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U.S. Dollar / Swiss Franc

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USDCHF trade ideas

USDCHF: Bullish Trend Holds Firm Amid SNB's Aggressive Rate CutThere's been minimal follow-through on USDCHF's bullish push this morning after the Swiss National Bank cut rates by 50 basis points instead of the expected 25. The limited reaction is due to the SNB's preemptive approach. They are aggressively cutting rates because inflation is at 0.7%, and with the new rate at 0.5%, the real yield is effectively negative by 30 basis points.The rationale behind this move is to quickly stimulate inflation. The SNB argues that a significant cut now reduces the likelihood of needing negative rates in the future. If their assessment is correct, it could signal a pause in rate cuts, which explains the muted market reaction. From a technical perspective, the USDCHF trend remains firmly bullish as long as the price stays above 0.8810. If the price dips to around 0.8846, traders will likely step in and push it toward 0.89. The move higher would probably stem from correlations between USD/CHF and its peers, as there is still a strong case for the ECB cutting rates further, which could drag down EUR/USD and, consequently, lift USDCHF. What is your take on USDCHF? This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Long
by ThinkMarkets
#USDCHF 4HUSDCHF 4-Hour Analysis The USDCHF pair has broken above a significant trendline on the 4-hour chart, signaling a shift in momentum to the upside. Additionally, a buy engulfing candlestick in the breakout area reinforces the bullish outlook, presenting a potential buy opportunity. Technical Outlook: Pattern: Trendline Breakout and Buy Engulfing Area Forecast: Bullish (Buy Opportunity) Entry Strategy: Enter a buy position above the breakout level, confirming with bullish price action signals. Traders should monitor for continued bullish momentum with supportive indicators like RSI or MACD trending upward. Proper risk management is essential, with stop-loss orders placed below the breakout level and profit targets set at higher resistance zones.
Long
by PIPSFIGHTER
USD / CHF SELL OPPORTUNITY . DESCRIPTION OF TRADE IDEA . As we can clearly see head and shoulder pattern , being formed up in 4hr TF , it sells us the idea of potential short opportunity incoming in the future . Secondly , we can see a strong momentum of 4hr bearish candle formed up and making a fractal low , which in many times i have seen goes to retest on the nearest supply or demand area before reversal as per trend ,in this case it is most likely to retest from the 4hr mini supply and go downwards . SCENARIO FOR TRADES HERE . Potential trade for opening of the week Mon to Tuesday and furthest till Wednesday London session. - one could take a short from opening London session on Monday if the price is still on current supply zone . If I was to take this trade I would look to hold onto the next demand zone until of 0.87200 or until Wednesday before red news. Potential trade idea from Wednesday to Friday ( red news zone ) I would look to enter on the trade if the price retest the current supply zone to short , this might give us a proper window to manage risk with small stop loss and bigger lot size. regardless I will be posting the idea through the week as we go along and what market shows us throughout. NOTES : As i align with my confluences and experience of what i have regularly seen in the market to potentially take the trade , i am constantly monitoring key principal of trading to take the trade effectively which are : Market structure fractal structure Ibos - internal break of structure liquidity in line with supply and demand time of trade and risk management .
Short
by rubinGrg
1
USDCHF USDCHF - Bullish Above 0.88000 Current Price: 0.88365 Action: Bullish above 0.88000 Target Levels: 0.8976 0.9093 0.9178 Reason: Price Action: USDCHF has been showing bullish momentum, holding above key support at 0.88000. RSI (Relative Strength Index): RSI is currently in the bullish zone (above 50), indicating upward momentum. MACD: The MACD is above the signal line and showing increasing positive momentum. Trend Confirmation: The pair is in an overall uptrend, as confirmed by higher highs and higher lows. Support at 0.88000 The level at 0.88000 is a key support, and a breakout above this level opens the path for the mentioned targets. Note: Always use proper risk management.
Long
by Al-Reshad
USDCHF H4 I Bearish Reversal?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 0.8876, which is an overlap resistance close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit will be at 0.8828, an overlap support level. The stop loss will be at 0.8917, an overlap resistance level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
1
USD/CHF edges up ahead of SNB rate decisionThe Swiss franc is slightly lower on Wednesday. In the European session, USD/CHF is trading at 0.8845, up 0.19% on the day. 'Tis the season of central bank decisions, with four major central banks making rate announcements this week. The Swiss central bank meets on Thursday and a rate cut has been fully priced, but what will the SNB do? The market has currently priced a 50-basis point cut at 60% and a modest 25-bp cut at 40%. Just one week ago, the odds were 70-30 in favor of a 50-bp cut. Inflation declined by 0.1% in November and Switzerland hasn't posted a gain in inflation since May. The signs of deflation support the case for a jumbo 50-bp cut. Still, central banks prefer modest rate moves in 25-bp increments and with the cash rate at just 1%, policymakers may opt for a 25-bp cut. US inflation for November was a non-event for the US dollar, which has shown little movement today against the major currencies. Headline CPI ticked higher to 2.7% y/y up from 2.6% in October, while the core rate rose 3.3% y/y for a third straight month. Monthly, headline CPI rose from 0.2% to 0.3% and the core CPI rose was unchanged at 0.3%. The data matched expectations which explains the muted response of the US dollar. In the aftermath of today's inflation data, the market expectations for a rate cut at the Dec .18 meeting have jumped. The rate odds for a quarter-point have climbed to 97%, compared to 88% immediately prior to the release. The Fed has lowered rates twice this year and is poised for a third cut next week, even though the inflation downswing has stalled and inflation remains higher than the Fed's 2% target. USD/CHF tested resistance at 0.8853 earlier. Above, there is resistance at 0.8876 0.8810 and 0.8787 are the next support levels
by OANDA
ANOTHER UPDATE ON USD/CHF TRADEUSD/CHF 1H - This is just a quick update on the trade that was sent out last Friday to you all here on this pair, as you can see price is starting to pick up and its continuing to trade us higher. Those of you who are still in on this pair well done, ensure you are taking partials, applying safety measures and looking for re-entries. If you closed Friday like I did, you should be looking for areas to re-enter. This trade is currently running + 102 pips. (+7%) 7RR There are plenty of areas you could be looking to get re-introduced into this market, I would be looking for any areas in or around the last impulsive wave that traded price higher. Price will need to pullback to pick up more demand in order to encourage price to trade higher, so waiting for price to trade down and into a valid area of interest is so important. Any questions drop me a message or comment below!
Long
by Lukegforex
USDCHF Massive Long! BUY! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for USDCHF is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 0.8781 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 0.8849 My Stop Loss - 0.8746 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1