USDCHFFalling wedge formation (or triangle):
The upper boundary is the resistance line connecting the lower highs.
The lower boundary is the support line running along the local lows.
The wedge is narrowing - a classic sign of potential volatility compression before the exit.
Three touches of the lower boundary (orange circles):
This confirms the strength of the support level.
Repeated rebounds from the same level increase the probability of its upward breakout.
Possible scenario (yellow arrows):
Another upward rebound is expected within the wedge.
If there is a breakout of the upper boundary of the wedge with momentum - this is a confirmation of the bullish signal
Forecast:
Base scenario: wedge breakout upwards and growth.
Alternative risk: if the price breaks the support level downwards
(where there were 3 touches), this will be the invalidation of the pattern - a sharp collapse is possible.
USDCHF trade ideas
USDCHF Next Week Possible TrendBased on this week's cycles in Swiss Franc/Dollar, we can expect to move towards a sellside liquidity from next week.
Of course, everything is possible and again, more patience than the previous analysis will show the result.
According to the divergence data with the dollar index and the reaction to the 4H Fair value gap
We can consider liquidity pulling downward
But trades should be time-sensitive and according to a trading plan and complete risk management.
As a rule, this analysis will be updated over time.
Be successful and rich.
USDCHF - we are back in businessTeam, yesterday we went long USDCHF and our target hit.
The market dropped because yesterday is option expired
We are now going LONG with the target as per the instruction range.
Remember to take 50-70% volume at the first target and bring STOP LOSS to BE
We must be disciplined in our trade to be successful winners.
USD/CHF Bearish SetupUSD/CHF Bearish Setup
🔹 Pair: USD/CHF
🔹 Trade Type: Sell Stop
🔹 Entry (EP): 0.83069
🔹 Stop Loss (SL): 0.83494
🔹 Take Profit 1 (TP1): 0.82639
🔹 Take Profit 2 (TP2): 0.82212
🔹 Lot Size: 0.04
🔹 Risk-to-Reward:
• TP1 = 1:1
• TP2 = 1:2
🔹 Risk: $200
🔹 Potential Reward: $200 (TP1) / $300 (TP2)
🧠 Analysis: Expecting a bearish continuation or breakdown from current support zone. Sell Stop below key level confirms bearish momentum. Tight SL above recent swing high. Trade aligns with broader trend and USD weakness.
#USDCHF #Forex #BearishSetup #PriceAction #TradingView #RiskManagement #ForexSignals #TradeSetup
UPDATE ON USD/CHF ANALYSISUSD/CHF 4H - With this market we are wanting to see price break down also, we have seen that price has broken structure to the downside on the extreme higher timeframes. Price has recently come back up to test the neckline it broke.
It just so happens that there is also a FVG here, giving us multiple pieces of confluence suggest a potential area of interest for price to come and reverse from.
Now that we have seen price trade into this area, its important we wait for confirmation of a reversal as well as entry confirmation before we look to execute any short positions in the market.
Once we see price break the last protected low, we will then have the confirmation needed to suggest a reversal in this current trend, confirming the start of the next impulse to the downside. I will update you all when I have something.
USDCHF | 21.05.2025BUY 0.82200 | STOP 0.81000 | TAKE 0.83800 | Constructively, the price of this pair is testing a local decline, but it is likely that the price will not be able to seriously consolidate under the level of 0.82000. Based on the chart indicators, a price reversal towards 0.83800 and further confident upward movement after correction near the medium-term lows of this year is likely.
USDCHF LONG FORECAST Q2 W20 D15 Y25USDCHF LONG FORECAST Q2 W20 D15 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅Daily order block rejection
✅15’ order block
✅Intraday bullish breaks of structure
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
USDCHF – Bullish Swing SetupUSDCHF – Bullish Swing Setup
🟢 Long Bias | Swing
• Entry: Already in at ~0.82327
• Targets: 1️⃣ 0.83044 → 2️⃣ 0.83300
• Hold horizon: 1-3 days
After a steady decline into the low-0.8230s, price is finding support and poised for a retrace back toward the 0.8304–0.8330 zone.
This is not financial advice – trade your own plan!
#USDCHF #Forex #LongSetup #SwingTrade #TradingView
USD/CHF Reversal Setup (Read-Caption)🧠 Professional Technical Analysis – USD/CHF 💱
🗓️ Date: May 6, 2025
🕰️ Timeframe: Likely 4H or Daily
📊 Current Price: ~0.82218
🔍 Technical Indicators
🔵 EMA 20: 0.84190 (short-term trend)
🔴 EMA 50: 0.82524 (mid-term trend)
❗ Bearish crossover: EMA 20 is below EMA 50 → short-term bearish bias 🐻
📉 Support Zone Analysis 🛡️
🟥 Key Demand Zone (Support): 0.82084 – 0.81437
🔁 Price has bounced here before 🪃
🕯️ Candles with long lower wicks = buyers stepping in 🧍♂️💪
🟠 This is the “bounce zone” 📈
🧭 Trade Idea
✅ Long Entry: Around 0.82084–0.82200
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 0.81437 ❌
🎯 Take Profit: Around 0.83600 🟢
⚖️ Risk/Reward: Excellent (>2:1) if bounce holds 🚀
🔄 Price Action Outlook
📉 Downtrend approaching major support
🕯️ Looking for bullish candlestick confirmation (engulfing, hammer, etc.)
📈 Target area aligns with mean reversion to EMA 20
📌 Conclusion
👀 Watching for bullish reversal signs 🔄
🛒 Buy zone is clearly defined ✅
⛔ Setup is invalidated if price closes below 0.81437
USDCHF H4 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 0.8316, a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 0.8509, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 0.8184 , a swing low support.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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Could the price reverse from here?USD/CHF is rising towards the resistance level, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.85076
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8619
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.8366
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDCHF Trade Opportunity AnalysisGood morning, esteemed traders,
Today, I would like to bring your attention to a significant trading opportunity regarding the USDCHF currency pair. After experiencing a considerable decline throughout April, we have observed a consolidation phase lasting over a month. Importantly, USDCHF has attempted to breach the resistance level at approximately 0.8343 on three separate occasions, indicating strong interest at this pivotal price point.
Notably, we witnessed a false breakdown earlier this week, which likely served to lure additional sellers into the market. This move has set the stage for a potential bullish breakout . I anticipate a target of 322 pips from this trade, positioning it as a medium-term opportunity with an attractive Risk-to-Reward ratio of 1:2.
Here are the particulars for this trade setup:
- Entry Price: 0.8343
- Stop Loss: 0.8181
- Profit Target: 0.8666
As always, I encourage you to conduct your own analysis and consider your risk tolerance before entering any positions. Wishing you all profitable trading.
Best regards,
Ehsan
USD/CHF..4h chart pattern..I'm considering a **BUY trade on USD/CHF** with an **entry at 0.83170** and a **target at 0.8600**. Let's analyze this trade setup:
### **Trade Summary (USD/CHF Buy)**
- **Entry:** 0.83170
- **Target:** 0.8600
- **Potential Gain:** **283 pips** (0.8600 - 0.83170 = 0.0283)
### **Key Considerations:**
1. **Current Market Context:**
- USD/CHF has been influenced by **USD strength** or **CHF weakness**.
- Check recent economic data (e.g., US inflation, Fed policy vs. SNB actions).
- If the **Swiss National Bank (SNB) is dovish** or the **Fed is hawkish**, this trade could work.
2. **Technical Levels:**
- **Support:** If 0.8317 is a key support (e.g., recent swing low), buying here makes sense.
- **Resistance:** 0.8600 is a psychological level and may act as strong resistance.
- **Stop Loss (SL):** Consider placing a stop below a recent low (e.g., 0.8250 or lower).
3. **Risk Management:**
- A **283-pip profit** is sizable, but ensure your **risk-reward ratio** is favorable (e.g., 1:2 or better).
- Example: If your stop loss is **100 pips**, your risk-reward is **~1:2.8**, which is good.
4. **Fundamental Triggers:**
- Watch for **US CPI, Fed speeches, or SNB interventions**.
- If the **USD strengthens further**, this trade could accelerate upward.
### **Final Thoughts:**
- This trade has a **strong potential** if USD continues upward momentum.
- **Monitor resistance levels** (0.8400, 0.8500) for possible pullbacks.
- **Always use a stop loss** to protect against unexpected reversals.
Would you like help with **stop-loss placement** or **technical confirmation signals**? 🚀
USDCHF LONG FORECAST Q2 W20 D12 Y25USDCHF LONG FORECAST Q2 W20 D12 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅Daily order block rejection
✅15’ order block
✅Intraday bullish breaks of structure
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Day 1 of turning £20 to £1million in 1 yearThis is day one of the challenge turning 20gbp to 1 million GBP within 1 year.
Expressed thoughts on some fundamentals going on right now and the approach for this week. This was posted 15 minutes before market open on a Sunday. Let the fun commence.
Ideally trying to complete this before 11th May 2026 hitting 1 million by then.
USDCHF Confirmed bottom Buy SignalLast time we looked at the USDCHF pair was three months ago (February 05 2025, see chart below) and it gave us the best sell signal possible, easily hitting our 0.8400 Target:
This time the long-term price action has transitioned into a Megaphone pattern, whose bottom was reached on the April 21 Low. At the same time the 1D RSI hit the 18.90 Support, which has been the Ultimate Buy Signal for the August 05 2024 and December 28 2023 Lows.
Since the price has been rebounding since, we view this as a confirmed buy signal and the start of the Megaphone's new Bullish Leg. The previous two rose by +10% and +10.67% respectively so a mere repeat of the +10% rally, will hit at least 0.88000.
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USD/CHF Sideways Phase Could Break on Trade Sentiment Shift USD/CHF Weekly Setup – Sideways Phase Could Break on Trade Sentiment Shift
USD/CHF is currently consolidating in a tight range near 0.8300, but under the surface, big moves are brewing.
Last week, the pair pulled back as US bond yields dipped lower and the USD weakened. However, this isn’t just about technicals — the bigger story is coming from trade negotiations, central bank signals, and global inflation pressures.
🌍 What’s Driving the Market?
1️⃣ US-China Trade Talks Return to Spotlight
Early signs of progress in global trade relations helped stabilize market sentiment. President Trump confirmed a preliminary trade agreement with the UK and hinted at cautious talks with China this weekend in Switzerland. While no breakthroughs are expected, any surprise deal or tariff easing could lift the USD.
2️⃣ SNB Dovish Tilt Pressures CHF
SNB Chairman Schlegel has opened the door for more rate cuts if the Swiss economy continues to show weakness. April CPI came in flat, and core inflation dropped, adding to the dovish case.
3️⃣ Fed Uncertainty
While the Fed held rates steady, markets are still debating the next move. The bond market suggests rate cuts are now less likely in the short-term, which could offer near-term support to the USD.
📊 Technical Picture – H4 Outlook
Price is forming a sideways accumulation just under the 0.8310 level. A deeper FVG (Fair Value Gap) still exists overhead from the recent drop. If USD strength returns, a clean break toward this imbalance zone is likely.
We're also seeing lower shadows and absorption wicks near support zones, signaling buyers are active at the bottom of this range.
📌 Key Levels
BUY ZONE:
→ 0.8265 – 0.8245
SL: 0.8200
TP targets:
→ 0.8325
→ 0.8365
→ 0.8425
→ 0.8585
🧠 Strategy Notes
This setup is range-to-breakout biased.
If the market responds positively to US-China trade headlines or US bond yields recover, USD/CHF could launch higher into the imbalance zone.
Watch for a confirmed H4 breakout candle above 0.8320 for added confidence.
Keep in mind the SNB meeting on June 19th — markets may start pricing in policy shifts earlier than expected.
📣 Final Thoughts
USD/CHF is at a turning point — and what happens next will depend less on indicators and more on trade diplomacy and central bank tones. As always, let the market show its hand.
✅ Wait for price to come to your zone.
⛔ Don’t chase moves in this volatility.
🔔 Stay alert to any headlines from the US, China, or SNB this week.
Bullish continuation?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is falling towards the pivot, which acts as pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.8333
1st Support: 0.8260
1st Resistance: 0.8515
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Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
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USD/CHF Elliott Wave Count – Building for Wave (5) 🌀 USD/CHF Elliott Wave Count – Building for Wave (5) 🚀
Chart Analysis – May 13, 2025
I'm tracking a well-structured 5-wave impulse on USD/CHF using Elliott Wave Theory, supported by Fibonacci confluence, Awesome Oscillator (AO) momentum shifts, and convergence-divergence signals.
🔹 Elliott Wave Count
We're currently in the corrective phase of Wave (4) after a strong Wave (3) extension. Here's the breakdown:
✅ Wave (1), (2), and (3) are clearly in place, with (3) showing healthy extension.
🔁 Wave (4) is pulling back and is now testing key support.
🔜 Anticipating a bullish Wave (5) continuation.
🔹 Key Fibonacci Levels & Buy Zone (Zone 1)
Wave (4) is approaching a high-probability reversal zone:
Zone 1 Buy Area: 0.8362 – 0.8341, marked by:
1.618–1.786 Fibonacci extension
Confluence with previous breakout structure (resistance turned support)
Classic Elliott correction depth for Wave (4)
This zone provides a strong technical base for a potential bounce into Wave (5).
🔹 Awesome Oscillator (AO) + Convergence/Divergence
AO confirms the wave count momentum:
Strong green bars during Wave (3)
Bearish red bars during Wave (4) correction
Potential bullish convergence forming:
Price is making lower lows
AO is showing higher lows – this is bullish divergence, a classic pre-Wave (5) signal
This momentum shift suggests buyers are returning, even as price dips into support — a strong signal for trend continuation.
🎯 Bias, Target & Invalidation
Trade Bias: Bullish
Buy Zone: 0.8362–0.8341 (Zone 1)
Wave (5) Target: 0.8470 – 0.8500 (based on Wave (1)-(3) projection and previous high)
Invalidation: Break and close below 0.8341 suggests deeper corrective structure or invalid wave count
✅ Summary
This setup combines:
Elliott Wave 5-impulse structure
Fibonacci confluence at key buy zone
Bullish divergence on AO supporting Wave (5) potential
Strong risk-to-reward opportunity from Zone 1
📉 Waiting for confirmation via bullish price action or stronger AO green bars before committing. Let me know your view or alternate wave counts!
#elliottwave #usdchf #wave5setup #fibonacci #awesomeoscillator #divergence #priceaction #forexanalysis #tradingview