Sweep and Bounce: Will History Repeat in 2025?As you can see, the 2022 support broke, then in 2023 price came back to retest that level but got swept below it and fell further. The point from which it tried to retest got swept clean, then after taking a pullback from the lower low and trendline, price touched resistance again. Now, a similar thing is about to happen with the 2024 low— it broke, got retested in 2025, but the retest point, just like in 2023, got swept under. : Can price push up again after this sweep? tell me in comments OANDA:USDCHF
USDCHF trade ideas
USD/CHF Weekly Swing Long – Targeting Long-Term Reversal I'm entering a long swing trade on USD/CHF off the weekly timeframe, aiming for a strong upside move over the coming months/years.
🔍 Entry Zone: 0.82xx (current region)
🎯 Target: 1.01585
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 0.80188
⚖️ Risk-Reward: Over 4:1
⏳ Time Horizon: Long-term swing (1–3 years)
Technical Justification:
Major Weekly Support: Price has bounced off a strong historical demand zone dating back to 2014–2015 levels.
Long Wicks + Rejection Candles: Bullish price action showing exhaustion of sellers.
Potential Double Bottom Structure: Early signs of trend reversal forming.
MACRO Opportunity: USD is historically resilient, and CHF may weaken on any shift away from risk aversion or SNB policy changes.
USDCHF oversold bounce backs capped at 0.8045The USD/CHF pair is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the falling resistance, suggesting a temporary relief rally within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 0.8045, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 0.8045 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 0.7900, followed by 0.7860 and 0.7810 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 0.8045 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 0.8080, then 0.8140.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the pair breaks and holds above 0.8045. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
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Bullish reversal for the Swissie?The price is falling towards the pivot, which aligns with the Fibonacci confluence and could reverse to the 1st resistance, which is an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 0.7942
1st Support: 0.7771
1st Resistance: 0.8163
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USD/CHF – Rejection at Key Fib Confluence, Bearish Continuation We’re seeing a beautiful textbook rejection off the 0.79Fib zone (0.8200), precisely where price tapped into a previous structure break and minor supply block. Price surged into the red zone, wicked just above the 200 EMA, and was instantly met with heavy sell-side pressure — a strong signal of institutional distribution.
📌 Technical Confluences at Play:
Price failed to break the 200 EMA cleanly — acting as dynamic resistance.
0.79 Fib levels aligning with prior supply.
Rising wedge structure broken to the downside.
Entry candle printing a solid engulfing rejection — institutional footprint.
📉 Target Zone:
Primary TP sits at the 0.236 Fib level (0.8101), but the full measured move of this wedge gives us a final downside target near 0.8038, with intermediate stops at key Fibs. Invalidation above 0.82294
🧠 Trader’s Insight:
“Patience is power. You don’t chase moves, you position for moments.”
Let the market come to your zone of interest, validate your thesis, and then strike with precision. The best trades come from areas where multiple confirmations stack in your favor.
📉 Trade Plan:
Entry: 0.81933 rejection zone
TP1: 0.8130
TP2: 0.8101
Final TP: 0.8038
SL: Above 0.82294 (tight invalidation)
@WrightWayInvestments
@WrightWayInvestments
@WrightWayInvestments
USD/CHF 4H – Pullback Into Supply Zone for Potential Reversal
🧠 USD/CHF 4H – Pullback Into Supply Zone for Potential Reversal
USD/CHF has been trading within a well-defined bearish structure over the past few weeks. Price action continues to respect lower highs and lower lows, with multiple short-term supports (SS) consistently being broken — confirming sustained selling pressure.
🔍 Market Structure & Smart Money Perspective
* A clear Break of Structure (BOS) early in the chart shifted market sentiment to bearish.
* Since then, the market has formed several short-term support levels, each broken successively.
* This confirms that bears are in control, and any rallies are likely corrective rather than a trend reversal — unless a new BOS to the upside forms.
🧱 Supply Zone Analysis
* The marked supply zone around 0.83100 – 0.84000 is the last institutional distribution zone before the significant drop.
* Price is currently retracing aggressively into this premium zone, following a likely liquidity sweep of the previous lows.
* This reaction is typical of smart money behavior — sweeping liquidity before initiating a retracement to mitigate orders or fill imbalances.
📈 Current Price Action
* The large bullish impulse may seem like a shift in momentum, but without a confirmed break of major structure, this is viewed as a pullback into premium pricing.
* We anticipate that price will react to the supply zone, presenting a high-probability shorting opportunity.
📌 Trade Idea
* Bias: Bearish (pending confirmation from supply)
* Entry Zone: 0.83100 – 0.84000
* Stop Loss: Above 0.84000 (to cover potential liquidity spikes)
* Take Profit: 0.78738 (prior demand zone)
* Risk-to-Reward: Approx. 1:4+
🧠 Confirmation Triggers to Watch For:
* Bearish engulfing candlesticks within supply
* Internal BOS on lower timeframe (LTF)
* Fair Value Gap (FVG) formation and reaction
* Weak bullish momentum/tap-and-reject from zone
📌Conclusion
This setup aligns with the Smart Money Concept framework. As long as price remains below the supply zone, my bias remains short. I’ll wait for lower timeframe confirmation before executing the trade.
⚠️ Always manage risk — this is a zone of interest, not an automatic sell. Let price show its hand.
Bullish reversal?USD/CHF is falling towards the support level which aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 78.4% Fibonacci projection and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.7950
Why we like it:
There is a support level at the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 78.4% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 0.7899
Why we like it:
There is a support level at the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 0.8052
Why we like it:
Thee is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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USDCHF-Reversal Coming SoonDear Traders,
📊 Technical Analysis – USD/CHF (Daily Timeframe)
Date: June 30, 2025
🇺🇸 English:
Price is currently testing a strong support zone around the 0.7920 level.
A bullish divergence is visible between price and RSI (price made a lower low while RSI made a higher low), indicating weakening selling pressure and a potential reversal.
The Fibonacci 1.272 extension at 0.79231 aligns with this support zone and may act as a key level for a bounce.
If price reacts positively and breaks above the short-term downtrend, potential upside targets include 0.8200 and 0.8470.
Alternative scenario: If the 0.7920 support fails, there is a risk of a deeper drop and formation of a new lower low.
Summary Signal:
✅ Bullish divergence spotted
📉 Current trend: Bearish
📌 Critical zone: 0.7920 – 0.7930
📈 Potential upside targets: 0.8200 and then 0.8470
Regards,
Alireza!
ABCHello awesome traders! 👑✨
I hope you’ve had an amazing weekend and are ready to kick off the trading week like pros. Let’s dive straight into our USD/CHF 2-Hour chart — it’s shaping up to be a high-probability ABC Bullish reversal to start July strong.
🧠 Setup Breakdown
Pattern Type: ABC Bullish Reversal
A → B: Impulsive move from 0.78724 → 0.79870
B → C: Retracement down to 0.79220
Amplitude Symmetry:
AB ≈ BC in price distance (~120 pips)
BC retraces 50–61.8% of AB into the PCZ at 0.79297–0.79161
✅ Why This Works
Clean ABC structure with clear impulse & corrective legs
AB mirrors BC in amplitude—gives us a precise retracement zone
Horizontal support around 0.7925 converges into PCZ
⚔️ Entry & Risk Management
Entry Zone: Buy within 0.7916–0.7930 (PCZ)
Stop-Loss: Below C swing low at 0.79220, 5–10 pips lower (0.7910)
Risk: ≤ 1–2 % of account per trade
🎯 Profit Targets
TP1: 61.8 % retrace of B→C → 0.79929
TP2: 78.6 % retrace of B→C → 0.80121
TP3: 127.2 % extension of A→B → 0.80678
🔍 Confirmation & Invalid
Candlestick Rejection: Look for pin-bar or bullish engulfing at PCZ
Structure Break: Close back above the B→C trendline adds conviction
Invalidation: A decisive close below 0.7910 negates the setup — watch for further downside.
💡 Keep It Simple:
Pattern → Spot ABC with AB ≈ BC
PCZ → Wait for 50–61.8 % retracement of AB
Trigger → Bullish price action at C
Continuation → Ride the move toward TP zones
🔔 Watch USD drivers and SNB commentary for catalysts.
Wishing everyone a profitable week ahead — stay disciplined, manage risk like a sniper, and let structure lead, not emotions! 🚀
Bullish rise?USD/CHF is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.7975
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss: 0.7934
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support.
Take profit: 0.8033
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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USD/CHF H1 | Multi-swing-low support at 61.8% Fibo retracementUSD/CHF is falling towards a multi-swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 0.7925 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns closely with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 0.7885 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support and the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 0.7974 which is a swing-high resistance.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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USDCHF Wave Analysis – 30 June 2025
- USDCHF falling inside a minor impulse wave
- Likely to fall to support level 0.7900
USDCHF currency pair is falling strongly inside the minor impulse wave 3, which recently broke the daily down channel from the start of May.
The breakout of this down channel follows the earlier breakout of the key support level 0.8055 (which stopped the previous impulse waves (1) and i).
Given the strong daily downtrend and the continuous outflows from US dollar or risk-on mood, USDCHF currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 0.7900, the target price for the completion of the active impulse wave 3.
USDCHF → Hunting for liquidity before the fallFX:USDCHF , against the backdrop of the falling dollar and the exit from consolidation, is forming another ‘bos’, which only confirms the market sentiment.
The fall of the dollar only increases pressure on the currency pair. The price has broken out of consolidation and is trading below the key level. USDCHF has broken through a fairly strong support level, which only confirms the bearish market structure. A correction is forming ahead of a possible decline (liquidity capture).
Resistance levels: 0.803, 0.8042
Support levels: 0.798, 0.79
Fundamentally and technically, the currency pair looks weak. The decline may continue after the liquidity capture phase and a retest of resistance. A false breakout of resistance will be a strong signal.
Best regards, R. Linda!