USD/CHF on the rise!The recent rebound of the US dollar has led to a decline in the Swiss franc against it, similar to other major currencies. The US dollar is also expected to show further strength in the coming period, supported by recent positive economic data, most notably, and the annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) - which came in at 2.7%, the highest reading in the last four releases.
This last CPI reading holds particular significance, as the Federal Reserve (Fed) is closely watching it, especially with expectations that the impact of tariffs may start to appear from this and the next reading.
Positive inflation data and a stable labor market give the Fed the flexibility to maintain steady interest rates in the near term, which could support further USD strength. The impact of all this economic data is expected to diminish as we approach August 1, the date when tariffs are set to resume, according to US President Donald Trump.
The world is closely watching how the tariff issue will unfold and whether trade agreements will be reached before that date. All of this directly affects global markets and the US dollar. For these reasons, traders should closely monitor the news, as developments are rapidly changing and appear daily, especially statements from the US President regarding tariffs.
Technical outlook
From a technical perspective, the USD/CHF pair is trading in an uptrend on the 4-hour chart. Its recent pullback to the 0.79419 level is considered corrective, with the uptrend likely to resume and target the 0.79997 level.
However, if the price drops below the 0.79193 level and forms a lower low on the 4-hour chart, this would signal a trend reversal from bullish to bearish, invalidating the bullish scenario mentioned above.
USDCHF trade ideas
USDCHF The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on USDCHF and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 0.8050 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 0.7970
Safe Stop Loss - 0.8093
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Still looking to sell on rallies — nothing’s changedStill looking to sell on rallies — nothing’s changed. The level on the chart? That’s where buyers jumped in before. Makes sense to target it again.
So… why do we say there are "suffering buyers" at this level?
Let’s rewind a bit (see Chart #2) and imagine price at the point marked on the chart.
At that moment, price had clearly returned to a visible local level — 0.8123 — a zone that naturally attracted traders to jump in on the fly , or triggered limit orders .
But here’s what happened next:
Selling pressure overpowered buying interest — and price moved swiftly lower .
That’s when those buyers got caught.
That’s when the pain started.
🔍 What Makes This Level Special?
Broker data from open sources confirms that open positions are still sitting at this level — meaning a lot of traders are underwater, hoping for a recovery that may never come.
It’s not just technical structure.
It’s crowded sentiment , failed expectations , and trapped capital — all wrapped into one.
🧠 This is what we call a "suffering trader" zone — and it often becomes a magnet for future selling .
📌 Follow along for more breakdowns on flow, positioning, and market sentiment .
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?The Swissie (USD/CHF) has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 0.8070
1st Support: 0.7927
1st Resistance: 0.8157
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USDCHF BEARISH OUTLOOK!!Price broke out of a major support level of 0.80962 giving traders a bearish sentiment on USDCHF from the daily timeframe perspective. How are market participants likely to react to this trend? Are we likely to see a pullback before the market continues trading bearish? Let’s see how market conditions reacts over the coming week
USD/CHF H4 | Bearish reversal off a multi-swing-high resistance?USD/CHF is rising towards a multi-swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.7986 which is a multi-swing-high resistance that aligns closely with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 0.8090 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 0.7871 which is a swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?USD/CHF is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.7959
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.7986
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.7900
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
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USD/CHF hoping lower. before major up turnA note to myself:
- remember no matter what happens. its a 50/50 chance you are right. even with a winning
strategy.
- whats going on inside of yourself. why? whats it trying to tell you?
- what have you learned about yoursefl?
- be patient, take a breathe and be aware of FOMO
- Its not about quantity. its about quality.(choose MAX. 3 trades a week)
- stick to your plan. load up on quality trades.
- RISK MANAGEMENT is the key to being a successful trader AND Risk Reward Ratio minimum 1:3 w
USDCHF – Two Levels, One PlanWe’re watching two key resistance zones for a potential short.
If the first level holds and gives a signal, we’ll short from there.
If that level breaks, we may switch to a short-term buy up to the next level.
Once price reaches the second resistance, we’ll be ready for another sell opportunity.
No predictions — just following the flow.
USDCHF long term bullish playHello,
The USDCHF is back to where it last traded in mid 2011. This reflects a significant weakening of the U.S. dollar against the Swiss franc, erasing over a decade of gains. It suggests growing investor demand for safe-haven assets like the franc — possibly driven by concerns around U.S. interest rate policy, inflation trends, or broader global uncertainty. The last time the dollar was this weak against the franc was more than 13 years ago.
While a weaker dollar is seen as good for the United States, we see a long term buy opportunity for this pair from the current level based on technical analysis. The pair is now trading at the bottom of the range.
Next week will be an important time for this pair as we wait for the inflation data. This will be key in guiding what the FED might do during the next meeting towards the end of the month.
USD/CHF: The Swiss Franc Continues to WeakenOver the past four trading sessions, the USD/CHF pair has appreciated by nearly 0.5%, as a new bullish bias has begun to consolidate on the daily chart. For now, buying pressure remains steady, supported by the recovery of the U.S. dollar, which started gaining strength shortly after it was revealed that the year-over-year CPI in the U.S. came in at 2.7%, above the 2.6% expected. This outcome may lead the Federal Reserve to adopt a more hawkish tone, and if elevated interest rates persist, it’s likely that demand for the dollar will continue to strengthen in the short term.
Downtrend Still in Place
The recent bearish movements have kept the pair within a steady downward trend in the short term. However, a relevant bullish correction is now emerging, and if it continues, it could put the current bearish structure at risk. As price continues to test resistance levels, buying pressure may become increasingly relevant.
Technical Indicators:
RSI: The RSI line is showing clear bullish behavior, with a sustained upward slope in the short term. It is currently approaching the neutral 50 level, and a breakout above that could signal bullish momentum dominance, reinforcing the current upward pressure.
MACD: The MACD histogram shows consistent bullish momentum, remaining above the neutral zero line. This suggests that moving average strength remains in bullish territory, and if the histogram continues to move away from the neutral axis, it could confirm stronger buying pressure in the short term.
Key Levels to Watch:
0.80812 – Immediate Resistance: This level aligns with the main descending trendline on the chart. Sustained movement above this zone could invalidate the current bearish structure and open the door to a more dominant bullish bias.
0.82980 – Distant Resistance: A zone that coincides with previous highs. If price consistently reaches this level, it could trigger the formation of a new bullish structure in the coming weeks.
0.79125 – Key Support: This level marks the recent weekly lows. A break below this zone could revive bearish momentum and potentially initiate a broader downward trend in the short term.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
long-term bearish trendUSD/CHF is in a strong long-term bearish trend, and the recent move up is likely a temporary correction, not a reversal. Price is currently testing the 0.7980–0.8000 resistance zone, which aligns with the upper boundary of a descending channel and could attract sellers. Unless the pair breaks and holds above 0.8050–0.8100, the bearish trend remains intact. A rejection in this area or a break below 0.7870 would confirm continuation to lower targets like 0.7790 and 0.7710. In short, it's a good setup to consider a sell, but wait for clear bearish confirmation.
FX Wars Episode 6 - The return of the USDA simple idea, which I will gradually fill with life:
The USD returns and with it the claim to its FX throne.
Act 1:
📊🔮🇺🇲 US retail sales, which will be published today at 14:30, will be higher than consensus expectations.
🟡-> the US consumer is alive and well and will continue to keep the US economy afloat.
Further acts will follow ✅️
USDCHF H4 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price could fall toward our buy entry at 0.7985 which is a pullback support.
Our take profit will be at 0.8039, which is a pullback resistance level.
The stop loss will be placed at 0.7938, which is a pullback support level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.