#USDCHF: Will USD Breakthrough The Strong Bearish Downtrend? The USDCHF currency pair has experienced significant volatility due to the ongoing trade dispute between the United States and China, which has led to a substantial decline in the DXY index. Consequently, CHF and JPY have emerged as the most stable currencies in the market.
Despite the USDCHF currency pair reversing its bullish trend, we anticipate a potential reversal back to a bearish position. We believe this reversal may be a temporary trap, and the currency pair is likely to regain its bullish position in the future.
There are two potential areas where the USDCHF currency pair could reverse from its current trend. The first area is relatively early, and if the USDCHF currency pair crosses a specific region, we may have a second safe option that could provide greater stability.
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USDCHF trade ideas
USD/CHF Bullish Setup Using ICT Strategy (1D Chart)
This is a bullish trading idea on the USD/CHF daily chart, based on the Inner Circle Trader (ICT) methodology, which focuses on how institutional traders move the market.
Market Structure Shift (eMSS): In mid-April, the price broke above a previous high, creating an External Market Structure Shift (eMSS). This signals a potential change from a downtrend to an uptrend, as the market shows bullish intent by taking out a key resistance level.
Liquidity Sweep (S): Before the eMSS, the price dipped below a prior low, likely to grab liquidity by triggering stop-loss orders of sellers. This "sweep" is a common ICT concept where the market hunts for liquidity before reversing in the intended direction.
Order Block (Demand Zone): After the eMSS, the price consolidated in a shaded area, which acts as a demand zone or order block. This is where institutional buyers likely placed their orders. ICT teaches us to look for entries in these zones, as they often lead to strong price reactions.
Breakout and Target: The price broke above the order block, confirming the bullish setup. The target is set around 0.8400, where there might be another liquidity pool (like buy stops above previous highs). This aligns with ICT’s idea of targeting areas where the market is likely to move to collect more orders.
USDCHF I Intraday Long Opportunity from Support Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** USDCHF Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
USDCHF LONG FORECAST Q2 W18 D30 Y25USDCHF LONG FORECAST Q2 W18 D30 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅Daily order block rejection
✅15’ order block
✅Intraday bullish breaks of structure
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Trump's latest tariff announcement weakens the dollar🔔🔔🔔 USD/CHF news:
➡️ US President Donald Trump on Sunday announced a 100% tax on films produced outside the country. A move to reimpose tariffs by President D. Trump. This move, once again raised concerns about the Trump administration's tariff policy. At the same time, the uncertain context of potential trade agreements between the United States and its trading partners has not been completed, causing the USD bulls to decrease. The US dollar fell again amid trade uncertainty and repositioning before the Fed.
Personal opinion:
➡️ The trade agreements are still uncertain and it is positive only at the level of cooling down between the parties involved, causing the USD to decrease.
➡️ Analysis based on important support resistance and Fibonacci levels combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell USD/CHF 0.8256 - 0.8270
❌SL: 0.8296 | ✅TP: 0.8200
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
USDCHF LONG FORECAST Q2 W19 D6 Y25USDCHF LONG FORECAST Q2 W19 D6 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅Daily order block rejection
✅15’ order block
✅Intraday bullish breaks of structure
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Bullish bounce?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is reacting off the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.8211
1st Support: 0.8114
1st Resistance: 0.8372
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USDCHF Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow Analysis !In this video I will be sharing my USDCHF analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
Potential bearish drop?USD/CHF has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8253
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 38,2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8321
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.8135
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 100% Fibonacci projection.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDCHF STRONG BULLIDH (UPTREND) SCENARIOTrade Setup: BUY
Entry Zone (Buy Price Range):
Between 0.81500 – 0.82500 (ideal pullback or breakout entry range depending on current price action)
Stop Loss (Risk Management):
0.80500
Below recent swing low and key support zone
Take Profit Targets:
Target 1: 0.83700 (near-term resistance or Fibonacci level)
Final Target: 0.85800 (major resistance / long-term objective)
Trade Management Plan:
1. After Entry:
Monitor price action at 0.83000–0.83700.
Consider partial profits at Target 1 and move stop to break even.
2. If Target 1 Hits:
Lock profits and trail stop loss below higher lows for continuation to 0.85800.
3. Exit Plan:
Exit completely if price breaks below 0.80500 with strong bearish momentum.
USDCHF Will Move Lower! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for USDCHF.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.826.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.815 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USD/CHF: Safe-Haven Demand and Weak U.S. Data Weigh on Dollar!The USD/CHF pair is trading in a general downtrend on the 4-hour timeframe, forming consecutively lower lows. The recent declines are attributed to the weakening US dollar amid concerns over tariff-related disruptions and their impact on the US economy. On the other hand, the Swiss franc has seen increased demand as a safe-haven currency, similar to the Japanese yen.
Will the Pair Continue to Decline?
Markets are closely watching this week’s upcoming US employment data, which is highly significant as it will provide insight into how tariffs are affecting the US labor market.
On Tuesday, April 29, 2025, the JOLTS Job Openings report showed a disappointing reading of 7.91M, marking the lowest level since October 2024. Additionally, the Consumer Confidence Index fell to 86 — its weakest level since July 2014!
These figures highlight weakness in the US dollar and suggest a potential continuation of its decline against other currencies.
Technical Outlook for USD/CHF:
On the 4-hour chart, the pair is in a clear downtrend. A rise toward the 0.83052 level increases the likelihood of a renewed decline, continuing the bearish trend and targeting 0.82291 as the first support and 0.81025 as a second, longer-term target.
This bearish scenario would be invalidated on the 4-hour chart if the price breaks above and closes above the 0.83344 level.
Note: Markets are awaiting several key data releases this week that could impact this pair, including:
• ADP Non-Farm Employment Change
• Advance GDP q/q
• Core PCE Price Index m/m
• ISM Manufacturing PMI
• Average Hourly Earnings m/m
• Non-Farm Employment Change
• Unemployment Rate
If growth and employment data disappoint, the US dollar is likely to continue weakening in the short to medium term.
USDCHF H4 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 0.8111, a pullback support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 0.8236, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 0.8037, a swing low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Bullish bounce off overlap support?USD/CHF is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% and the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8258
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 50% and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8226
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.8315
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish drop?USD/CHF is reacting to a resistance level, which is a pullback resistance aligning with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, and could decline from this level toward our take-profit target.
Entry: 0.8279
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8313
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.8226
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDCHF H1 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H1chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 0.8268, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit is set at 0.8194, an overlap support.
The stop loss is set at 0.8334, a swing high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USD/CHF After 14-Year Consolidation | Reversal RSI Bullish DVG!
USD/CHF Reversal Expected After 14-Year Consolidation (2011–2025) with RSI Bullish Divergence – Targeting 1980 Pips
The USD/CHF monthly chart reflects a potential **trend reversal** following a prolonged consolidation phase from 2011 to 2025**, lasting over 14 years. Throughout this period, the pair remained range-bound, reflecting market indecision. Recently, a **bullish RSI divergence** has emerged — while price made lower lows, the RSI showed higher lows — indicating weakening bearish momentum and a likely shift toward the upside.
The expected reversal projects a move of approximately **1,980 pips**, based on the width of the consolidation zone.
**Key Technical Highlights:**
* **RSI bullish divergence** signals trend exhaustion and reversal potential.
* **Volume pickup** aligns with strengthening bullish sentiment.
* Resistance zones to monitor: **0.8498, 0.8759, 0.8803**.
This is a classic example of a long-term reversal setup where RSI divergence plays a critical role in forecasting directional change after extended consolidation.