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U.S. Dollar / Swiss Franc

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USDCHF trade ideas

Falling towards 61.8% Fibonacci support?The Swissie (USD/CHF ) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance. Pivot: 0.8916 1st Support: 0.8752 1st Resistance: 0.9206 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
1
USDCHF Wave Analysis – 18 February 2025 - USDCHF reversed from the support zone - Likely to rise to resistance level 0.9150 USDCHF currency pair recently reversed up from the support zone located between the support level 0.8975 (which stopped wave (2) in January), support trendline from December, lower daily Bollinger Band and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from December. The price formed the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Piercing Line near this support zone. Given the strong daily uptrend, USDCHF currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 0.9150 (which has been reversing the price from January).
Long
by FxProGlobal
USD/CHF: Possible Reversal Pattern🇨🇭🇺🇸USD/CHF: Possible Reversal Pattern🌄 📉 On the 4-hour chart of the USD/CHF pair, we might be seeing a reversal pattern – a triple top. 🧠 On Friday and today during the Asian session, the base of the top at 0.90 was broken. Now, price is trying to test this key support level as resistance. If there’s a bounce and price doesn’t return above 0.90, we expect the triple top pattern to play out, with a gradual decline in the USD/CHF rate, targeting the first support level at 0.89. 🚀 Looking at the 30-minute chart, the price is moving in a parallel channel with a slight upward slope. 📈 We are ready to open a short position if the price breaks the channel down. With low liquidity due to the US holidays, the breakout may happen either today or likely tomorrow when the market returns to normal. 🕒
Short
by AUREA_RATIO
USDCHF H4 I Bearish fall from the 38.2%?Based on the H4 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 0.9030, a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. A rejection at this level could drive prices lower toward our take profit at 0.8957, a pullback support that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. The stop loss is set at 0.9093, a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
USD/CHF Weekly Forecast: Potential Short Opportunity Market Outlook: The USD/CHF pair appears to be setting up for a potential short opportunity this week, based on key technical signals from the weekly chart. Here’s why: 1. Key Resistance Rejection & Price Action: • Price is testing a strong resistance zone, aligning with a previous high. • There is rejection wicks forming at this level, signaling a struggle for buyers to push higher. • The red zone highlights a potential area for price reversal, with an expectation of bearish movement from this level. 2. Moving Averages Alignment (Bearish Bias) • The 50 MA (yellow) and 200 MA (red) are acting as dynamic resistance. • A rejection from this level suggests that price could be respecting the longer-term moving average structure. • If price fails to close above this resistance, it strengthens the bearish bias. 3. RSI & Momentum Indicators Showing Weakness • RSI appears to be in a potential overbought zone or showing divergence. • This suggests that bullish momentum is weakening, supporting a short scenario.
Short
by Capt_panache
1
USDCHFBelow is the fundamental analysis for USD/CHF, structured similarly to the provided model: Fundamental Analysis of USD/CHF (February 2025) This analysis examines updated macroeconomic indicators, geopolitical factors, data from the Commitment of Traders (COT) report, possible scenarios, and a favorable scenario based on current economic conditions. 1. Macroeconomic Indicators and Monetary Policy United States • GDP and Economic Growth: • The US economy continues to expand at a robust pace, bolstered by strong consumer spending and a resilient labor market. • Inflation: • Despite ongoing pressures, US inflation remains above the Fed’s 2% target, maintaining a cautious outlook on price stability. • Fed Monetary Policy: • In the most recent FOMC meeting, the Federal Reserve kept its benchmark rate in the 4.25% - 4.50% range, balancing the need to contain inflation while supporting economic growth. • Unemployment and Labor Market: • Low unemployment figures underscore the strength of the US labor market, contributing to positive economic sentiment. Switzerland • GDP and Economic Growth: • The Swiss economy showed modest growth in Q4 2024, reflecting its traditional resilience amid global uncertainties. • Inflation: • Inflation in Switzerland remains subdued, close to the Swiss National Bank’s (SNB) target, owing to stable domestic demand and cautious fiscal policies. • SNB Monetary Policy: • In early February 2025, the SNB maintained its accommodative stance, keeping policy rates low to support ongoing economic stability and counteract external shocks. • Unemployment and Labor Market: • Switzerland’s labor market remains tight, though wage growth is moderate, reflecting a cautious approach amid global economic challenges. 2. Geopolitical Factors • Trade Relations and Global Uncertainty: • Heightened global geopolitical tensions and trade uncertainties continue to influence market sentiment. The USD often benefits from its safe-haven status during times of turmoil, while the CHF, as another traditional safe haven, sometimes sees increased demand. • Fiscal Policies: • Expansionary fiscal measures in the US, combined with debates on budget deficits, could weigh on the dollar in the long term. Meanwhile, Switzerland’s conservative fiscal policies support the franc’s stability. • Financial Market Sentiment: • Shifts in investor sentiment between risk-on and risk-off environments will continue to influence USD/CHF dynamics, with both currencies reacting to global economic and political developments. 3. Commitment of Traders (COT) Report – February 11, 2025 Non-Commercial Traders (Large Speculators): • Long Positions: 70,000 • Short Positions: 74,500 • Net Position: -4,500 (net short on CHF relative to USD) • This positioning suggests that large speculators lean towards a stronger USD in the near term. Commercial Traders (Hedgers): • Long Positions: 95,000 • Short Positions: 82,000 • Net Position: +13,000 (net long on CHF) • Indicates that commercial entities, typically more focused on hedging, see longer-term stability or a modest appreciation for the CHF. Small Traders (Non-Reportable): • Long Positions: 5,000 • Short Positions: 4,200 • Net Position: +800 (net long on CHF) • Reflects a moderately bullish sentiment for the Swiss franc among retail traders. Interpretation: • The net short positioning by large speculators favors the USD in the short term. • However, the long positions of commercial and small traders suggest a balanced longer-term outlook, with an expectation for CHF stability. 4. Possible Scenarios for USD/CHF Scenario 1: USD Strength (Bearish for CHF) • Triggers: • Continued robust US economic performance and a maintained or slightly hawkish stance by the Fed. • Heightened global risk aversion boosting safe-haven flows to the USD. • Outcome: • USD/CHF could rise, potentially trading above 0.925. Scenario 2: Consolidation (Sideways Movement) • Triggers: • Mixed economic data from both the US and Switzerland, leading to a “wait-and-see” approach by both the Fed and SNB. • Outcome: • USD/CHF may trade within a narrow range, roughly between 0.915 and 0.925. Scenario 3: CHF Strength (Bullish for CHF) • Triggers: • Signs of cooling in the US economy or a dovish pivot by the Fed in response to slower growth. • Continued safe-haven demand for the CHF amid persistent geopolitical tensions. • Outcome: • USD/CHF could decline, with the pair potentially moving below 0.915. 5. Favorable Scenario Based on Current Data Medium-Term Favorable Scenario for USD/CHF: Consolidation with a Potential for USD Strength Reasons: • Large speculators are currently net short on CHF, indicating a short-term tilt in favor of the USD. • The robust performance of the US economy, supported by strong consumer spending and low unemployment, bolsters the USD outlook. • Although the SNB maintains an accommodative stance, its conservative fiscal policies contribute to the franc’s stability, which may prevent a drastic move lower. • Should the Fed remain on its current policy path, USD/CHF may consolidate in a range that offers opportunities for a gradual USD strength. Target: • In the coming months, USD/CHF may consolidate between 0.915 and 0.925, with the possibility of a move toward the upper end of this range if US economic data continues to impress. 6. Disclaimer This analysis is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. The Forex market is volatile, and trading decisions should be based on individual research and analysis. Any losses incurred from the use of this analysis are solely the responsibility of the investor. If you have any further questions or need additional insights, feel free to ask!
by SkylimitBreakPoint
USD/CHF THOUGHTSUSD/CHF 30M - As you can see price has recently traded us down and into an order block and has shown good signs of rejection. I now want to see price break structure to the upside to confirm a reversal. As we know a break to the upside would confirm the end of this bearish leg trading us lower and tell us that price is now ready to start trading us bullish longer term. Once we have this break in structure I believe we will see price correct itself taking us back down in the market to trade us into another order block, this time to set a new higher low. This is where we can look to take part in this market from. With bullish structure price sets higher highs and higher lows. One price trades us back down and into the Demand Zone we will want to see another BOS but this time one thats more fractal giving us the confirmation that the correction has finished and the new leg higher is ready.
Long
by Lukegforex
USDCHF What Next? BUY! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the USDCHF next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 0.9006 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 0.9070 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
3
what a week it was!!! still looking for better opportunities pound gained against the dollar last week same happened to euro against the green buck. GBPUSD gave us nice buy oppotunities on the demand areas and respected the ema so tightly , we will be looking for more bullish continuations up to price 1.05750 . EURUSD gained as investors and traders went long , for me i will be looking for bullish continuations @ 1.05750 the we might get slight retracement. keep up with oil we have globally the prices of oil drop from 74$ per barrel to 70$ per barrel . my predictions would be to still see the price of oil drop further in future , we shall be looking to go short once the market retraces back to price 72.15 $ per barrel
Long
by rashy018
Bearish drop off overlap resistance?USD/CHF is rising toward the resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.9009 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level. Stop loss: 0.9057 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 0.8919 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
1
USDCHF💡The chart shows technical analysis of the USDCHF currency pair On the daily time frame D1. Rising channel:⬆️ The price was moving within an ascending channel ✨Channel break: The price broke the bottom line of the channel, which may indicate a trend change to down. If the price continues below the channel, it may head to one of the identified support areas. If the price returns inside the channel, it may retest the resistance. The MACD is showing weakness in the upward momentum, which supports the bearish idea.⬇️ ⛔️It is not investment advice for educational purposes only.
by Adhamcurrency