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U.S. Dollar / Swiss Franc

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USDCHF trade ideas

USDCHF.. MINE TARGET BUY>>The proposed USDCHF trade idea presents a logical technical setup, but several factors should be considered before confirmation: ### *Technical Rationale* 1. *Bollinger Bands*: The bounce from the lower band suggests potential oversold conditions, but confirmation above 0.8820 (likely a key resistance-turned-support) is critical to validate bullish momentum. 2. *Stochastic Oscillator*: Exiting oversold signals weakening downward momentum, though this alone isn’t sufficient—watch for a bullish crossover (e.g., %K > %D). 3. *Support Level*: The "critical support" likely aligns with recent swing lows or a psychological level. A strong bounce here adds credibility. ### *Key Considerations* - *Trend Context*: - If USDCHF is in a broader downtrend (e.g., driven by CHF strength or USD weakness), this bounce may be a short-lived retracement. - A break above 0.8820 could signal a near-term reversal, especially if paired with rising volume and bullish candlestick patterns (e.g., engulfing bars). - *Confluence*: - Look for alignment with RSI (>50), MACD histogram turning positive, or momentum divergences. - Monitor risk sentiment—CHF often strengthens during market turmoil, which could cap gains. ### *Risk Management* - *Entry/Stop*: - A conservative stop loss (e.g., below 0.8880) limits risk to ~300 pips. - Ensure a risk-reward ratio ≥ 1:2 (targets at 800/1300 pips). - *Confirmation*: - Wait for a close above 0.8820 with strong bullish follow-through to avoid false breaks. ### *Conclusion* The setup is plausible *if*: - Price consolidates above 0.8820 with bullish confirmation signals. - The broader market context (e.g., USD momentum, risk sentiment) supports upside. *Verdict*: Cautiously agree, but traders should wait for clear confirmation and manage risk tightly. 👍 with disciplined execution.
Long
by Algo_Trading_Mql5
USDCHF to find sellers at market price?USDCHF - 24h expiry There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end. 20 4hour EMA is at 0.8816. Bespoke resistance is located at 0.8800. Our outlook is bearish. The weaker US dollar has boosted performance. We look to Sell at 0.8803 (stop at 0.8843) Our profit targets will be 0.8703 and 0.8683 Resistance: 0.8811 / 0.8830 / 0.8845 Support: 0.8765 / 0.8740 / 0.8720 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
USD/CHF BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG Hello, Friends! We are going long on the USD/CHF with the target of 0.895 level, because the pair is oversold and will soon hit the support line below. We deduced the oversold condition from the price being near to the lower BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is red and gives us a counter-signal. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Long
by EliteTradingSignals
1
UPDATE ON USD/CHF TRADEUSD/CHF 15M - As you can see price is playing out well up to now, we are seeing that price is respecting these areas of Demand and price is trading higher from them. As we are respecting these areas and new highs are being created it further backs our analysis and running trade to take this market long. This trade was placed based on a BOS to the upside and price respecting these areas. This trade is running + 35 pips. (+ 2%) 2RR It is important that you are all managing your trades correctly and you are taking partials throughout your position. You could also look to apply further safety measures. A big well done to anyone who got involved in this position, if you have any questions with regards to the analysis or the trade itself then drop me a message or comment below!
Long
by Lukegforex
USD/CHF Trading Trend Today - Is the Downtrend Continuing?🔔🔔🔔 USD/CHF news: 👉The February labor market report in the US closely matched expectations, with job growth reaching 151K (forecast: +160K, previous: +143K). Despite the recent layoff of 30,000 public sector workers and a decline in labor supply due to stricter immigration policies set for this summer, employment gains remain solid. The unemployment rate inched up to 4.1% in February from 4.0% in January. Overall, the report did not indicate immediate risks of recession or economic overheating, although other indicators have recently suggested a gradual softening of the US economy. 👉On the geopolitical front, Trump has proposed the possibility of imposing significant new US sanctions and tariffs on Russia to push for peace negotiations regarding Ukraine. Meanwhile, US and Ukrainian officials are set to meet in Saudi Arabia this week, with hopes that these discussions will yield better results than President Zelenskyy's recent visit to the White House, which led to the US halting military aid and intelligence support for Kyiv. Personal opinion: 👉In the long term, President Trump's tariff policy still poses many risks and has a negative impact on the USD 👉Technically, the RSI indicator in most frames has entered the oversold zone and is showing signs of convergence. This signals a short-term upward correction for this currency pair 👉At the same time, DXY is also recovering in an upward direction after meeting a strong support level today Analysis: 👉Based on SMA and important resistance - support levels combined with pivot points standard to come up with a suitable strategy 🔆 Price Zone Setup: 👉Sell USD/CHF 0.8860 - 0.8870 ❌SL: 0.8905 | ✅TP: 0.8820 - 0.8780 - 0.8740 - 0.8700 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Short
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
USD/CHF Short Trade Setup📉 Bearish Outlook on USD/CHF – Here's Why I'm Going Short! 📉 🔎 Fundamental Analysis: Swiss Franc's Safe-Haven Appeal: Despite recent rate cuts by the Swiss National Bank (SNB), the Swiss franc continues to attract investors seeking stability amid global uncertainties. SNB Chairman Martin Schlegel emphasized that the franc is likely to remain a safe-haven currency. ​ marketwatch.com Reuters SNB's Monetary Policy: The SNB's recent 50 basis point rate cut to 0.5% was a proactive measure to address low inflation and prevent excessive franc appreciation. This move indicates the SNB's commitment to maintaining economic stability. ​ US Dollar Dynamics: The US dollar has been under pressure due to shifting Federal Reserve policies and economic data suggesting a potential slowdown. This environment may lead to further USD depreciation against the CHF.​ 📊 Technical Analysis: Downtrend Confirmation: USD/CHF has been on a consistent downtrend, breaking below key support levels. ​ actionforex.com Bearish Trendline: A prominent bearish trend line is forming with resistance at 0.8825 on the 4-hour chart, indicating sustained selling pressure. ​ actionforex.com Moving Averages: The pair is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, reinforcing the bearish momentum.
Short
by FaithdrivenTrades
Decision timeUSDCHF Multi-Timeframe Analysis Daily Chart Observations: ✅ Trend Still Bearish – No significant shift in structure. ✅ Price Holding Below Rejection Zone – No break above yet. ✅ MACD Still Bearish – No sign of reversal on the daily yet. 4H Chart Observations: ✅ Short-Term Push Up – Price attempting to re-enter downtrend channel. ⚠️ Will It Break or Reject? – Price at critical decision point. ⚠️ MACD Starting to Flatten – Upside momentum slowing down. 1H Chart Observations: ⚠️ Losing Momentum at Resistance – Struggling to push higher. ✅ Potential Rejection Area – Confluence with trendline & moving averages. ⚠️ MACD Histogram Shrinking – Weakening bullish pressure. ⸻ Key Trading Decision: Break or Rejection? Scenario 1: Price Breaks Above Downtrend Channel → Look for Buys • If 1H closes above trendline with strong volume, the move up may continue. • Target 0.88500 - 0.89000 for a short-term retracement. Scenario 2: Price Rejects and Bounces Down → Look for Sells • If 1H closes with strong rejection wicks, this confirms a fake-out. • Look for M5 or M15 bearish confirmation to enter short. • Target a move back toward 0.87700 - 0.87500 zone.
by AutoMarkets
USD/CHF Short Setup – Institutional Flow & Liquidity TargetsUSD/CHF is setting up for a bearish move, with confluence from technical structure, order flow, and fundamental events. Here’s a complete breakdown of the setup, execution plan, and institutional positioning. 📊 Trade Execution & Technical Breakdown 🔹 Entry Zone: Price rejected from the 0.8786 - 0.8794 supply zone, aligning with 0.62 - 0.79 Fibonacci retracement levels. 🔹 Confluences: ✅ Bearish trend continuation – Lower highs forming. ✅ Liquidity grab above minor resistance, suggesting smart money distribution. ✅ Break & retest structure confirms potential downside. 🔹 Target Zones: 📉 First target: 0.8767 (previous low & liquidity area). 📉 Final target: 0.8750 (-0.62 Fibonacci extension). 📌 Market Structure: Higher timeframe bearish bias remains intact. Supertrend (4H) signals continued downside. EMA alignment (1D) confirms selling pressure. 🏦 Institutional Positioning & Market Sentiment 📌 Commitment of Traders (COT) Report Insights: 📈 USD: Institutional long positions declining, indicating potential USD weakness. 📉 CHF: Increased net short positioning, suggesting institutional flow favoring CHF strength. 📌 Liquidity & Order Flow Data: Market depth shows heavy short positioning near resistance. Volume profile indicates a lack of demand above 0.8780, confirming weak bullish momentum. ⚡ Fundamental Drivers – Key News Events 📊 Macroeconomic Data Impacting USD/CHF: 📌 Employment Trends Index (108.35) – USD strength limited. 📌 T-Bill Auction & Treasury Buyback – Potential liquidity shifts affecting risk sentiment. 📌 Fed’s Beige Book & Policy Outlook – Key for USD direction. 🛑 Impact on Trade: ✔️ USD uncertainty fuels risk-off flows into CHF. ✔️ Short-term retracement provides an ideal short entry before further downside. 📈 Volatility & Liquidity Insights 📌 Prime Market Terminal Data: ATR shows increased volatility, supporting large price swings. Institutional short positioning rising, indicating strong bearish control. DMX data suggests liquidity buildup below 0.8760. 🔥 Conclusion – High-Probability Short Setup ✅ Bearish trend structure aligns with institutional positioning. ✅ Liquidity grab above resistance confirms distribution phase. ✅ Confluence of technicals, fundamentals, and order flow supports downside movement. 📌 Short Bias: Targeting 0.8767 → 0.8750. 📌 Key Invalidations: A break above 0.8800 could shift sentiment. 💬 What’s your take on USD/CHF? Let me know in the comments! 🚀📉
Short
by LDForex_
USDCHF Key Trading Level to watch at 0.8865The USD/CHF currency pair is currently exhibiting a bearish sentiment, as evidenced by the loss of the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The key trading level to watch is 0.8865, which represents the current intraday swing low and the falling resistance trendline level. Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to break above the 0.8865 level and faces a bearish rejection, it could trigger a downside move targeting the support levels at: 0.8735 - Initial downside support 0.8700 - Secondary support level 0.8600 - Longer-term support Bullish Scenario: Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above the 0.8865 resistance level, followed by a daily close above that point, would negate the bearish outlook. This scenario could open the path for further rallies, targeting: 0.8918 - Immediate resistance level 0.8965 - Next potential resistance level Conclusion: Traders should closely monitor the 0.8865 level for directional clues. A rejection from this level would favor short positions targeting lower support zones, while a breakout and daily close above would support long positions aiming for higher resistance levels. Proper risk management and trend confirmation are crucial for successful trading in this volatile environment. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
super R:R Bullish Thesis for USD/CHFSNB reduced its policy rate by 50 BIPS As US introduced new tariffs on multiple countries BOA adviced US CORPs to increase their Hedges which all Translates to a Bullish outlook for USDCHF. simple ADR calculations for the last 5 yrs deduces to the TP i marked. if you read down this far , i am trying to make a signal service please let me know if i should elaborate like a blog story or keep the analysis short and straight to the point like this. feel free to reach out.
Long
by Drsamc
USD/CHF trend todayUSD/CHF news: 👉The USD/CHF pair continues its recovery from the mid-0.8800s—its lowest level since December 12—gaining upward momentum for the second consecutive day on Thursday. During the Asian session, spot prices climb back above the 0.8900 level, although the upward movement remains limited due to ongoing bearish sentiment surrounding the US Dollar (USD). 👉The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the USD against a basket of major currencies, has dropped to a four-month low amid growing expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will implement multiple interest rate cuts this year. These expectations were reinforced by Wednesday's weak ADP report, which revealed that private-sector employers added only 77K jobs in February. Additionally, concerns persist that trade tariffs imposed by US President Donald Trump could significantly slow the US economy, further weighing on the dollar. 👉However, a notable rebound in US Treasury bond yields helps further curb USD declines. Additionally, the risk-on sentiment in equity markets weakens demand for the safe-haven Swiss Franc (CHF), offering some support to the USD/CHF pair. Nonetheless, traders may wait for stronger buying momentum before confirming a near-term bottom and anticipating further gains. Many may also remain cautious ahead of Friday’s release of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. Personal opinion: 👉USD/CHF will reverse lower after the bullish momentum gradually weakens and is replaced by less positive economic news for the USD. Analysis: 👉Rely on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: 🔆 Price Zone Setup: 👉Sell USD/CHF 0.8920 – 0.8930 ❌SL: 0.88960 | ✅TP: 0.8860 – 0.8820 – 0.8770 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Short
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
USDCHF road map !!!I believe that if we look at the past prices, we will realize that the price may form a head and shoulders pattern and reach the desired supports. Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Short
by CobraVanguard
2