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U.S. Dollar / Swiss Franc

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USDCHF trade ideas

USDCHF – Reversal Setup Building Above 0.79 SupportUSDCHF has broken out of its steep downward channel and is now forming a potential bullish reversal base above the key support zone at 0.7940–0.7870. Price action suggests momentum could be shifting in favor of the bulls, with upside targets sitting at 0.8100 (Fibonacci 38.2%) and 0.8210 (previous resistance and 61.8% retracement). 🔍 Technical Structure: Clean descending channel now broken. Price holding above May–June lows, forming a potential higher low. First target: 0.8100 zone. Final target: 0.8210 resistance. Stop: Below 0.7870 structure low. 🧠 Fundamentals: USD Outlook: Bullish tilt as Fed members push back against early cuts. Markets eye July 11 CPI, which could confirm inflation stickiness and reinforce USD strength. CHF Outlook: Weak bias, as the SNB has turned more dovish. With safe-haven demand easing and growth outlook softening, CHF is losing favor across the board. Global sentiment: Risk appetite improving as geopolitical concerns (e.g., Strait of Hormuz, Iran) temporarily ease—removing upward pressure on CHF. ⚠️ Risk Factors: A surprise drop in U.S. CPI this week could shift USDCHF sharply lower. Renewed geopolitical tensions may revive CHF demand suddenly. Fed speak and yields must remain supportive for this structure to play out. 🔁 Asset Dynamics: USDCHF tends to lag behind DXY and USDJPY. Watch those pairs for confirmation. It can also follow moves in US10Y yields and react inversely to Gold volatility (safe-haven flow shifts). ✅ Trade Bias: Bullish TP1: 0.8100 TP2: 0.8210 SL: Below 0.7870 Event to Watch: 🇺🇸 U.S. CPI – July 11 📌 If CPI confirms sticky inflation, USDCHF could rally toward the upper retracement zones quickly. Watch for confirmation candles near breakout.
Long
by ultreosforex
12
USDCHF The Target Is DOWN! SELL! My dear followers, I analysed this chart on USDCHF and concluded the following: The market is trading on 0.8050 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 0.7970 Safe Stop Loss - 0.8093 About Used Indicators: A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
Still looking to sell on rallies — nothing’s changedStill looking to sell on rallies — nothing’s changed. The level on the chart? That’s where buyers jumped in before. Makes sense to target it again. So… why do we say there are "suffering buyers" at this level? Let’s rewind a bit (see Chart #2) and imagine price at the point marked on the chart. At that moment, price had clearly returned to a visible local level — 0.8123 — a zone that naturally attracted traders to jump in on the fly , or triggered limit orders . But here’s what happened next: Selling pressure overpowered buying interest — and price moved swiftly lower . That’s when those buyers got caught. That’s when the pain started. 🔍 What Makes This Level Special? Broker data from open sources confirms that open positions are still sitting at this level — meaning a lot of traders are underwater, hoping for a recovery that may never come. It’s not just technical structure. It’s crowded sentiment , failed expectations , and trapped capital — all wrapped into one. 🧠 This is what we call a "suffering trader" zone — and it often becomes a magnet for future selling . 📌 Follow along for more breakdowns on flow, positioning, and market sentiment .
Short
by ClashChartsTeam
USD/CHF on the rise!The recent rebound of the US dollar has led to a decline in the Swiss franc against it, similar to other major currencies. The US dollar is also expected to show further strength in the coming period, supported by recent positive economic data, most notably, and the annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) - which came in at 2.7%, the highest reading in the last four releases. This last CPI reading holds particular significance, as the Federal Reserve (Fed) is closely watching it, especially with expectations that the impact of tariffs may start to appear from this and the next reading. Positive inflation data and a stable labor market give the Fed the flexibility to maintain steady interest rates in the near term, which could support further USD strength. The impact of all this economic data is expected to diminish as we approach August 1, the date when tariffs are set to resume, according to US President Donald Trump. The world is closely watching how the tariff issue will unfold and whether trade agreements will be reached before that date. All of this directly affects global markets and the US dollar. For these reasons, traders should closely monitor the news, as developments are rapidly changing and appear daily, especially statements from the US President regarding tariffs. Technical outlook From a technical perspective, the USD/CHF pair is trading in an uptrend on the 4-hour chart. Its recent pullback to the 0.79419 level is considered corrective, with the uptrend likely to resume and target the 0.79997 level. However, if the price drops below the 0.79193 level and forms a lower low on the 4-hour chart, this would signal a trend reversal from bullish to bearish, invalidating the bullish scenario mentioned above.
by CFI
USD/CHF – Bullish Reversal Setup with AB=CD Harmonics (1H TimefrWe’re closely watching USD/CHF, which has been in a bearish trend but is now showing strong signs of a bullish reversal. A bullish divergence has formed, and the price has reached the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) as projected by the AB=CD harmonic pattern. This suggests that the trend may already be reversing. Additionally, Myfxbook sentiment shows 93% of retail traders are long, reinforcing overall bullish bias. However, for confirmation, we’re waiting for a breakout above the last lower high (LH) to ensure a shift in structure before entering. 🔹 Pair: USD/CHF 🔹 Timeframe: 1H 🔹 Trend: Bearish (reversal expected) 🔹 Divergence: Bullish 🔹 Harmonic Pattern: AB=CD (PRZ hit) 🔹 Sentiment: 93% Long (Myfxbook) 🔹 Bias: Bullish 🔹 Entry (Buy Stop): 0.79463 🔹 Stop Loss: 0.78693 🔹 Take Profit 1: 0.80233 🔹 Lot Size: 0.20 🔹 Risk/Reward: 1:1 🔹 Risk: $200 🔹 Potential Reward: $200 🎯 Strategy: Entry will be triggered only after the breakout of the previous LH, confirming a shift to bullish structure and validating the harmonic reversal. 📌 #USDCHF #ABCDPattern #BullishDivergence #HarmonicTrading #TrendReversal #SmartMoneyMoves #BreakoutSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #ForexSignals #RiskManagement #1HChart #ForexTradeIdeas
Long
by asimafridi
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is rising towards the pivot, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the 1st support. Pivot: 0.8076 1st Support: 0.7879 1st Resistance: 0.8295 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
USD/CHF Swissie Heist Plan: Rob the Trend, Ride the Bull!🔐💰 USD/CHF Swissie Forex Heist 💰🔐 “Rob the Trend, Escape the Trap – Thief Style Day/Swing Master Plan” 🌎 Hola! Hello! Ola! Marhaba! Bonjour! Hallo! Dear Market Looters, Swing Snipers & Scalping Shadows, 🕶️💼💸 Welcome to another elite Thief Trading Operation, targeting the USD/CHF "SWISSIE" vault with precision. Based on sharp technical blueprints & macroeconomic footprints, we're not just trading – we're executing a Forex Bank Heist. This robbery mission is based on our day/swing Thief strategy – perfect for those who plan, act smart, and love stacking pips like bricks of cash. 💵🧱 💹 Mission Brief (Trade Setup): 🎯 Entry Point – Open the Vault: Swipe the Bullish Loot! Price is prepped for an upside raid – jump in at any live price OR set smart Buy Limit orders near the 15m/30m recent pullback zones (last swing low/high). Use DCA / Layering for better entries, thief-style. 🧠 Thief Logic: Let the market come to you. Pullbacks are entry doors – robbers don’t rush into traps. 🛑 Stop Loss – Exit Strategy If Caught: 📍 Primary SL: Below recent swing low on the 4H chart (around 0.79500) 📍 Adjust based on lot size, risk, and number of stacked entries. This SL isn’t your leash – it’s your getaway route in case the plan backfires. 🏴‍☠️ Profit Target – Escape Before the Cops Arrive: 🎯 Target Zone: 0.81700 (Or dip out earlier if the vault cracks fast – Robbers exit before alarms trigger!) 📌 Trailing SL recommended as we climb up the electric red zone. 🔥 Swissie Heist Conditions: 📈 USD/CHF showing upward bias based on: Momentum shift Reversal zone bounce Strong USD sentiment & macro factors ✅ COT positioning ✅ Intermarket correlations ✅ Sentiment & Quant data ➡️ Do your fundamental recon 🔎 ⚔️ Scalpers – Here's Your Mini-Mission: Only play LONGS. No counter-robbing. 💸 Big bags? Enter with aggression. 💼 Small stack? Follow the swing crew. 💾 Always trail your SL – protect the stash. 🚨 News Alert – Avoid Laser Alarms: 🗓️ During high-volatility releases: ⚠️ No new trades ⚠️ Use trailing SLs ⚠️ Watch for spikes & fakeouts – the vault traps amateurs 💣 Community Boost Request: If this plan helps you loot the market: 💥 Smash that Boost Button 💥 Let’s strengthen the Thief Army 💼 The more we grow, the faster we move, and the deeper we steal. Every like = one more bulletproof trade. #TradeLikeAThief 🏆🚨💰 📌 Legal Escape Note: This chart is a strategic overview, not personalized advice. Always use your judgment, manage risk, and review updated data before executing trades. 📌 Market is dynamic – so keep your eyes sharp, your plan tighter, and your strategy ruthless. 🕶️ Stay dangerous. Stay profitable. See you soon for the next Forex Vault Hit. Until then – Lock. Load. Loot.
Long
by The-Thief
USDCHF long term bullish playHello, The USDCHF is back to where it last traded in mid 2011. This reflects a significant weakening of the U.S. dollar against the Swiss franc, erasing over a decade of gains. It suggests growing investor demand for safe-haven assets like the franc — possibly driven by concerns around U.S. interest rate policy, inflation trends, or broader global uncertainty. The last time the dollar was this weak against the franc was more than 13 years ago. While a weaker dollar is seen as good for the United States, we see a long term buy opportunity for this pair from the current level based on technical analysis. The pair is now trading at the bottom of the range. Next week will be an important time for this pair as we wait for the inflation data. This will be key in guiding what the FED might do during the next meeting towards the end of the month.
Long
by thesharkke
USDCHF Forming Descending ChannelUSDCHF is currently moving within a well-defined descending channel on the daily timeframe. The structure has been respecting this pattern for several months, and we are now approaching a potential breakout zone. Price recently tapped the midline of the channel and showed early signs of bullish rejection. I'm closely monitoring this pair as it builds momentum for a possible bullish reversal, either from a deeper retest at the lower channel boundary or directly breaking above the upper trendline. On the fundamental side, today's shift in sentiment around the US dollar is quite clear. After a series of weaker US inflation reports and growing market anticipation of a Fed rate cut, USD has come under pressure. However, the Swiss franc is also showing signs of weakness, especially after the Swiss National Bank became the first major central bank to cut interest rates earlier this year and is likely to remain dovish through the remainder of 2025. This monetary policy divergence creates space for USDCHF to rally as investors price in a potential stabilization or rebound in the dollar. Risk sentiment also plays a role here. With global equities slightly pulling back and geopolitical tensions simmering, safe haven demand is mixed. While CHF typically benefits in risk-off environments, the lack of recent SNB hawkishness gives USDCHF bulls a clearer edge, especially if US data stabilizes or improves. Technically, I’m anticipating a potential false break to the downside before a sharp bullish wave toward 0.8300 and beyond. Momentum indicators are flattening, and with volume starting to pick up on bullish candles, this setup has potential. I’ll be looking to add further confirmation as price approaches the lower trendline or breaks out with clean structure. Keep a close eye — this setup could turn into a strong profit opportunity in the coming days.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
2
USD/CHF Update: Killer Short Trigger Ready to Pop!Welcome back, traders, it’s Skeptic from Skeptic Lab! 😎 We’ve got a juicy short trigger on USD/CHF that could deliver serious profits if it fires. Stay with me till the end to nail this trade! Let’s dive into the Daily and 4-hour timeframes for the full picture. Currently at $0.79671, here’s the play: ✔️ Daily Timeframe: We’re in a rock-solid bearish major trend . After hitting a high of $ 0.84649 , we broke the key support at $ 0.80573 , resuming the bearish trend. A pullback to the broken $ 0.80573 level is likely, as it aligns with the 0.6 Fibonacci retracement from the prior 4-hour wave. Trading with the trend is smartest, so shorts are the focus. If you want to long, go with lower risk and close positions faster. 📊 4-Hour Timeframe (Futures Triggers): Short Trigger: Two options here. Either enter on a trendline break (no extra trigger needed, as continuation trendlines mean the prior trend resumes on a break), or, for a safer play, short on a break of support at $ 0.79604 —this needs minimal confirmation. Long Trigger: Wait for a break of the resistance zone at $ 0.80573 . Confirm with RSI entering overbought. Check my RSI guide ( link ) for how I use it differently—game-changing stuff! 📉 Key Insight: Stick to the bearish trend for higher-probability trades. Shorts at $0.79604 or on a trendline break are your best bet. 🔔Risk management is your lifeline—cap risk at max 1%–2% per trade to stay in the game. I’ll catch you in the next analysis—good luck, fam! <3 💬 Let’s Talk! Which USD/CHF trigger are you locked on? Hit the comments, and let’s crush it together! 😊 If this update lit your fire, smash that boost—it fuels my mission! ✌️
Short
by SkepticLab
1
Bullish bounce?USD/CHF is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.7987 Why we like it: There is a pullback support. Stop loss: 0.7924 Why we like it: There is a pullback support. Take profit: 0.8068 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets