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U.S. Dollar / Swiss Franc

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USDCHF trade ideas

USDCHF to continue in the downward move?USDCHF - 24h expiry Broken out of the channel formation to the downside. Our short term bias remains negative. Offers ample risk/reward to sell at the market. The weaker US dollar has boosted performance. 20 4hour EMA is at 0.8801. We look to Sell at 0.8799 (stop at 0.8839) Our profit targets will be 0.8701 and 0.8681 Resistance: 0.8777 / 0.8800 / 0.8818 Support: 0.8759 / 0.8740 / 0.8720 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
CHF/USD Trading Idea – Bearish Reversal from Key ResistanceThis CHF/USD chart presents a compelling bearish setup, suggesting that the pair may be headed for a decline after facing strong resistance. The price action has followed a technical breakout and retest pattern, with a clear rejection from a well-defined resistance level. Traders looking for short-selling opportunities should take note of the key price zones, support levels, and overall market structure before making a move. Let’s break it down in detail. 🔍 Chart Breakdown: What’s Happening? 1️⃣ Falling Wedge Breakout & Bullish Push The price was consolidating inside a falling wedge, a pattern that typically signals an eventual breakout to the upside. The breakout led to a strong bullish move, pushing the price toward a well-established resistance zone around 1.1414. After breaking out, the pair made a significant upward run before stalling at this key resistance. 2️⃣ Key Resistance Level Holding Strong The price touched the resistance zone but failed to break above it. This rejection indicates that sellers are stepping in, absorbing the buying pressure. The market is showing early signs of bearish momentum, hinting at a potential downtrend. 3️⃣ Projected Bearish Move: Lower Targets in Sight If the current rejection holds, the price is likely to fall toward the nearest support levels: ✅ TP 1 (Take Profit 1): 1.1271 → First major support level, likely to be tested soon. ✅ TP 2 (Take Profit 2): 1.1201 → A deeper retracement if selling pressure increases. ✅ TP 3 (Take Profit 3): 1.1055 → Final downside target if the bearish trend extends further. 4️⃣ Stop Loss Placement – Risk Management To manage risk, the ideal stop loss should be placed slightly above the resistance level at 1.1414. This protects against potential false breakouts and unexpected market shifts. 📉 Trade Strategy – How to Approach This Setup? 🔸 Entry Point: Look for a confirmed rejection of the resistance level (e.g., bearish candlestick patterns like engulfing, shooting star, or pin bars). 🔸 Stop Loss: Place above 1.1414 to avoid getting caught in a short squeeze. 🔸 Take Profit Targets: First TP at 1.1271 Second TP at 1.1201 Final TP at 1.1055 for extended downside moves ⚠️ Important Notes for Traders: ✔ Wait for Confirmation: Don’t rush into a short trade. Look for a strong bearish candle closure or a retest before entering. ✔ Be Aware of News Events: Economic releases, interest rate decisions, and major USD-related news can impact price movement. ✔ Monitor Market Sentiment: If USD strengthens, this setup is even more likely to play out. 🧐 Final Thoughts – High Probability Short Setup? ✅ Why This Trade Looks Strong: The technical pattern is playing out perfectly, with a clear resistance rejection. The risk-to-reward ratio is favorable, with well-defined entry, stop loss, and take profit levels. The overall market structure supports a potential downside move if price continues respecting resistance. 📢 Bottom Line : If price remains below the 1.1414 resistance, this trade setup could provide an excellent opportunity for short-sellers targeting lower support levels. 🚀 Stay patient and wait for confirmation before pulling the trigger!
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
USDCHF Study 1529SGT 19032025On the last round of trading, I took USDCHF and finally made a profit, after the first two rounds of losses on tradingview paper account. Now, another opportunity came up on USDCHF, again. Should I enter? I think, it is really risky. I manage to be just above breakeven on tradingview, and I made a net total of +2.8R profit on Oanda mt4 with the same trades taken, after a total of 3 trades in March 2025. Why would I continue to put myself at risk? 1st - I have exhausted USDCHF's opportunity, I feel. Reason being, I have already traded the USDCHF in the last trade, and I managed to make a profit. What are the odds of making a profit again? One might say it's 50 50, however, it isn't. The more something happens, the more unlikely it would happen the next round. That's the first. Especially when the trend and opportunity has been used up by traders who used that opportunity in the first place. Slowly, they would be looking to move their money elsewhere, to new opportunities. 2nd - Price is at a significant level of support. The support might not be the major of major on the higher time frame, but it is still significant because there might be traders who think they should take off all their profits and losses and take the opposite position instead, or new players could come in and decide to buy instead at the support area, we wouldn't know. --- The thing is, just take it and get lost. Some months you will be breakeven, or in a loss, or profit. Take it and move. If you are in a loss, and you want to try to take more trades to "max out your winrate", then you will only be maxing out your mental capital, as you see alot of "deaths" and "escapes", draining you out, and that's when you deviate from your trading technique, knowingly or unknowingly. "I have already made so many mistakes, Imma make more, just to see where it would take me to. I could always restart, because this is paper trading." Then get ready to lose in the long run, again. I have been there done there, even in my last trading entries I done that because I wanted to max out of winrate. why should I take 30 trades to make +2R when I could have taken 3 trades to make +2R? It's not to say that when you take your time, and less is more approach, you will only make +2R at the end of 30 trades, but that, why would you try to max out your win rate when you will only be depleting yourself and your time and mental capital? If you take your time, and focus on 1 to 3 trades, and take a break, you will go further, and gain more in the end, rather than trying to max out in the same amount of time, trading 10x the amount of trades. Opportunities come and go, and most of the time, you are taking the same opportunity at the same time on multiple different pairs. And that is over trading. Dividing your full profit over multiple pairs at a time range, and you wonder why it took you 30 trades to make +2R, when you could have held onto the +2R at the beginning, after taking just 3 trades. We shall see how this entry setup goes. I am not going to take it, but I want to keep myself in check with how the price is moving. This exact overtrading thing could be said on my previous trade on USDJPY. I made +2R on USDJPY, in my first trade but I lost -1R on it, on the second trade on Oanda mt4. If I held my breath under water instead of panicking, I would have been up, +3.8R now, instead of +2.8R on Oanda mt4, and I would have been up +1.004R on tradingview paper account instead of being up +0.004R only. 1547SGT 19032025
by goh8888lester
USD/CHF: Bearish Continuation Towards Key SupportUSD/CHF has maintained a strong bearish trend, forming a series of lower highs and lower lows. The chart highlights a **Deep Crab** harmonic pattern, which previously triggered a corrective move before resuming its overall downtrend. Currently, price action is trading near **0.8767**, approaching a key support zone at **0.8722** (HOP level). The recent rejection from the **H4 supply zone** around **0.8920** further confirms bearish momentum, suggesting sellers remain in control. **Key Considerations:** - A breakdown below **0.8722** could accelerate further downside, extending losses towards lower psychological levels. - A potential pullback may occur if buyers step in at support, but the overall bearish structure remains intact unless a significant reversal signal appears. **Conclusion:** USD/CHF remains under bearish pressure, with a high probability of further declines. Traders should monitor price action at support for potential continuation or reversal signals before committing to new positions.
Long
by BeaucoupPips
2
Bullish bounce?USD/CHF is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.8726 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.8618 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. Take profit: 0.8851 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
#003 Moving Average USDCHF Sell 0153SGT 18032025The title says moving average, and I did use the moving average this time but it won't always be the moving average. I think the USDJPY trade #002 might have been abit dragged out, and I jumped in slightly too late. But it is ok. I also took correlated pairs and am selling the USD. But its ok. I think Kei sensei must have some magic that works, and I have been trying different things and I think Kei sensei is really right. Less is more. If we get 2% in 1 trade and also get 2% in 10 trades, then why would we trade 10 times just to get 2% ? Why would we pay 10 times the commission just to get the same results plus gain 10 times the stress? I think the USDJPY #002 trade is a test kit. I need to know how deep the water is, and that trade is my test kit. It doesn't matter if I lose that one or not, because now I remembered what I should do and what I shouldn't. Look out for fresh potential breakouts, retracements that could be traded. Get good natural dopamine into the system then come see the charts. Once you made some money outside, then the charts will be a, "if I have it, I have it. If I don't have it, I don't have it, and I don't give a f" kind of vibe. If you missed it, don't give it any f because there will be other opportunities that will come. Sometimes, in this watchlist of pairs, sometimes, you make new watchlists because new fresh potential breakouts and retracements came up. You will be ok. 1 trade, 2, 3 trades a month is alot. as long as you made some money, just run. Don't hinge your hopes on getting 10% every month because of ftmo's rules of getting 10% in a month in order to pass the 1st phase of the challenge. 0211SGT 18032025
Short
by goh8888lester
USD/CHF Struggles at Key Support Amid Bearish MomentumUSD/CHF remains under pressure after breaking below the 200-day SMA (0.8815) and failing to reclaim it. The pair has formed a bearish flag pattern, indicating the potential for further downside. The next key support level sits at 0.8750, which, if breached, could accelerate selling pressure. Momentum indicators confirm the bearish outlook: 📉 MACD remains in negative territory, signaling weak momentum. 📊 RSI at 34.75 nears oversold conditions but hasn’t triggered a reversal signal yet. Key Levels to Watch: 📌 Support: 0.8750 (critical level), 0.8650 (next downside target) 📌 Resistance: 0.8850 (recent swing high), 0.9010 (50-day SMA) A break below 0.8750 could open the door for a deeper decline, while a bounce above 0.8850 would signal a potential recovery. -MW
by FOREXcom
¡¡¡SELL!!! USDCHF IN THIS DAILY INTEREST ZONEHELLO TRADERS, I AM VERY INTERESTED IN SELLING THIS USDCHF PAIR FOR THE NEXT NEW YORK SESSION. FOLLOW MY ENTRY SIGNAL. EVERYTHING INDICATES THAT THE PRICE IS GOING TO GO DOWN. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS CONFLUENCES AT THIS MOMENT 1. Bearish daily timeframe 2. Rejection of the last daily structure point 3. Rejection of the daily zone of interest 4. Daily engulfing candle 5. Rejection of the last 4 hour structure point 6. 4 hour rejection candle 7. 30 M structure change 8. 15 M engulfing candle, 30 M engulfing candle, 1 hour engulfing candle, 2 hour engulfing candle Why do I like it? The daily and 4-hour timeframes are bearish, meaning they are in harmony. The most logical thing to do is to sell now and ride the trend! Today's daily candle was rejected at the last point of the structure (previous daily low). The price was rejected at a daily zone of interest that has been respected in the past. We have a daily engulfing candle. The price has gone from bullish to bearish on the 4-hour timeframe and has also retested the last point of the 4-hour structure. There is a rejection candle on the 4-hour timeframe, which indicates a downward price reversal. Now we have the daily and 4-hour timeframes, as I mentioned earlier, the most logical thing to do is to look for shorts. I will wait for a retest of my zone of interest to enter a short position if my entry pattern is fulfilled in 30 minutes during the New York session. If you like my idea, don't forget to like and follow me. I'll respond to suggestions and comments! FxAlexisTrader.
Short
by FxAlexisTrader
1
USD/CHF 4-Hour Timeframe AnalysisUSD/CHF 4-Hour Timeframe Analysis The USD/CHF pair remains in a well-defined downtrend, forming a series of lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL) on the 4-hour timeframe. Recently, the price broke below the 0.88100 minor key level, which has now turned into a resistance zone, reinforcing the bearish momentum. Following the breakdown, the market accumulated a significant volume of sell positions before initiating a liquidity hunt where price temporarily moved higher to trigger stop losses before resuming its downward trajectory. Currently, the pair is showing renewed selling pressure, and we are observing whether price will revisit the 0.88050 region for a minor pullback before continuing lower. Key Technical Levels Key Resistance: 0.88100 (Previous Support Turned Resistance) Observation Zone: 0.88050 (Potential Retest Area) Next Support Target: 0.87040 (Next Significant Support Level) Fundamental Insight: The Swiss franc (CHF) continues to strengthen, supported by the Swiss National Bank’s (SNB) shift in intervention strategy. Unlike 2023, where the SNB sold over 132.9 billion CHF in foreign currency, this year has seen a net purchase of 1.2 billion CHF, indicating confidence in its inflation management. The current inflation rate at 1.1% remains within the SNB’s comfort range, reducing the likelihood of further aggressive monetary policy adjustments. Traders are closely watching the SNB’s policy rate decision scheduled for release this week. The forecast suggests a potential rate cut from -0.50% to -0.25%, which could signal a slightly more accommodative stance by the SNB. However, the impact on CHF strength will depend on market expectations versus actual policy action. If the rate cut is confirmed, it could temporarily weaken CHF, providing short-term relief for USD/CHF. Conversely, if the SNB maintains a cautious approach, CHF may continue to gain strength, reinforcing the bearish technical outlook for USD/CHF. Meanwhile, the US dollar faces near-term headwinds amid uncertainty surrounding Federal Reserve policy expectations. The market remains cautious about potential rate cuts later in the year, limiting USD upside potential. 📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Short
by RebornFXTrader
CHF/USD 4H Analysis - Potential Bearish Reversal Setup 🔹 Market Structure & Price Action: The price has been trending upwards inside a rising channel, forming higher highs and higher lows. Recently, price tapped into a key resistance zone (black box), indicating a potential reversal. A possible bearish correction could unfold from this level. 📉 Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to hold the resistance, a bearish rejection could drive price downward. The first major support target aligns with the previous demand zone around 1.10700. A further drop could test the 1.09100 support area, as shown in the green zones. 📈 Bullish Alternative: A break and hold above resistance could invalidate the bearish setup and signal further upside movement. 🔻 Trading Plan: Sell bias near resistance with confirmations (e.g., rejection wicks, bearish engulfing, trendline break). Targeting the marked support levels. Invalidation if price breaks and closes above the resistance.
Short
by ForexOptimizer
USDCHF Buy Opportunity!Market Structure Analysis: Trend: The market has been in a short-term downtrend but is showing signs of a potential reversal. Support Zone: Around 0.8800, where price has reacted strongly. Resistance Zone: Next target area is 0.8918, and a strong resistance is near 0.9030. Price Action: The price tested the 0.8800 level and is forming a bullish setup. The long lower wick on the recent candlestick indicates rejection from support. A potential bullish breakout could occur if momentum continues. 🔹 Trade Setup: BUY (Bullish Reversal) 🔹 Entry: Buy at 0.8810 - 0.8800 🔹 Stop Loss: 0.8765 (Below recent low) 🔹 Take Profit 1: 0.8918 (Previous resistance) 🔹 Take Profit 2: 0.9025 (Major resistance) 🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 or higher 📌 Alternative Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below 0.8765, a sell-off toward 0.8720 is possible. Trade Confirmation: Look for bullish candlestick formations (e.g., engulfing or pin bar). Monitor USD fundamentals and market sentiment.
Long
by ashif030