USD/CHF Weekly Swing Long – Targeting Long-Term Reversal I'm entering a long swing trade on USD/CHF off the weekly timeframe, aiming for a strong upside move over the coming months/years.
🔍 Entry Zone: 0.82xx (current region)
🎯 Target: 1.01585
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 0.80188
⚖️ Risk-Reward: Over 4:1
⏳ Time Horizon: Long-term swing (1–3 years)
Technical Justification:
Major Weekly Support: Price has bounced off a strong historical demand zone dating back to 2014–2015 levels.
Long Wicks + Rejection Candles: Bullish price action showing exhaustion of sellers.
Potential Double Bottom Structure: Early signs of trend reversal forming.
MACRO Opportunity: USD is historically resilient, and CHF may weaken on any shift away from risk aversion or SNB policy changes.
USDCHF trade ideas
Bearish continuation?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is rising towards the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.7960
1st Support: 0.7879
1st Resistance: 0.8018
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDCHF oversold bounce backs capped at 0.8045The USD/CHF pair is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the falling resistance, suggesting a temporary relief rally within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 0.8045, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 0.8045 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 0.7900, followed by 0.7860 and 0.7810 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 0.8045 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 0.8080, then 0.8140.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the pair breaks and holds above 0.8045. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USDCHF: A Bullish Reversal Hinges on 0.7985USDCHF: A Bullish Reversal Hinges on 0.7985
USDCHF is currently testing a critical support zone near 0.7880—a level not seen since 2011.
The fact that price has returned to this area after more than a decade underscores the significance of this moment.
The pair remains under pressure for two key reasons:
Ongoing US tariff tensions have created big uncertainty and weighed on the dollar.
The Swiss National Bank continues to intervene in the FX market under the pretext of supporting the domestic economy and controlling inflation. While their reasoning may seem increasingly dubious, the impact on USDCHF is undeniable.
A decisive move above 0.7985 could signal the start of a bullish trend, with potential upside targets at 0.8060 and 0.8190.
A break of this resistance would not only shift short-term momentum but could also signal a broader trend reversal.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USD/CHF 4H – Pullback Into Supply Zone for Potential Reversal
🧠 USD/CHF 4H – Pullback Into Supply Zone for Potential Reversal
USD/CHF has been trading within a well-defined bearish structure over the past few weeks. Price action continues to respect lower highs and lower lows, with multiple short-term supports (SS) consistently being broken — confirming sustained selling pressure.
🔍 Market Structure & Smart Money Perspective
* A clear Break of Structure (BOS) early in the chart shifted market sentiment to bearish.
* Since then, the market has formed several short-term support levels, each broken successively.
* This confirms that bears are in control, and any rallies are likely corrective rather than a trend reversal — unless a new BOS to the upside forms.
🧱 Supply Zone Analysis
* The marked supply zone around 0.83100 – 0.84000 is the last institutional distribution zone before the significant drop.
* Price is currently retracing aggressively into this premium zone, following a likely liquidity sweep of the previous lows.
* This reaction is typical of smart money behavior — sweeping liquidity before initiating a retracement to mitigate orders or fill imbalances.
📈 Current Price Action
* The large bullish impulse may seem like a shift in momentum, but without a confirmed break of major structure, this is viewed as a pullback into premium pricing.
* We anticipate that price will react to the supply zone, presenting a high-probability shorting opportunity.
📌 Trade Idea
* Bias: Bearish (pending confirmation from supply)
* Entry Zone: 0.83100 – 0.84000
* Stop Loss: Above 0.84000 (to cover potential liquidity spikes)
* Take Profit: 0.78738 (prior demand zone)
* Risk-to-Reward: Approx. 1:4+
🧠 Confirmation Triggers to Watch For:
* Bearish engulfing candlesticks within supply
* Internal BOS on lower timeframe (LTF)
* Fair Value Gap (FVG) formation and reaction
* Weak bullish momentum/tap-and-reject from zone
📌Conclusion
This setup aligns with the Smart Money Concept framework. As long as price remains below the supply zone, my bias remains short. I’ll wait for lower timeframe confirmation before executing the trade.
⚠️ Always manage risk — this is a zone of interest, not an automatic sell. Let price show its hand.
USDCHF..SHORT📌 USDCHF – Multi-Scenario Setup
This pair has two key levels: one short-term, the other long-term.
If price reaches the first level and shows solid bearish reaction, I’ll enter a short.
If that level breaks and confirms, I’ll go long—but manage the long aggressively, since I’ll look to exit around the higher level.
If the price pushes beyond even the second zone, I’ll be ready to buy again.
❗️I’m never upset by a loss or a broken level.
The market leads—I follow.
Claiming “it must drop from here” or “it has to rise” is wishful thinking, not trading.
✅ Stay calm, stay flexible, and stay prepared for every scenario.
USDCHF → Hunting for liquidity before the fallFX:USDCHF , against the backdrop of the falling dollar and the exit from consolidation, is forming another ‘bos’, which only confirms the market sentiment.
The fall of the dollar only increases pressure on the currency pair. The price has broken out of consolidation and is trading below the key level. USDCHF has broken through a fairly strong support level, which only confirms the bearish market structure. A correction is forming ahead of a possible decline (liquidity capture).
Resistance levels: 0.803, 0.8042
Support levels: 0.798, 0.79
Fundamentally and technically, the currency pair looks weak. The decline may continue after the liquidity capture phase and a retest of resistance. A false breakout of resistance will be a strong signal.
Best regards, R. Linda!
USDCHF H4 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is currently at our buy entry at 0.7921 that aligns with the 127.2% Fib extension
Our take profit will be at 0.8054, a pullback support.
The stop loss will be placed at 0.7759, slightly below the 161.8% Fib extension.
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USDCHF bearish trend continuation below 0.8050The USDCHF pair remains under bearish pressure, consistent with the prevailing downtrend. Recent price action has transitioned into a sideways consolidation, suggesting a pause in bearish momentum but not a reversal.
The key technical level to monitor is 0.8050, which marks a prior intraday consolidation zone and acts as immediate resistance. Should the pair stage an oversold bounce toward this level, a bearish rejection could reinforce the existing downtrend, with potential downside targets at 0.7900, followed by 0.7860 and 0.7810 over the longer term.
On the other hand, a confirmed breakout above 0.8050, supported by a daily close above this level, would invalidate the bearish outlook. Such a move would signal a possible shift in sentiment and open the door for a retest of the 0.8080 resistance zone, with further upside potential toward 0.8140.
Conclusion:
The broader trend remains bearish below 0.8050, and rallies into resistance may present renewed selling opportunities. However, a sustained break above 0.8050 would warrant a reassessment of the bearish bias and could signal the start of a short-term recovery phase. Traders should watch for price action confirmation at this key pivot area.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
"USD/CHF Breakout - Real Deal or Trap?"🏦 SWISS BANK HEIST: USD/CHF BULLISH LOOT GRAB 🚨
(Professional Money Snatching Strategy)
🦹♂️ Attention All Market Bandits!
(Hola! Oi! Salut! Hallo! Ahlan!) 🎭💰
🔥 Thief Trading Intel Confirmed!
The USD/CHF "Swissy" vault is ready for cracking! Our bullish robbery plan targets 0.84500 - but we must escape before the bears (police) set their trap!
🔓 ENTRY: CRACKING THE SAFE
"0.82800 MA is the vault door!"
✔ Option 1: Buy Stop above MA (breakout play)
✔ Option 2: Buy Limit at swing low (15m/30m pullback)
🔔 Pro Tip: Set alerts - real thieves never miss their heist!
🚨 STOP LOSS: POLICE EVASION PLAN
📍 Thief SL: 0.81900 (below 3H swing low)
⚠️ Warning: No SL before breakout! You'll trigger the alarms!
💎 TARGET: ESCAPE WITH THE LOOT
🎯 Primary Take: 0.84500
💰 Scalpers: Long-only! Trail SL like a getaway car!
📊 MARKET CONDITIONS
⚖️ Neutral Trend (but bullish potential brewing!)
🔍 Key Intel Needed: COT reports, macro data, CHF safe-haven flows
🌐 Full Briefing: Bi0 linkss 👉🔗 (don't go in blind!)
🚦 RISK MANAGEMENT PROTOCOLS
• ❌ Avoid trading during news events
• 🔒 Always use trailing stops
• 💣 Position size = your explosive potential
🦾 SUPPORT THE SYNDICATE
💥 SMASH THAT BOOST BUTTON!
💬 Comment your heist results below!
🔔 Next robbery coming soon - stay tuned!
🤑 Remember thieves: Book profits before the Swiss police arrive!
Bearish continuation?The Swissie (USD/CHF) has rejected off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.8070
1st Support: 0.7962
1st Resistance: 0.8104
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDCHF LONG FORECAST Q2 W26 D26 Y25USDCHF LONG FORECAST Q2 W26 D26 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
HTF BOS REQUIRED
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily order block
✅Weekly order block
✅Intraday breaks of structure Required
✅4H Order block
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
USDCHF ACCUMULATION AND DISTRIBUTION AT THE STRONGEST SUPPORTRepeated liquidity sweeps (marked with arrows) indicate smart money absorbing sell pressure.
Consolidation is happening after a significant downtrend, suggesting potential reversal.
The volume stays steady — no major breakdowns or explosive exits.
What you see here is a textbook accumulation phase forming on the USD/CHF chart — not just because of the sideways structure, but due to the repeated liquidity sweeps and smart money behavior around a long-term support level.
🔹 Major Support:
The yellow horizontal line marks a critical support level, originally established on April 21, 2025. Price has respected this level repeatedly, making it a strong base.
🔹 Liquidity Sweeps:
Multiple deep wicks below support (highlighted by blue arrows) are signs of stop-loss hunting, where price dips below key levels only to sharply recover. This is classic smart money accumulation behavior.
🔹 Volume Profile:
Volume remains stable throughout the consolidation zone — no significant exit volume, which suggests this is not distribution.
🔹 Failed Breakdowns:
Every time price breaks the range low, it’s met with quick rejections and reversals, absorbing selling pressure instead of following through → further validation of accumulation.
🔹 Historical Significance:
The concerning part? The next major support on this pair isn’t until August 8, 2011 — over a decade back! That makes this level extremely critical to hold.