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U.S. Dollar / Swiss Franc

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USDCHF trade ideas

Trade idea for USD/CHFWhen we look at the chart we can see that the price is now in a good support zone that was good respected in the past. What I am looking for now is to get a good entry here and to see what the price is going to do in this zone. Also we need to keep an eye out for the upcoming news and the volume that we can see when that is hitting. If you want to play it save you can always wait an hour to see what the news is going to do and then see if you want to enter or not. We can also see that there was a very beautiful Elliott wave pattern in the past that is almost looking like an Elliott wave pattern from the books. Always nice to see that. Any updates will be giving in the comments.
Long
by MaBaCapital2
2
USD/CHF Breakout from Uptrend Channel, Potential for BearishIn the daily time frame chart of USD/CHF, it is evident that the price has broken out of the uptrend channel that had previously constrained price movements over the past few months. This breakout occurred after the price failed to breach the resistance around the blue area, which marks the previous local high. After testing the channel support multiple times, the price eventually experienced a breakdown, indicated by a solid red candlestick closing below the channel’s support line (highlighted in the yellow area with the "Breakout" label). This breakout signals a potential shift from a bullish trend to a deeper correction, with downside targets at 0.88 and 0.87, as marked by the horizontal blue lines below the current price. These levels serve as key targets since they have previously acted as strong support areas. Short selling can be considered with additional confirmation, such as a retracement to the breakdown area for a more optimal entry. Conversely, if the price moves back into the uptrend channel and holds above the breakout level, this bearish scenario may become invalid. Risk management remains crucial, with an ideal stop loss placed above the breakout area to mitigate the risk of a false breakout. If selling pressure continues, the next target will be 0.87.
Short
by DNP-FX
USD/CHF: Avoiding a false dichotomyThe US dollar is in a correction of its uptrend (see EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD etc) Do we really face a linear option of fade or no trade? Actually, it might be a false dichotomy . Going long EUR/USD and GBP/USD (i.e. selling USD) would mean fading the major trend (as per the weekly charts). But going short USD/CHF (i.e. also selling USD) would not be a counter trend trade because USD/CHF is in a trading range. Selling below resistance in a trading range is a high probability setup. We can see the topping process on the daily chart, with 0.90 as the broken neckline. Here the risk is well defined - if the price pops back over 0.90 - the breakdown trade is no longer on but while below 0.90, 0.88 is a natural target as the last major support area and the 30 week moving average. But - as always - that’s just how the team and I are seeing things, what do you think? Share your ideas with us - OR - send us a request! Drop a comment cheers! Jasper
Short
by jasperlawler
USD/CHF Prepares to Break Key Upward ChannelUSD/CHF has dropped more than 1.7% over the past two trading sessions as the U.S. dollar continues to weaken. So far, selling pressure on the U.S. currency remains strong, following disappointing retail sales data, which showed a -0.9% decline compared to the expected -0.2%. This has fueled concerns about a potential economic slowdown in the U.S. Meanwhile, the Swiss franc, known as a safe-haven asset , has benefited from mixed economic data and the reciprocal tariffs policy announced by the Trump administration. This has kept demand for the franc stable and reinforced a strong bearish bias on USD/CHF. Breakout of the Upward Channel Since September 2024, the pair had maintained a solid upward channel, reaching a high of 0.92013. However, selling pressure has intensified, pushing price action below the lower boundary of the channel, which aligns with the 50-period simple moving average (SMA). If pressure continues to build, the uptrend that has held for months could fade, giving way to a stronger downtrend—especially if price breaks the support zone where it is currently struggling. MACD Indicator The MACD line and the signal line both show a strong downward slope, approaching the neutral 0 level. The MACD histogram has also been consolidating near this level, indicating that the moving average trend is turning neutral. As long as the histogram remains close to zero, it will be difficult for a new trend to emerge in the short term. TRIX Indicator The TRIX indicator supports the bearish scenario, as it has started declining sharply and is now approaching the 0 neutral line. If the TRIX crosses below zero, it would confirm bearish dominance, reinforcing the selling momentum in USD/CHF. Key Levels to Watch: 0.91746 – Resistance: A critical level for bullish movements, marking a potential recovery zone for the previous upward channel. If price rebounds to this level, it could invalidate the bearish trend and restore short-term buying momentum. 0.89978 – Key Support: The current support level aligns with recent lows from previous sessions, the Ichimoku Cloud barrier zone, and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level, highlighting its significance as a key barrier for sellers. A break below this level would accelerate bearish momentum, confirming the end of the previous uptrend. 0.88930 – Major Support: A long-term support level, corresponding to neutral price zones from November 2024 and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. If the bearish move extends to this point, it could signal the formation of a more significant downtrend in USD/CHF on the daily chart. By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
by FOREXcom
USD/CHF H1 | Bearish downtrend to accelerate?USD/CHF is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 0.9044 which is a pullback resistance. Stop loss is at 0.9072 which is a level that sits above an overlap resistance. Take profit is at 0.9000 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
2
Falling towards overlap support?USD/CHF is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.9009 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level. Stop loss: 0.8973 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Take profit: 0.9072 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group. Update idea Add note VantageMarkets Also on:
Long
by VantageMarkets
Lingrid | USDCHF potential BEARISH Breakout of Upward ChannelThe price perfectly fulfills my previous idea . FX:USDCHF price has declined from the resistance zone. On the 4H timeframe, the market trend appears to be sideways. The price action is moving within an ascending channel, and I anticipate that the price will break below this channel and move to lower levels, especially given the formation of a double top and the apparent rejection of bullish momentum. On the daily timeframe, the price is oscillating between 0.91600 and 0.8400 levels. My expectation is that the market will retest the previous month's low. My goal is to support 0.89850 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Short
by Lingrid
2
USDCHF to find buyers at market price?USDCHF - 24h expiry Levels close to the 78.6% pullback level of 0.9151 found sellers. We expect a move lower in a corrective sequence, targeting Fibonacci retracement levels. Buying continued from the 50% pullback level of 0.9083. We look to buy dips. Offers ample risk/reward to buy at the market. We look to Buy at 0.9083 (stop at 0.9058) Our profit targets will be 0.9153 and 0.9168 Resistance: 0.9115 / 0.9140 / 0.9156 Support: 0.9089 / 0.9070 / 0.9055 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA
USDCHFShort Fundamental Analysis – USD/CHF 1. Context • Swiss National Bank (SNB) • Maintains a cautious monetary stance, with relatively high rates by Swiss standards to combat inflation. • Switzerland’s economy remains stable, and the CHF typically serves as a safe-haven currency during periods of global uncertainty. • Federal Reserve (Fed) • Continues with elevated interest rates to manage persistent inflation in the US. • Strong macro data (GDP ~+2.6%, unemployment ~3.7%) underpins the USD, making it attractive compared to other currencies, including CHF. 2. Possible Direction • Bias: Slightly bullish for USD/CHF, as higher yields and resilient US economic performance often overshadow CHF’s safe-haven appeal. • Alternate Scenario: • A significant uptick in global risk aversion or a dovish shift by the Fed could bolster CHF, leading to downward pressure on USD/CHF. • If the SNB unexpectedly tightens further, it may provide additional CHF strength. 3. Factors to Watch This Week 1. US Economic Indicators • Inflation, labor market, and consumer spending data can either reinforce or weaken the dollar’s advantage. 2. SNB Communications • Any surprise rate adjustments or changes in inflation outlook could shift sentiment in favor of CHF. 3. Global Risk Appetite • In times of heightened geopolitical tensions or market volatility, CHF demand may spike as investors seek safe havens. 4. Overall Conclusion • USD remains supported by higher yields and robust economic conditions. • CHF benefits from safe-haven flows and stable economic fundamentals but often lags when the Fed is markedly hawkish. • Near-term direction for USD/CHF is modestly tilted upward, barring a sudden spike in risk aversion or unexpected SNB actions. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice. Financial markets can be volatile and involve significant risks. Always consult official sources and consider your own risk tolerance before making any trading decisions.
by SkylimitBreakPoint
USDCHF H4 I Bullish Bounce Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is approaching our buy entry level at 0.9080, a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit is set at 0.9154, an overlap resistance. The stop loss is placed at 0.9024, a pullback support level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
1
Will the USD/CHF trend continue to decline?USD/CHF news: 👉The USD/CHF pair rose to near 0.8950 on Wednesday in early European trade, snapping a four-day losing streak. The greenback rebounded from an 11-week low as the Federal Reserve’s cautious approach helped limit the greenback’s losses. 👉Meanwhile, a 0.5% rise in the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield also contributed to the greenback’s strength 👉However, weak consumer confidence data from the Conference Board could dampen investor sentiment and put selling pressure on the greenback. Together with other disappointing economic indicators, this has reinforced expectations for two 25 basis point rate cuts by the Fed this year, with the next one expected in July. Personal opinion: 👉USD/CHF remains bearish in line with the main trend. There will be a correction to the upside due to the rise in US 10-year bond yields but this is an opportunity for sellers to jump in at better prices Analysis: 👉Based on important Fibonacci levels and trend lines combined with fundamental information to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: 🔆 Setting up the price zone: 👉Buy USD/CHF 0.8960 – 0.8970 ❌SL: 0.9010 | ✅TP: 0.8920 – 0.8880– 1.0600 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Short
by FM-ForexMastermind
1