Get started

U.S. Dollar / Swiss Franc

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Technicals Seasonals Economic Calendar

USDCHF trade ideas

USD Weakens as Fed Cuts Loom, Safe-Haven CHF GainsMacro: - Economic concerns in the US, including slowdown risks and trade policy uncertainties, have weakened the US dollar against the swiss franc, benefiting from its safe-haven status. - Traders expect 0.75% in Fed rate cuts this year, with a Jun cut fully priced. Investors now await Wed's US inflation report for further cues. - Meanwhile, net long dollar positions in currency futures markets have significantly dropped from Jan's nine-year high, which may reduce the further extreme reallocation away from USD. Technical: - USDCHF bounced after reaching the support cluster of 0.8770-0.8800, which coincides with the 100% Fibonacci Extension. The price is below both EMAs, indicating persistent bearish momentum. - If USDCHF remains above the support area of 0.8770-0.8800, the price may retest the resistance area of 0.8900-0.8915. - On the contrary, a closing below 0.8770 may prompt a continuous decline to retest the following support area of 0.8617-0.8650, confluence with the 161.8% Fibonacci Extension. Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Short
by DatTong
USDCHF H1 | Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H1 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 0.8815, a pullback support. Our take profit is set at 0.8855, a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 61.8% Fiboancci retracement. The stop loss is placed at 0.8774, an overlap support level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
UPDATE ON USD/CHF TRADEUSD/CHF 15M - As you can see price has recently traded down to set a higher low in this market round our entry point which is great as this low will soon be seen as protected, this is once the high it creates breaks the previous high. I am confident with this trade to leave it running overnight, as I say once we break the last high set we should see that low set be protected and if price is to follow the laws of bullishness we shouldn't see price break the low set there, meaning our entry is safe. This trade is currently running + 34 pips. (+ 2%) 2RR A big well done to everyone who jumped in on this trade, please make sure you are taking partials and applying safety measures with the positions you are placing. If you have any questions with regards to the analysis we have performed today or the trade itself then please drop me a message or comment below and I will get back to you asap!
Long
by Lukegforex
USDCHF.. MINE TARGET BUY>>The proposed USDCHF trade idea presents a logical technical setup, but several factors should be considered before confirmation: ### *Technical Rationale* 1. *Bollinger Bands*: The bounce from the lower band suggests potential oversold conditions, but confirmation above 0.8820 (likely a key resistance-turned-support) is critical to validate bullish momentum. 2. *Stochastic Oscillator*: Exiting oversold signals weakening downward momentum, though this alone isn’t sufficient—watch for a bullish crossover (e.g., %K > %D). 3. *Support Level*: The "critical support" likely aligns with recent swing lows or a psychological level. A strong bounce here adds credibility. ### *Key Considerations* - *Trend Context*: - If USDCHF is in a broader downtrend (e.g., driven by CHF strength or USD weakness), this bounce may be a short-lived retracement. - A break above 0.8820 could signal a near-term reversal, especially if paired with rising volume and bullish candlestick patterns (e.g., engulfing bars). - *Confluence*: - Look for alignment with RSI (>50), MACD histogram turning positive, or momentum divergences. - Monitor risk sentiment—CHF often strengthens during market turmoil, which could cap gains. ### *Risk Management* - *Entry/Stop*: - A conservative stop loss (e.g., below 0.8880) limits risk to ~300 pips. - Ensure a risk-reward ratio ≥ 1:2 (targets at 800/1300 pips). - *Confirmation*: - Wait for a close above 0.8820 with strong bullish follow-through to avoid false breaks. ### *Conclusion* The setup is plausible *if*: - Price consolidates above 0.8820 with bullish confirmation signals. - The broader market context (e.g., USD momentum, risk sentiment) supports upside. *Verdict*: Cautiously agree, but traders should wait for clear confirmation and manage risk tightly. 👍 with disciplined execution.
Long
by Algo_Trading_Mql5
USDCHF to find sellers at market price?USDCHF - 24h expiry There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end. 20 4hour EMA is at 0.8816. Bespoke resistance is located at 0.8800. Our outlook is bearish. The weaker US dollar has boosted performance. We look to Sell at 0.8803 (stop at 0.8843) Our profit targets will be 0.8703 and 0.8683 Resistance: 0.8811 / 0.8830 / 0.8845 Support: 0.8765 / 0.8740 / 0.8720 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
USD/CHF BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG Hello, Friends! We are going long on the USD/CHF with the target of 0.895 level, because the pair is oversold and will soon hit the support line below. We deduced the oversold condition from the price being near to the lower BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is red and gives us a counter-signal. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Long
by EliteTradingSignals
1
UPDATE ON USD/CHF TRADEUSD/CHF 15M - As you can see price is playing out well up to now, we are seeing that price is respecting these areas of Demand and price is trading higher from them. As we are respecting these areas and new highs are being created it further backs our analysis and running trade to take this market long. This trade was placed based on a BOS to the upside and price respecting these areas. This trade is running + 35 pips. (+ 2%) 2RR It is important that you are all managing your trades correctly and you are taking partials throughout your position. You could also look to apply further safety measures. A big well done to anyone who got involved in this position, if you have any questions with regards to the analysis or the trade itself then drop me a message or comment below!
Long
by Lukegforex
USD/CHF Short Trade Setup📉 Bearish Outlook on USD/CHF – Here's Why I'm Going Short! 📉 🔎 Fundamental Analysis: Swiss Franc's Safe-Haven Appeal: Despite recent rate cuts by the Swiss National Bank (SNB), the Swiss franc continues to attract investors seeking stability amid global uncertainties. SNB Chairman Martin Schlegel emphasized that the franc is likely to remain a safe-haven currency. ​ marketwatch.com Reuters SNB's Monetary Policy: The SNB's recent 50 basis point rate cut to 0.5% was a proactive measure to address low inflation and prevent excessive franc appreciation. This move indicates the SNB's commitment to maintaining economic stability. ​ US Dollar Dynamics: The US dollar has been under pressure due to shifting Federal Reserve policies and economic data suggesting a potential slowdown. This environment may lead to further USD depreciation against the CHF.​ 📊 Technical Analysis: Downtrend Confirmation: USD/CHF has been on a consistent downtrend, breaking below key support levels. ​ actionforex.com Bearish Trendline: A prominent bearish trend line is forming with resistance at 0.8825 on the 4-hour chart, indicating sustained selling pressure. ​ actionforex.com Moving Averages: The pair is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, reinforcing the bearish momentum.
Short
by FaithdrivenTrades
Decision timeUSDCHF Multi-Timeframe Analysis Daily Chart Observations: ✅ Trend Still Bearish – No significant shift in structure. ✅ Price Holding Below Rejection Zone – No break above yet. ✅ MACD Still Bearish – No sign of reversal on the daily yet. 4H Chart Observations: ✅ Short-Term Push Up – Price attempting to re-enter downtrend channel. ⚠️ Will It Break or Reject? – Price at critical decision point. ⚠️ MACD Starting to Flatten – Upside momentum slowing down. 1H Chart Observations: ⚠️ Losing Momentum at Resistance – Struggling to push higher. ✅ Potential Rejection Area – Confluence with trendline & moving averages. ⚠️ MACD Histogram Shrinking – Weakening bullish pressure. ⸻ Key Trading Decision: Break or Rejection? Scenario 1: Price Breaks Above Downtrend Channel → Look for Buys • If 1H closes above trendline with strong volume, the move up may continue. • Target 0.88500 - 0.89000 for a short-term retracement. Scenario 2: Price Rejects and Bounces Down → Look for Sells • If 1H closes with strong rejection wicks, this confirms a fake-out. • Look for M5 or M15 bearish confirmation to enter short. • Target a move back toward 0.87700 - 0.87500 zone.
by AutoMarkets
USD/CHF Short Setup – Institutional Flow & Liquidity TargetsUSD/CHF is setting up for a bearish move, with confluence from technical structure, order flow, and fundamental events. Here’s a complete breakdown of the setup, execution plan, and institutional positioning. 📊 Trade Execution & Technical Breakdown 🔹 Entry Zone: Price rejected from the 0.8786 - 0.8794 supply zone, aligning with 0.62 - 0.79 Fibonacci retracement levels. 🔹 Confluences: ✅ Bearish trend continuation – Lower highs forming. ✅ Liquidity grab above minor resistance, suggesting smart money distribution. ✅ Break & retest structure confirms potential downside. 🔹 Target Zones: 📉 First target: 0.8767 (previous low & liquidity area). 📉 Final target: 0.8750 (-0.62 Fibonacci extension). 📌 Market Structure: Higher timeframe bearish bias remains intact. Supertrend (4H) signals continued downside. EMA alignment (1D) confirms selling pressure. 🏦 Institutional Positioning & Market Sentiment 📌 Commitment of Traders (COT) Report Insights: 📈 USD: Institutional long positions declining, indicating potential USD weakness. 📉 CHF: Increased net short positioning, suggesting institutional flow favoring CHF strength. 📌 Liquidity & Order Flow Data: Market depth shows heavy short positioning near resistance. Volume profile indicates a lack of demand above 0.8780, confirming weak bullish momentum. ⚡ Fundamental Drivers – Key News Events 📊 Macroeconomic Data Impacting USD/CHF: 📌 Employment Trends Index (108.35) – USD strength limited. 📌 T-Bill Auction & Treasury Buyback – Potential liquidity shifts affecting risk sentiment. 📌 Fed’s Beige Book & Policy Outlook – Key for USD direction. 🛑 Impact on Trade: ✔️ USD uncertainty fuels risk-off flows into CHF. ✔️ Short-term retracement provides an ideal short entry before further downside. 📈 Volatility & Liquidity Insights 📌 Prime Market Terminal Data: ATR shows increased volatility, supporting large price swings. Institutional short positioning rising, indicating strong bearish control. DMX data suggests liquidity buildup below 0.8760. 🔥 Conclusion – High-Probability Short Setup ✅ Bearish trend structure aligns with institutional positioning. ✅ Liquidity grab above resistance confirms distribution phase. ✅ Confluence of technicals, fundamentals, and order flow supports downside movement. 📌 Short Bias: Targeting 0.8767 → 0.8750. 📌 Key Invalidations: A break above 0.8800 could shift sentiment. 💬 What’s your take on USD/CHF? Let me know in the comments! 🚀📉
Short
by LDForex_
USDCHF Key Trading Level to watch at 0.8865The USD/CHF currency pair is currently exhibiting a bearish sentiment, as evidenced by the loss of the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The key trading level to watch is 0.8865, which represents the current intraday swing low and the falling resistance trendline level. Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to break above the 0.8865 level and faces a bearish rejection, it could trigger a downside move targeting the support levels at: 0.8735 - Initial downside support 0.8700 - Secondary support level 0.8600 - Longer-term support Bullish Scenario: Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above the 0.8865 resistance level, followed by a daily close above that point, would negate the bearish outlook. This scenario could open the path for further rallies, targeting: 0.8918 - Immediate resistance level 0.8965 - Next potential resistance level Conclusion: Traders should closely monitor the 0.8865 level for directional clues. A rejection from this level would favor short positions targeting lower support zones, while a breakout and daily close above would support long positions aiming for higher resistance levels. Proper risk management and trend confirmation are crucial for successful trading in this volatile environment. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation