USDCHF pulling back after 400 pip drop โ watching for sellsSince breaking out of the 0.88349โ0.87716 range a few weeks ago, USDCHF ๐บ๐ธ๐จ๐ญ fell over 400 pips, creating a new swing low at 0.83653 and then a lower low at 0.80862.
Currently, we are seeing a pullback back into the 0.83653 intraday swing point.
๐ This is where Iโm watching for rejection to stack into new sells, with additional sells to be added at 0.80862.
๐ฏ Overall target remains 0.78414 โ around 500 pips away.
USDCHF trade ideas
USDCHF Short Term Buy Trading Plan Update!!!Hi Traders, on April 24th I shared this idea "USDCHF - Expecting Bullish Continuation In The Short Term"
I expected further continuation higher from the marked Fibonacci support zones. You can read the full post using the link above.
Price reached the first Fibonacci support zone, respected it and bounced higher as expected!!!
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, SHARE ๐, and COMMENT โ! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! ๐
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USDCHF seems to continue its bearsih rallythe price made a decent pullback, but now it looks like that trend will be bearish as soon as it breaks the marked support level. The overall trend is bearish, and more importantly, DXY is falling sharply, which suggests that the trend will remain downwards. Other useful information has also been given in the chart with also short position been drawn
USDCHF: More Bearish Order FlowSimilar to USDJPY , USDCHF has exhibited a change of character, initiating a bearish order flow for the week. Price has reached a key point of interest where a potential continuation to the downside could occur. The DXY is reflecting similar behaviour, supporting the bearish outlook.
An entry position has been established, and now it is a matter of monitoring the trade and allowing the market to develop accordingly.
USDCHF BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISWe are currently observing the USD/CHF pair, which is trading around 0.8225 as of April 23, 2025. The pair has recently experienced a slight uptick, driven by renewed demand for the US dollar following President Trump's decision to retract threats against Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. This move has alleviated investor concerns regarding the Fed's independence, providing a temporary boost to the greenback.
Despite this short-term rally, the overall outlook for USD/CHF remains bearish. The pair is trading below the critical 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering near 36, indicating continued selling pressure. The immediate resistance level is identified at 0.8360, while the first support level to monitor is at 0.8121.
Fundamentally, the Swiss franc has appreciated significantly, surging approximately 9% against the US dollar in April alone. This appreciation is attributed to global uncertainties stemming from shifting US trade policies, which have increased demand for safe-haven assets like the franc. The Swiss National Bank (SNB) is under pressure to address this rapid rise, as it poses risks to their inflation targets and the competitiveness of Swiss exports.
In conclusion, while there may be short-term fluctuations influenced by geopolitical developments and central bank communications, the prevailing trend for USD/CHF appears bearish. Traders should remain cautious and monitor key support and resistance levels, as well as fundamental factors that could impact the pair's trajectory.
USDCHF LONG FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25USDCHF LONG FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25
Professional Risk Managers๐
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update๐
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Letโs see what price action is telling us today!
๐กTrade confluences
- Weekly order block rejection
- Weekly imbalance to be filled
- Daily bullish close
- 4H 50 EMA supporting long position
- Intraday breaks of structure
- 15โ order block created
- Tokyo ranges to be filled
๐ Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
๐The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
๐กFail to plan. Plan to fail.
๐It has always been that simple.
โค๏ธGood luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
๐ฏTrade consistent, FRGNT X
USDCHF: Classic Trend-Following Trading Setup Analyzing the price movement of ๐USDCHF.
Following a significant downward trend, the price started to consolidate within a horizontal channel on a 4-hour chart.
The violation of the channel's lower boundary indicates a strong bearish indication, suggesting a likely continuation of the downward trend.
Goal - 1.4902
USD/CHF New Entry Valid After D Closure , Do You Agree ?Here is my opinion on USD/CHF After it gave me +50 Pips 0 Drawdown , if you checked my first analysis on USD/CHF This week , you will see that the price follow the analysis 100% and i`m waiting for second entry on this pair after D Closure above this strong Res shown in the chart , if we have this closure , i`m sure we can add new entry with 250 pips target .
This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
USDCHF BUY?RSI on daily time frame is showing oversold which could be a sign of exhaustion.
Based on Daily & 4HR TF, the market seems to be forming a possible reversal pattern which could lead to a possible reversal.
We could see BUYERS coming in strong should the current level hold.
Disclaimer:
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account.
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USD/CHF Bearish Tri Breakout - 5 Signs of a Strong Bearish BreakOANDA:USDCHF Bears have started the week off hot with Price having dropped 1.16% at the time of publication since Market Open. This price decline has seen a Breakout and fresh low after price has been caught in a Bearish Triangle Pattern, formed by Lower Highs into a Support Level.
1) Price has been trading well Below the 200 EMA.
2) After Price makes contact of the 34 EMA Band while attempting a Breakout of the Falling Resistance of the Triangle, it is sent back down into pattern.
3) After the rejection at the Falling Resistance, we see an influx of Volume enter the Markets, ultimately leaning Bearish.
4) All the Price Action while in Pattern has happened while the RSI has been Below 50, adding Bearish Pressure.
5) Price has made a strong Bearish Candle Break so far of the Support Level of the Triangle and the currently Low of Price @ .80684 has given us a new Lower Low, breaking the Support Level Low @ .80983, suggesting Bears have taken the Support Level and will turn it Resistance.
** With all Indications combined, I believe we are looking at a True Bearish Breakout of the Triangle and will be looking for a Break & Retest Set-Up!
--> Once Price Confirms the Break and Closes, We should expect a Retest of the Break of Support between ( .80983 - .81141 ) to deliver potential Short Opportunities!
Now, Fundamentals:
Price Action lately has heavily been influenced by a couple factors:
- Federal Reserves current dilemma with deciding to not cut Interest Rates in the assumption that the Tariffs will Rise Inflation while the CPI y/y on April 10th printed a -.4% drop from 2.8% to 2.4% which could create complications later if Interest Rates are not cut soon enough.
(If Global Trade slows, that alone will Inflate prices, Tariffs (once applied) will affect as well)
- ECB has made the decision to cut Interest Rates 25 bps from 2.65% to 2.4%. This alone in-time will start the act of slowing the economy so the euro doesn't inflate too much and, in theory, will make the Euro seem less attractive for foreign investment.
This could leave investors to lean towards one of the worlds most "Safe-haven" currencies, the Swiss Franc with the Franc currently hitting a 10-Year High!
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USD/CHF H4 | Heading into a pullback resistanceUSD/CHF is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.8130 which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 0.8277 which is a level that sits above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and a multi-swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 0.7932 which is a support level that aligns with the 100.0% Fibonacci projection.
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Market Analysis: USD/CHF โ 4H ChartThe USD/CHF pair is exhibiting a **clear bearish trend** on the 4-hour chart, with price currently consolidating around the **0.81500** level after a sharp decline. This consolidation is forming a **range-bound structure**, with support near the recent H4 low and resistance around the **0.82500** zone.
Key Observations:
Bearish momentum remains dominant, evidenced by lower highs and lower lows.
Price is currently trading just above a well-tested H4 support level.
There are two probable outcomes from this consolidation zone:
Potential Scenarios:
1. Bullish Breakout:
A rejection from the H4 support could see price push back towards the **0.82500** level.
A breakout beyond this resistance could lead to further recovery towards **0.83500** or higher.
2. **Bearish Continuation**:
A break below the H4 support zone would confirm further downside momentum.
This could lead price towards the next key support around **0.80000**, with potential extension to the **0.78500** region.
Conclusion:
USD/CHF is currently at a decision point within a broader bearish structure. Traders should watch for a breakout from the current range to confirm the next directional move, with **0.82500** and **0.80000** acting as critical inflection zones.
Bullish bounce off 50% Fibonacci support?USD/CHF is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8114
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8067
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.8241
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (โVantage Global Limitedโ, โweโ) by a third-party provider (โEverest Fortune Groupโ). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDCHF Is Very Bullish! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDCHF.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 0.807.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 0.824 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Possible Long Setup on USDCHFA structure break occurred at the 0.8123 level, shifting the market from a bearish structure to a local bullish one โ which now has the potential to continue higher.
With that in mind, a long position can be considered on a renewed break above 0.8123. The target is 0.8267.
If the setup is triggered, the stop-loss should be placed either below the most recent (optimal) local low, or simply at 0.8065.
USDCHF Swing UpdateUSDCHF has officially broken out of the 0.82485 consolidation zone. Based on structure and momentum, we could be seeing a deeper pullback toward 0.83366, which has been a key level historically and would make sense for retesting the bearish structure.
If price fails to reach that level or rejects sooner, Iโll be watching for continuation setups below 0.81394 and 0.80464. A clean break and retest of either would offer strong selling opportunities targeting 0.70517 for a longer-term swing setup.
Momentum remains bearish, so staying patient for high-quality entries is key.
USD/CHF "The Swissy" Forex Market Heist Plan Bearish (Swing/Day)๐Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!๐
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, ๐ค๐ฐโ๏ธ
Based on ๐ฅThief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis๐ฅ, here is our master plan to heist the USD/CHF "The Swissy" Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. ๐๐ธ"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!๐ช๐๐
Entry ๐ : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise to Place sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most nearest or swing, low or high level for Pullback Entries.
Stop Loss ๐:
๐Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing High or Low level Using the 4H timeframe (1.81400) Day/Swing trade basis.
๐SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target ๐ฏ: 1.79300 (or) Escape Before the Target
๐ฐ๐ต๐ธUSD/CHF "The Swissy" Forex Market Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade) is currently experiencing a Bearish trend.., driven by several key factors.๐๐๐
๐ฐ๐๏ธGet & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets with Overall outlook score... go ahead to check ๐๐๐๐๐
โ ๏ธTrading Alert : News Releases and Position Management ๐ฐ ๐๏ธ ๐ซ๐
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
๐Supporting our robbery plan ๐ฅHit the Boost Button๐ฅ will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money ๐ฐ๐ต. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.๐๐ช๐คโค๏ธ๐๐
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned ๐ค๐ฑโ๐ค๐ค๐คฉ