Upward trend It is expected that a trend change will take place within the current support range and the specified time frame, and we will witness the beginning of an upward trend.
USDCHF trade ideas
Earthquake in Myanmar and Safe Haven Currencies
Hello, my name is Andrea Russo and I am a Forex Trader. Today I want to talk to you about the impact of catastrophic events, such as the recent earthquake in Myanmar, on the Forex market, with a particular focus on the role of safe haven currencies. During global crises or unpredictable events, investors tend to seek safety for their capital, moving it towards assets and currencies considered stable. This phenomenon, known as "flight to safety," occurs because markets become highly volatile and uncertain, and the risk of losses increases.
Flight to safety and the importance of safe haven currencies
When dramatic events such as the earthquake in Myanmar occur, global investors prefer to protect their portfolios. This often leads to a strengthening of so-called safe haven currencies, i.e. those currencies perceived as safe and stable. The reason is that these currencies tend to maintain their value or even strengthen in times of crisis, acting as anchors of stability for financial markets.
Top Safe Haven Currencies
Common safe haven currencies include:
Swiss Franc (CHF): Switzerland is known for its economic and political stability. The Swiss Franc is often seen as a “safe haven” during times of instability.
US Dollar (USD): The dollar is considered a safe haven currency due to the strength of the American economy and its status as the global reserve currency.
Japanese Yen (JPY): Despite Japan having a high level of public debt, the yen is seen as a safe haven currency due to the country’s internal stability.
Gold and Other Safe Haven Assets: Although gold and some other commodities are not currencies, they are often considered safe havens and their value indirectly influences currency markets.
Impact of Earthquakes on Currencies and Forex
An event like the Myanmar earthquake tends to cause capital to move into these safe haven currencies for the following reasons:
Local Currency Depreciation: Myanmar’s currency, the Kyat, is coming under pressure due to economic instability and the need for large amounts of capital for reconstruction.
Safe Haven Currencies Rise: As uncertainty increases, currencies like the CHF, USD and JPY strengthen as investors seek refuge.
Market Volatility: Catastrophic events often lead to sudden price movements in major currency pairs, increasing risk while also providing opportunities for experienced Forex traders.
Commodity Impact: If the disaster area is rich in natural resources, commodities may experience price fluctuations, significantly impacting related currencies like the AUD and CAD.
Conclusion
Natural events, like the Myanmar earthquake, are a reminder of how volatile the Forex market can be during times of crisis. Closely monitoring these dynamics is essential to adapt trading strategies and protect your investments. Understanding the role of safe haven currencies in these moments allows you to identify opportunities, reduce risks and maintain portfolio stability.
I hope this article has provided you with a useful overview. If you have any questions or would like further information, do not hesitate to contact me.
USD/CHF Setup: Trendline Test with Major Upside Potential
USD/CHF is showing signs of bullish pressure as price approaches the key trendline resistance around 0.87000. Currently trading at 0.86075, a breakout above this resistance could open the doors for further upside.
🎯 Upside Targets:
TP1: 0.87700
TP2: 0.89200
🛡️ Key Support Levels:
0.85470
0.84100
A strong break and close above 0.87000 will confirm bullish continuation. Traders should watch closely for momentum and volume confirmation. The bulls are eyeing higher ground
A BIGGER PICTURE OF USDCHF Price one more reacts at a historic pullback resistance of 0.92001 what next do we expect from market participant this time? Are we likely to see further drop in price as usual or we’d see a complete change in market trend. If price falls lower to 0.85000 a longterm bear trend emerges. But until then, we may experience complete reversal in price.
#005 USDCHF Moving Average 0308SGT 01042025Add : I pasted a screenshot of how price looks like on the 5 Minutes Time Frame at the current swing high.
Price is stabbing the Major Resistance area, so, I guess the market players are content with the current price, and also, volume is sloping downwards, which shows that actually the market is quiet so the price is ranging at the major resistance area.
Would price go in my favour or against me? There's no telling to be honest. All I could do is to manage my trades and what I tell myself in my head.
0318SGT 01042025
==
Shorting USDCHF as price retraces sharply back to the Major Resistance area as shown on the chart.
I am shorting because I think price is being manipulated right now, with the huge spike upwards to the resistance area, institutions are trying to sweep up the liquidity for USD, maybe to buy more stocks as the US stocks is down currently into its 6th week after Trumps win, I think.
I heard that TikTok US is going to be sold to a US firm. Not sure how true it is.
I held my breath for like 10 days or so in the last 10 days of March because I already made some profits in my Oanda mt4 account, and broke even on TradingView paper account.
I'll be taking this trade only for now as a set, and then I would be taking a break. I'll be going for stupid reservist next week. I feel so anxious but no choice.
---
I'll be pasting what I mentioned in Ideas section below.
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I wanna sell here, but i wouldn't.
I would wait until 12 pm which is in 1 hour 7 minutes later.
I have other pairs on standby which has also touched the Major resistance and Major support already, but I am holding myself back because I promised myself that I would not trade in March anymore after getting +2.9R profit in March after 3 trades on Oanda mt4, and +0.004R profit on tradingview paper trade.
2255SGT 31032025
Just placed a Sell Limit at 0.88504, SL at 0.88737 going for 2R TP at 0.88039.
Some other pairs I am looking at has either gone without me or and in an unstable situation I am not comfortable with, so I am couldn't join them at my preferred price level, or am not going to join them.
CADCHF went without me at the support of the up channel.
EURAUD, USDSGD, GBPCAD, GBPAUD went without me, too bad.
0039SGT 01042025
Will be removing the Sell Limit if price continues without me.
Today is the first day of April so lets relax abit, even though I am actually raring to go.
I didn't get my dopamine from outside today(go do some delivery jobs) so my mental state isn't that stable, so, I better take some time and chill.
0040SGT 01042025
Will be updating the journal if I do enter the sell limit.
Also want to add, if you look at the 5 Minutes time frame, you would see price stabbing at the Major Resistance level, as the institutions are grabbing the liquidity for a push in either directions.
Power move has also been made as they create false demand for USD, coupled with today being Eid Mubarak or Hari Raya, so, the Muslims are not here with us to provide the additional liquidity. (Im from Singapore, and even though it's a chinese majority country, we celebrate Eid as a public holiday. So, there definitely is an impact there for USD, especially when the middle east is on holiday, too.)
0044SGT 01042025
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Ok I'll be turning off my laptop after I post this in a minute.
0314SGT 01042025
03-04-2025 _ Short Term Bearish Idea _ USDCHF M151- Price is in a strong down trend.
2- Looks like pullback is happening right now.
3- Hidden Divergence.
4- Expected continuation to the downside after pullback
from 38.2% - 61.8% Fibo. retracement
USDCHF 1H TimeFrame Sell ideaUSDCHF rejected from a high value zone , a sell position would be great with a proper stoploss
Analysis on the Elite 10 Pairs..There is no much of a Trade today..We are still in the USDCHF for the Sell..We are expecting more from it..
"Goooo...!!! Get to the safe-haven choppa!"And there we go... Market participants are in panic mode as tariff show kicks off. Everyone is trying to find a safe-haven like CHF and JPY. However, gold and silver are not the ones, where you need to be now.
Let's dig in!
TVC:GOLD
MARKETSCOM:USDCHF
MARKETSCOM:USDJPY
MARKETSCOM:JAPAN225
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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USDCHF The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for USDCHF below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 0.8806
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 0.8825
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDCHF - ANALYSIS👀 Observation:
Hello, everyone! I hope you're doing well. I’d like to share my analysis of USD-CHF (Swiss Franc) with you.
Looking at the chart for USD-CHF, we are currently in a weekly price range, and right now, we're at the lower boundary of this range. My expectation for USD-CHF is a small decline towards 0.84760, followed by a potential upward move towards 0.9200.
📉 Expectation:
Bearish Scenario: A small decline towards 0.84760 followed by a bullish move to 0.9200.
💡 Key Levels to Watch:
Support: 0.84760
Resistance: 0.9200
💬 What are your thoughts on USD-CHF this week? Let me know in the comments!
Trade safe
USDCHF INTRADAY sideways consolidation continuesThe USD/CHF price action exhibits bearish sentiment, supported by the prevailing downtrend. The current intraday swing high at 0.8860 serves as a critical trading level, as the pair shows potential for an oversold rally before facing bearish rejection.
Key Levels to Watch:
Key Resistance: 0.8860 (current intraday swing high)
Immediate Support: 0.8760
Lower Support Levels: 0.8720, 0.8680
Upside Resistance Levels: 0.8913, 0.8970
Bearish Scenario:
An oversold rally toward the 0.8860 level, followed by a bearish rejection, could validate the downtrend and target the immediate support at 0.8760. Continued bearish momentum could extend the decline to 0.8720 and ultimately 0.8680 over the longer timeframe.
Bullish Scenario:
A confirmed breakout above the 0.8860 resistance level, accompanied by a daily close above this mark, would negate the bearish outlook. This scenario could trigger further rallies toward the next resistance levels at 0.8913 and 0.8970.
Conclusion:
The prevailing sentiment remains bearish amid the ongoing downtrend. Traders should closely monitor the 0.8860 level for potential bearish rejections or a bullish breakout. A sustained close above this resistance could signal a shift toward bullish momentum, while failure to break above would reinforce the bearish outlook.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USDCHF Forecast: AI Signals a Bearish Shift USDCHF is showing clear signs for a short-term bearish momentum based on the latest EASY Trading AI strategy. The AI-driven analysis marks a Sell entry at 0.88135, targeting a Take Profit of 0.87997667, with risk contained by a Stop Loss at 0.88373667.This bearish projection is guided by automated detection of weakening bullish impulses and strengthening bearish indicators, considering recent price levels and volatility patterns. Traders should closely monitor these defined parameters, adjusting risk management precisely according to the provided stop loss.
USDCHF Potential ShortThe pair is near its weekly FVG. A Daily sell side FVG from the weekly FVG will confirm its sell, keeping in view that DXY is still bullish.
UC UpdateBoth the USD and CHF are safe-haven currencies, but their behavior depends on global conditions. If uncertainties (e.g., trade issues or economic slowdowns) rise, demand for the CHF could increase, lowering the pair. On the flip side, strong U.S. economic data could lift the USD and the pair
For now let's wait for data to be released
Could the Swissie bounce from here?The price has bounced off the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.8797
1st Support: 0.8760
1st Resistance: 0.8918
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDCHF Head & Shoulders: 400+ Pip Drop or Fakeout?USDCHF is showing a 131-day head and shoulders pattern, pointing to a possible 434-pip drop if it breaks below 0.8753. Even partial moves offer solid risk-reward, with setups ranging from 3.2 to 5.1. But be cautious—there’s also a chance of a failed pattern with upside potential. Fundamentals could decide the real breakout direction.
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USD/CHF Swiss-dollar Forex Bank Heist Plan (Day/Scalping Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the USD/CHF "Swiss-dollar" Forex Bank . Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise to Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level.
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 1H timeframe (0.87900) Day / scalping trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 0.89150 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
USD/CHF "Swiss-dollar" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Day/Scalping Trade) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors.
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets.. go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
USD/CHF Market Analysis – Potential Bullish ReversalThe USD/CHF pair is currently in a downtrend, as indicated by the overall bearish price action. However, the chart suggests a potential reversal scenario.
Price is approaching a key H4 demand zone, which previously acted as strong support. If this level holds, a bullish move could be anticipated. The projected market structure indicates a possible pullback before a continuation upwards, aligning with the larger trend shift.
Traders should monitor price reaction within the demand zone, as a break below could indicate further downside continuation, while a strong rejection may confirm a bullish reversal.
Bullish bounce?The Swissie (USD/CHF) has bounced off the pivot which is a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which lines up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 0.8797
1st Support: 0.8759
1st Resistance: 0.8911
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDCHF W pattern in a down channel, bullish Signal ?Target 0.9 USDCHF formed a double bottom W pattern in the down trend channel look to be Bullish and will it break the channel resistance ? if breaks can easily go up to 0.9 again.
USDCHF Short Bias ! The pair is in a clear downtrend, trading below the moving averages and facing strong resistance around 0.8859. The price attempted to break this level but failed, reinforcing the likelihood of continued downside movement.
Expected Scenario: Further bearish continuation after this rejection, targeting 0.8660 as a potential support zone.
Bearish Confirmation Factors:
Price staying below key resistance.
Moving averages acting as dynamic resistance.
Overall bearish market structure.
