunity around the 0.88400 zone. Currently, USD/CHF is trading in an uptrend, but it’s in a correction phase and approaching the 0.88400 support and resistance area—a key level that could offer an entry point aligned with the ongoing trend. Fundamental Insights: USD Strength vs. CHF Weakness From a fundamental perspective, we’re seeing diverging influences on USD and CHF. A Trump victory could boost the dollar, as it may reintroduce inflationary pressures, paving the way for potential rate hikes and a stronger dollar outlook. In contrast, the Swiss franc may continue to soften, as the Swiss National Bank remains committed to a dovish stance, keeping monetary policy highly accommodative. If these fundamentals align, USD/CHF could see upward momentum, with 0.88400 as a critical support level for this potential move. Trade safe, Joe
Long
by JoeChampion
11
USD/CHF: Bulls Back in the Driver’s Seat? Pattern Breakdown This chart is just showing off with all the head-and-shoulders patterns. We had a couple of textbook setups earlier in the year that gave us clean breakdowns, and now? We’ve got an inverted head-and-shoulders at the bottom. Translation: USD/CHF is hinting that it’s tired of going down and might be ready for a serious comeback. The Old School H&S Patterns: Back in early and mid-2024, we had two solid head-and-shoulders setups that screamed bearish. Price cracked those necklines, and down it went. Easy plays for the bears back then. 👇 Current Inverted Head-and-Shoulders: Now here’s the kicker – we’ve got an inverted H&S at the bottom. This is basically the market flipping the script and saying, “Time to go north.” It already broke the neckline, and USD/CHF is looking like it’s ready to rally hard. 📈💪 Target Zones 🎯 So where are we aiming if this thing keeps running? Here’s the roadmap: Target 1 – 0.9000: This is the first pit stop, and we’re almost there. 0.9000 is a big psychological level and a spot where sellers might try to slow things down. If it clears this, we’re talking serious upside potential. Target 2 – 0.9200: If the bulls keep charging past 0.9000, the next level to watch is 0.9200. Previous highs, solid resistance – this is where things get interesting. Stretch Target – 0.9350: Now, if we’re looking at a full-on reversal rally, 0.9350 is the ultimate bull target. It’s a strong level where sellers are likely to show up, but if USD/CHF makes it here, that’s a big statement for the bulls. 🐂🚀 RSI – Overbought but Still Kicking 💥 Right now, RSI is sitting around 72 – technically overbought. But here’s the thing: in breakout mode, overbought just means momentum’s hot. Could we see a little pullback? Sure. But that doesn’t mean the trend is done – it just means the bulls might need a breather. The Playbook 📝 Entry Point: Look for a pullback toward the neckline around 0.8750 as a potential buy entry. If it retests and holds, that’s a prime spot to jump in. Stop-Loss: Place it below the right shoulder at 0.8600. If it drops back there, we’re re-evaluating this setup. Take Profits: TP1: 0.9000 – first resistance. TP2: 0.9200 – next major level. TP3: 0.9350 – stretch goal if the bulls really want to flex. Bottom Line We’ve got an inverted head-and-shoulders that’s already broken out, signaling that USD/CHF might be ready for a comeback. Targets are 0.9000, 0.9200, and the big 0.9350 if momentum stays strong. RSI might be overbought, but that’s just saying the bulls have some energy. This could be a sweet ride if USD/CHF keeps pushing, so let’s keep an eye on those levels and see if the bulls deliver. 👊
Long
by EdgeDotForex
3
USD/CHF Top-Down Analysis and Weekly Outlook1. Chart Phases and Wyckoff Elements Phase A (Accumulation and Distribution): This is marked in two key areas: Phase A Accumulation (at the bottom left): Indicates the initial formation of the price bottom after a downtrend. Phase A Distribution (at the top right): Indicates the potential for price topping before a reversal. Key Wyckoff concepts in Accumulation: SC (Selling Climax): The lowest point in the accumulation, showing strong selling followed by buying support. AR (Automatic Rally): A sharp bounce indicating the end of panic selling. ST (Secondary Test): Price retests previous lows to confirm strength. Phase B and Phase C: Phase B: Represents the price consolidation and preparation for the next trend direction. Phase C: Tests the strength of the support/resistance and prepares for the breakout in the new trend. 2. Elliott Wave Annotations Wave Count: The chart includes Elliott Wave labeling, showing the progression through Wave (i), (ii), (iii), (iv), (v). This represents the impulse wave structure, typically seen in a trending market. Wave 3 (0.89243): The critical third wave that must not be invalidated, as it would disrupt the Elliott structure. This is marked by the line labeled “INVALIDATION FOR WAVE 3”. Fibonacci Relationships: Several Fibonacci levels are referenced: 2.618 (0.88570): This suggests an extension level for Wave 3. 0.618 and 0.5 retracements: These indicate potential support or invalidation zones (e.g., 0.86657 at Wave 4). 0.382 (0.87179): Common retracement level within a corrective wave structure. 3. Volume Profile and Points of Control (POC) POC Zones (Point of Control): POC (3): Indicates a high-volume node where price consolidation occurred. This is an important area to watch for support/resistance transitions. Volume Nodes: These areas (shown with horizontal bars) represent where significant buying or selling occurred, which traders often use as benchmarks for future support/resistance. 4. Price Key Levels Key Price Levels: Support Line (AR Distribution): Found around 0.88121 in the upper-right section. Resistance Lines: 0.88770: A resistance level labeled as BC Distribution. 0.89168: Another resistance level at the apex of the distribution. Other Critical Levels: 0.83700: Marked as an “Invalidation Point” at the lower boundary, indicating where bullish scenarios are no longer valid. 0.86657: A potential stop-loss level mentioned within the Wave 4 corrective phase. 5. CHoCH, MSS, and OB Terms CHoCH (Change of Character): Found in the Phase B Accumulation zone, suggesting a potential trend reversal as the market transitions from a downtrend to an uptrend. MSS (Market Structure Shift): Similar to CHoCH, but specific to market structure breaking above key levels, confirming bullish momentum. OB (Order Block): Bullish OB (Potential Support): Found around 0.86551, indicating a high-probability area for price to react and potentially reverse upward. 6. Forecast Arrows and Future Price Paths Projected Price Movement: The red and gray arrows on the right predict potential paths: A corrective move down to test lower levels (e.g., Wave 4 zones like 0.87116). A final move upward to complete Wave 5 (above 0.89243). 7. Actionable Insights Invalidation Points: If the price moves below 0.83700, the bullish Elliott Wave structure would be invalidated. For Wave 4, a retracement below 0.618 (0.85949) could disrupt the bullish count. Possible Entries/Exits: Entry Zone: Around 0.86551 (Bullish OB). Target Levels: 0.88570 (Wave 3 extension), with further potential to 0.89168 (Wave 5 completion). 8. Key Takeaways Accumulation (left) is transitioning into markup, while distribution (right) might signal an eventual top. Use the Fibonacci levels for clear entry/exit setups, particularly: Long entries near 0.86657 or 0.86551 (OB/POC). Target profit levels at 0.87751 (Wave 4) and 0.89168 (Wave 5).
Short
by spacedevil
1
#002 DCA USDCHFI have entered on USDCHF with all my units at 100. However, even though the pip size and the value per spread isn't the same. I am thinking that 100 units is not 100 units of my account's currency, but rather, it is a measurement of the US currency. I did a check online to see if the conversion rate is correct or not, and it is slightly misaligned. but it is ok. I think the 100 units input in the order column is representation of USD and not the account's currency. Besides that seemingly small issue, I have set other buy limit orders as shown on the chart for when price comes to those levels I will buy more. Thinking in Navin's Pryani's words (I think I butchered his name), we are agents. If people want something, we give it to them. I recall the Chinese guy selling luxury watches and introduces sports cars in Singapore on his tiktok account @solitaire.renyi He did a skit on branded watches in 2021 vs 2024, where in 2021 when the watch prices were sky high, he can afford to leave his customer hanging when they have too much requests for freebies and haggling of prices, however, in 2024, when the rolex prices collapsed, he even have to throw in freebies. The ridiculously lowered prices were "too high", the clients said, in a bid to lower the prices even more, and RenYi has to give in. (in the skit). We are just like watch sellers, whatever the customer wants, we give it to them, as long as the customers can match our market prices, or if we could match theirs. So, if the sellers wanna sell off their USD, we buy them. If the demand for USD rises, and it has reached a certain price in our heart which we wanna exit for, we sell. Other agents WILL buy over our products. Of course, it all depends on the market prices, and matching of prices due to market conditions. 1028SGT 15112024
Long
by ProfessionalDuckHunter
2
USDCHF H1 | Bearish reaction off 38.2%?Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 0.8861, which is a pullback resistance and a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit will be at 0.8807, an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibo retracement. The stop loss will be at 0.8908, a multi-swing high resistance level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
1
USD/CHF ShortTechnical: 1. Overbought (like your Black Friday wishlist) USD on RSI and oscillating indicators, also known as "oscillators". 2. Price near long term support/resistance line, also know as "line". You didn't know that. 3. hourly and 4 hourly candles confirmed red. Very romantically. Fundamental: 1. USD exhaustion after the frenzy, post America becoming great again, again. 2. Yesterday, Jerry Powel signalling no changes to rates near term. "No rush to cut interest rates". 3. No changes to Swiss interest rates until Dec/12. Next US Fed on Dec/18. The likely cut on the 12th likely to add bearish pressure on USD/CHF. So for now, we choose the bear. Sentimental: Myfxbook is +75% short on USD/CHF. Everything they say on myfxbook is 100% accurate. Some might even call it the gospel. Potentially...could be very wrong, we don't know: Entry: Sell 0.8900 Stop Loss: 0.8950 Take Profit: 0.8800 Carrot to stick ratio: 2 to 1, like a Lisa Ann movie Trading isn’t gambling—unless you’re losing, then it’s data collection. *This is NOT an investment advise. Only created for entertainment
Short
by MrSorenzo
2
Bearish drop?The Swissie (USD/CHF) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support. Pivot: 0.8917 1st Support: 0.8824 1st Resistance: 0.8991 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
Bearish reversal?USD/CHF is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 50% Fibonacci support. Pivot: 0.8828 1st Support: 0.8772 1st Resistance: 0.8871 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
USDCHF H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is currently at our sell entry at 0.8870, an overlap resistance close to 61.8% Fibonacci projection. Our take profit will be at 0.8773, a pullback support. The stop loss will be placed at 0.8947, which is a pullback resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
USDCHF → Realization and distribution phase. Target 0.900FX:USDCHF comes out of accumulation and changes the market phase to realization phase. On the background of the dollar growth, the reason for which is mainly the excitement about the presidential election in the U.S., the currency pair also has a potential for growth On D1, buyers are forming a bottom and a strong reversal base, indicating the potential and further interests. The zones of interest, in our case, can serve as areas of local highs, behind which there is a liquidity zone and money, to which the MM is directed.... Technically, in the European session the price is breaking the resistance of local accumulation. The emphasis is on 0.8774. If the bulls hold the defense above this zone, we should expect a continuation of growth in the short to medium term. Resistance levels: 0.887, 0.892 Support levels: 0.8774, 0.8748, 0.871 Accordingly, the key support at the moment is 0.8774 and it is from it we expect the continuation of growth. Formation of a false breakout is not excluded. In this case, after correction to the local 0.8748, the growth may continue Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:USDCHF ;) Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
13